The end of the NBA season is a grind. This week is going to be weird. Teams will be have something to play for, until they do not. I know that sounds weird. Nevertheless, it is possible the Nuggets become locked into their position before the end of the week. They may have two games that do not matter. I will try to mention if people are tankers, or are trying to stay in a spot.

I realize that Beal is out for the Wizards, but I remain skeptical of the Hawks. Both teams needs to keep winning as the Wizards can actually get to the 8-seed perhaps. Some of these boosts will tempt my Wizards love and Hawks hate.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS +8 (Highest Rated in the model)
IND -8.5 (Pacers might be getting healthy, Cavs tanking)
NOP +9 (No Zion, no BI. Memphis can get to the 8-seed; Pelicans have a chance at 10-seed.)
MIL 7.5 (Bucks can still become 2-seed. Spurs holding on to 10-seed barely in West.)
UTA -2 (Jazz trying to keep 1-seed. Warriors have danger of falling to 9-seed.)
POR -14.5 (Rockets have gone full tank! Portland trying to hold on to 6-seed.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score 30+ and Bucks to win +260 (FD)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Giannis to score 30+ is +120.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +163. This is a boost, but it is asking Giannis to go over his prop by a few points. To me this comes down to if you think the game will be competitive. The Bucks have been playing much better and Giannis has been asked to do even less at times in terms of scoring. I think the Bucks roll here and I am passing. You can fire if you want to, but Giannis has only scored 30+ in five of his last 13 games. Pass for me.


Curry and Dame to combine for 12+ made 3’s +210 (FD)
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Dame has a massive blowout threat against the Rockets tonight. Because of the blowout chances, Lillard may not see his full complement of minutes. I think to get to 12+ Curry has to make seven and Dame five to get close. If you parlay that combo it pays +423. As usual, I hate these combo props. Yes, the combo makes it easier, but I think Curry going wild is more likely to assist you to get there. Pass on this prop.

Russ to score 30+ and Wizards to win +780 (DK)
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ is +146 to score 30+.
Russ to score 30+ parlayed with the Wizards to win should pay +595. This is a solid boost. I think Russ goes wild. Asking this big of a dog to win is a big ask, but it is worth a small sprinkle. I am in.

Curry to record 4+ made 3’s and Warriors win +160 (DK)Curry is -1450 to make 4+ threes. Yes, that is a real number. If you parlay the over and the Warriors it pays +111. I am in on this! Fire it up!

Mem/MIL/UTA to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +187.  While Memphis and Milwaukee are solid money line bets, taking the Jazz against the Warriors on the road without Donovan Mitchell is a pass for me. This is barely a boost and not worth the risk of taking the Jazz on the road. Pass.


Russ/Giannis/Dame to score 25+ +200 (Fox)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
I was hopeful this would be a solid boost, but it should pay +229. This is an easy pass for me.


Russ triple-double and Wizards to win +400 (Barstool)
Russ is -400 to record a triple double. The Wizards are +285 to win tonight. This parlay should pay +381. Meh, this is sort of a boost, but not enough I am interested. I would rather go for the gold with the boost above. Pass here.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PIT/BAL/SF to all win +850 (Fox)
This should pay +756. Yet, two of the teams in this boost are dogs. I am passing on this with two dogs involved.

NBA
WAS +8

Curry over 6.5 made 3’s +120
Oh I think he goes nuts tonight.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-53 51.37%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-87 +3125
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 66-57 53.65%
NBA Model 445-432 50.74%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

The Lakers may be in for a bumpy ten-day stretch. If they lose tonight and it is trending that way, coupled with a Dallas win and the West could be wild for the play-in games.

Current Standings
5. Dal 10 GB
6. LAL 11 GB
7. POR 11 GB

If Dallas and Portland win tonight
5. Dal 10 GB
6. POR 11 GB
7. LAL 12 GB

If you finish 7-10 you are in the play in games. The Lakers finish with PHO, NYK, HOU, IND, NOP. Houston is a win but the others could all be tenuous especially without LeBron James. What about Portland’s finish? Portland ends with SAS, HOU, UTA, PHX, DEN. On the surface that seems much tougher. However, a win tonight and Portland owns the tiebreaker with the Lakers based on head-to-head. Plus, Denver may be locked into the four seed on that last game of the season. In essence, if Portland wins tonight a 4-1 finish may be good enough to avoid the play in, maybe even 3-2. Will LeBron be back soon enough to keep the Lakers out of this?

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Joel Embiid is now listed questionable. Be aware. If he sits bets involving him will be voided.

