Super Bowl #NFL Odds Boosts You Should Bet and Computer Model Plays

This is it. We have one football game left. Lame. I hate having just one game. I much prefer a random week during the season with 16 games. Either way, we are here. So, how do I organize this? Do I tell you my bets by book? Do I tell you them by how the game will go? There are a lot of ways to overwhelm bettors for this game. There are so many wagers and they are all not that easy to find. Some wagers are not even available on all books. I will do my best to list every wager I have and will make. I will update this article throughout the weekend.

First, how does this game go? I believe it will start very slowly. I think both teams will have some nerves and the defenses will play well early. After the first quarter, I think the Rams defensive line will begin to dominate the game. The Titans had turned the ball over multiple times, sacked Joe Burrow nine times, played awfully, yet had the ball with three minutes left in plus territory to go and win the game. They failed. The Chiefs ran all over the Bengals, held a massive lead, yet, they also failed. In both cases, the Bengals were run on and Joe Burrow was pressured. In both games, in the final minutes the home team had a chance to go and win the game. (Insert Breaking Bad “He can’t keep getting away with this!” GIF)

At some point this is going to catch up with the Bengals. Their lack of pass blocking can be masked when a team does not have a great pass rush like the Chiefs. The Titans defensive line is solid and they dominated against the Bengals. The Rams defensive line is even better. What will the Bengals do to protect Joe Burrow? Will they keep in an extra blocker? Will they double Aaron Donald? Does any of that matter if the Rams can pressure with only four pass rushers? I think the Rams will get significant pressure with only four, dropping seven into coverage.


Last year at this time, I dismissed the Chiefs offensive line problems in the Super Bowl. I wrongly assumed Andy Reid would come up with a plan to get the ball to his playmakers and the Bucs defense would not dominate the beat-up Chiefs offensive line. I was wrong. Saying a game will flip because of a defensive line is not sexy. The Bengals are the hot team with offensive weapons people are excited about. The Bengals appear to be a very public dog. The public is not thinking about the Bengals offensive line and the issues the Rams will cause. If we assume the Rams get pressure with four, Jalen Ramsey will take away whatever wide receiver is on his side of the field, which should allow the other six defenders to bottle up the other Bengals skill players.

In the end this will be an ugly low scoring game, where the Rams defense dominates. I Think the first quarter is ugly and could end up with a 0-0 score. I believe the Rams will slowly grind their way to a victory. The Rams have been there before; they know the circus around the Super Bowl. The Rams are playing in their home stadium; their routine has not changed much at all. They will be comfortable in their surroundings and the odd nature of the Super Bowl. Sunday night the Rams will win and cover. I have bet the Rams -4 and Under 48.5 points.

Rams 24 Bengals 10

Now, it is time to capitalize on how I think the game will go. I will leave the odds boosts in the section where they are. These are the wagers I am making that are not boosts. I believe the first quarter will feature a lack of scoring, unless the Bengals turn it over early.

Before I mention all of my wagers, do not bet any skill position player for MVP. You are better off building an SGP where that player does well. You can use alternate lines as well to get there but it will pay more than a straight MVP wager.

MY Wagers
Points scored in first ten Minutes NO +300 (DK)
No score first 7 minutes +105 (DK)
No score first 5 minutes -190 (DK)
1st Touchdown on or after 10:00 Elapsed Yes -110 (DK)
1st score on or after 6:00 Elapsed Yes -135
Either Team score a TD on their first drive No -140 (DK)
Will there be a scoreless Quarter Yes +330 (FD)
0-0 First Quarter +1000 (FD)
Game tied after first quarter YES +400 (FD)
Burrow under 63.5 Passing Yards 1st Quarter -135
Rams over 3.5 Sacks +105 (DK)
Total Game sacks over 5.5 +110 (DK)
Leonard Floyd to record a sack +130 (DK)
Bengals Under 3.5 points 1st Quarter -160 (DK)
Under 9.5 1st Quarter -120 (DK)
Lowest Scoring Quarter 1st +160 (DK)
Bengals 1st drive result Punt -145 (FD)
Rams -6.5 +120 (DK)
Rams -4.5
Under 48.5

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium



Regular Plays

LAR -4.5





I will update the odds boosts this weekend, when they are posted!

