Now things are very interesting. Booker is out for who knows how long. Luka may be back. Ben Simmons is set to return. I thought round one would be boring, but here we go.

Tonight it almost feels too easy that Memphis has figured out not playing Steven Adams. I want to play the Grizz and lay the points. I will kind of like Dallas under the assumption that Luka may play. This line has already come down a half point and would fall further if Luka is ruled in. You know what, it is a tough place to play, but I am down with Dallas. This is the last stand for Denver as it was for Toronto last night. Philly’s offense was so bad down the stretch, yet they still pulled it out. Yeah, I guess Embiid was pretty good.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MEM -1.5
DAL +7
GSW -2

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

JA and Edwards to combine for 18+ in first quarter +200 (FD)
I do not bet timed boosts like this.

Ja and Jokic to score 30+ +300 (Fox)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Jokic’s prop is set to 29.5.
This parlay should pay +245. This is a boost, but we have to worry about Denver not being in this game. Pass for me. Yes, this is the game Denver will show up for, but will it matter. I am out.


MIN/UTA/DEN to all win +500 (Fox)
This pays +539 on FD. Easy pass.

Edwards and Mitchell to combine for 65+ points +200 (Fox)
I hate combined boosts. I would rather parlay them to both go over. Pass for me.

Let’s Get Weird
DAL +7

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 1-2 33.33%
NBA Record 42-52 44.68%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 56-69 44.8%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-73 +536
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 8-12 40%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 558-528 51.38%

Booker getting hurt was an interesting wrinkle last night. Despite how well he was playing, the Pelicans were still hanging around. Booker goes down and now the Suns are a question mark.

Tonight, I think the Nets even the series and the Bucks really show up. The wildcard is the Raptors, who seem dead without Scottie Barnes, but if they were ever going to play well it will be tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
BRK +3.5
PHI -1.5
CHI +10

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

Maxey to score 20+ points +150 (FD)
Maxey’s prop is set to 18.5.
I am sorry I cannot go back to this repeatedly. If the Raptors are going to show up and play well it will be tonight. This is boosted from +112, but I am passing.

KD/Kyrie/Tatum to each score 25+ points +170 (FD)
KD’s prop is set to 30.5.
Kyrie’s prop is set to 28.5.
Tatum’s prop is set to 30.5.
This should pay +108. This is a large boost and we know where the points will come from. I think the Nets play well and win tonight. I am in.

Kyrie and DDR to each score 30+ points +400 (Fox)
Kyrie’s prop is set to 28.5.
DDR’s prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay +391. Ehhh, this is a small boost and I have worries the Bulls can score with Bucks. Pass for me.

BRK/PHI/MIL to all win +400 (Fox)
This pays +416 on FD. Easy pass.

Let’s Get Weird
BRK +3.5

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
NBA Record 42-51 45.16%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 56-68 45.16%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-72 +636
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 6-11 35.29%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 556-527 51.33%

Can I interest you in some odds boosts? Finally, we have some good ones!

That was an interesting first weekend of playoffs. My plans though were foiled last night. I anticipated the Mavericks losing at home to Utah, and then I was going to bet them to win the series at an outrageous price and assume Luka would return. Instead, we got the series tied.

I had expected this first round to be wildly entertaining and it will be. Yet, there are some series that are already over.

Eastern Conference
Miami is going to beat Atlanta easily. The Hawks underachieved all year and Miami’s defense smothered Atlanta in game one.

Toronto was a trendy upset pick, but Maxey became a thing and Scottie Barnes got hurt. This is over. Not even Doc River’s awful playoff history can screw this up. Well, I hope not at least.

The Bucks will beat the Bulls in 4-5 games and it should not even be that close.

That leaves us with one really fun series in Brooklyn and Boston. You can feel the hate from Boston and Kyrie. I love it. This feels so old school and new and fun at the same time. I think Boston is better, but this series will be very tight. If there is one series, you should not miss a game this is it. Both teams allegedly have people coming back, but we shall see on both.

Western Conference
The Suns will win in four games. Snooze.

