Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Draft Kings also has a bet get bonus. Every day you bet $25+ on NBA you get a $5 free bet. I know for me, I love getting these tiny free bets and throwing them on something that is high variance like golf. I am sure you know we have made a few PGA wagers for this week.

Draft Kings is really bringing it this week. They are also offering a daily 25% profit boost for the PGA Championship, with a max bet of $50. Considering the other major sites are offering nothing, this is fantastic. I used this on Morikawa today at +1500. I know the wind is getting worse, but I liked him before hand and I still do.

I am going away on Saturday for a night so; most likely, I will not have a post then. I can answer questions on Twitter and will post my bets.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
Friday
GSW -3.5

Saturday
MIA +5
DAL +5
BRK -7.5
DEN -1 (Highest Rated in Model)

Sunday
NYK -1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
LAL +3
WAS +7.5
TBD

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry to score 40+ points +140 (FD)
Curry to score 40+ and the Warriors to win +200 (Barstool)
Curry to make 5+ 3’s +100 (Fox)
Curry to make 7+ 3’s and Warriors to win +230 (DK)
I am just going to look at all these curry boosts at once.
Curry’s point prop is set to 38.5.
Curry’s made 3’s prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Curry is +110 to score 40+ points.
Curry is -550 to make 5+ 3’s. Fire away on the Fox Bet Boost. I am betting it. My max bet is $10. Lame.
Curry to score 40+ and the Warriors to win should pay +159.
Curry to make 7+ 3’s and the Warriors to win should pay +170.
To clarify, all of these are boosts and pay nicely. Curry’s expected baseline is 38 points and 6 made threes. For him to hit all of these he needs to make one more three, which of course would assist in him getting to 40+. I will also add the likelihood the Warriors lose with Curry scoring 40+ is extremely slim.
Curry against Memphis this year, one game, 46 points and nine made 3’s. This game was Sunday. Curry has made 7+ threes in five of his last eight games. My only real concern here is that the total for this game is only 221.5 points. Curry will shoot 17+ threes this game provided it is competitive and it should be. All of these are fair. All of these can be attainable. The downside is you can lose them all if something goes wrong. In a weird way, this is a path to bet more than the max on each boost. I am in the camp of no way the Warriors lose this game. I am in. For all of them.

KD and Kyrie to score 25+ points +305 (DK)
KD’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +275. While this is a slight boost, I want to see how the Nets shake out with all three people playing. There is also a chance that this is not competitive because the Celtics have been bad frankly most of the year. Pass for me.

Dame to score 30+ and Portland to win +270 (DK)
Backing Portland in Denver seems scary, but the price of this series is bizarre in itself. This combo should pay +227. You can fire, but I hate it. This series may go seven games, but I am not backing Portland in game one against the Nuggets. Pass for me.

Sixers to win the East +600 (Barstool)
This is a max bet of $25 and I am in. I think the Sixers make the finals and can win the title.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY and ATL to both win +230 (FD)
This should pay +184. The CWS are very good despite their manager. Atlanta lost to the Pirates last night and should bounce back tonight. If I am correct, the CWS own lefty pitchers. I think they have won something like 16 games in a row against them. Pass for me.

MIL/ATL/OAK +450 (Fox)
I mean at least they are all favorites even if one is very tiny. This should pay +428. As usual, if you liked this before fire away, but I am passing.

NYY/TEX/DET to all win +875 (Barstool)
I mean, never bet on the Tigers. I mentioned the NYY already. Pass.

NBA
GSW/MIL/BRK/PHI ML parlay for tonight and this weekend +268
Oh I love this. The Bucks are secretly better than last year. Philly is well rested and Brooklyn will beat the sad Celtics. Need to start it off tonight with the Warriors.

MLB
ATL -205
ATL -1.5 runs +105

Let’s Get Weird
GSW and Atlanta Braves ML Parlay +118
The Braves are not losing two in a row to the Pirates.  

