We were a last second bad call, or a waved off put bank dunk away from an excellent night. Oh well. We are right back at it tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
HOU +1.5
MEM +5.5 (Highest Rated in the model)
OKC +6.5
POR +6
CHA +12
LAL -7

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lebron to score 30+ and record 10+ assists +170 (FD)
Lebron’s point prop is set to 31.5 points and the under is juiced. Lebron’s assist prop is set to 9.5 and the over is juiced. You can parlay the over on both of these for +190, which is two more points than the boost. Lebron is also -166 to score 30+ points. If you parlay Lebron to score 30+ and go over 9.5 assists that pays +146. This boost is pretty good. However, Lebron has one game of 30+ points and 10+ assists. That game was a double-overtime game against the Pistons. All this is adding up to a pass from me.

Mitchell to score 30+ and Jazz to win +250 (FD)
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay the over and the Jazz money line it would pay -103. Mitchell is +178 to score 30+ points on Fan Duel. If you parlay Mitchell to score 30+ and the Jazz to win it pays +177. Mitchell has scored 30+ in seven out of 28 games this season. While this is a decent price we have to account for the fact the Jazz are large favorites. This feels like a game that could easily blowout. Pass.

LaMelo over 29.5 points/assists/rebounds +110 (DK)
LaMelo’s points/assists/rebounds prop on Fan Duel is set to 29.5 and the over is set to -115.
LaMelo’s points prop is set to 16.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
LaMelo’s assist prop is set to 6.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
LaMelo’s rebound prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay the over on all three of these props, it pays +258. In a blowout against the Jazz in early February LaMelo went for 34/8/4 stat line. Despite the large spread, this is a boost that should be minus money, but pays plus money. The line and numbers are fair and as long as there I no foul trouble, like he has in his last game, Ball has a great chance to get there. I am in.

Lebron to record triple double +275 (DK)
LeBron is +210 to record a triple double so this is a decent boost. However, how likely is Lebron to get a triple double? Lebron has a grand total of three triple doubles this season. Yes, I realize this is the Wizards and Anthony Davis is out, but this is a pass.



Luke and Dame to score 30 or more each +200 (Fox Bet)
Dame’s points prop is set to 31.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame is -188 to score 30+ points on Fan Duel.
Porzingis was just moved to questionable and the Luka props, well all the Mavs props are down.
If Porzingis is out, you are taking this boost. It was solid with Dame, so I can assume it would be better if Luka were alone. I am in, unless something changes.


Mavs/Heat/Suns to all win +210 (Fox Bet)
This should pay +176 and is not bad. However, I am on Memphis so pass.

Porzingis and Mitchell 1 or more dunk each +400 (Fox Bet)
Pass. Blowout chance where Mitchell may not get there. Porzingis is now questionable.

Wall to record a double-double +320 (Fox Bet)
Wall’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is juiced.
Wall’s assist prop is set to 7.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay Wall to go over both these numbers it pays +189.
Wall to score 15+ and go over 7.5 assists pays -109.
Wall is +260 to get 10+ assists.
If you parlay Wall to go over 15+ points and get 10+ assists, it pays +242.
Wall has one game of 10 or more assists since joining the Rockets. Having said all of that. Boogie Cousins is out. Victor Oladipo is out. Wall is going to play 35 or so minutes in a competitive game against a team that struggles defensively. This is a good boost since the points are not in doubt. The assists will be the issue of course, but I am willing to take the gamble. I am in.


LaMelo triple double +1900 (Fox Bet)
He is +2000 on Fan Duel. LOL.

Lebron to record a triple double +250 (Fox Bet)
The DK boost is better, but pass on both.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
USC/TT both to win +180 (DK)
This should pay close to +138, but contains to small favorites, including one on the road. Pass for me.

NBA
Memphis +5.5
Model loves them. I bet them. (Porzingis was moved to questionable)

NCAAB
Drake -11
They were up 20+ yesterday all game long until the bench almost blew the cover.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-23 48.88%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-14 -336
Hoops Odds Boosts 22-28 +2360
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 29-21 58%
NBA Model 167-172 49.26%

Real life stuff got in the way, which happens sometimes on the weekends! Either way, we are back with everything tonight. I will say it again; if you are not on NBA Top Shots, you are missing out.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NOP +2
TOR +3.5
DET +3
CLE +3
NYK -3
ATL +2.5
BRK +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
SAC +10

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie to score 30+ and make 3+ Threes +320 (FD)
Kyrie’s points prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Kyrie’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced. If you parlay Kyrie to go over and make 3 threes is pays +189. If you parlay Kyrie to score 30+ and make over 2.5 Threes is pays +219. This is a nice boost on what the number should be. Kyrie has done this five times this season and even did it against the Clippers recently. However, the Clippers are healthy now and the Nets are a dog in this game. I am going to pass.