NBA Model Plays
PHI -9.5
CHI +4
MIL -16.5
CHA -7
MIN +6.5
DAL -10
DEN +4
NYK +6.5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
SAC +4 (This is one of the weirdest lines of the season despite the Kings injury issues.)
LAL +7 (If the Lakers lose tonight, the last week will be very interesting.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mavs/Nuggets/Lakers to all win +850 (DK)
Normally, DK does not miss this badly. If you parlay this, it should pay +1157. The Lakers are large dogs and the Nuggets are smaller dogs. Either way, the Lakers are in serious trouble. Pass for me and a very easy pass at that.

Zion to be the leading scorer Sixers/Pels +175 (FD)
This may be great now pending Embiid news.
Steven Adams is doubtful for the Pelicans. Brandon Ingram is out as well. This would set the stage for Zion to score even more. However, who is stopping Embiid? Willy Hernangomez? Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced. Zion’s total is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced. This is another Sixers smash spot and Embiid is going to score a ton. Pass on this boost.


Jokic to score 25+ and the Nuggets to win +320 (FD)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced. The Nuggets are four-point dogs in Utah.
This parlay should pay +274. This is one I can get behind. Jokic is playing out of this world. Utah has been a little off since Mitchell and Conley have been out, at just 6-4 over their last ten. I am in here. Jokic’s prop is over what is needed here and the Nuggets are a live dog. Fire this up.


Sixers/Celtics/Heat to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +169, but yeah the inconsistent Celtics on the road without Jaylen Brown. I am running away from that. Pass for me. In addition, Jimmy Butler is questionable for the Heat. Another red flag. Pass.



Embiid/Tatum/Booker to score 30+ +900 (Fox)
Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced.
Tatum’s prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Booker is +136 to score 30+.
If you parlay all three of these, it should pay +755. This is a pretty solid boost. I really do want to fire on this, but the Knicks being the Suns opponent gives me pause. The Knicks play extremely slow. They played this game a week ago and Booker did drop 33-points. Looking at this in a different way. I believe Embiid will smash tonight without any post players to stop him. Tatum gets to play without Brown, which means his usage rises. Booker is really the only one I am seriously worried about. With the size of the boost here, I am willing to risk it. The price is more than fair and as long as the games stay relatively close, everyone will have a chance. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY to win and 9+ runs scored +250 (FD)
NYY are -178 to win tonight.
The total is set to 8.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +175 so it is a boost. The NYY have played 31 games this year. In only seven of those 31 games have the Yankees won and 9+ runs been scored. Based upon that, this is slightly under a number I would feel comfortable betting. I am passing. If this were +300 or more, I would be more inclined.

LAD/LAA 10+ runs scored +160 (FD)
The total is 8.5 in this one and the over is barely juiced at -112. I am passing here, as this is asking the over to come in plus an extra run. While neither starter has been amazing, they have been touched up at times. No need to step into this one even though over 9.5 runs should pay +132.

50% Profit Boost any live MLB Bet (DK)
You should use this.

Judge to hit a HR +400 (DK)
Judge is +300 to hit a HR on Fan Duel. This is a boost, but I think betting HR props are a losing proposition at these prices. Pass for me.

Nats/Twins/Phillies to all win +1100 (Fox)
This is a boost as it should pay +961. However, two of these teams are dogs and I would never fire on this with two dogs. Pass for me.
Brewers/Rockies to both win +550 (Barstool)
Would you like to parlay two dogs here? This should pay +530, so it is a tiny boost. I again am never parlaying two dogs in a boost. Pass.


NYY/NYK to both win +450 (Barstool)
This should pay +400. The Knicks in Phoenix is a tough one for me. The Suns see the top seed up there. While this is a boost, asking the Knicks to win on the road like this is too much for me. Pass.

NBA
DEN +4

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-52 51.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-85 +3325
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 65-55 54.16%
NBA Model 434-420 50.93%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

Nothing like having your DFS Golf lineups dead at 8:00 AM, when Webb Simpson withdrawals. At least my bets on him were refunded and I could fire on my guy Bryson. It is clearly destiny.

I just want to remind everyone that late season NBA is very weird and wild. Things change fast and people will, rest, tank, get hurt, etc. often. I think the Rockets finished their game last night with six players. Be careful!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +4
BRK -3.5
WAS +2
DET +9.5
IND +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
GSW -14.5
LAC -8.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I see they have adjusted the payouts on the 3×2 boosts on Fan Duel. Pass for me always.

Lakers/Clippers 25+ made 3’s +125 (DK)
The Lakers average 11.1 made threes per game.
The Clippers average 14.4 made threes per game.
This is an interesting one because it is oddly right on the nose, but does play plus money. This game has the chance for a blowout without Lebron. The Lakers are missing more than Lebron and I am skeptical of the pace and points scored in this game. This game only has a total of 211 points and 25 made threes is a lot considering the pace the Lakers may be forced to play. Oddly, the Clippers do take a ton of threes. I am passing here. The Lakers are capable of shooting horribly and making well under ten threes considering how many they shoot. I am out.