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 64-56 53.33%
NBA Playoff Record 2-1 66.66%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 56-96 +2575
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 70-59 54.26%
NBA Model 477-458 51.01%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-37 -306
Baseball Games 5-9 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Draft Kings also has a bet get bonus. Every day you bet $25+ on NBA you get a $5 free bet. I know for me, I love getting these tiny free bets and throwing them on something that is high variance like golf. I am sure you know we have made a few PGA wagers for this week.

Draft Kings is really bringing it this week. They are also offering a daily 25% profit boost for the PGA Championship, with a max bet of $50. Considering the other major sites are offering nothing, this is fantastic.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
Thursday
WAS -3

Friday
GSW -3.5

Saturday
MIA +5
DAL +5
BRK -7.5
DEN -1 (Highest Rated in Model)

Sunday
NYK -1.5
LAL +3

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 On Fan Duel and you already know, I am passing.


240+ Points IND/WAS +150 (FD)
These two have played some track meet type games recently. When I say they were fast, I mean they were 295 and 265 fast. This game has a total of 237.5 and of course, how can you bet the under here with what they have done recently? I am in on this.

KD and Kyrie to score 25+ points +305 (DK)
KD’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +275. While this is a slight boost, I want to see how the Nets shake out with all three people playing. There is also a chance that this is not competitive because the Celtics have been bad frankly most of the year. Pass for me.

Sabonis and Russ to score over 55 combined points +200 (DK)
Russ’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the over is juiced.
Sabonis’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
Both players are expected to fall short of this combined.
Sabonis scored 32 and 30 points in their last two games.
Russ scored 14 and 33 points in their last two games.
Obviously, there is a wide range of outcomes here, but Russ may not score that much with Beal in theory healthier. I am passing here. This is asking the over to hit for both players and then some. Pass.

Sabonis and Russ to both record a triple-double +215 (Barstool)
Russ is an insane -480 to record a triple-double.
Sabonis is +125 to record a triple-double.
This should pay +171 or so if you can parlay it together.
Both guys did this in the last two meetings and I would expect more of the same. Sabonis will be asked to do even more without Caris LeVert. I am in.


Sixers to win the East +600 (Barstool)
This is a max bet of $25 and I am in. I think the Sixers make the finals and can win the title.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
ATL/TOR to both win +200 (FD)
Why are the same few teams involved in boosts today? Seems fishy right?
This should pay +160, but the Red Sox are on fire. While the Blue Jays are favored, I am not interested in going against Boston tonight. Pass for me.

PIT/PHI to both win +435 (DK)
Not only would you be betting on the Pirates, but in a parlay no less. This should pay +403, but this is an easy pass for me.


PHI/ATL/TOR to all win +400 (Fox)
This should pay +380, so it is a smaller boost. I am all for betting against the Pirates, but not interested in attacking the Red Sox. Pass.




Pirates to win +190 (Barstool)
Imagine wagering any dollars on this Pirates team. Pass.

NBA
WAS -3.5

MLB
ATL -1.5 runs +100

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 63-56 52.94%
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-95 +2525
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 70-59 54.26%
NBA Model 476-458 50.96%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-36 -206
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

We hit three golf winners in a row, and then rebounded with Spieth in late March. Zero winners since then. Betting golf is hard. Just last week KH Lee was 200/1 in some spots before he won. Remember, unless you are betting each-ways, second place pays the same as 150^th.  I am always going to be aggressive here and take my shots. Nevertheless, with a major on tap this week, we may fire a little more than normal.

I will break down my wager by location, so you can get the best number possible. I am taking some shots here in each range, as you will see.

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

PGA
Will Z 55/1 (DK) I am going to catch him on his first big win. We have been close.
Matt Wallace 110/1 (FD)
Bryson 19/1 (FD) Like I can stay away?!
Berger 33/1 (Fox) He has been close and playing well.
Morikawa 30/1 (Fox)

PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Rory/JT/Spieth to all make the cut +160 (FD)
JT -600 to make the cut.
Rory -450 to make the cut.
Spieth -370 to make the cut.
This should pay -125 or so and is a massive boost. I am in. All three of these should contend to win and making the cut seems simple. I am in.

