Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MIN -7 (Pistons may be missing people, but no word at the moment)
PHO -4
TOR -4 (LaVine was just listed as questionable)
MIA -6.5 (Game time changed due to weather, Lowry and Butler are back!)
LAL +3.5 (This line indicates LeBron is still out)
GSW -14

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Refundable SGP (FD)
This is the weekly Thursday night TNT deal. Do this as always.

Booker to make 4+ 3’s +160 (DK)
Booker’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. This is basically Booker’s prop boosted from +138 to +160. Booker has really flirted with this number in almost every game recently. In this case, I am getting the over on his prop at a nice number. I am in.

Booker and LaVine to combine for 55+ points +100 (Fox)
Here comes Fox with the combined boosts.
LaVine’s prop is set to 24.5.
Booker’ prop is set to 29.5.
You could just parlay them to both go over for +281. I would rather parlay them, since you need them to both come close to their prop number anyway. Pass on this boost.

PHO/CHI/MIA to all win +475 (Fox)
Spot the dog. The dog is the Bulls tonight and this should pay +432. I mean, why are we doing this every night Fox Bet? Pass for me.

LaVine and Siakam to each score 25+ +425 (Barstool)
LaVine’s prop is set to 24.5.
Siakam’s prop is set to 22.5.
This should pay +352. This is a boost, but neither player is expected to really get over this number. I am passing. You could play this I suppose, but you need to realize there is a reason it pays what it does in this case. The Raptors are back and the points have been a little more spread out recently. I am out.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

TOR -4

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 28-31 47.45%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 30-33 47.61%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-37 41.26%
NBA Model 344-334 50.73%

It feels like we have been on the wrong end of some of these wild games recently. Chris Paul being fouled down eight with under five-seconds left. Maxey missing the SGP by a point. The Sixers comeback in OT. The Warriors down 17 in the fourth coming back to win and cover the original spread of -2. Insanity. These are the things you must get used to betting the NBA. Some days teams shoot 50% from three and they win, it does not matter who is hurt, or who they are playing if they shoot that well. Conversely, you can have a team shoot awful and falter against anyone. The three ball has become the great equalizer. Having said all that I would like to fall on the correct side of this weird variance.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND -3.5
CHA +5.5
MEM -4
CLE -4.5 (Premium)
OKC +12
LAL -3.5
DEN +2.5
BRK -4
PHI -10.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja Morant and RJ Barrett to both record 25+ points +450 (DK)
Ja’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Barrett’s point prop is set to 19.5.
This parlay should pay +420. Ehhh, this is asking RJ to go over by a lot. Pass for me. Maybe if the total in this game were in the 230’s I would be more inclined. Pass.


Jokic and Clarkson to combine for 50+ points +205 (DK)
DK always with the combined.
Jokic’s prop is set to 26.5.
Clarkson’s prop is not listed yet. Just parlay them to both go over instead if you want to play this. Pass for me.

IND/NYK/LAL +500 (Fox)
Spot the dog.
This should pay +528. Pass for me.


MEM/DAL/LAL to all win +235 (Barstool)
This should pay +175. I just cannot with the Lakers. Pass for me.


Mobley and Green to score 15+ each +240 (Barstool)
Mobley’s prop is set to 18.5 and the under is juiced.
Green’s prop is set to 13.5 and the under is juiced.
This is a tough one as the Cavs defense is very good. This should pay +206. Green has only score 15+ four times in 2022. I am passing, but it is close.

LaMelo and Tatum to each score 25+ +415 (Barstool)
Ball’s point prop is set to 20.5.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 27.5.
This parlay should pay +332. This is a decently sized boost, but I think it is asking a lot of LaMelo to go over by five points. Pass for me.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 28-31 47.45%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 30-33 47.61%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-36 41.93%
NBA Model 341-328 50.97%

I feel cheated. We had that SGP won, Memphis up four in overtime and Ja Morant with a wide open three. Brick. It happens. I also had a decent DFS sweat on DK, but Steph Curry had other ideas. I finished in the teens in most contests. Close, but not quite.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NOP +2.5
MIL -11
TOR -2.5
DEN +4
CHI -9
SAS +2
BRK +5.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie and Booker to combine for 60+ points +145 (DK)
DK with the combined again.
Booker’s prop is set to 30.5.
Kyrie’s prop is set to 26.5. You can parlay them to both go over for fewer points combined and it pays +236. Pass on this boost.