MEM/ATL/GSW to all win +105 (DK)
This looks very juicy on the surface. All three are solid favorited playing inferior opponents. This parlay should play -115. Yet, I have reservations. This is a road back-to-back for the Hawks and I do not trust them. I did avoid the Suns in Atlanta last night in a similar spot. The Pacers may be getting some people back tonight, but I just have no trust in Atlanta. You can fire, as this normally would be right up my alley. Pass for me.



Curry/Luka both to score 30+ +150 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
Curry’s point prop is set to 35.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Curry is -360 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two it should pay +111. Both players need to just miss, or significantly miss their prop. This is a boost. Despite the Warriors blowout worries, I am in.


BRK/ATL/TOR +350 (Fox)
This should pay +294. There is no chance I am going against the Wizards with the Raptors headed for the lottery. I have already made my thoughts on Atlanta clear. Pass.


KD/Luka to both score 30+ +150 (Barstool)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
KD’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
KD is -130 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay KD and Luka to score 30+ it should pay, +204. This is an easy pass here as the boost is well under what it should pay and is not a boost at all. Pass.



Clippers/LAA to both win +155 (Barstool)
This is a small boost as it should pay +120. Look, the Clippers are healthy and not losing to the Lakers tonight. The Clippers need to win and the Lakers are headed for the play-in. The Angels are small favorites, but since I feel the Clippers are going to win, this is a solid spot to take the LAA. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Braves and Nats to go to extra innings +870 (DK)
What is this? This is not as bad as the college basketball games going to OT wagers that Draft Kings have posted before. Pass.

There are so many early baseball games, there are no other boosts posted for late games.

NBA
IND +6
I trust the model and do not like the Hawks.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 55-52 51.40%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-36 +679
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-84 +3425
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 64-55 53.78%
NBA Model 429-418 50.64%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

Look at this large spreads! I love it! Yet, those large spreads give me pause for some of these boosts. I am always looking for a reason to not bet something, as opposed to the other way around.

DK has a Cinco de Mayo surprise boost. I got a $5 free bet. Boooooooooooo.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
BOS -11
POR -12
MEM -3.5
PHO -1
PHI -14.5
IND -6.5
MIL -3.5
UTA -7 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +4

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This is 40 Either team to score 40+ in any quarter ATL/PHO +315 (FD)
The last time they offered this boost it was not great. Neither team really had or had given up a 40-point quarter. In this case, with these two teams it does happen a little more often. Yet, it is not often enough. The game does have a low spread and total that is not incredibly high at 227.5. While the Suns have had a few 40+-point quarters, there just are not enough to justify this wager at this price. Bill Simmons and FD need to raise the payout slightly, or pick a different game when they do this weekly. Pass for me.

Russ to record a triple-double and Wizards to win +305 (DK)
This is the game to do the 40+ boos on. Russ is going to get a triple-double and he is -185 to do so. The Wizards are small dogs in this game. If you parlay the Wizards and Russ here, it should pay +266. This is a boost, but such a small one. I am passing on asking the Wizards to beat the Bucks. Pass for me.



Embiid and Jokic to score 25+ points +250 (Fox)
Embiid’s point prop is set to 26.5.
Embiid is -172 to score 25+ points tonight.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5.
Jokic is -118 to score 25+ points tonight.
This parlay should pay +192. Man, I want to love this. Embiid should get there barring a blowout, which is in play. This is right on the line for me. It is a boost at +250, but I am extremely concerned about a blowout fir the Sixers. I still feel like this is too solid to pass up. I am in.


IND/MIL/DEN to all win +300 (Fox)
This should pay +244 so it is a boost. Yet, why am I scared of the Knicks? For some reason, I hate going against them. Perhaps the reason is the model always seems to like the Knicks. You can fire on this if you want, but I am staying away. If you told me in December I would be afraid of two games because of the Wizards and Knicks, I would have said you were insane.

PHI/PHO/UTA to al win +225 (Barstool)
This should pay +176. Philly and Utah are going to win. This to me is the Suns as a small road dog against a team I do not believe in. Yes, I am talking about Atlanta. I refuse to admit they are playing better since firing their coach. I refuse to believe they matter in any substantial way headed toward the playoffs. I believe the Suns want to win and become the number one seed. However, this being a back-to-back for the Suns coming off an overtime game feels like a great spot to avoid. I really want to fire, but I am holding back. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY to score first +145 (FD)
NYY are +120 to score first. I am not excited about taking a dog here to score first. In addition, the NYY are at home so they will hit second. This might seem obvious, but I wanted to mention. Pass here.

25% Profit Boost one live MLB bet (DK)
You should use this.