Embiid 30+ points and Sixers win +220 (FD)
Embiid’s points prop is set to 30.5. The Sixers are small 3.5-point road favorites and Kyle Lowry is expected to sit for the Raptors. If you parlay Embiid to go over and the Sixers money line it pays +143. This is again a pretty solid boost as most are with Embiid at the moment. He is just crushing everyone and scoring at will. I am in.


Harden and Kawhi to each score 30+ points +570 (DK)
Kawhi’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the under is juiced. Harden’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is also juiced. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +262. If you parlay them to both score 30+ points on Fan Duel, it pays +356. Kawhi has scored 30 or more in eight of 27 games. Harden has scored 30 or more in 1 game since joining the Nets. This is a really tough spot against a healthy Clippers team, but this is such an excellent price I think it is almost worth it. I would not max it, but I am in.

Jokic to record a triple double and the Nuggets to win +490 (DK)
Jokic is +220 to record a triple double. If you parlay that with a Nuggets win, it pays +451. This is a decent boost, but the Nuggets are a small favorite on the road. This is a pass for me.


Embiid and Giannis to each make a dunk and a 3 +300 (Fox Bet)
We know that Embiid does not dunk as often as we expect. This seems like a good spot to stay off an Embiid dunk prop, especially when you factor in that Giannis makes roughly 1.1 threes per game. This is a fair price considering the Bucks play the Kings. Fine, I believe riding Embiid at this point makes the most sense. However, a dunk free game is coming. I am in.

Knicks/Sixers/Nuggets all to win +400
I hate all the small favorites together. This should pay close to +355. This is not bad if you like all these teams, go ahead. I will pass.

KAT/Trae/Kyrie 25+ points each +500 (fox bet)
Kyrie and Trae and minus money to score 25+ and KAT is +124. If you parlay them together, it pays +405. KAT’s player prop is set to 22.5 and the over is juiced. This is actually pretty good. Two players prop is slated to be over and KAT needs an extra two points. I am in.

Kawhi to lead NBA In scoring today +1200 (Fox Bet)
Pass. He does not have the ceiling ability.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)

NBA
Philly -3.5
Embiid is playing out of his mind and Lowry is expected to sit.

NCAAB
Drake -12.5 (Gave out on Twitter earlier)

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-22 50%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-14 -336
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-25 +2160
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 28-21 57.14%
NBA Model 162-169 48.94%

Going 3-0 on recommended odds boosts for +470 was very nice. While mostly everything else is around even, if you bet the highest rated in our model you would be hitting at 56%. Of course, I have to mention what we have done with player props and odds boosts. The NBA season is almost exactly two months old.
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630

It has been a solid two months. Nevertheless, that is the past and we are moving on. I am not going to dwell on the Pelicans having an eight-point lead while getting points in the fourth quarter and losing by twenty. As they say in Ted Lasso, “be a gold fish.” In addition, if you have not watched, you should watch Ted Lasso on Apple TV.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +2
LAL -3.5
MEM +4
CHI +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
POR -4.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Butler or Lebron to record a triple double +130 (FD)
Butler is +380 (FD) and +350 (DK) to record a triple double.
Lebron is +250 (FD) and +330 (DK) to record a triple double.
I realize Butler has done this his last three games.
Math time like usual with these wagers.
$100 on boost and either makes a triple double you win $130.
$100 on Lebron and Butler to make a triple double.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Lebron gets there +$330. You make $130.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Butler gets there +$380 you make $180.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) both get there +$810 you make $610.
Of course, the upside is there to beat each separately, with the added downside of risking twice as much to achieve that upside. As is the case with most of these combo-triple double wagers, it is better to bet both separately for the potential gains than to just bet the boost. Pass on this boost.