Siakim 35+ points+rebounds +260 (DK)
Siakim’s combo is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced. This is a pass for me. This game has a low total and he is expected to come way under. Pass.

MIL/MIA/DEN to all win +500 (Fox)
Spot the dog! There are two dogs here! This should pay +530. Hard pass.

Giannis to score 25+/Middleton to make 3+ 3’s/MIL to win +250 (Barstool)
Giannis’s prop is set to 30.5.
Middleton’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
The Bucks are massive favorites tonight. This should pay around +215. I mean, this is almost entirely betting the Middleton prop. I am passing. He could get there sure, but this may be a blowout with no Bradley Beal. I am out.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

SAS +2
This is a Golden State trap. No Klay, missing bench bodies, road back-to-back.


BRK +5.5
I Think Brooklyn stays close to the Suns tonight.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 28-29 49.12%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 30-31 49.18%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-36 41.93%
NBA Model 337-325 50.90%

There are plenty of things to be aware of for tonight’s slate. The Hawks went from a favorite to a dog and it appears Trae Young will sit. The line movement would indicate that is correct. Joel Embiid is out tonight and the Sixers are not dogs at home. The Kings are bad and Fox is also questionable. SGA is out for the time being for the Thunder, which means it is time to Giddey up and watch the show for the Oklahoma City Rookie.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE -7.5
MEM -3.5 (Premium)
IND -3
SAC +6.5
MIA +4
TOR -1.5 (Premium, assumes Trae is out)
GSW -11
POR -3.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mystery Profit Boost SGP PHI/MEM (DK)
I got a 25% boost, a friend got 50%. What will you get? Here is what I am playing for this game!

Brown and Tatum to combine for 55+ points +185 (DK)
DK always with the combined boosts. Lame as usual.  I was not interested in this before Jimmy Butler was ruled out. I hate combined boosts. Just parlay them for a much better price. Pass

CLE/MEM/GSW to all win +160 (FOX)
This should pay +154. Weak, it is barely a boost. Pass.

CLE/NYK/GSW to all win +140 (Barstool)
This should pay +123. Again, weak and barely a boost. Pass for me.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

TOR -1.5
MEM -3.5
I am taking advantage of star players being out.

Let’s Get Weird
Giddey to record a triple double +650 (DK)


Giddey triple-double/GSW ML/CLE ML/NYK ML +1520 (DK)
Who is ready to have some real fun? Darius Garland was just listed as questionable. If he is out, I would not bet this parlay.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 27-28 49.09%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 29-30 49.15%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-13 -031
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-6 -380
NBA Model Premium Plays 25-35 41.66%
NBA Model 334-320 51.07%

I am fading everything involving Chase today. I know he crushed the Chiefs last time. The Chiefs know it too. I am down for some Higgins though. I also like some Jimmy G props.

The dark times are ahead. We only have three NFL games left in the season. I know, we have the NBA from now until June, but still. I will of course do some golf stuff. You might also seem some random stuff about shows I have watched and enjoyed. Why and what NFT’s I have purchased. (Fame Lady Squad!) In addition, who knows what else I end up writing about. Will NFL All Day ever have a market place? Who knows? Will I buy a pack every week with no idea of the value and if I can sell them? Also, yes. Until the dark times we still have two games this weekend!         

KC -7/-7.5 vs. CIN
I listed both spreads because they are both out there right now. Depending upon which side you come down. When these two teams’ plays in week 17, the Chiefs did not play well yet had two different 14-point leads. Both times, big plays to Chase helped the Bengals get back in the game. Several Chiefs players were just returning from Covid and the game was in Cincinnati. I said it last week and I will say it again. Patrick Mahomes only playoff losses have come at the hands of Tom Brady. I get a superior team at home against a team that has barely advanced the last two weeks. The Raiders had a chance to tie the game late. Despite three turnovers, the Titans could have easily won and covered had they not failed on 3^rd and 4^th and short in that game. The Bengals cannot block up front. If the Chiefs jump out early, then the Bengals running game may have to disappear. That would allow the improved Chiefs pass rush to get after that weak Bengals offensive line. If you are doing a same game parlay (SGP), you should throw in the Chiefs to record at least one sack to boost it up. Since that week 17 game CEH is back and Jerrick McKinnon now exists. It appears the Chiefs will be healthy. Is there a doubt that Kansas City is going to score 30+? If you like the Bengals, you should take the over on their team total at 23.5. I know the Chiefs are getting 30+ Sunday, I think this is as far as the Bengals can go until their offensive line improves and their defense gets faster. I am on the Chiefs -7. I would grab this number while it still exists at some books.