The Warriors upgraded lineup of death seems locked in all the sudden. Denver is dead.

Utah is dying to lose this series and have their entire team blown up. It almost feels inevitable. I need a Luka return to make it happen.

Maybe Minnesota has arrived. Maybe Anthony Edwards is here and going to be the next great guy. I need to see it though. Steven Adams looked lost for the Grizzlies in game one and assuredly his minutes will come down tonight-in game two. Ja will get his 30 as he needs to. The rest of the Grizzlies need to get it going. I still believe in Memphis besides the game one blip.

All of this means that at this point we have three entertaining series and five that cannot end soon enough. The War begins in round two.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
ATL +7.5
MIN +7
PHO -10

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja and Edwards to each score 25+ +200 (FD)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Edwards prop is set to 24.5.
This should pay +137. This is a solid boost and it almost getting Edwards at +200 to go over his prop. I expect Ja to continue to score. I am in.

$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

Ja 25+/KAT +20+/Edwards 20+ +146 (DK)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Edwards prop is set to 24.5.
KAT’s prop is set to 26.5.
This pays -103 on FD. I am in. Everyone is expected to get there and the total in this game is still high at 240.

Ja and Booker 30+ +380 (Fox)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 27.5
This should pay +340. This is a boost but the Suns blowout looms large. Pass for me.

MIA/MIN/PHO to all win +425 (Fox)
They think Minnesota is going to win again in Memphis? This should pay +432. Easy pass.

Let’s Get Weird
MIA/MEM/PHO ML Parlay +110
Alright, Miami has their defensive plan set against the Hawks. Phoenix is going to sweep this series. Memphis has to win and they will.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
NBA Record 42-51 45.16%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 56-68 45.16%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-70 +836
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 6-8 42.85%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 556-524 51.48%

Can I interest you in some odds boosts? Finally, we have some good ones!

That was an interesting first weekend of playoffs. My plans though were foiled last night. I anticipated the Mavericks losing at home to Utah, and then I was going to bet them to win the series at an outrageous price and assume Luka would return. Instead, we got the series tied.

I had expected this first round to be wildly entertaining and it will be. Yet, there are some series that are already over.

Eastern Conference
Miami is going to beat Atlanta easily. The Hawks underachieved all year and Miami’s defense smothered Atlanta in game one.

Toronto was a trendy upset pick, but Maxey became a thing and Scottie Barnes got hurt. This is over. Not even Doc River’s awful playoff history can screw this up. Well, I hope not at least.

The Bucks will beat the Bulls in 4-5 games and it should not even be that close.

That leaves us with one really fun series in Brooklyn and Boston. You can feel the hate from Boston and Kyrie. I love it. This feels so old school and new and fun at the same time. I think Boston is better, but this series will be very tight. If there is one series, you should not miss a game this is it. Both teams allegedly have people coming back, but we shall see on both.

Western Conference
The Suns will win in four games. Snooze.

The Warriors upgraded lineup of death seems locked in all the sudden. Denver is dead.

Utah is dying to lose this series and have their entire team blown up. It almost feels inevitable. I need a Luka return to make it happen.

Maybe Minnesota has arrived. Maybe Anthony Edwards is here and going to be the next great guy. I need to see it though. Steven Adams looked lost for the Grizzlies in game one and assuredly his minutes will come down tonight-in game two. Ja will get his 30 as he needs to. The rest of the Grizzlies need to get it going. I still believe in Memphis besides the game one blip.

All of this means that at this point we have three entertaining series and five that cannot end soon enough. The War begins in round two.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
ATL +7.5
MIN +7
PHO -10

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja and Edwards to each score 25+ +200 (FD)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Edwards prop is set to 24.5.
This should pay +137. This is a solid boost and it almost getting Edwards at +200 to go over his prop. I expect Ja to continue to score. I am in.

$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

Ja 25+/KAT +20+/Edwards 20+ +146 (DK)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Edwards prop is set to 24.5.
KAT’s prop is set to 26.5.
This pays -103 on FD. I am in. Everyone is expected to get there and the total in this game is still high at 240.