SD/LAA/OAK to all win +400 (DK)
This should pay +345. Two of these games feature small money lines and indicate a closer game. I am staying away here. I prefer to lose these with larger favorites.


Buehler to record 7k’s and LAD to win +195 (DK)
Buehler’s K prop is set to 7.5 K’s and the Dodgers are solid road favorites. Oddly, this is almost exactly, what this parlay should pay. It is not even a boost, unless you consider that this is a correlated parlay, which some sites do not allow. In this case, we can see this is what the price should be and it is not much of a boost. Pass.

Betts/Hoskins/Stanton 1+ hits each +300 (Fox)
Betts is -270 to record a hit.
Stanton is -250 to record a hit.
Hoskins is -155 to record a hit.
This parlay should pay +219.
Freddy Peralta has had a strong start to the year for the Brewers and has given up 14 hits in six starts. While this is a boost, I am not in interested in attacking a pitcher who has given up more than two hits only twice in six starts. Pass for me.


PHI/NYY/LAD to all win +550 (Fox)
This should pay +490. The Phillies are a dog tonight, which always makes me ready to run away from these boosts. I feel the same way here. I am out.

CLE/SD to both win +145 (Barstool)
Two favorites with the best pitchers in both games. I am intrigued. In this case, I get the better team in both games and this parlay should pay +126. I am in!

NBA
PHI -14.5
Sixers are going to win by 30+.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Celtics/Blazers/Sixers/Pacers/Jazz ML Parlay +170 (Barstool)

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-52 50.94%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-35 +779
Hoops Odds Boosts 52-84 +3175
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 63-55 53.38%
NBA Model 424-414 50.59%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 13-35 -991
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 2-8 -324
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

Added the Barstool boosts and hit two last night. I would like to run that back! What is that? They are offering the same boost? Yes, sign me up!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHO -13
CHA -4
MIL -2
OKC +5.5
GSW +1.5
DAL +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
TOR +9.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Luka to record a triple-double +475 (DK)
This pays +435 on Fan Duel. This is a boost, but Miami plays a little slower than most teams and the games total is not that high at 216. Pass for me.

Nets/Warriors/Raptors to all win +2100 (DK)
This should pay +1500 or so, but like why? The Raptors are large road dogs. This is an easy pass.


Zion and Giannis to score 30+ Each +300 (Fox)
Zion’s prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced.
Zion is -120 to score 30+ points.
Giannis’s prop is set to 31.5.
Giannis is -160 to score 30+ points.
Parlayed this should pay +185. I am in. Both guys just need to get to their prop and it is nicely boosted. Fire this up.


Bucks/Heat/Pelicans to all win +450 (Fox)
This should pay around +400. While all three are favored, they are very small favorites. This is a pass for me.



KD and Giannis to score 70+ combined +180 (Barstool)
KD’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
We already know where Giannis sits. This is an overreaction to the game from this weekend where they went bonkers. If you parlay them to both score 35+ is should pay +469. I pass on the combined and would rather do the parlay, so pass on this boost.

Leonard to score 25+ and LAC to win +210 (Barstool)
KL’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay KL to score 25+ and the Clippers to win, it should pay +146. You can fire on this if you want. I think a blowout is possible so I am actually going to pass.



Curry and Zion to each score 30+ +200 (Barstool)
I was all over this last night, I am happy to run it back. Zion’s prop is even higher for tonight. Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay both of them to score 30+ it should pay +110. I am in, again.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% Profit Boost on any MLB Liver Bet (DK)
You should use this.

DeGrom to record 10+ K’s +120 (DK)
DeGrom’s K prop is set to 10.5 and the under is heavily juiced. If you bet over 10.5 it pays +120. So you basically get an extra strikeout built in here and a nicer price. I am in. He has been lights out this year.


Machado to record 1+ RBI +160 (DK)
Player props are not out for this game as of yet. Pass in that case.

NYY/NYM/TEX to all win +600 (Fox)
They always throw a dog in here to see if you are paying attention. Yes, this should pay +500, so it is a boost. I am not taking a three-team money line parlay with a dog involved. Pass



Trout and Acuna 1+ hit Each +100 (Fox)
Acuna is -370 to record a hit.
Trout is only -210 to record a hit.
This parlay should pay -114. I am in. Two of the best players in baseball at a plus number.