LaMelo to score 20+ points and record 8+ assists +270 (FD)
First, I love LaMelo. I won a small GPP on Draft Kings thanks to him a few weeks ago. I have been playing him in DFS every night until he got to 9K was my plan. Both Martin’s are out and so is Devonte’ Graham for the Hornets. The Hornets catch the Warriors on a back-to-back and the game has a massive total at 233.5 points. LaMelo’s points prop is set to 17.5 and the over is slightly juiced. LaMelo’s assist prop is set to 7.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay the over on both of these, it pays +191. LaMelo is +130 to score 20+ points and +100 to get 8+ assists. If you parlay those together, it pays +226. LaMelo has accomplished this three times in his last nine games. With a tight spread, secure minutes and a fast-paced game, I absolutely love this boost. I am in.


Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win +206 (DK)
The Lakers are a small 3.5-point favorite against the Heat. Lebron’s point player prop is set to 29.5. Lebron to hit his prop and the Lakers to win is set to +169 on Fan Duel. Oddly, enough Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win pays only +160. This is a decent boost if you like the Lakers. The Lebron number is in line and fair. I am just not sure I like the Lakers. Pass.


Lebron to have two or more dunks and two or more Three pointers +300 (Fox Bet)
Lebron averages 1.7 made threes a game. Lebron has 36 dunks in 30 games. This is a pass for me. Lebron is not likely to have two dunks based upon that information in a slower paced game against the Heat. Pass.


Warriors/Lakers/Suns to all win +400 (Fox Bet)
No way I would be on the Warriors on a back-to-back here. This should pay +343 though, but all three have small spreads. Pass.

Dame Lillard over 5.5 threes and Portland to win +350 (Fox Bet)
Lillard’s made threes prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced. If you parlay the Lillard over and Portland to win, it pays +200 on Fan Duel. LIllard is +116 to make 5+ threes on Fan Duel. The best comp I can find is Lillard to make five or more threes and Portland to win should pay +227. Is one extra three pointer worth an extra +123. This is right on the boarder of being a good boost to play, but is well above what Lillard is expected. Lillard has made six or more threes in eight of 27 games. While this is close and the Wizards are awful defensively, if this was 4.5 threes I would be all over it. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)

Oregon/UNC/UCLA all to win +127 (DK)
Oregon -9
UNC -5.5
UCLA -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win. However, you can parlay the same combo on Fan Duel for +130. Pass on the boost then.

Nova/Alabama/Tenn all to win +110 (DK)
Nova -7
Ala -14
Tenn -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win as well. In this case, if you parlay these on Fan Duel it pays -116. I am in on this boost!

NBA
LaMelo Ball over 17.5 Points
Oh yes, I am all over LaMelo.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-22 50%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 27-21 56.25%
NBA Model 160-166 49.07%

I have had enough snow to last a while. However, I could go for more NBA Top Shots packs! When are those being released? Until they do, I am going to have to record a podcast to talk about the craziness of it all. Moments are tripling in price every day. You can buy things and flip them in hours for a profit. I bought a bunch of Domantas Sabonis yesterday for $8-$10. I was able to flip them all for $19 or more in twelve hours. If you are not buying Top Shots, you are missing out!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
GSW -3.5
DEN -8.5
CHI +8
ATL +4.5 (Highest Rated in the model)
DET +4.5
OKC +10.5
NOP +3.5
TOR -3.5
UTA -5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid and LaVine to both score 30+ Points +250 (FD)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Embiid’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +237. On Fan Duel, you can parlay them to both score 30+ points for +200. This is actually pretty good. LaVine, needs to go over his number by one point, and Embiid needs to miss by one point to win. While, this is not boosted a great deal, it is solid enough that I am in.


Chris Paul or Brandon Ingram to score the first basket +320 (FD)
Nope. Never.

Sixers/Celtics/Clippers all to win +425 (DK)
Boston is a 4.5-point favorite. The Sixers are an eight-point favorite. The Clippers are a five-point home dog. This “boost” would pay +455 on Fan Duel. Easy pass.


Mitchell to score 30+ points and Jazz to win +400 (DK)
Mitchell’s points prop is set to 24.5 and the under is lightly juiced. If you parlay the Jazz to win and Mitchell to score over 24.5, it pays +157 on Fan Duel. Mitchell is+230 to score 30+ points tonight. If you parlay Mitchell to score 30+ and the Jazz to win, it pays +300. This is a nice boost, but it does ask five points over his prop point number. In that case, this is a pass from me only because we have no idea who is playing for the Clippers. This could be a blowout, or a competitive game, but either way, I am passing.