SF +3.5 at LAR
I am 1-1 on each team this posts season. I was on the right side the first weekend and the wrong side last weekend. This is obviously, the third matchup for these two teams. This might seem stupid, but I think Jimmy G is healthy and going to play very well. The Niners defense is much better than I want to give them credit. They are actually healthy and their zone has given Matthew Stafford problems in the other games this season. I know this may be surprising, but Stafford has not thrown a pick this post-season. I believe that changes Sunday. My real concern is that it feels like everyone is on the Niners +3.5. I realize I am a victim of bubble syndrome where everyone in my little bubble in life and online likes the same side. That is scary. I suppose I will just never believe in Matthew Stafford, especially in a big game. We already know this crowd is going to be split. We know the Niners will figure out a way to run the ball. While I do love the Niners +3.5., I also have them on the money line. Both these coaches have been the Super Bowl recently, but I think we are getting a rematch of Niners and Chiefs. If the Rams are smart, they will come out throwing and be diverse with targets. The Packers had players open, but Aaron Rodgers refused to see his other options. I think Jimmy G shocks everyone, plays really well and the Niners offense is the story. Stafford will turn it over and the Niners will be put in a weird Trey Lance spot in the off season.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium



Regular Plays
CIN +7.5
SF +3.5

I will update the odds boosts this weekend, when they are posted!

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 SGP for the weekend. You get $10 in bonus money if you lose.

Kelce 1+ TD/Chase 1+ TD/ Hill 50+ Receiving yards/Burrow 250+ passing yards +600
These are all versions of a SGP. If you like them go ahead, but I am passing on this one. I think Chiefs make sure Chase does not beat them. Pass for me.

Mahomes to pass for 250+ and rush for 25+ and KC to win +220
Mahomes is going to pass for 250+ yards.  Mahomes rushing prop is set to 28.5. Mahomes always runs more in big games. This should pay +157. I am in. I think the Chiefs have a big day!

KUPP 1+ TD/Deebo 1+ TD/Stafford 250+ Passing Yards +500
I am out on this. TD’s are hard to predict. Pass for me.

Draft Kings
$25 SGP for each game (Opt in required)
If you lose on either you get a $25 free bet. Do this for each game!

Joe B to throw 2+ TD’s +100
Burrow’s TD prop is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced. This is basically taking the over on his prop at +100. Despite how I think the game goes, this is significant value. I am playing the boost.

Mahomes and Burrow to throw for 250+ Yards Ross Tucker Boost
This should pay -130. I canot stress this enough, you MUST FOLLOW the directions to get this boost. It is $25 max, but you have to do it. I am in.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

KC -.5/SF +9.5 +125
This is a wager I can get behind. This should pay -125, or so depending upon the book. I am in.

Fox Bet
SF and KC to win +260 (FOX)
This should pay +217. I am on these two teams. I am in! My max bet was very small though.

Mahomes and Stafford to each throw for 250+ +100
Again, this should pay -130. I am in.

Let’s Get Weird
Jimmy G over 226.5 passing Yards (FD)


Here are the SGP’s I have bet on DK
SF ML/Mitchell TD/Samuel TD/Jimmy G over 169.5/Stafford under 329.5/Stafford 1+ INT/Samuel over 34.5 rushing yards/Mitchell over 54.5 rushing yards/Aiyuk over 34.5 receiving yards
+4500

KC ML/Hill TD/Kelce TD/Burrow over 249.5/Mahomes over 274.5/Burrow 6+ rushing yards/Uzomah over 19.5 receiving yards/Mixon over 14.5 receiving yards/Kelce 64.5 receiving yards/Hill over 64.5 receiving yards/KC 1+ sack made
+1800

FD SGP
KC ML/Kelce TD/Hill TD/Mahomes 250+/Burrow 250+/Boyd 25+/Higgins 50+/Uzomah 25+/Mixon 25+ receiving yards/Hill 70+/Kelce 70+/Mahomes 25+ rushing
+6470