NBA
CHA -4

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-51 51.42%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-35 +779
Hoops Odds Boosts 52-82 +3375
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 62-55 52.99%
NBA Model 419-412 50.42%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 12-35 -1091
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 2-8 -324
Baseball Odds boosts Record 7-20 -170

The NBA regular season is over in under 14 days. If Portland wins and the Lakers lose tonight, the Lakers would fall into the play-in game. I am extremely excited about this scenario! In the East, we have a game with a 245.5-point total! Will the Wizards and Pacers actually get there? That is extremely high. Then there is the Magic and Pistons game. There are more players hurt than actually playing for both teams. This is tanking to the extreme.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
ORL +2.5
IND +4
GSW +3
POR +2
PHI -5.5 (highest rated in model)
NYK +3.5
UTA -7
DEN -3.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Zion and Curry to each score 30+ points +200 (FD)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
Zion is +108 to score 30+ points.
Curry is -550 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +143. I am in here. Zion is going to destroy the Warriors in the paint if the game stays close. Curry will do what he does and can miss his prop by six points. I am in.


Dame and Trae to combine for 8+ made threes +300 (FD)
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Considering their prop has them around the six made threes number and the fact that I never bet the over on Trae, this feels like a pass. If you were to parlay Dame to make 5+ and Trae to make 3+ it would pay +521. Of course, I know this is combined, but Trae does not make enough threes and has not all year. Pass for me.

Jokic to record a triple-double and the Lakers to win +725 (DK)
What is this boost? Jokic is +270 to record a triple-double, but why and the Lakers to win? I hate rooting for both sides in this way, you can be right and wrong at the same time. Pass.


Curry and Zion to combine for 60+ points -125 (DK)
You could bet this. Alternatively, you could bet the boosts where they each score 30+. Yes, this has a much easier path, but I would rather bet the boosts.


Dame and Trae to combine for 65 or more points +400 (Fox)
Dame’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Trae’s prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
This line is way too high, even for the payout. Again, yes, this is combined, but the most likely path is Dame to score 35 and Trae to score 30 points. That combo parlayed pays +1227. I think I am the most anti-Trae person out there. I hated the Hawks in the preseason and will not back Trae again here. Pass.


ATL/PHI/NYK to all win +550 (Fox)
This is a trap. The Hawks are tiny favorites against the resurgent Blazers. The Sixers are small favorites as well and the Knicks are road dogs in Memphis. Yes, this is a boost as it should pay +465. I am passing though.


Jokic to record 45+ combined points/assists/rebounds and Denver to win +200 (Barstool)
Jokic’s points prop is set to 25.5.
Jokic’s rebound prop is set to 10.5.
Jokic’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is juiced.
Jokic’s points/rebounds/assists prop is set to 45.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay the over here and Denver to win it should pay +207. This is paying under the level where it should be, so it is an easy pass for me. Some people will say correlated parlays should be weighted differently, but we can bet these on some sites now. Pass for me.


Curry and Zion to each score 30+ +215 (Barstool)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
Zion is +108 to score 30+ points.
Curry is -550 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +143. I am in here. Zion is going to destroy the Warriors in the paint if the game stays close. Curry will do what he does and can miss his prop by six points. If I was in above, I am in here. This allows you to bet more than the max that FD will let you. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Ohtani/Trout/Rendon to all record a hit +300 (FD)
The LAA are small dogs going against Tyler Glasnow.
Ohtani is -210.
Trout is -210.
Rendon is -230.
If you parlay them all is should pay +209. Yes, this is a boost and a decent one at that. However, Glasnow has given up 19 hits in six starts this year. The most hits he has given up are five. I know he is not going to pitch the entire game, but he goes six innings each time out. This is a pass for me. I am out.


25% Live MLB Profit Boost (DK)
You can use this as soon as a game starts. I will post my live bet on Twitter!

STL/TOR/BAL all to win +800 (DK)
Did the sites put all the teams in a hat and pick these? This should pay +691, but two are dogs and this is games with tight money lines. Pass.

PHI/MIN/KC to all win +500 (Fox)
Two favorites and one dog here. This should pay +462, so not much of a boost. Pass.


OAK/SEA to both win +250 (Barstool)
Both teams are small favorites and this should pay +225. You can fire if you want, but I am passing. At least this only asks two games to be correct and they are favored.


TEX/TB to both win +425 (Barstool)
This should pay +373, but Texas is a decent dog tonight. I am passing.


Phillies/Sixers to both win +215 (Barstool)
This should pay +158. Both teams are favored. The Sixers need to keep winning to maintain the number one seed. I am in here!

NBA
Nothing at this time.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-51 51.42%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-35 +779
Hoops Odds Boosts 50-82 +2960
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 61-55 53.04%
NBA Model 414-409 50.30%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-35 -1306
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 7-20 -170

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
POR -1.5
CHA +5.5
NYY -10.5
PHI -6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
PHX -16
DAL -6.5
TOR +8.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid to score 30+ points and Sixers to win +380 (FD)
Embiid’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Embiid is +182 to score 30+ points.
This parlay should pay +236. The Sixers have been winning relatively easy since their schedule lightened up significantly. The Spurs may hang around but I think the Sixers win and cover. I am taking a shot here and asking Embiid to go over his prop by several points. I think the way this is boosted is well worth the risk. I am in.