Cam Smith top Australian Player +290 (DK)
Smith is the favorite and this should pay +250. If you like him, go head and fire away. I am passing.


Rory to win +1250 (DK)
Yes, this is a boost as he is around +1100. If you like him go ahead. I am not betting the favorite in this field. Pass.


Bryson/DJ/Rahm/Speith to all make the cut+150 (DK)
This should pay +130. This is a much smaller boost and DJ may or may not be recovering from an injury. While the cut line is the largest of all majors, I am passing out of injury concern.

PGA Odds Boost Record
4-9 -115


Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
5/13
Will Z 26/1 FD

5/6
Bryson 16/1
Glover 90/1 DK4/29Corey Conners 19/1 FD
Jason Kokrak 35/1 DK

4/22
Suh/Ghim 50/1

4/15
Matthew Fitzpatrick 23/1 (FD)
Russell Henley 50/1 (DK)
Patton Kizzire 160/1 (FD)

4/8
Bryson 11/1 (DK)
Brooks 28/1 (DK)
Rory 19/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris 90/1 (FD)
Conners 95/1
Casey 40/1
Rahm Live 19/1
Xander line 19/1

3/31
Jordan Spieth +1560 (DK)
Brendan Grace 55/1 (DK)
Brice Garnett 190/1 (FD)

3/24
Rahm 14/1 Fox
Bryson 14/1 DK

3/18
Brandon Wu 70/1 DK
Doug Ghim 65/1 FD
Cameron Tringale 45/1 FD
Brendan Steele 45/1 DK

3/11
Xander 24/1 FD
Zalatoris 85/1 FD
Zalatoris top 20 +300 DK (Him finishing 21^st hurt)
Norlander 240/1 FD
Norlander top 20 +700 FD
JT 20/1
Bryson Live +1500
Bryson Live +900

3/4/21
Bryson 13/1 (FD)
Zalatoris 45/1 (DK)
Kokrak 40/1 (FOX)
Norlander 140/1 (FD)


2/25
Will Zalatoris 70/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris Top 10 +550 (DK)
Collin Morikawa 45/1 (DK)
Bryson 20/1


2/18
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360


2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

Tonight should be fun. The Lakers should handle the Warriors and advance, but they have not played together in a meaningful game in months. My guess is the Lakers are too strong and the Warriors struggle, unless Curry goes wild, which is in play.

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MEM -4
GSW +6 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
DDR to lead the game in scoring +175 (FD)
Based on points props, DDR is expected to lead the game in scoring. Is it weird to bet a dog to be the highest scorer? DDR lead the game in scoring in one of three games against Memphis this year. I am passing because I do not have a feel for this game at all. You could tell me anything happens here. Pass.

Curry and LeBron to combine for 70+ +240 (FD)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
Per usual I hate these combo props. I would rather play one versus the other. This one is asking them to go over by eight points, which as you know is a lot. Pass for me.

Curry and LeBron to combine for 64+ points +100 (Fox)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
At least this is closer to where it should be, but the payout is much less. I mean you could just go for it and hope Curry goes bonkers, but I am scared of the Lakers. Pass for me.

Simmons Bird Boost Curry -5.5 points+Rebounds+assists vs. LeBron +100 (FD)
Curry’s combo is set to 48.5.
LeBron’s combo is set to 42.5.
In this case, you get an edge by one and it pays even money? Sure, why not. We know Curry is going to do a lot tonight. MY only worry is the Warriors start to get beat, and it turns into a run away. I am in here.

GSW/LAL 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +145 (DK)
What is this? Doing this on FD was not enough so DK had to swoop in. I realize these hit. However, I cannot. Just look at the issue Fan Duel had last night where people were arguing with when a ball went through the hoop. Why even deal with that? Pass.

SAS/MEM 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +260 (DK)
At least DK is changing this up depending upon the game. You guys can go and play these, I will keep passing. I doubt DK introduced them because they expect to lose money on them.

