Sometimes an odds boost looks too good to be true. Sometimes a certain team keeps being placed in odds boosts. Why? Are they a public team that may garner attention? Are they an island game that everyone is going to watch? If so, what side will the public overwhelming be on in that game?

We have this exact scenario in the NFL today. The public is on Green Bay and Buffalo. The odds boosts are all over Buffalo. Seriously, most of the major sites have the Bills in some odds boost. This is where we need to be smart when looking at the big picture. The books have no issue taking on a ton of Buffalo money, in odds boosts, straight bets, teasers and parlays. It really makes you wonder why, but you should be able to figure that out.

Make sure you listen to my podcast with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com, it is also posted on You Tube.  Please like and subscribe here. We break down every game against the spread and give you our picks at the end.  

My NBA season long bets and preview will be coming early next week. I am also starting to look into NCAA betting and of course will track and record every bet I give out for full transparency.

Week 15 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
Joel Embiid over 7.5 point in the first Sixers game +100.
This has a max bet of $25, but is free money. His actual prop should be somewhere in the mid to high twenties.

Why did Draft Kings throw the Bills in every odds boost? Hmmmm.

Fan Duel
Pat’s Picks
GB -.5/Tenn -3.5/Ind +.5 +170
This looks like the best boost of the weekend on FD. Bet your max $50.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
Buff -4.5/Cle -4.5/Min -2.5 +520
The books keep throwing Buffalo in these odds boosts. Hmmmm.

Buff/SEA/KC ML Parlay +270
Wow, the Bills show up again…..Hmmmmmmmm.

Minus Three’s Boost
Eagles +6.5 +110
If you listened to the pod, you know I am on the Eagles. I will go ahead and fire the $50 max on this one.


Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.


Fox Bet
Buff/GB Money line Parlay +100
Why do you think the Bills keep showing up in these parlays? Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On (Line I bet is listed first, followed by current line)
Denver +7 (Now +6)
The Bills are coming off a massive win and now go on the road where the Broncos have not quit on the season. I think Bills win an ugly one, but this is a great let down spot. Denver can and will run the ball on Buffalo, something the Steelers could not take advantage of. Buffalo is the Admiral Akbar play of the week.

CAR +8.5 (Now +7.5
Teddy Bridgewater has been excellent as a dog this season and his entire career. Outside of the two Tampa Bay games, the Panthers have not been beaten by more than eight points, in any other game. Packers win, but do not cover the spread here.

Minn -3
Vikings win last week if they had a kicker. This line looks dramatically different if that is the case. Bears played their best game of the season last week. Inconsistent teams remain just that, inconsistent.

These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None

Premium Plays
None

Regular Plays
LAC +3.5
CAR +8.5
BUF -6.5
IND -7
DET +10.5
NYJ +17
TB -6
MIA -2.5
WAS +5.4
CHI +3
JAX +13.5
NYG +4
PHI +6
NO +3
SF -3
PIT -13


2020 Season Record
Overall 113-89 55.94%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 21-14 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 23-19 54.76%

Make sure you listen to my podcast with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com, it is also posted on You Tube.  Please like and subscribe here. We break down every game against the spread and give you our picks at the end.

Due to the profit boost at DK, I think you should only bet on their site this week, unless a particular odds boost is worth investing in.

Week 14 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
20% on every single NFL game

After I made fun of DK a few weeks ago, this is very solid. Frankly, you should only bet games here using this promo this week unless there is an egregious line difference.  

Packers/Saints/Seahawks to Win +120 (From -134)
This looks pretty good to me as well. Seahawks will not lose two in a row. The Packers are now up to almost 10-point favorites. The Saints, well I could see that being an issue because I cannot quit the Eagles for some reason.

Fan Duel
Pat’s Picks
NYG +10.5/KC -.5/Jets +20.5/GB -.5/NO -.5
So I admit this looks tasty at +400, but I will not be max betting this. The Jets on the road scare me, no matter how bad Seattle has been. I also want to root for the Dolphins and think they make things interesting. I am sure I will be on this, but not as much as I can.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
This includes two totals and Minnesota +7.5. I was on the Vikings, but have cooled dramatically since recording the pod. Pass for me.

Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.


Fox Bet
Derrick Henry and James Robinson combined over 200+rushing yards.
This goes from -125 to +100 and feels like Henry could explode here. Robinson has been very steady.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
CIN +3.5
Dallas should not be giving more than three to anyone on the road.

LVR +3
This is only if Josh Jacobs plays. Perfect public perception game, where if this game was played two weeks ago the line would have been LVR -3.

PIT +1.5
Coming off two bad games; I am all over my team.

BAL -1
I bet this at -1 the moment it opened. I need to see Baker do it in a big game before I believe it. This would qualify.

These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None

Premium Plays
CIN +3.5
PIT +2.5
BAL -1

Regular Plays
NE +5.5
GB -7.5
TEN -7.5
ARZ -1.5
CHI +1
DEN +3
MIN +6.5
MIA +7
IND -3
NYJ +13.5
LAC +2.5
NO -7
WAS +3

2020 Season Record
Overall 104-82 55.91%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 20-12 62.50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 22-17 56.41%

What happened? The sites used to all have solid odds boosts and were competing for your wagering dollars. Now, it is week 13 and man, there are not many great options. Of course, all the sites do have some offerings, but there is not that one wager I feel like I need to be on. As was the case last week, be careful on super public wagers. I do not always heed my own advice, but public wagers to win too. There is one game I bet very early in the week and it was the Colts -3. Houston has lost all of their weapons. The Colts defense is good and should have no issues slowing down a defense throwing to several seldom-used pass catchers.

Make sure you listen to my podcast with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com, it is also posted on You Tube.  Make sure to like and subscribe here. We break down every game against the spread and give you our picks at the end.

Week 13 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
20%Parlay boost on a 4-team parlay.
I wish they would allow me to do this on a money line parlay.

Besides this, nothing is worthy of even being mentioned.

Fan Duel
Pat’s Picks Mia -5.5, GB -2.5 +125.
This looks pretty good, even though I like the Eagles.

Extra Points for Extra Pay LVR -7.5, LAR -1.5, CLE +6. +520
I cannot get behind all of these. I will be fading these but the number is nice.

The other NFL odds boosts all feature at least one game that I am not able to get behind.

Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.


Fox Bet
They only have odds boosts listed for one game. This feels extremely odd considering it is Friday.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
IND -3
I bet the Colts early this week and still like them at -3.  

BAL -7.5
I expect Lamar to be cleared and play. If that is the case, what a fantastic get right spot for the Ravens.  

CHI -3
Well, this is a bet on the Bears defense. Provided D’Andre Swift and Kenny Golladay are out the Lions offense has been dreadful. In Mitch, we trust.

SF +2.5
The Niners are getting healthy at the right time and the Bills offense is not the same without John Brown.

These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None

Premium Plays
NO -3
IND -3.5

Regular Plays
JAX +10
CLE +5.5
DET +3
LVR -8.5
CIN +11.5
ARZ +3
NYG +10
GB -8.5
NE PK
DEN +14
WFT +7.5
SF +2.5
BAL -9.5

2020 Season Record
Overall 93-78 54.39%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 18-12 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 20-17 54.05%

Yes, this is not the normally weekly article, but this is not a normal week. The computer has a regular play on Pittsburgh, at the Westgate Contest line of -3.5. Obviously, that is not the line today. I am on the Steelers at -10 as well. I realize it has climbed to 10.5, but I just do not see how the Ravens can score today. If you like the Ravens, maybe focus on their team total that is close to 15 or so points. I will be on my Steelers.

Week 12 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
Chase Claypool First TD +1170
This is boosted from +850. It is most likely not going to be a rushing TD, as the Steelers can barely run the ball. Claypool has as good of chance as anyone. I’m on this.