Sixers/Suns/Mavs to all win +130 (DK)
This should pay +111. I am in here. I think Sixers and Suns win and cover and the Kings are extremely banged up. Dallas needs to keep winning. I am in.

BOS/PHI/LAL to all win +280 (Fox)
First, I have zero faith in the Celtics to do anything. This is a tiny boost as it should pay +261. I cannot risk any money on the Sixers at this moment. The other two should be fine, but I like the Blazers tonight. Pass for me.


Dame and Embiid to score over 29.5 points +600 (Fox)
Embiid’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Embiid is +182 to score 30+ points.
Dame’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Dame is +168 to score 30+.
This parlay should pay +656. So much for this boost. Pass for me.


Dame and Tatum to each score 30+ +500 (Barstool)
Dame’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Dame is +168 to score 30+.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Tatum is -116 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +365. I have to say this is a pretty large boost and not bad at all. It might seem weird to bet Embiid to score 30+, then avoid them parlayed together in a boost, yet be interested in this. It is all about the math for me. This is a boost. Tatum is expected to get there and it pays more than it should. The Embiid/Dame boost pays less than it should. I am in here.


Sixers/Mavs/Heat to all win +230 (Barstool)
This should pay +183. You can fire on this if you want. I am weary of the Heat on the road against a rejuvenated Hornets team. I do not trust Miami at all. After a year of, they will figure it out, maybe they are who they are. Pass for me.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Lindor to record 2+ hits +220 (DK)
Lindor is +135 to record 2+ hits on Fan Duel. This is a massive boost, but Lindor has been ice cold. Lindor has 14 hits in 21 games and is hitting a robust .182. I am passing until he improves.


Alonso to hit a HR and Mets to win +600 (DK)
This is a massive boost as it should pay +376 on Fan Duel. If you want to go ahead and do these type of wagers, you can, as it is more than fair. I am passing though.

Harper to hit a HR +430 (Barstool)
Harper is +260 to hit a HR on all the other sites tonight. This is a pretty large boost. You can go ahead if you want, but I am passing.

NBA
PHI -6.5
A chance to climb back into first, maybe.


PHX -16
This is a 30+ point blowout. I know this may be insane to lay in an NBA game, but here we are.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-49 52.42%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-34 +879
Hoops Odds Boosts 49-81 +2680
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 61-54 53.04%
NBA Model 411-405 50.36%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-35 -1306
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 7-20 -170

I was asked on Twitter if I could add Barstool Sportsbook stuff to the breakdown. I was hesitant, because I know they have a smaller market share. In addition, I was very critical of their parlay and teaser odds in the past. Nevertheless, as they grow and enter new markets maybe I should add them, as well. I do have an account there and I used it when they first came to PA to get the free money and bet some NFL season long items. I can add them as well into the daily breakdown. After all, I did buy a “positive vibes only” shirt because I liked it.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHI -9.5
CLE +7
SAS +4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ORL +12.5
POR -2.5
MIL -0.5 (Assumes Giannis sits)
PHO -4
LAL -8.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Russ to record a triple-double and Wiz to win +160 (FD)
The Wizards are -6.5 tonight in Cleveland. Russ is -185 to record a triple-double. This parlay should pay +114. Russ has a triple-double in 13 of his last 16 games. One of those three games he failed was against the Cavs. Despite that one failure, I am in here. Russ has been crushing it, the Wizards should win and this is a solid boost. I am in.


AD and Dame to combine for 60+ Points +340 (FD)
Dame’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is +144 to score 30+.
AD’s points prop is set to 23.5.
AD is +300 to score 30+ points.
No matter how you slice it, this is way under what it should pay. If you parlay them to both score 30+, it should pay +876. If you switch it to Dame to get 35+ and AD 25+ it pays +898. No matter what, this boost is a pass for me.

Beal and Dame to each score 30+ +420 (DK)
Dame’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is +144 to score 30+.
Beal’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal is -130 to score 30+ tonight.
If you parlay them to both score 30+ it should pay +347.
Overall, this is not bad. Dame needs to go over his prop by a few and Beal needs to just meet his. Despite the Blazers struggles and great turn around in their last game, I am in here. I think it is worth the risk for the extra boost here. I am in.

Beal and Booker to score 30+ each +350 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal is -130 to score 30+ tonight.
Booker’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Booker is +164 to score 30+ tonight.
This parlay should pay +367. Despite Beal’s inclusion and being on him getting there, Booker needs to go over and you are not getting the type of payout needed to make this worth the risk. Pass.


BOS/POR/PHO to all win +380 (Fox)
Three games with smaller spreads. This parlay should pay +294. Therefore, this is a boost, but I cannot back Portland on the road here despite the Nets issues. The Celtics have been blowing games like this all year. You can fire, but I am passing.