Embiid and Zion one or more dunk each +100 (Fox Bet)
Zion averages about two dunks per game. Embiid has 14 dunks in 23 games. The Bulls defense is suspect at best and they have no answer for Embiid. Hence betting the over in the above boost as well. I am in. My max stuff on Fox Bet is always weird. I wonder what everyone else gets for this one. I am in.

Embiid to have one dunk and Sixers to win +120 (Fox Bet)
If I am in on the one above, I am in on this. Sixer’s money line is high. I am in.

Nuggets/Sixers/Pelicans all to win +300
Denver is an 8.5-point favorite. Philly is an eight-point favorite. The Pelicans are a 3.5-point home dog. This parlayed on Fan Duel pays +303. Pass.

Trae and Giannis to both score 30+ points +350 (Fox Bet)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 31.5.
Trae’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
You can parlay these two reach their prop for +255.
You parlay them to both score 30+ points for +304 on Fan Duel. This is a slight boost, but I am not a fan of taking Trae against the Celtics tonight. Trae has scored 30+ points in eight of his 27 games this season. Pass.

Jokic to score 26 points and have a triple double +500 (Fox Bet)
Jokic is +280 to get a triple double. Jokic’s points prop is set to 26.5. If you parlay them together, it should pay +625. Pass.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)

NBA
NOP +3.5
I love them at home and they seem to be getting better.  

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-21 51.16%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 18-24 +1790
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 27-20 57.44%
NBA Model 157-160 49.52%

Such a small slate. This is old school Thursday night NBA on TNT when there would only be like two or three games. I want the bigger slates. I have said this before, but I really prefer five to seven games a night. Despite the smaller slate, there are actually a few odds boosts I am recommending. I was all set to bet the Kings, but without Richaun Holmes and Harrison Barnes, it is a little harder to back Sacramento. At least we have some golf to watch and hopefully see one of our runners put up a low score.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
TOR +6 (Highest Rated in the model)
LAL -2.5
SAC +1.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie and Lebron to score 30+ points +320 (FD)
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
Lebron’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay them to both go over it pays +234.
If you parlay them to both score 30+ points it pays +258. This is a decent boost because for an extra two point on Kyrie you get a bumped up pay out. I am in.

3×2 Boost two or more threes made in first three minutes Raptors/Bucks +100 (FD)
Pass.

3×2 Boost two or more threes made in first three minutes Lakers/Nets +100 (FD)
Pass.

Giannis to score first basket +400 (DK)
Nope again. Pass on these.

Lebron/Kyrie/Harden to all score 25 or more points +300 (DK)
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
Lebron’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Harden’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay them to all score 25+ points on Fan Duel, it pays +194. In this case, every player is expected to score above the number and the price is very good. This is a competitive game with a small spread. I am in.

Lebron/Giannis/DeAndre Jordan all one or more dunks +100 (Fox Bet)
Jordan only really scores on dunks or from a close proximity. Giannis dunks several times every game. Lebron averages just over one dunk a game and with the Nets defense being awful, I think he gets there. I suppose I am in on this. If you bet this, you will get your live bet!

Bet $20 get a free $10 live bet (Fox Bet)
I am going to use this for sure. Wait, I did on the dunks boost!

Bucks/Lakers/Heat all the win +375 (Fox Bet)
This parlayed pays +344. I kind of like the Kings so I am going to pass. This is a road back-to-back for the Heat. No thank you.


Harden and Kyrie to combine for 64.5 or more points +500 (Fox Bet)
We already know Kyrie’s player prop and Harden’s is set to 26.5, while the under is juiced. You can parlay the two to go over for +257. On Fan Duel, you can parlay them to both score 30+ at +486. This boost is too many points considering the price Pass.

Lebron triple double +300 (Fox Bet)
James is +320 on Fan Duel to get a triple double. What a “boost” by Fox Bet. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Iowa/Hou/Oh St all to win +370 (DK)
Houston is a 7.5-point road favorite. Iowa is a small road dog. Ohio State is a small road favorite. Pass. I am against backing small road dogs in college basketball. This is a boost though as it pays +315 on another site.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-21 51.16%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 17-22 +1890
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 26-20 56.52%
NBA Model 156-158 49.68%

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

There are plenty of boosts tonight and they have even added some golf boosts. Make sure you check out the PGA article as well!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
NYK -4
PHI -10.5
ATL +2
DEN -3.5
IND -5
POR +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
OKC +7
GSW -1.5
UTA -3.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ben Simmons to score 20+ points and the Sixers to win +320 (FD)
This parlayed together pays +215. With Embiid back, Simmons player prop for points is set to 16.5 and the under is heavily juiced. The Sixers should win this game easily and there is a chance that none of the Sixers starters plays a full complement of minutes. While the price is enticing, Simmons to score 20 plus points pays +198. Pass.