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

$20 free SGP (FD)

Draft Kings
Kupp Anytime td +100 (-190)

Rams to score first +200

Get a refund up to $20 if your first score bet loses, but player scores a TD in game.

$10 free SGP (DK)

Rams SGP Boost
Rams win/Stafford 290+ Yards and OBJ to score a TD +600
This should pay like +450. I incorrectly, had this at +500. At this price I am a lot more interested. Stafford only needs to go over by seven yards. The entire thing is predicated on OBJ scoring really. I am in now!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.


Fox Bet

Burrow and Stafford to throw 1+ pick +300

I do not like any of the other boosts on Fox Bet. I wish I could bet the No, side.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 138-145 48.76%
Playoffs 7-5 58.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 28-29 49.12%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 33-38 46.47%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 32-27 54.23%
Playoffs 6-6 50%
NFL Props 3-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 20-50 -1515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +267

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 40-29 57.97%
Odds Boosts 23-50 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 4-3 +521

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-11-22

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHI -12
CLE -6
CHA -7
DEN +6
SAS +8
CHI -3.5
UTA -13






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

NBA Title Odds Freeze PHI +1400 (DK)
I am in. It is max $25, I already have more on them, so why not?

Tatum and Jokic to combine for 90+ points/rebounds/assists +120 (DK)
Always combined on DK.
Jokic’s combo is set to 46.5.
Tatum’s combo is set to 40.5.
Like usual, just parlay each of their prop’s overs, instead of these combined boosts. Pass.

Jokic and Tatum to score 25+ each +215 (Barstool)
Jokic’s prop is set to 24.5.
Tatum’s prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay +166. I am in. Jokic will have to score a lot if this game remains close. The Nuggets could get run, but Jokic keeps them in games at all times. Fire away.

PHI/ATL/DEN to all win +300 (FOX)
Denver is a large dog. This should pay +313. Pass as a it is not a boost.

NBA
UTA -13
Big win incoming.


Let’s Get Weird


NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 32-33 49.23%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 34-35 49.27%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-16 +994
Hoops Odds Boosts 36-53 +1621
Hoops Player Props 3-8 -580
NBA Model Premium Plays 28-38 42.42%
NBA Model 378-352 51.78%

Super Bowl #NFL Odds Boosts You Should Bet and Computer Model Plays

This is it. We have one football game left. Lame. I hate having just one game. I much prefer a random week during the season with 16 games. Either way, we are here. So, how do I organize this? Do I tell you my bets by book? Do I tell you them by how the game will go? There are a lot of ways to overwhelm bettors for this game. There are so many wagers and they are all not that easy to find. Some wagers are not even available on all books. I will do my best to list every wager I have and will make. I will update this article throughout the weekend.

First, how does this game go? I believe it will start very slowly. I think both teams will have some nerves and the defenses will play well early. After the first quarter, I think the Rams defensive line will begin to dominate the game. The Titans had turned the ball over multiple times, sacked Joe Burrow nine times, played awfully, yet had the ball with three minutes left in plus territory to go and win the game. They failed. The Chiefs ran all over the Bengals, held a massive lead, yet, they also failed. In both cases, the Bengals were run on and Joe Burrow was pressured. In both games, in the final minutes the home team had a chance to go and win the game. (Insert Breaking Bad “He can’t keep getting away with this!” GIF)

At some point this is going to catch up with the Bengals. Their lack of pass blocking can be masked when a team does not have a great pass rush like the Chiefs. The Titans defensive line is solid and they dominated against the Bengals. The Rams defensive line is even better. What will the Bengals do to protect Joe Burrow? Will they keep in an extra blocker? Will they double Aaron Donald? Does any of that matter if the Rams can pressure with only four pass rushers? I think the Rams will get significant pressure with only four, dropping seven into coverage.