Fan Duel
Steelers to win by 14+ points +140
If the line keeps climbing this looks more appealing. I do think this is a 31-3 type game.

Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was. Having said that. I think you can take some Ravens unders, Steelers Money Line or against the Spread and the under in the game and have fun with this.



Fox Bet
Ben 2 or more TD’s and Steeler’s win +100
This is an obvious easy bet.

I did bet all three Steelers WR to score a TD at +1700, but that is down to +1200 now. I like to use my free bets on things like this because well, they are free and cost me no money at all.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

2020 Season Record
Overall 92-78 54.12%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 18-12 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 20-17 54.05%

Week 12 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
DK has a black Friday deal that gives you a refundable bet up to a certain percentage. Everyone has a different percent. You must opt in, and then you find out what your deal is.

Fan Duel
FD has almost zero odds boosts this weekend. Even the ones they have are not very good at all. I would avoid.

The only one I kind of like is Bills, Chiefs, Raiders to all win at +300. (Max bet $50)

Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.


Fox Bet
Mahomes and Brady 2 or more TD’s +100
I know Mahomes will get there and fell like this will be a competitive game.

Tyreek Hill, Antonio Brown, Mike Evans combined receiving yards Over 250 +300
Brady loves to throw to AB and this is nice play to me at the current price.

Vikings, Cardinals, Raiders all to win +380
This is a little scary, but I like the price and boost here.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
LVR -3
The Falcons offense without Julio has been awful. I expect him to sit.

CLE -7
The Browns feast on bad teams.

I have already bet Pittsburgh -3.5 and it has not been voided at all. In college football, I am avoiding betting until game time due to COVID concerns and hidden injuries. IN the NFL, I am betting a lot of lines as soon as they open.

These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
Zero

Premium Plays
WAS +2.5
ARZ -2.5
MIA -6
NO -6

Regular Plays
DET +3
PIT -3.5
LVR -3
CIN +6
JAX +6.5
CAR +3.5
IND -3
BUF -5.5
SF +7
TB +3.5
CHI +9.5
SEA -4.5

2020 Season Record
Overall 83-72 54.39%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 15-11 57.69%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 17-16 51.51%

The week before thanksgiving is always busy, especially when searching for a PS5. The search continues. Yes, I could pay two times the price, but, I mean I shop around for the best price on an NFL game, so why not here?

Week 11 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
KC, Pit, Bal Money Line Parlay +155
They let me bet $50 on this.

Fan Duel
Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.



Pat’s Picks
Cin +8.5, Pitt -3.5, KC -1.5.
I bet the Max here.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
The Texans are in this so pass for me.


Fox Bet
Ben 3 or More Td passes and Steelers win. +200.
I am in on this.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
Mia -3.5
I bet them at -2.5 earlier in the week and am still in.

KC -8
This is a blowout eruption spot.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays


Premium Plays
MiA -3.5

Regular Plays
ARZ +3
CLE -3
NO +4.5
DET +2
HOU +2
PIT -10.5
GB +2.5
WAS -1.5
TEN +6.5
DAL +7.5
KC -8
NYJ +8.5
LAR +4

2020 Season Record
Overall 74-67 52.48%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 15-10 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 17-15 53.125%

Some weeks you just do not have a good handle on the NFL slate. Last weekend, maybe I was distracted by the election. Maybe, I just did not like the games. No matter the issues, you have to fight through it. You do not have to bet games at all really, you do not. However, in picks leagues you do have to make choices. I did horribly last week in those picks leagues. My largest best of the weekend was a money line parlay of Pittsburgh, KC, NE, HOU, and Tennessee. It paid over +200 and was a massive sweat. Nevertheless, we got there. Yes, I won some other bets, but my, I had so many fewer wagers than a normal NFL weekend. It is perfectly fine to slow down and not bet the same every weekend. I just did not really feel comfortable about anything. I had bet the Dolphins earlier in the week and by Sunday morning, I had lost confidence in that wager. They won outright. This week I feel much better.