Vuc to score 25+ and Bulls to win +270 (Barstool)
Vuc’s player prop is set to 25.5 points tonight.
The Bulls are a half-point dog.  If you parlay these two, it pays +196. This is a very solid boost and if you think the Bulls win, fire it up. Even without Giannis, I think the Bucks can win anyway. The Bulls have been worse since the trade deadline and LaVine being out. Pass for me.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
2+ runs scored in first inning NYY/DET +300 (FD)
2+ runs to be scored in the first inning should pay +240. Yes, this is a boost, but why would you go against Cole here? Are the Tigers really going to come out scoring right away? Cole has given up seven runs in five starts this year. Pass for me.



NYM/BOS/LAD to all win +410 (DK)
NYM are -166 on the road tonight.
Boston is -148 in Texas tonight.
LAD without a confirmed starting pitcher are -132 tonight.
A parlay of these three should pay +355. This is a boost, but without the Dodgers knowledge, I am hesitant. The Dodger bats have been quiet and they are not performing to the level everyone expected. You can fire on this if you want, but I am passing.


Cole to record 10+ K’s and NYY to win +110 (DK)
NYY are -370 today.
Cole’s K prop for tonight is 9.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay these two together, it should pay +121. I assumed at first that this was going to be solid. I think as the NYY money line has gotten slightly larger during the day, this boost has become much worse. Obviously, since it pays less than it should I am passing.


Rizzo or JD to hit a HR +140 (Fox)
Rizzo is +410 to hit a HR. There is not a line listed for player props for the Red Sox at the moment. In these cases, I am always siding with taking the players separately. Normally, these either or HR props need to be well above +200 to be worth it based upon their numbers. Pass for me.


NYY/PHI/CHC to all win +550 (Fox)
The Phillies and Cubs are small dogs tonight, while the NYY are massive favorites. This parlay should pay +535, so it is not exactly a great boost. Pass for me.


Buxton to hit a HR +540 (Barstool)
No player props are currently posted for this game at the moment. In that case, pass.


Vlad to hit a HR +475 (Barstool)
Vlad to hit a HR should pay +410. If you like it, then go ahead. I am passing on this boost and most HR boosts in general. This game does have a total of 10 runs though.

NYY/CLEV to win +145 (Barstool)
This should pay +114. Solid Boost, where you have the best pitchers in both games. I am in.

NBA
PHO -4
I am riding the Suns, especially when the Jazz have people out.

Bucks -0.5
Even without Giannis, they are better and should win here.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 52-49 51.48%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-34 +879
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-80 +2620
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 60-53 53.09%
NBA Model 399-399 50%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-35 -1451
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 6-20 -315

It appears Trey Lance is going to go third now as he has moved to -160 to be that selection!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DAL -6.5
BRK -5.5
GSW -4
MIL -12.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
DEN -3
OKC +9.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry and Russell to combine for 10+ made threes +170 (FD)
Curry’s made 3’s prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Russell’s made 3’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This might be a few too many threes involving Russell, but of course, Curry can get there on his own. I am passing here. Russell scares me and Curry has to do all the heavy lifting.


Curry to record over 4.5 made 3’s and GSW to win +160 (DK)
Curry’s made 3’s prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +100 as the Warriors are favored in this game. I will take the Warriors coming off that awful blowout loss and this number is under his prop. I am in.



Nuggets and Rockies to both win +290 (DK)
The Rockies are small dogs to the Diamondbacks tonight. The Nuggets are small favorites against the Raptors. This parlay should pay +270, so it is a very tonight boost. I do not see the upside in taking the Rockies who are not good. Pass for me.

MAVS/NETS/GSW to all win +160 (Fox)
Luka is now doubtful, so pass on this guy.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Seager to record 2+ hits and LAD to win +300 (FD)
Seager is +155 to record 2+ Hits. The LAD are -190.
This parlay should pay +234. Seager has 2+ hit in eight of 25 games played this season. This is actually not that bad. The Brewers opener has not started a game this year and this might be a bullpen game. I am taking a shot here. I am in.


Cubs/LAD/BOS to all win +590 (DK)
This should pay +536 and is such a small boost, since it includes two games with tight lines. Pass for me.



Brewers to win +190 (DK)
Brewers are +160 and Trevor Bauer is pitching for the Dodgers. Pass for me.

NBA
GSW -4
They got embarrassed last game.

Bucks -12.5
The Rockets are in tank mode.