Ja to score 25+ points +220 (DK)
Ja’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the under is juiced.
Ja is +188 to score 25+ points tonight.
Ja is not exactly a big time scorer, even in a spot like this. This is asking him to go over his prop by several points. I am passing. It is a slight boost and Ja’s scoring has been inconsistent this year. Pass.

MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
This should pay +120. You can fire on this solid boost. You get the two favorites and they are expected to win. I am passing. I have no feel for these games, especially the Lakers. Pass.

MEM/GSW to both win +370 (Fox)
This should pay +364, so it is barely a boost. I am passing here as well. For me to feel like I have to play it, I need more from a boost.

SAS/GSW to both win +685 (Barstool)
This should pay +651. It is a smaller boost considering you are asking both dogs to win. I am passing. Like I said no feel for these games. I know what the model is saying, but with the Lakers who knows.

Curry to score 40+ points +200 (DK)
Curry is +178 to score 40+ on FD. If you think, he is going to go wild and win this game, go for it. I am passing. The Warriors will need a heroic Curry effort and this could go sideways. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PHI/ATL/WAS +375 (Fox)
This should pay +348. You do have three favorites in this combo, so if you like it go ahead. I am passing. I want the boost to pay a little more. Pass for me.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 63-56 52.94%
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-94 +2625
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 475-458 50.91%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-36 -206
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Caris LeVert is now out for the Pacers due to health and safety protocols. I honestly, cannot fathom why he would not already be vaccinated. He might cost his team a playoff spot. I thought the Pacers would handle the Hornets, now it is in jeopardy.

When the LeVert news broke, I know one of the sites had both dogs to win odds boost. I guessed it was Draft Kings and was wrong. By the time, I got to Fox Bet, where it was, the boost had been pulled. I tried to rush, but failed. Always be aware when news breaks like this to act quickly and decisively.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND -1.5
WAS +2
MEM -4
GSW +5 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Beal and Tatum to combine for 65+ points +150 (FD)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
This is a few points over each players prop, even combined. I hate the combined ones, honestly. Maybe if this was 63+ then I would be interested. In this case I am passing. A parlay of them to score 65+ would obviously pay more, but Beal’s health is in question. He might be healthy he might not. He has torched the Celtics this year for 40+ points.

Beal to record 45+ points/rebounds/assists +210 (DK)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal’s rebound prop is set to 4.5 and the over is juiced.
Beal’s assist prop is set to 3.5 and the over is very heavily juiced.
Beal’s combo of all three is set to 40.5 and the under is juiced. Yes, Beal is capable of scoring 45 real life points on his own, but you are taking a bigger risk here. Beal needs to go over his combo by several points, not to mention the heal concerns. I am fine risking one boost on his health, but after that it becomes more risky. The boost I selected is the best boost and asking Beal to do the least. Pass for me.

LaMelo to score 20+ points and Hornets to win +560 (DK)
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
Ball to score 20+ pays +194. This parlay should pay +376. While this is a boost, the Hornets closed the season by losing five in a row and have been awful since the Gordon Hayward injury. I am passing.


WAS/IND to both win +295 (DK)
This parlay should pay +291. I know these odds have shifted due to LeVert being out. While his absence will matter, TJ has played very well when given minutes. This is more a bet against the Hornets, than on the Pacers. I have to pass here since this is such a small boost, but I do like this combo to win. I am out here.

MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
You will have to come back tomorrow for this one!



LaMelo and Beal to combine for 50+ points +100 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
I think Beal gets his 30+, but LaMelo and the Hornets have struggled down the stretch. I am passing here as the Hornets just have not been great.

Beal and Tatum to each score 30+ points +200 (Barstool)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
Both players are expected to score at or around 30+ points. This parlay should pay +136. Provided Beal is healthy and that is a risk, he has scored at will against the Celtics this year. We know Tatum has a bigger scoring workload without Jaylen Brown. I am using the boost here to justify the risk of Beal’s heal. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
BAL/TOR/STL to all win +700 (DK)
Two small favorites and one small dog in this combo. It should pay +615. Yes, it is a boost, but pass for me. I swear they pick names out of a hat here.