Last year at this time, I dismissed the Chiefs offensive line problems in the Super Bowl. I wrongly assumed Andy Reid would come up with a plan to get the ball to his playmakers and the Bucs defense would not dominate the beat-up Chiefs offensive line. I was wrong. Saying a game will flip because of a defensive line is not sexy. The Bengals are the hot team with offensive weapons people are excited about. The Bengals appear to be a very public dog. The public is not thinking about the Bengals offensive line and the issues the Rams will cause. If we assume the Rams get pressure with four, Jalen Ramsey will take away whatever wide receiver is on his side of the field, which should allow the other six defenders to bottle up the other Bengals skill players.

In the end this will be an ugly low scoring game, where the Rams defense dominates. I Think the first quarter is ugly and could end up with a 0-0 score. I believe the Rams will slowly grind their way to a victory. The Rams have been there before; they know the circus around the Super Bowl. The Rams are playing in their home stadium; their routine has not changed much at all. They will be comfortable in their surroundings and the odd nature of the Super Bowl. Sunday night the Rams will win and cover. I have bet the Rams -4 and Under 48.5 points.

Rams 24 Bengals 10

Now, it is time to capitalize on how I think the game will go. I will leave the odds boosts in the section where they are. These are the wagers I am making that are not boosts. I believe the first quarter will feature a lack of scoring, unless the Bengals turn it over early.

Before I mention all of my wagers, do not bet any skill position player for MVP. You are better off building an SGP where that player does well. You can use alternate lines as well to get there but it will pay more than a straight MVP wager.

MY Wagers
Points scored in first ten Minutes NO +300 (DK)
No score first 7 minutes +105 (DK)
No score first 5 minutes -190 (DK)
1st Touchdown on or after 10:00 Elapsed Yes -110 (DK)
1st score on or after 6:00 Elapsed Yes -135
Either Team score a TD on their first drive No -140 (DK)
Will there be a scoreless Quarter Yes +330 (FD)
0-0 First Quarter +1000 (FD)
Game tied after first quarter YES +400 (FD)
Burrow under 63.5 Passing Yards 1st Quarter -135
Rams over 3.5 Sacks +105 (DK)
Total Game sacks over 5.5 +110 (DK)
Leonard Floyd to record a sack +130 (DK)
Bengals Under 3.5 points 1st Quarter -160 (DK)
Under 9.5 1st Quarter -120 (DK)
Lowest Scoring Quarter 1st +160 (DK)
Bengals 1st drive result Punt -145 (FD)
Rams -6.5 +120 (DK)
Rams -4.5
Under 48.5

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium



Regular Plays

LAR -4.5





I will update the odds boosts this weekend, when they are posted!

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

$20 free SGP (FD)

Draft Kings
Kupp Anytime td +100 (-190)

Rams to score first +200

Get a refund up to $20 if your first score bet loses, but player scores a TD in game.

$10 free SGP (DK)

Rams SGP Boost
Rams win/Stafford 290+ Yards and OBJ to score a TD +600
This should pay like +450. I incorrectly, had this at +500. At this price I am a lot more interested. Stafford only needs to go over by seven yards. The entire thing is predicated on OBJ scoring really. I am in now!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.


Fox Bet

Burrow and Stafford to throw 1+ pick +300

I do not like any of the other boosts on Fox Bet. I wish I could bet the No, side.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 138-145 48.76%
Playoffs 7-5 58.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 28-29 49.12%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 33-38 46.47%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 32-27 54.23%
Playoffs 6-6 50%
NFL Props 3-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 20-50 -1515
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +267

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 40-29 57.97%
Odds Boosts 23-50 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 4-3 +521

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-10-22

The Trades have begun. Be aware of weird things happening and people “resting” who may be trades.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MEM -11.5
BRK -2.5
MIA -4.5
TOR -8.5 (Premium)
DAL -6.5
MIL +3.5
GSW -9 (Premium)






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Warriors to win by 15+ +200 (DK)
This pays +196 on FD. This is a tiny boost. However, the Knicks may trade everyone so if you wanna bet the Warriors on an alt line I like it and would do it before the trade dead line. In fact….see below.