MLB
LAD -1.5 runs -113

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 52-47 52.52%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-34 +879
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-79 +2720
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 60-52 53.57%
NBA Model 396-396 50%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-33 -1238
Baseball Games 4-7 -484
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 6-19 -215

It is NFL Draft Day! In theory, I should be sitting on my couch, or hanging with friends and watching the night’s drama unfold. Yet, that will not be happening. My daughter has a softball game that is almost an hour away and by the time, we get home and the kids get to sleep, I hope I see the Steelers pick live.  

I kind of want to fire up the movie Draft Day to get ready. “I want all my picks back and David Putney!”

While we cannot legally bet on the NFL, or any draft in the state of Pennsylvania, I know some of you are in states where you can make these wagers. In an effort to assist and look at the betting options, I figured we could go through the Draft Kings Sports Book NFL Draft Pool and sprinkle some bets based upon the best information we have at the time.

Until the draft starts, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Who will the Steelers pick?
An offensive player selected by the Steelers is -250 in the first round. Many people have either Najee Harris, or an offensive lineman. Nevertheless, what if that is wrong? What if it is Zaven Collins? The Steelers have always drafted the best player available and not necessarily for need. Peter Schrager actually has the Steelers trading up for Harris in the final mock draft. THAT IS INSANE. If they trade up for a running back in the year 2021, I have plenty of questions. Multiple mock drafts have the Jets taking a RB right before the Steelers. I hope that happens. We have also heard Buffalo and TB may take a RB at the end of round one as well. Maybe, the threat of the Steelers taking a RB is enough that the Steelers can move back. Collins has been linked to the Cardinals, so he may not even be there. I think if Collins falls, the Steelers actually draft a LB. My hope is best available offensive lineman. This could be any of the tackles that will be left, or Alabama Center Landon Dickerson. I am happy if it is anyone but a RB. If it is a RB, I will be opening an adult beverage immediately.

DK Draft Pool Picks
1. Who will be the 2^nd pick?
Just lock in Zach Wilson and move on. It certainly seems we know the first three picks.

2. Who will be the 3^rd pick?
Look, I do not get the Mac Jones love. Kyle Shanahan loves him and allegedly, Trey Lance has crept into their thoughts. This is the head coaches hand pick QB and people always come back to where they started with this stuff. Mac Jones.

3. Who will be the 4^th pick?
Kyle Pitts. Yes, Atlanta may work a trade and a QB could easily go here. I believe that Arthur Smith loves tight ends, or in this case a massive offensive weapon that can be extremely versatile.

4. Who will be the 5^th pick?
Ja’Marr Chase. If it were me, I would pick an offensive lineman to protect my star QB. Yet, everything we read and hear says that the value on the line in the 15-60 range is massive. If that is the case and only a few special WR’s are in this draft, then I get making this pick.

5. Who will be the first WR Drafted?
Chase. More weapons for the Bengals.

6. Who will be the first RB drafted?
Please. Please. Please. I am begging you Pittsburgh Steelers, do not do it. Have I made it clear how I feel? I am hopeful; another team feels that drafting a RB in round one is vital to their improvement. I believe the Steelers are smart enough to not draft a RB in round one. Am I misguided? Perhaps. Have you ever heard anyone say, “we would have won if we had a better running back?” Conversely, you have heard someone say, “We would have won if we had an offensive line.” I am going Najee Harris here, but I hope it is to Miami, New York, or Buffalo.

7. Who will be the first defensive player drafted?
Parsons is the most talented, but has the most red flags. Jaycee Horn has been rising up the draft boards of plenty of teams, but is it enough to land here? I am going safe and selecting Patrick Surtain II. Of course, if you want to cash in these pools you need to be unique. After all, I am the winner of the one and only Real Housewives of New York Pool DK Sportsbook ran a year ago.

8. Which player will be selected first?
This question features QB’s 3-5. I believe the Mac Jones love is true in San Fran. I am staying with it here. Mac Jones.

9. How many QB’s will be drafted in the 1^st round?
Under 5.5. Under 5.5 is like -500 at the moment. Every year, people try to push another QB into the end of the first round. I am not buying it.

10. Total Number of 1^st round picks traded after 8:00 PM?
This only counts on trades made after the draft starts. I think that since we have already had a few trades, I am leaning toward under 6.5 trades here.

What Draft Odds Currently Say
Depending upon your location and books, there are going to be stale numbers. If you hear about a trade, or see it whispered on Twitter, I would rush to your book to make a wager. As always, shop around for the best price. Mac Jones is up to -400 to go third overall. In some spots, he is only -200. Shop around as always.
Pitts is only -150 to go fourth overall. Seems like that may indicate a trade.
Chase is now favored to be the fourth pick, but it is only -140.
Trey Lance appears to be firmly ahead of Justin Fields. I would but over on Fields draft position, which is all over the place on different sites.
On one site, the Steelers are -350 to draft offense with their first pick, on another they are -230.

What site are you using? What odds do you have? Let me know what you are seeing on Twitter!