SF ML/Mitchell TD/Deebo TD/Jimmy G over 228.5/Aiyuk over 49.5/Mitchell 69.5/Sameul 40+ rushing yards
+4811

NFL Computer Model
Overall 136-145 48.39%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 28-29 49.12%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 33-38 46.47%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 31-26 54.38%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
NFL Props 2-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 17-47 -1515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +267

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 39-28 58.20%
Odds Boosts 20-47 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 4-3 +521

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
BOS -5.5
IND +10
SAC +10.5
MEM -5.5
TOR +4.5
BRK +8

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja Morant to score 12+ in each half +145 (DK)
We do not times boosts like this. Pass.

Harden and Curry to combine for 60+ points +265 (DK)
Always DK with the combined boosts.  Harden’s prop is set to 25.5. Curry’s prop is set to 25.5. You can parlay their overs for +242 and it is much less than 60 total points. Pass.

MIA/MEM/BRK to all win +800 (FOX)
I said this last night on the radio. Fox is notorious for putting a name that is a dog in these boosts. The Nets are 8-point dogs in GS tonight. I am passing before even checking the odds. I am out.

PHI/MEM/MIA to all win +215 (Barstool)
This should pay +172. I would be interested in this, but I am not into taking our teams favored on a back-to-back. I am passing, but you could fire here.

Embiid to score 30+ Maxey to score 15+ and the Sixers -4.5 +230 (Barstool)
This combo should pay +177. The Sixers and Embiid are going to smash here. The only way this fails is if the Sixers just blowout the Kings, which is in play. I like this though. I am in!

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 27-28 %
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 29-30 %
Hoops Parlay Record   5-13 -031
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-6 -380
NBA Model Highest Rated 25-35 %
NBA Model 327-316 %

The dark times are ahead. We only have three NFL games left in the season. I know, we have the NBA from now until June, but still. I will of course do some golf stuff. You might also seem some random stuff about shows I have watched and enjoyed. Why and what NFT’s I have purchased. (Fame Lady Squad!) In addition, who knows what else I end up writing about. Will NFL All Day ever have a market place? Who knows? Will I buy a pack every week with no idea of the value and if I can sell them? Also, yes. Until the dark times we still have two games this weekend!         

KC -7/-7.5 vs. CIN
I listed both spreads because they are both out there right now. Depending upon which side you come down. When these two teams’ plays in week 17, the Chiefs did not play well yet had two different 14-point leads. Both times, big plays to Chase helped the Bengals get back in the game. Several Chiefs players were just returning from Covid and the game was in Cincinnati. I said it last week and I will say it again. Patrick Mahomes only playoff losses have come at the hands of Tom Brady. I get a superior team at home against a team that has barely advanced the last two weeks. The Raiders had a chance to tie the game late. Despite three turnovers, the Titans could have easily won and covered had they not failed on 3^rd and 4^th and short in that game. The Bengals cannot block up front. If the Chiefs jump out early, then the Bengals running game may have to disappear. That would allow the improved Chiefs pass rush to get after that weak Bengals offensive line. If you are doing a same game parlay (SGP), you should throw in the Chiefs to record at least one sack to boost it up. Since that week 17 game CEH is back and Jerrick McKinnon now exists. It appears the Chiefs will be healthy. Is there a doubt that Kansas City is going to score 30+? If you like the Bengals, you should take the over on their team total at 23.5. I know the Chiefs are getting 30+ Sunday, I think this is as far as the Bengals can go until their offensive line improves and their defense gets faster. I am on the Chiefs -7. I would grab this number while it still exists at some books.

SF +3.5 at LAR
I am 1-1 on each team this posts season. I was on the right side the first weekend and the wrong side last weekend. This is obviously, the third matchup for these two teams. This might seem stupid, but I think Jimmy G is healthy and going to play very well. The Niners defense is much better than I want to give them credit. They are actually healthy and their zone has given Matthew Stafford problems in the other games this season. I know this may be surprising, but Stafford has not thrown a pick this post-season. I believe that changes Sunday. My real concern is that it feels like everyone is on the Niners +3.5. I realize I am a victim of bubble syndrome where everyone in my little bubble in life and online likes the same side. That is scary. I suppose I will just never believe in Matthew Stafford, especially in a big game. We already know this crowd is going to be split. We know the Niners will figure out a way to run the ball. While I do love the Niners +3.5., I also have them on the money line. Both these coaches have been the Super Bowl recently, but I think we are getting a rematch of Niners and Chiefs. If the Rams are smart, they will come out throwing and be diverse with targets. The Packers had players open, but Aaron Rodgers refused to see his other options. I think Jimmy G shocks everyone, plays really well and the Niners offense is the story. Stafford will turn it over and the Niners will be put in a weird Trey Lance spot in the off season.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium



Regular Plays
CIN +7.5
SF +3.5

I will update the odds boosts this weekend, when they are posted!