Giannis and Booker to combine for 60+ points +130 (DK)
DK is back with the combined boosts trash again.
Giannis’s prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced.
Booker’s prop is set to 28.5.
You can parlay the overs on both of them for +235. Pass on this boost, but I like this game.

NOP/BRK/TOT to all win +700 (Fox)
We play spot the dog with the Fox Bet parlay boosts.
This should pay +615 and features not one, but two dogs. This is an easy pass for me.

Giannis and Booker to score 25+ points each +100 (Barstool)
This should pay -125. I like this. Both guys will play the minutes and have the shots in a competitive game. I am in.

NBA
GSW -19.5 (ALT Line) +350 FD
Knicks may be down a bunch of people. I like this.

Giannis over 29.5. -115

GSW -9


Let’s Get Weird
I want to give you options on both major sites.
Booker over 28.5 Points
CP3 15+ points
CP3 Over 11.5 assists
Giannis 35+ points
Giannis over 11.5 rebounds
Giannis over 5.5 assists
Crowder 6+ rebounds
Crowder over 1.5 made 3’s
+17951 FD SGP (Opt in and use your Free TNT SGP here. $10 nets $1795!)

Booker over 28.5 Points
CP3 15+ points
CP3 Over 11.5 assists
Giannis 35+ points
Giannis over 11.5 rebounds
Giannis over 5.5 assists
Crowder 6+ rebounds
Crowder over 1.5 made 3’s
+19000 DK SGP


NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 32-31 50.79%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 34-33 50.74%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-15 +1094
Hoops Odds Boosts 36-52 +1721
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 27-37 42.18%
NBA Model 373-350 51.59%

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-9-22

The Trades have begun. Be aware of weird things happening and people “resting” who may be trades.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE -6
CHI -2
TOR -10
MIN -9
POR +9.5
UTA -1.5






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Curry and Mitchell to combine for 50+ points -110 (DK)
Mitchell’s prop is set to 25.5.
Curry’s is set to 25.5.
I would rather parlay them to both score 25+ at +192. Pass on this boost.



DDR to record 30+ points/5+ rebounds/5+ assists +240 (DK)
This game has a massive total. DDR has been insane.
DDR’s points prop is set to 28.5.
DDR’s rebound prop is set to 5.5.
DDR’s assist prop is set to 6.5.
This is not a boost at all. You can build this in a SGP for +240. Pass.
CLE/CHA/TOR to all win +300 (Fox)
This should pay +251. The Hornets are dogs. I am passing. The Bulls are very good and the other two should be fine.



LaVine and LaMelo to score 25+ each +350 (Fox)
LaVine’s point prop is set to 24.5.
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 22.5.
This should pay +315. Ehhh, this game has a high total and all, but the Bulls have three players who will all score. LaMelo has been all over the place. I am passing here. I think the Hornets may struggle here.

LAL/MIN/GSW to all win +250 (Fox)
This should pay +225 on this parlay. I am passing, as I think the Warriors lose in Utah.

Curry and Mitchell to score 25+ Each +235 (Barstool)
Curry struggled the last time these two played.
Mitchell’s prop is set to 25.5.
Curry’s is set to 25.5.
This parlay should play +192. While this might seem like something I am on, I am slightly worried about the Warriors here. The Jazz have been doing well at home, but their defense has been bad without Rudy in the paint. I am in here. I think this game plays closer to their first matchup than their second. I am in. Without the best defenders on either team, I think both players get there.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

CHI -2
No Gordon for the Hornets and the bench is already thin. The Bulls and DDR are playing very well.

TOR -10
OKC is in rough shape and the Raptors have quietly been playing much better and winning.


Let’s Get Weird
CLE ML/CHI -2/TOR ML/LAL ML/MIN ML parlay +416 (DK)
Let’s keep the NBA parlay train going!