BAL/WAS/NYY to all win +650 (Fox)
Two small favorites and one small dog again. Do you sense the trend? They are just begging you to take a dog in a parlay. I know dogs have been solid in baseball, but yeah no way am I doing this. This should pay +607. Pass.


SF/TB/CWS/OAK/SEA/SDP to all win +4650 (Barstool)
What in the world is this? This should pay +3188, so yeah it is a massive boost. However, why? I mean why are you betting this. Are you bored? Do you want to waste $5 for entertainment and hope it hits? Pass.

Celtics and CLE to both win +285 (Barstool)
I mean, I think the Celts lose. Pass.

NBA
WAS +2
Beal has owned Boston and the Celtics are dying for the season to end. Losing two games in three days is a much faster exit than a 7-game series.

IND -1.5
Hornets lost their last five games. The Pacers closed 5-5 down the stretch but I like them tonight. TJ plays just fine and they win.

MLB
NYY/SDP ML parlay +140

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 62-55 52.99%
NBA Playoff Record 0-0 0%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 474-457 50.91%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 18-36 -346
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 4-8 +121
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Be aware of who needs to win and if someone else wins or loses earlier in the day if that motivation changes. No top play from the model as news keeps changing and earlier results can alter what may need to happen/

To summarize Just read this.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NYK -11.5
Suns -4
WAS -6.5
GSW -3
BRK -12.5
ATL -8.5
IND -6
ORL +7.5
MIA -5
MIN +6.5
LAC -8
LAL -8
MIL -2
UTA -9.5
POR -9.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Knicks to win and over 215+ Points +200 (FD)
This would be asking the total to go over by 5+ points. This parlay should pay +166. There is no way the Celtics bench is putting up points. Pass.

MAVS/CLIPPERS/Blazers to all win +120 (Fox)
Not all of these teams are trying to win. Pass.
Sixers/HEAT/Bucks to all win +275 (Fox)
Not all of these teams are trying to win. Pass.

Curry and Dame to each score 30+ +150 (Fox)
Dame’s prop is -29.5.
Dame is -110 to score 30+.
Curry’s prop is 36.5.
This parlay should pay +126. If the Blazers weren’t a threat to win in a blowout, I would like this, but pass for me.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYM and BOS to both win +275 (FD)
This should pay +204. Both are favored and in good spots. I am in here. This is a solid boost.

NYM/BOS/HOU to all win +400 (Fox)
This is a tiny boost as it should pay +379. If this were a larger boost, I would be more inclined. Pass.

NBA
NYK -11.5
The Garden will be rocking with the four-seed on the line.


GSW -3
Memphis is going to win on the road here? No way.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 61-54 53.04%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 464-452 50.65%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 18-35 -246
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 4-8 +121
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

Everyone gets a free $5.14 bet on Draft Kings today. The books clearly do not want to offer odds boost when people are resting and motivation is in flux. There are so few offered today.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wizards, Sixers (Need 1 win), Jazz, and DAL.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Cavs, Pistons, Magic, OKC, HOU, MEM (game against GSW will determine 8-seed), SAC, TOR, NOP, GSW (Game against MEM will determine 8-seed) Denver/LAC both appear to be taking tonight off in some ways.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS -8 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +8.5
UTA -14.5
PHI -14
HOU +10
MEM -6.5
TOR +14 (Even with adjustments some of these teams grade out well because the spread has changed greatly.)
NOP +2.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic or Porter first basket +275 (FD)
I do not bet these ever.

Bet $25 on NBA future get a $5 free bet for ever round they win (DK)
The Sixers are the ones to easily win two rounds and get $10 back. Pick the team you like the best and use this.

Sixers/Grizz/Warriors to all win +200 (Fox)
Before saying what this should pay, the Warriors are and Grizzlies are playing for nothing. When they play Sunday, it will determine the 8-seed in the Western Conference. Proceed at your own risk. This should pay +154. I am passing.