Julius Randle to score 30+ points and record 10+ rebounds +375 (FD)
This game has a 210 point total. Randle’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Randle’s rebound prop is set to 11.5 and the under is slightly juiced. You can parlay Randle to hit his points prop and record ten rebounds for +115. Randle is +310 to score 30 points alone. If you parlay them, it will pay +321. This is a slight boost, but what is needed in a slower paced game seems like too much. Randle has one game this year with 30 or more points and 10 or more rebounds. Pass.

Curry and Butler to combine for 60+ points and 10+ assists +330 (FD)
Butler’s points prop is set to 21.5 and the over is very slightly juiced.
Curry’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Butler’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry’s assist prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
If you add all of those up it equals, exactly 60 points and assists.
Butler’s points + assists are set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry’s points + assists prop is set to 36.5.
If you total those up you fall short at 67, when you would need 70.
If you bet the over on all four of those props and parlay them together, it would pay +776. I understand that this is a combination though. No matter how you make a combo parlay to get a true price here, it seems to fall closer to +700 than anything does. As weird as it seems, the assists seem to be fine for these two, but the points may be an issue. Maybe you can come up with a better way to bet this and come up with a fair comparison. Pass on this price, but if you have a better idea here, please let me know on Twitter.

33% profit boost on any 3+ Leg NBA Parlay (DK)
I am using this see below.

DK Wild Card Wednesday
Everyone gets a different boost. Tweet at me what you got. I got Seth Curry first basket +950. Booooooooooooooooooooooooo.

Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons to each record a double-double +190 (DK)
This is a weird one because I cannot find any prop for Embiid to score 10+ points. Embiid is listed at -1600 to score over 20 points. Really, this is a bet on if Ben Simmons will get ten rebounds or ten assists. Simmons is +130 to record ten rebounds and +225 to record ten assists. No matter what, if you parlay Embiid over 20 points, Simmons over ten points, Embiid over ten rebounds and either Simmons to get 10 assists or rebounds, it pays around +250. I would say either make that parlay at +250, or just play Simmons over ten rebounds at +130. Pass on the boost.

Curry to make over 4.5 threes and Warriors to win +250 (DK)
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 5.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Curry is also -192 to make five threes tonight. If you parlay them, it should pay around +186. This is actually a decent boost if you believe the Warriors are going to win. I am skeptical of the Warriors as such small favorites though and will be passing on this boost for now. You can play this if you like the Warriors though, but it is not a must play.

Embiid/Beal/Lavine all to score 25+ points +150 (Fox Bet)
Beals points prop is set to 30.5.
Beal is -450 to score 25 or more points.
Embiid’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced.
Embiid is -400 to score 25 or more points.
LaVine’s points prop is set to 28.5 and the under us juiced.
LaVine is -245 to score 25 or more points.
If you parlay all three to score 25+ points, it should pay +115. You get a break on everyone’s points prop and get a great number here. I am in!

John Wall 1 or more dunk and 1 or more made Three +200 (Fox Bet)
Wall has five dunks in 18 games. Pass.

Sixers/Celtics/Nuggets all to win +250 (Fox Bet)
This is a back-to-back for Denver and Boston. This should pay +242 so it is not much of a boost. I am willing to bet one of those two back-to-back teams loses. Pass.

Lillard 1 or more dunk and Zion 1 or more made Three +2000 (Fox Bet)
Lillard has five dunks in 26 games. Zion has made five threes in 26 games. Pass.

Embiid to have a dunk assisted by Simmons +400 (Fox Bet)
If you can show me data on how many of Embiid scores Simmons assists on and then how many of those resulted in a dunk, then I could break this down. Until then. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
USC/Indiana/Duke to win +140 (DK)
This should pay close to +122 so this is a small but fine boost. Duke just lost an NBA player and they are a shorter road favorite. Pass for me.

Duke and Indiana both to win by 7+ points +310 (FD)
Remember, when all the sites put a team in an odds boost there is a reason. It is never a profitable one for the bettors. This is basically a two-team parlay to cover their number and should pay around +257. If you already liked these two, go for it. Pass.

NBA
Sixers -10.5
This is a Sixers blowout spot against a wounded Houston team.