Obviously, things may not work out. This week, I love a few games. I absolutely love the Rams. I also love the Dolphins. I like the Niners. I know San Fran is missing like half their team, but I trust my computer model on that one. It certainly feels like the Cardinals are the correct side in their game with the Bills, but I am staying away from that. Lastly, when Ben Roethlisberger is cleared, the Steelers only being -7 is a joke. Steeler’s blowout incoming. To hear me break down games I depth head on over to Numberbet.com or click this link.

Week 10 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
GB, PHI, TB Money Line Parlay Boosted to +175. I think this is a bet on if the healthy Eagles will win.

Fan Duel
Single Game Parlay
Free $10 single game parlay. You need to bet this every week. It is free.



Pat’s Picks
LAC +8.5, BAL +.5, GB -6.5. +170
I like the Dolphins here, so not sure I want to be on the other side. Green Bay at under a TD seems almost too easy. I wonder if I find my way to getting on this by Sunday.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
Buff +3.5, SF +10.5, Bal -5.5
Man, I really like this, except for the Bills. I know that seems weird, but I think I just may take this for the $50 max. it pays +460


Fox Bet
Ben 2 or More Td passes and Steelers win. +100.
I bet this every week. If Ben plays, which is expected, this is solid.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
Rams -1.5
I said this on the pod with Jeff Collins, but I love the Rams here.

MIA -1.5
This line is dropping, but the Miami defense is good and keeps getting better.

SF +9.5
I am going to wait this out and see if I can get 10+. Perfect let down spot for the Saints.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
Zero

Premium Plays
DEN +5
SF +9
BAL -7

Regular Plays
IND +1
PIT -7
WAS +3.5
HOU +3.5
JAX +13.5
NYG +3.5
TB -5
ARZ -2
LAR -1.5
MIA -1.5
CHI +2.5

2020 Season Record
Overall 66-63 51.16%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 15-7 68.18%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 17-12 58.62%

The PGA restarted their season in mid-June and it was the first thing we could really bet on in a while. I have dabbled in golf betting, especially during the summer, but during our COVID break, I really got into it. Of course, I could not have done it without Numberball.com and Josh Culp’s articles. His weekly breakdowns and projections are exceptional. Since that June 14, restart there have been 14 tournaments in the 2019-2020 season and eight in the 2020-2021 season. That is 22 golf tournaments. In those 22 events, I have bet on the winner of six of them. Have I made bets every week? No, I took some weeks off when the field was a little softer and with football back. While six winners in over 20 events may not seem that great, it is in golf, especially when you consider the odds.

Winners I Bet
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

So what happens this week? Does Bryson just crush the field and course? I hope so. I did something with Bryson this week I would not advise people do very often. I could not stomach betting him at 8/1. I parlayed Bryson with a bunch of football money lines to boost his number to a spot I really like. Not all books will let you do this, but FD and DK will. Having Bryson at 43/1 seems good. I do like DJ as well and have no issue betting him. I just think this is Bryson’s spot to breakthrough and be the star of the golf world. He has an early tee time tomorrow so we shall see.

Bets I have made for the Masters
To Win
Bryson 43/1 (In Parlay)
Bryson 8/1
Jason Kokrak 125/1
Tyrell Hatton 33/1

I bet Bryson to beat Rory, which was a DK odds boost. Sadly, it is only a max of $25.
Bryson +100 over Rory

I bet this odds boost on FD. I maxed it.

I have just decided to go all in on Bryson this week. It feels almost too public and too many people are on him. I do not care. Sometimes you have to just make a decision and go with it. Normally, that decision is Tyler Lockett vs. DK Metcalf. You pick a side and go full throttle.  I have Bryson in every lineup on Fan Duel. I have Bryson in every lineup on Draft Kings. In every Masters pool I am in, I took him. I bet him, I bet his odds boosts, I bet some of his matchups. Liking Bryson this week is not revolutionary, but what he may to do Augusta National the next few days just might be.