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 SGP for the weekend. You get $10 in bonus money if you lose.

Draft Kings
$25 SGP for each game (Opt in required)
If you lose on either you get a $25 free bet. Do this for each game!

Joe B to throw 2+ TD’s +100
Burrow’s TD prop is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced. This is basically taking the over on his prop at +100. Despite how I think the game goes, this is significant value. I am playing the boost.

Mahomes and Burrow to throw for 250+ Yards Ross Tucker Boost
This should pay -130. I canot stress this enough, you MUST FOLLOW the directions to get this boost. It is $25 max, but you have to do it. I am in.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

KC -.5/SF +9.5 +125
This is a wager I can get behind. This should pay -125, or so depending upon the book. I am in.

Fox Bet
SF and KC to win +260 (FOX)
This should pay +217. I am on these two teams. I am in! My max bet was very small though.

Mahomes and Stafford to each throw for 250+ +100
Again, this should pay -130. I am in.

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 136-145 48.39%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 28-29 49.12%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 33-38 46.47%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 31-26 54.38%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
NFL Props 2-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 17-47 -1515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +267

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 39-28 58.20%
Odds Boosts 20-47 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 4-3 +521

The weirdest spread of the night is the Suns -9. The Suns have nine players available for tonight at the moment. Yes, this is a road back-to-back for Minnesota, but this number is far too big.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DET +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
LAL +6.5
BOS +2
MIA -7
POR -3
UTA +4
IND -1
DEN -4
CHI +1
MIN +9 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +9

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jaylen Brown to make 4+ 3’s +200 (DK)
Brown’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Brown is +184 to make 4+ threes on Fan Duel. Ehhh, it is a small boost, if you like it you can. I am passing.


Giannis to combine for 50+ points/rebounds/assists +350 (DK)
Giannis’s combo is set to 42.5.
Giannis’s point prop is set to 26.5.
Giannis’s rebound prop is set to 10.5 and the under is juiced.
Giannis’s assists prop is set to 5.5 and the under is juiced.
You can parlay Giannis to go 30+/10+/4+ at +356. That pays more and requires less, but yes, this is not combined. Pass on this boost.

ATL/MEM/CHA to all win +320 (Fox)
Hawks are -2 against Boston.
Memphis is -4 against the Jazz.
Charlotte is -7.5 against the Lakers. (This means LeBron and, or, AD sit).
This parlay should pay +277. I am not that into the Hawks and Jazz might be missing people. Pass for me.

Jaylen Brown and Trae to each score 25+ points +245 (Barstool)
Brown’s prop is set to 24.5.
Trae’s prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
This should pay around +200. I just cannot back Brown in this spot. He has been wildly inconsistent. I think Trae should be fine, but this game has a lowish total. I am out. This game needs to stay competitive and they both have to shoot well. Pass for me.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

MIN +9

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 27-27 50%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 29-29 50%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-13 -031
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-46 +1676
Hoops Player Props 3-6 -380
NBA Model Highest Rated 25-33 43.10%
NBA Model 323-310 51.02%

The dark times are ahead. We only have three NFL games left in the season. I know, we have the NBA from now until June, but still. I will of course do some golf stuff. You might also seem some random stuff about shows I have watched and enjoyed. Why and what NFT’s I have purchased. (Fame Lady Squad!) In addition, who knows what else I end up writing about. Will NFL All Day ever have a market place? Who knows? Will I buy a pack every week with no idea of the value and if I can sell them? Also, yes. Until the dark times we still have two games this weekend!         