Pacers -5
Back-to-back for the Wolves and the Pacers coming off a loss to the Bulls.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Jazz Money Line/Pacers Money Line/Sixers -10.5 Parlay Boosted to +480

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 21-20 51.21%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 16-22 +1740
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 25-20 55.55%
NBA Model 151-154 49.50%

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. While Berger coming through Sunday at +550 was nice, it is a long season and it would be nice to hit an outright from before Thursday. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

PGA Bets
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360

PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bryson to win +2000 (DK)
I love Bryson. He made me a ton of money during the US Open. I am going to back him anytime his number is this low. If you follow along every week, you will have a great eye for when prices just feel off. In this case, I feel that way about Bryson. There is no reason he should be behind this many golfers, despite the competition in the field. While he has not played in a little while and when he has, he has not really been in contention. This is exactly what happened before the US Open. I am in.


Winning Margin to be 2 Strokes +430 (DK)
2020 margin was 2 strokes.
2019 margin was 1 stroke.
2018 margin was 2 strokes.
2017 margin was 5 strokes.
2016 margin was 1 stroke
2015 margin was zero strokes. (won on a playoff)
2014 margin was 2 strokes.
2013 margin was zero strokes. (won on a playoff)
2012 margin was zero strokes. (won on a playoff)
2011 margin was 2 strokes.
The average margin of victory is 1.5 strokes. If this was two or more strokes I would play it, but two strokes exactly is tough. Yes, it has happened four of the last ten years, but this is a tough ask. Pass.

DJ/Bryson/Brooks/Spieth to all make the cut +200 (FD)
Spieth is the lowest here at -275, but obviously is playing very well currently. The field here is smaller and around 54% of the golfers will make the cut. I am in.



Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

John Wall scored 22 points in the first half and seemed like he was easily on his way to 30 plus points to win that odds boost on Fan Duel. Wall scored seven-second half points and fell short by one. Domantas Sabonis easily scored 20 plus points, but the Pacers fell in overtime. These things happen. Yet, we were in a great position to sweep the board, but some nights you fall short. As long as the process is correct, we will continue to find advantageous situations as we strive for every night.  However, the highest rated play in the model came in again and we are right back at it tonight.

I will be updating on Twitter what I end up doing for NBA and college. I wanted to make sure the boosts do not disappear and people miss out on them, which has been happening.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DEN +2
MEM +0.5
TOR +6
LAL -6
OKC +5.5
BRK +5.5 (Highest rated in model. This is a road B2B for the Nets)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden and Booker to combine for 65+ points +390 (FD)
Harden’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced. Booker’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced. You can parlay them to both go over their prop at +262. That means roughly over 53 points pays you +262. You can parlay them to both score 30 plus points at +515. I would rather make the other two parlays than bet this boost. Pass.


Zion First Basket +620 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.

3×2 Boost two or more made threes in first three minutes NOP/MEM +100 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.

3×2 Boost two or more made threes in first three minutes PHO/BRK +100 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.

Harden and Booker and Chris Paul to score 20+ points each +225 (DK)
Harden’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced. Booker’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Paul’s points prop is set to 17.5 and the under is juiced. You can parlay all three to go over their prop for +597. If you parlay them to all score 20 or more points, it pays +228 on Fan Duel. Normally, I would say this is a boost for one person to hit the over and that is something you should consider. However, with the Fan Duel parlay paying more, this can easily be avoided. Pass on this boost.

Zion to score the first basket +655 (DK)
I mean, at least it pays more than on Fan Duel, but this is a no from me.

Lebron, Zion, and Giannis one or more dunks each +100 (Fox Bet)
Giannis has 70 dunks in 26 games. Lebron has 34 dunks in 28 games. Zion has 50 dunks in 25 games. Fine, I hate dunk props, but I am in. This is free money it seems, but has a max bet of $10 for me. LOL. Go get your $10 I suppose and bet this.


Boston/Milwaukee/Lakers to all win +250 (Fox Bet)
Boston is a small favorite and the Nuggets may have like nine players tonight. The Bucks have looked awful, but are 5.5-point favorites against the Raptors tonight. The Lakers without AD are six-point road favorites in Minnesota. If you parlay these together, it pays around +236. This is a slight boost, but not anything I feel is necessary bet. NBA money lines this year have been getting crushed. I have started to shy away from the “oh they should kill them no problem” games, because frankly it has not worked out. Maybe it is COVID, or maybe the schedule, but if you pay attention, it seems almost one five-point or larger dog is winning outright every single night. Pass on this boost unless the Nuggets injury information gets worse. If the Boston money line rises to the point where the true odds of this are under +200, I would be intrigued. I will let you know on Twitter if I jump in.