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 30-31 49.18%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 32-33 49.23%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-14 +1194
Hoops Odds Boosts 36-51 +1821
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 27-37 42.18%
NBA Model 368-349 51.32%

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-8-22

The Trades have begun. Be aware of weird things happening and people “resting” who may be trades.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHI -1
BRK +8.5
IND +12
HOU +9.5
MEM -8
DAL -11.5
NYK +9
MIL -3.5
POR +1
MIN -7






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Jokic to have 40+ points and assists +280 (DK)
Jokic’s combo is set to 34.5 and the under is juiced. You can parlay Jokic to go over both those props for +265 and you only need 34. I am passing. I would rather parlay the over on his props.


Giannis to record a 30-point double-double +165 (DK)
Giannis’s prop is set to 30.5.
His rebojnd prop is set to 10.5. This is a small boost, but I think Giannis is going to smash the Lakers tonight. I am in.




PHO/BOS/DEN +to all win +250 (Fox)
Hey, Fox Bet is back. This should pay +215. I mean the Suns on a road back-to-back at Philly I am going to pass. I do like the other two games. Pass for me.

Giannis and LeBron to each score 25+ +120 (Barstool)
This game has a massive total at 233.
Giannis’s prop is set to 30.5.
LeBron’s prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay -122. I am in. Large total, both guys will have a chance to get there.





NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.


Let’s Get Weird
7 Team ML Parlay
BOS/ATL/MEM/NOP/DAL/DEN/MIN +351 (DK)

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 30-31 49.18%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 32-33 49.23%
Hoops Parlay Record   7-14 +843
Hoops Odds Boosts 34-51 +1556
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 27-37 42.18%
NBA Model 364-343 %

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-7-22

Please start opting into everything for the Super Bowl. I know FD and DK have massive promos and give a ways, but you need to opt in. You should check it every day and opt into to everything.

What a dumb slate this is. I like the size, but the games are weird. The Warriors are massive favorites. The Bulls are on a back-to-back and LaVine and White are questionable. The line has gone up two points, so that tells me LaVine will probably sit. The Knicks are falling apart. The Heat have several people questionable and Tyler Herro is already not expected to play. I am sure more news will hit and I may jump on somethings.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
TOR -1.5
MIA -6
CHI +7.5
GSW -13
NYK +8






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

FVV/Curry/Klay to all make 3+ 3’s +240 (FD)
FVV’s prop is set to 3.5 and the over is juiced.
Curry’s prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced.
Klay’s prop is set to 2.5.This should pay +121. This could easily be a blowout spot for the Warriors. They Thunder have been hanging around, but this is a real team. Pass for me.


DK also has a bet get promo with SGP’s for NBA. They must all be a minimum of $15. You have one week and must bet one a day to maximize the promo.

CP3 and Booker and DDR to combine for 75+ points +110 (DK)
Please stop the combined boosts.
CP3’s prop is set to 15.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 28.5.
DDR’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Combined they are expected to score in the range of 71 points. Again, you can parlay them to all go over for +522. I would rather do that. Pass on this boost.



Kemba and Conley to combine for 25+ points +105 (DK) KEMBA is now out.
Like what is this boost? Kemba barely scores and Mitchell is back for the Jazz. Pass for me.


Fox Bet is also still down. It has been three days.



NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.


Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 30-31 49.18%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 32-33 49.23%
Hoops Parlay Record   7-14 +843
Hoops Odds Boosts 34-51 +1556
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 27-37 42.18%
NBA Model 361-341 51.42%

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-6-22

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE -5
DAL -2
BOS -9.5
HOU +6
MIL -3.5 (Premium)






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Luka and Trae to each score 30+ +370 (FD)
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Trae’s prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay +272. Again, there are expected to be in this range and this is a solid boost. This game has a small two-point spread and a decent total of 222.5. I am in. I expect this to be competitive and both stars to have ample opportunity to get there.



Giannis to record a double-double and Bucks to win +160 (FD)
This again is pretty solid as it is basically betting the Bucks to win and Giannis to get 10+ rebounds. His rebound prop is set to 10.5. I am in. This low spread means he will have to play all his minutes.