KC -7/-7.5 vs. CIN
I listed both spreads because they are both out there right now. Depending upon which side you come down. When these two teams’ plays in week 17, the Chiefs did not play well yet had two different 14-point leads. Both times, big plays to Chase helped the Bengals get back in the game. Several Chiefs players were just returning from Covid and the game was in Cincinnati. I said it last week and I will say it again. Patrick Mahomes only playoff losses have come at the hands of Tom Brady. I get a superior team at home against a team that has barely advanced the last two weeks. The Raiders had a chance to tie the game late. Despite three turnovers, the Titans could have easily won and covered had they not failed on 3^rd and 4^th and short in that game. The Bengals cannot block up front. If the Chiefs jump out early, then the Bengals running game may have to disappear. That would allow the improved Chiefs pass rush to get after that weak Bengals offensive line. If you are doing a same game parlay (SGP), you should throw in the Chiefs to record at least one sack to boost it up. Since that week 17 game CEH is back and Jerrick McKinnon now exists. It appears the Chiefs will be healthy. Is there a doubt that Kansas City is going to score 30+? If you like the Bengals, you should take the over on their team total at 23.5. I know the Chiefs are getting 30+ Sunday, I think this is as far as the Bengals can go until their offensive line improves and their defense gets faster. I am on the Chiefs -7. I would grab this number while it still exists at some books.

SF +3.5 at LAR
I am 1-1 on each team this posts season. I was on the right side the first weekend and the wrong side last weekend. This is obviously, the third matchup for these two teams. This might seem stupid, but I think Jimmy G is healthy and going to play very well. The Niners defense is much better than I want to give them credit. They are actually healthy and their zone has given Matthew Stafford problems in the other games this season. I know this may be surprising, but Stafford has not thrown a pick this post-season. I believe that changes Sunday. My real concern is that it feels like everyone is on the Niners +3.5. I realize I am a victim of bubble syndrome where everyone in my little bubble in life and online likes the same side. That is scary. I suppose I will just never believe in Matthew Stafford, especially in a big game. We already know this crowd is going to be split. We know the Niners will figure out a way to run the ball. While I do love the Niners +3.5., I also have them on the money line. Both these coaches have been the Super Bowl recently, but I think we are getting a rematch of Niners and Chiefs. If the Rams are smart, they will come out throwing and be diverse with targets. The Packers had players open, but Aaron Rodgers refused to see his other options. I think Jimmy G shocks everyone, plays really well and the Niners offense is the story. Stafford will turn it over and the Niners will be put in a weird Trey Lance spot in the off season.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium



Regular Plays
CIN +7.5
SF +3.5

I will update the odds boosts this weekend, when they are posted!

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
$10 SGP for the weekend. You get $10 in bonus money if you lose.

Draft Kings
$25 SGP for each game (Opt in required)
If you lose on either you get a $25 free bet. Do this for each game!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
SF and KC to win +260 (FOX)
This should pay +217. I am on these two teams. I am in! My max bet was very small though.

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 136-145 48.39%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 28-29 49.12%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 33-38 46.47%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 31-26 54.38%
Playoffs 5-5 50%
NFL Props 2-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 17-47 -1515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +267

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 39-28 58.20%
Odds Boosts 20-47 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 4-3 +521

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHI -4
MIN +6.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid to score 30 points and Maxey to score 15 points +150 (FD)
Embiid’s prop is set to 33.5.
Maxey’s prop is set to 17.5.
This parlay should pay -102. This is a fantastic boost. Both players are expected to exceed this number. I am in.

The DK boosts are awful. Pass.


Lakers and Warriors to win +275 (FOX)
The Lakers are dogs and Lebron may sit. Pass. This should pay +256.


Curry/Klay/Edwards to all make 3+ threes +250 (FOX)
Curry’s prop is set to 3.5 and the over is juiced.
Klay’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
Edwards prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced.
This should pay +245. This is such a small boost I am passing.

Embiid to have 30 and 10 and Sixers to win +230 (Barstool)
This should pay +162. I am in. I think LeBron may sit and this can be a smash spot. I am down!


KAT and Curry to score 25+ each +350 (Barstool)
This should pay +283. Mehhhh, this is on the border, both players prop is under this number, but barely. Curry is 24.5. KAT is 23.5. I am passing, but it is not crazy to play this.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 27-27 50%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 29-29 50%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-13 -031
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-44 +1876
Hoops Player Props 3-6 -380
NBA Model Highest Rated 25-33 43.10%
NBA Model 322-309 51.03%