Tatum/Ingram/Towns all to score 25 or more points +900 (Fox Bet)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
Ingram’s point prop it set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
KAT’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the juice is the standard -110.
If you parlay them to all go over their point prop, it pays +563 on Fan Duel.
If you parlay them to all score 25 or more points, it pays +826 on Fan Duel.
Tatum is coming off an awful six-point game against the Wizards. If the game remains competitive, Tatum will only need to miss his prop number by a half point for this boost. Ingram scored 27 against Memphis not too long ago and has been above 25 in four of his last eight games. This is KAT’s fourth game back and he has scored 18, 20, and 25 points in those games. There is no Anthony Davis for the Lakers tonight. I cannot believe I am saying this about a +900 prop, but I am in. This is a boost; all three legs are attainable, with KAT’s being the most difficult. Nevertheless, KAT’s minutes are secure, the Lakers are missing a key post defender and this could be a nice breakout spot at home for Minnesota. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
UCONN/FLA/Purdue all to win +460 (FD)
This is a boost from +435 to +460 and features a 4.5 point Florida team as a dog.

50% Profit Boost one College game (DK)
Obviously, find the game you like the best and use this on it.

Mich ST and Arkansas to both win +370 (DK)
MSU is a +190 dog and Arkansas is a small favorite over Florida. This should pay +338. There is probably a way to bet this boost, the Fan Duel boost, then use your profit bonus on DK to make it where you have a small middle provided some other teams come in. That is way too complicated though and has too many moving parts to work.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 21-20 51.21%
NCAA Record 8-11 42.10%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-21 +1740
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 24-20 54.54%
NBA Model 148-151 49.49%

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Yesterday was a good day. We recommended two odds boosts to play. They both hit for +405. We said jump on Daniel Berger at +550 to win the PGA event at Pebble Beach. He won. The top rated play in the model came in as well! If only the Cavs had not been crushed by the Clippers bench. Either way, it was a fantastic day, and we made some money.

Some nights I like a lot of games, others I like very few. Tonight, there are not any games that really stand out. Yet, we have a few odds boost that should be on your radar!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHI +5.5
HOU -2
NYK +2
PHI +7
LAC -3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
CLE +9.5
BRO -4

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
John Wall to score 30+ points +250 (FD)
Wall’s point prop for tonight is 24.5 and the over is juiced. Wall to score 30+ points is +200 also on Fan Duel. In this case, it does seem that Wall to score five more points than his prop is worth the value added by this boost. If you factor in that, this is a revenge game for Joh Wall and I am intrigued. This is where I mention that John Wall has scored 30 or more points zero times this season. Despite that fact, this is a pace up spot. I do believe the revenge narrative and Wall has been playing 30+ minute every night. Wall has scored 25 or more points in three of his last four games. At this price, I am buying and am in.

Bradley Beal and John Wall to score 60+ points +125 (DK)
There are a few ways to look at this and let me say if Russell Westbrook were to sit I would be more interested in Beal, but not on this boost. If you parlay them to both score 30+ points it pays +348. Beal’s point prop is set to 32.5 and we already know where Wall’s is located. If we try this another way and just parlay Wall to score over 24.5 and Beal to score 35+, which would get us over the number here, that pays +332. No matter how you look at it, this is a bad number, with the other options available.

Zach LaVine to score 40+ points and the Bulls to win +2000 (DK)
Alright this is a nice boost as if you parlayed this on Fan Duel it only pays +1567. However, as you can imagine his prop is slightly under 40 points and the Bulls are a dog. This is for people who are down and need a miracle. Pass.

Wall and Trae Young to combine for 60+ points +300 (Fox Bet)
Trae’s point prop is well under 30 tonight as well. The Hawks are playing a pace down Knicks team too. If you parlay them to both score 30+ on Fan Duel, it pays +626. If you parlay them to both just go over their prop number, it pays +241 and it gives you an eight-point difference here. Pass.

Collins and Gobert 3+ dunks each +350 (Fox Bet)
Pass on a majority of dunk props.

IND/HOU/ATL all to win +450 (Fox Bet)
Three games with small lines. I mean it is fine if you like all three. It should pay around +368. I will pass.