CLE/BOS/MIL to all win +220 (Barstool)
This should pay +178. The Bucks like feels suspiciously small, but I am in here. I think all three win and this is a boost.

Luke and Trae to each score 25+ +100 (Barstool)
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Trae’s prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay -121. I am in. 25+ is pretty low and this is a fair price.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

MIL -3.5
This feels too easy. I am concerned.


Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 29-31 48.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 31-33 48.43%
Hoops Parlay Record   7-14 +843
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-49 +1376
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-37 41.26%
NBA Model 357-342 %

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-5-22

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MEM -8
PHO -7.5
CHA +3
NYK +2.5
OKC +7
MIL -11






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Place a $20 SGP, get a $20 Free Bet DK. You should do this! I will post what I bet here on Twitter!


FD has a $10 SGP for the Lakers/Knicks game tonight. You get the $10 back if you lose. Do this!

Randle and Barrett to record 60+ combined points and rebounds +230 (DK)
Another combined boost on DK.
These two combined are expected to land around 53.5. Just parlay their overs if you like it. Pass for me.

CP3 and Booker to record 65+ points and assists +160 (DK)
More combined boosts. Come on DK.
Booker’s combo is set to 33.5.
Paul’s is set to 28.5. Per usual, just parlay their overs instead, it pays much more. Pass on this boost.

Butler/Booker/Barrett 20+ points +275 (Barstool)
Butler’s prop is set to 21.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 29.5.
Barrett’s prop is set to 19.5.
This should pay +200. I like this. Butler is in a pace up spot. Booker’s prop Is much higher and Barrett has been playing very well. I am in.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.


Let’s Get Weird
MEM/PHO/MIL ML Parlay -103 (DK)

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 29-31 48.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 31-33 48.43%
Hoops Parlay Record   6-14 +743
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-48 +1476
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-37 41.26%
NBA Model 354-339 51.08%

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 2-4-22

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +5
BOS -9.5
IND +2.5
TOR -2.5
SAS -5
UTA -3.5
NOP +5.5
PHI +2
OKC +8






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.




Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

Embiid and Luka to combine for 100+ Points/Rebounds/Assists +150 (DK)
Embiid’s combo is set to 48.5.
Luka’s combo is set to 47.5. Like usual with these combined boosts, just bet them to go over their props parlayed. It always pays more. Pass on this boost. But, I do have an idea.

Mobley and Allen to combine for 4+ blocks +320 (DK)
Both players prop is set to 1.5, but the under is juiced on both of them as well. I am passing. This is asking a lot as both need to go over and an SGP on draft kings with the two of them getting 2+ blocks pays +340. Pass for me.

LaMelo 20+ points and Mobley 8+ rebounds +150 (Barstool)
LaMelo’s prop is set to 22.5.
Mobley’s prop is set to 8.5.
This parlay should pay +125. This is a boost and it is not bad. If you want to fire, go ahead. I am passing. While the Hornets pace should speed up the Cavs, I am always worried about their defense. Yet, the injury situation is not entirely clear for the Cavs tonight. Pass for me.


Embiid and Luka to each score 30+ +285 (Barstool)
Embiid’s prop is set to 31.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +212. Both of these guys have been crushing it recently and that could continue tonight. Both are expected in this range and I think they get very close in a competitive game. I am in.



Maxey to score 15+/Embiid 10+ rebounds and Sixers win +350 (Barstool)
The Sixers are dogs tonight. Maxey’s prop is set to 16.5.Embiid’s prop is set to 11.5 and the under is juiced. This should pay +295. I am passing, but I do have another idea here. See below.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.


Let’s Get Weird
SGP on FD
Maxey 15+/Embiid 25+/Luka 25+/Brunson 10+/Embiid 10+ rebounds/Luka 8+ rebounds/Maxey 4+ assists/Luka 8+ assists +874

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 29-31 48.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 31-33 48.43%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-14 -131
Hoops Odds Boosts 32-47 +1576
Hoops Player Props 3-7 -480
NBA Model Premium Plays 26-37 41.26%
NBA Model 348-336 50.877%