Sixers/Clippers/Warriors to all win +165 (Barstool)
I already said it about the Warriors and the Clippers and Nuggets are almost officially locked into the ¾ seed. Be very careful in these spots. This should pay +119. I am passing.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kluber 5+ K’s and NYY win +135 (DK)
Kluber’s K prop is set to 5.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay around +145. This is obviously not a boost worth investing in if the combo should pay more than this does. Easy Pass.

NYY/DET/TB to all win +475 (Fox)
The Tigers are a dog today and this parlay should pay +418. I mean, I guess you can play this with the NYY and Rays being larger favorites, but I am never betting on the Tigers.

TB/WAS/LAD to all win +300 (Barstool)
This features three great pitchers, who are all large favorites. This parlay should pay +242. I am in here. I get the best pitchers in each game and a boost. Fire this one up.

NBA
WAS -8
Cavs will not mess up and win another game. Wiz need one more to clinch.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 60-54 52.63%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-59 53.54%
NBA Model 459-449 50.49%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

Several teams are technically alive for some seeding potential, but really. The Kings are not technically eliminated, but they will be after tonight. Tonight should, or could eliminate several more teams and make the final weekends motivations very clear. While the Sixers do not have the no.1 seed locked up for sure, they need one win in their last three games and they finish with Orlando twice. Therefore, the Sixers can clearly rest Embiid tonight and not really worry about it, as they will win at least one of those final two games.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Clippers, Hornets, Bucks, Pacers, Hawks, Heat, Spurs, Knicks, Nuggets, Kings, Grizzlies, Bulls, Blazers, and Suns.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Magic, Sixers, Wolves, and Raptors.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +7.5
MIL -9
ORL +12.5
NYK -4.5
MIA -2.5
MEM -8
TOR +10
DEN -4.5
PHO -4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel has two different 3×2 boosts because they hate me.

ATL/MEM/MIL to all win -106 (DK)
This should pay -124. This is a boost despite it not paying plus money. Oddly, all three need to win and are playing teams that may not have as much motivation. The Kings are not dead, but are all but dead. The Magic are playing for ping-pong balls. The Pacers could try to win, but Caris Levert is now questionable as well. I am going to roll with this provided no news breaks and makes it bad. This is a small boost, but all three are sizable favorites. I am in.


Dame to make 3+ 3’s and Blazers to win +285 (DK)
Dame’s made 3’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. This parlay should pay +214. This seems like a good spot on the surface, but this is a road back-to-back for the Blazers. The Suns do still have a chance at the one seed out west. I kind of like the Suns tonight, so this is a pass for me.



Sixers/NYK/Grizz to all win +300 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +321. This is a trap, as the Sixers do not need this game at all. Could they win it? Sure, but it means nothing to them. Pass.



LAC/MIL/DEN to all win +190 (Barstool)
This should pay +169. The Nuggets may sit MPJ tonight, as he is listed questionable. I am scared of Denver tonight as they are all but locked into the four seed. I am passing here.


Dame and Booker to each score 25+ points +140 (Barstool)
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Booker’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
This combo should pay +116. This is a boost and both players are expected to get over this number. I am in.


NYY and NYK to both win +170 (Barstool)
This should pay +164. This is not much of a boost obviously. The NYY are small road favorites and I am not a fan of risking for this little of a boost unless I like it. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Boston and Houston to both win +240 (FD)
This should pay +182. The Astros are large favorites and the Red Sox are small favorites. Houston is a safe play and Boston has been on fire, despite the three-game skid they are on. This was close, but I am passing.  

Kelenic to record a hit and Mariners to win +280 (DK)
This guy is supposed to be this big rookie call-up. This parlay should pay +159. While this is a massive boost, you are asking a kid to get a hit in his MLB debut and the Mariners to win a game with a tight spread. Pass for me.


SF/A’s to both win +235 (DK)
This should pay +217. Ehh, again this is right on the border as the A’s are in a coin-flip game with the Red Sox. I am out.

HOU/NYY/BOS to all win +425 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +395. This is a tiny boost compared to the payout in my mind. Normally, with the boosts as the payout rises, the size of the boost does as well. In this case, it is small, comparatively. I am passing.