In the time of COVID 19, it is vital to be ready to make a bet at all times. On Monday morning, I saw GB -3 at San Fran from Thursday. That did not smell right. I bet it. I checked out the Niners injuries and consulted with others and that line seemed wrong. I went to bet it again and took GB-3.5. News hit soon after and all the sudden it was Packers -7. I got the best of the line by looking at all the information and taking advantage. While both numbers came in, I always want to have the best of it.

On the other hand, when the Matthew Stafford news hit, I jumped on Vikings -4. Now, Stafford may end up playing and I may have a wager, I do not really like. The line has been pulled, but may open at Vikings -4.5 if you can find it. Was I wrong to try to beat the Stafford news? No. As soon as this information hits you have a few minutes at most to take advantage. I did and will continue to do so. Always be aware and prepared to fire on a number, even if you do not like the game, if the line is going to be altered. I am looking for the value above all else.

Week 9 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
20% Profit Boost on Two Leg Parlay
You can easily take Kansas City, New England, and Pittsburgh down to even and make a wager. I will be doing this.

Fan Duel
Single Game Parlay
Free $10 single game parlay. You need to bet this every week. It is free.


Pat’s Picks
TB -3.5, DAL +15.5, CHI +7.5 +550
I kind of like this, oddly because of the Cowboys. Steelers notorious for letdown after big win, especially after Ravens games.


Fox Bet
Ben 2 or More Td passes and Steelers win. +100
This is basically betting the over on ben Passing TD’s prop, but at better odds.

Seriously, where have all the goods odds boosts gone?

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
I want the over on all Antonio Brown passing props. Call it a hunch, but I want these when they are posted.

Mia +4
The Dolphins defense is very good and they have two shutdown corners. Unless Tua is awful, love the Dolphins here.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
Zero

Premium Plays
DET +4
MIA+5

Regular Plays
SF +6.5
SEA -3
DEN +3.5
CHI +5.5
IND +2.5
CAR +10.5
JAX +7
WAS -2.5
LAC PK
PIT -14
TB -4.5
NYJ +7

2020 Season Record
Overall 62-54 53.45%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 14-6 70%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-11 59.25%

What a weird wonky week. Four games have massive wind, which historically has shown an effect on scoring. I would caution you to be aware of this, especially with teams that throw the ball. I have an in depth breakdown of every game with Jeff Collins that you can find here. As always, opt in to every odds boost and examine them in detail. Make sure you click through and sign up for every promotion, before you make any wagers for the week.  

Week 7 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
They have a Trick-or-Treat bonus. You can get either the Jets money line at +2000, or a college game where both sides are +200. I got the college game and bet the -3.5 favorite at +200, because of the bonus only. Max bet $25.

Fan Duel
Single Game Parlay
Free $10 single game parlay. You need to bet this every week. It is free.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 +110
The Steelers are + money in this spot, I have to take. Max bet $50.

Pat’s Picks
Raiders +8.5, Packers +.5, Steelers +9.5 +230.
I already bet the $50 max here.


Fox Bet
Steelers to score a TD in Each Half +100
Ummmm, YES. Max $25


If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
TB -12
The Giants are awful and TB will score on accident.

Miami +3.5
Such a great spot for the Dolphins. Short week, cross-country, early start for the Rams. I love Miami.

Indy -2.5
This line dropping concerns me. However, Stafford and Detroit are not winning three in a row against a defense this good.

Pitt +3.5
The Steelers are flat out better.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
TB -10.5

Premium Plays
NONE

Regular Plays
CAR -2.5
IND -3
GB -6.5
BUF -3.5
TEN -6
CLE -3
NYJ +19.5
MIA +4
CHI +4
SF +3
DAL +7.5
DEN +3
PIT +3.5

2020 Season Record
Overall 57-45 55.88%
Platinum 2-4 33.33%
Premium 14-6 70%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-10 61.53%