Donovan Mitchell and Malcolm Brogdon to make 4+ threes each +550 (Fox Bet)
You can parlay this on Fan Duel for +542, so it is not much of a boost. Oh, yeah also Brogdon is +270 to make four or more threes. Pass.

Sabonis over 19.5 points and the Pacers to win +110 (Fox Bet)
Sabonis’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is juiced. The Pacers are decent favorites tonight. Sabonis is -270 to score 20 or more points. If you parlay this on Fan Duel, it pays -113. This is solid. I am in.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Wash St and East Tennsee ST both to win +190 (DK)
This is weird and one is a small dog. Pass.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 21-20 51.21%
NCAA Record 8-11 42.10%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-19 +1940
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 23-20 53.48%
NBA Model 144-148 49.31%

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

I hope you are following us on Twitter as we had that Nerlens Noel situation come up. He was clearly mispriced to score 10+ points on Fan Duel and we took advantage! We are now 4-1 on player props for the NBA season good for +630. The Noel wins more than made up for the boost we recommended that did not come in. I hope that you listened and stayed away from Drake yesterday too!

We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is today and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently over zero points. Yes, zero points.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
BOS -6.5
MIN +8
DET +4.5
CHA +2
POR +5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
MIL -11.5
ORL +10.5
CLE +11.5
DEN +3.5
MEM -1

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lillard and Luka to both score 30+ points +230 (FD)
Lillard’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced. Luka’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced. You can parlay them at +230, meaning you get a slight break of one point on Dame if you bet the prop. On Fan Duel as well both are minus money to score 30+ and those two parlayed together only pays +191. This boost is appropriately priced and I like the massive total. This is not as good as other night, but I am in.

Kawhi or Sexton first basket +220 (FD)
Never ever betting first basket wagers.

Blake Griffin to record a dunk +500 (DK)
Blake has zero dunks in 20 games this year. Pass.

Lillard and Luka to each make over 2.5 threes +175 (DK)
Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the Under is heavily juiced. Lillard’s made threes prop is set to 4.5 and the under is heavily juiced. You can parlay them to both go over their props for +297 on Fan Duel. Lillard is -700 to make three or more threes on Fan Duel. You can parlay them to both make three or more threes for +129. This is actually a decent boost since it seems that Lillard is a lock to get there. I will happily take Luka to make over 2.5 threes at +175, which is basically what this is. I know he has been down this year shooting from distance, but his numbers have improved recently and Portland wants to play fast and take a bunch of threes as well. I am in.

Jokic or Lebron to record a triple double +110 (DK)
This is another situation where you are better off betting them to each get a triple double.
Lebron is +490. Jokic is +320.
If you bet, this boost and one or both get there you make +$110.
However, if you bet them to each get there.
$100 on Lebron and $100 on Jokic pays +490 if Lebron gets there.
Wagered $200, win $290.
$100 on Lebron and $100 on Jokic pays +320 if Jokic gets there.
Wagered $200 win $320. This is still more than the boost.
Now, if both get there you win +810. The downside is if neither get there, you lose both. Either bet both of them or pass on this boost. I am passing.

Mavs/Bucks/Pelicans to all win +175 (Fox Bet)
This is a decent boost that should pay around +155. If I did not like the Blazers and the points, I would be on this. Feel free to fire away if you want, but it is a no for me.


Lillard/Giannis/Luka all to score 30+ points +450 (Fox Bet)
We covered above that Lillard and Luka are in good shape. The Greek Freak’s points prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced. Even if you liked Giannis and felt that the Thunder keep it close, this should pay around +621. As you can see, it is no where near it should be. Pass.


Zion/Giannis/Lebron 2 or more dunks each (Fox Bet)
I hate these dunk props. Pass.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Michigan and Cincy to win +200 (DK)
This should pay around +172, but I am not into backing one-point road favorites in college basketball. I am looking at you Michigan. Pass.

NBA
Portland +5
Dallas defense is suspect and Portland is scoring a ton as well. Portland can win this game. I trust the model.

Milwaukee -11.5
The Bucks coming off a loss against a bad team was one of the best bets in the NBA last year. Love them today.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
I threw a little sprinkle on Daniel Berger at +550 to win at Pebble Beach. I have Kevin Streelman from before the tourney started to win and top ten and one of those is alive.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 20-18 52.63%
NCAA Record 8-11 42.10%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 13-19 +1535
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 22-20 52.38%
NBA Model 139-143 49.29%

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%