NBA
MIA -2.5
The Heat need this game badly to be in the 4/5 range.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 59-54 52.21%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 54-92 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-58 53.96%
NBA Model 457-443 50.77%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

There are several items to be aware of before the games start tonight. The Pelicans are dropping out of playoff contention because of injuries and rest. The Spurs all but clinch a play-in birth now. The Kings are lurking, but they have their own issues. This is why the Mavs are such big favorites tonight. Boston is going to be the 7-seed and thus can rest people to prepare for the playoffs without Jaylen Brown. With a win and a Blazers loss, the Lakers can move into a tie to avoid the play-in. The Blazers have the tiebreaker though.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wiz, Hawks, Spurs, Nets, Mavs, Blazers, Jazz, and Lakers.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Celts, Cavs, Pels, and Rockets.

As strange as it is, when did Barstool end up with the best boosts? That seems to be happening more often.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
BRK -5.5
CLE +6
DAL -9
UTA -1
LAL -11.5 (Every Laker is now questionable, but they need this game.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This is 40 Boost Was/Atl +165 (FD)
This paid almost twice as much last week. I think they know what they have in this game between these two. When they played earlier this week, 249 points were scored, including the Wizards dropping 45 points in the fourth. These are the perfect two teams for this boost. I am in.

3+ FG’s made in first 3 minutes Uta/Por +380 (FD)
I am out on time boosts like this. Again, show me the data on how many threes each team takes in the first three minutes. Pass.

Dame over 9.5 1^st Quarter points and Blazers to win +370 (DK)
Why? Why are they doing the first quarter boost? Pass on all timed boosts like this.

Russ/Dame/Trae to score 25+ +175 (Fox)
Russ’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
All three players are expected to score above 25+ points tonight.
This seems like a great boost right. Nope. This should pay +185. This went from an easy play to an easy pass. I am out.


Wiz/Nets/Mavs to all win +500 (Fox)
This should pay +459. I do like the Wizards and think the other two win. I wish this were a larger boost however. Pass for me.


Russ and Trae to combine for 100+ Points+Rebounds+Assists +100 (Barstool)
Russ’s combo is set to 54.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Trae’s combo is set to 42.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Obviously, using our brilliant powers of addition, we can see combined they are expected to be at 97 total. Yet, with both lines juiced, this becomes more interesting.
When they played the other night Russ finished with a combo of 62. Trae finished with a combo of 51. As you can tell that is 113. This number looks attainable at based on history and where their props lie. I suppose the worry here is that the Hawks shoot lights out and the Wizards fall behind. Russ will not let that happen. I am in.


225+ points in all games Was/Atl + SA/BRK + Por/UTA +180 (Barstool)
The Total in all these games are 233 or more. If you used some alternate totals and parlayed them, it should pay +122. In this case, we are getting a significant break on all three numbers. The boost pays out a lot more than it should. This is an easy one to jump on. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Cole 10+ K’s and NYY to win +200 (FD)
The NYY are almost -200 favorites tonight. Cole’s strike out prop is set to 9.5 and the over is heavily juiced. This parlay should pay +162. I like boosts that ask a player to do something they have been doing often and their team to win, when they are expected to. I am in here!

Cole to record 12+ K’s +215 (DK)
This is right around the number it should be for this many strikeouts. While I do like the other boost quite a bit, this is asking him to go over his prop by two extra strikeouts. Cole has been at 12+ K’s in two of his seven starts this year. In his one matchup with the Rays Cole had exactly 10 strikeouts. Pass for me.  


NYY/STL/MIN to all win +805 (DK)
Would you parlay two dogs and one favorite? I would not but that is the DK parlay boost way. This boost should pay +770. This is an easy pass for me.

NYY/PHI/ATL +400 (Fox)
All three are favored, which is a nice change for these parlays. However, this boost should pay +380. That is an easy pass for me. If I am on a boost, it must be a larger percentage that is boosted and not anything this tiny, unless I was betting it before seeing the boost.



NBA
BRK -5.5
WAS +6.5

MLB
Cole over 9.5 K’s -125 (DK)

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 57-54 51.35%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-90 +2825
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 67-58 53.6%
NBA Model 453-441 50.67%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

I have an idea. Since I cannot stop betting Bryson every week, I might as well throw him in a crazy parlay. That way I can wager less and when I lose, it does not hurt as much. At least, that is what I am telling myself.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DET +7.5 (This game has massive tanking complications. The Wolves lose their pick if it is not in the top 3.)
DEN -6.5
MIA -1
LAC -12
BRK -6
DAL -2
PHI -6.5
MIL -14 (Highest Rated in Model)
GSW +5.5
OKC +11

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% Profit Boost on NBA Game of Choice (DK)

Simmons over 19.5 points/assists and Sixers to win +205 (DK)
Simmons points + assists prop is set to 18.5 and the over is juiced. This parlay should pay around +170. First, you have to have Simmons go over his prop by one more item. Second, the Sixers should win here. I wish this was boosted a little more. I think this is fair if you want to fire, but I am passing. Simmons has been right around this number at all times though.

Randle to score 30+ and the Knicks to win +800 (DK)
LeBron is supposed to be back for the Lakers tonight.
Randle’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
Randle is +215 to score 30+ tonight.
This is a solid boost as it should pay +535, but I am not taking Randle and the Knicks here with LeBron back. A Lakers loss would be devastating to their chances to avoid the play-in. Pass for me.


Heat/Nets/Sixers to all win +320 (Fox)
This parlay should play +326. This is an easy pass in that case. Go bet this combo somewhere else if you like it. Pass.


KD/Jokic/Leonard to all score 25+ points +500 (Fox)
KD’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Leonard’s point prop is set to 22.5.
If you parlay them all to score 25+ points, it should pay +408. This seems solid on the surface. Yet, when you look a little deeper, the Clippers are massive favorites and Leonard is also the one guy in this combo with a prop that is under 25-points. This screams Clippers blowout and Leonard does not get there. I am going to pass.



KD/Vuc to each score 25+ points +210 (Barstool)
KD’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Vuc’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 25+ points, it should pay +175.
This is a high-paced game with a nice total and I have no worries that KD will get there. In that case, I am getting Vuc at +210 to go over his prop by 1.5-points. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ohtani to record 5+ K’s and record a hit +135 (DK)
Ohtani is -240 to record a hit.
I cannot find any props on Ohtani to record K’s at this time, which seems odd. I have to pass in that case.


Cubs/Astros/Dodgers all to win +580 (DK)
They always try and sneak a dog in here. Let me mention the Dodgers have actually been bad thus far. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Cubs are a sizable dog as well. I am passing. Yes, this should pay +489, but I am way out on this one.


Sixers/Phillies to both win +205 (DK)
Phillies are a small dog tonight against the Nationals. This parlay should end up paying +196. I am going to pass this this is such a small boost.

Tigers/Mets/Yankees to all win +550 (Fox)
Both New York teams are favored, but the Tigers as expected are dogs. This parlay should pay +492. I am skipping this one because the Tigers are involved and this feels like a pure gamble. I am interested if multiple favorites are involved. Pass for me.

Indians/Angels to both win +285 (Barstool)
This parlay should pay +264. This is such a tiny boost and the LAA are dogs despite Ohtani starting. I am passing. Like most of these, if you liked it before you can fire, but do not go for it just because it is an odds boost.


LAA to win and LAD -1.5 runs to win +385 (Barstool)
This is dangerous, the Dodgers have been bad and the Angels are dogs. This parlay should pay +354. Again, this is such a tiny boost; it is an easy pass for me. I am out.

NBA
Bucks -14
I know it is a back-to-back, but coming off a loss, I am in.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Bryson to win the Byron Nelson/LAC/PHI/BRK/MIL/SAC money line parlay +2738

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 57-53 51.81%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-89 +2925
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 67-57 54.03%
NBA Model 448-435 50.73%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070