Ja and Booker 30+ +380 (Fox)
Ja’s prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 27.5
This should pay +340. This is a boost but the Suns blowout looms large. Pass for me.

MIA/MIN/PHO to all win +425 (Fox)
They think Minnesota is going to win again in Memphis? This should pay +432. Easy pass.

Let’s Get Weird
MIA/MEM/PHO ML Parlay +110
Alright, Miami has their defensive plan set against the Hawks. Phoenix is going to sweep this series. Memphis has to win and they will.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
NBA Record 42-51 45.16%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 56-68 45.16%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-70 +836
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 6-8 42.85%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 556-524 51.48%

We went 1-0 last night, hit an odds boost and our premium pay came in. What a great start to the playoffs! Tonight is not as fun. The elimination games should be interesting but I am ready for the main event.

I assumed the books would have some sort of boosts listed for the play-in games, but they do not at all.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
ATL -5
SAS +5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!


ATL/SAS to both win +320 (Fox)
You know Fox had to throw dogs into these boosts.
This should pay +320. Not a boost. Pass.

LaMelo and Trae 90+ Points/Rebounds/Assists combined +170 (FD)
The combined boosts are almost always a no go. If you parlay their over on props, it pays way more. LaMelo’s combo is set to 38.5.
Trae’s is set to 45.5. As you can see that is well short of 90. Pass for me.

Trae/LaMelo/CJ to all score 25+ +350 (Fox)
This should pay +322 or so. This is a tiny boost. You can play it, but you need to realize LaMelo is the one not expected to get there. If you thing the Hornets stay close, than maybe you can fire here. I am passing.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 1-0 100%
NBA Record 42-50 45.65%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 56-67 45.52%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-70 +836
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 551-517 51.59%

These games have a weird feel. The Cavs have been faltering, but Mobley is back. The Nets never cover at home. I am very curious to see how these all play out. I think the Nets losing is the most interesting story line we could have, but they are a sizable favorite. I assumed the books would have some sort of boosts listed for the play-in games, but they do not at all.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
CLE +9.5 (Premium)
LAC +3
ATL -5
SAS +5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

KD/Kyrie/PG to each score 25+ +150 (Fox)
KD’s prop is set to 32.5.
Kyrie’s prop is set to 28.5.
PG’s prop is set to 28.5.
This should play +126. I like this. Everyone is going to be going all out. I am in!


BRK/LAC to both win +190 (Fox)
This should pay +188. Not a boost. Pass.


ATL/SAS to both win +320 (Fox)
You know Fox had to throw dogs into these boosts.
This should pay +320. Not a boost. Pass.

Let’s Get Weird
CLE +9.5
I am down for this. This feels like the Nets continue to struggle with covering at home.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 550-516 51.59%

We made it, the last day of the NBA regular season. While a few teams could move up a seed, or down a seed, it is clear there is no motivation from these teams other than preparation for the playoffs. I mean look at these spreads.

The books are pretty much done with NBA regular season boosts it seems. I do not blame them. This is an odd time of year. Maybe I will break out some baseball boosts to look through in the future.

No one is really trying anymore. I would not bet these games.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
BRK -16.5
CHA -12.5
CLE -8
ATL -12.5
BOS -5.5
TOR -5
MIA -10
PHI -12.5
MIN -6.5
DAL -9
DEN -10
LAC -11.5
NOP +4.5
PHO -14.5
UTA -17

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NOPE

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 537-505 51.54%

The books are pretty much done with NBA regular season boosts it seems. I do not blame them. This is an odd time of year. Maybe I will break out some baseball boosts to look through in the future.

We are into the home stretch of the NBA. I am going to breakdown motivations as I have mentioned before. There are so many people that are resting, hurt, or just not trying to win at the moment.

No one is really trying anymore. I would not bet these games.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MIL -5
WAS +3.5
HOU +11
CLE +8.5
MIA +1.5
CHA +2.5
DAL -19.5
UTA -2.5
LAL -5.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NOPE

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 537-505 51.54%

The books are pretty much done with NBA regular season boosts it seems. I do not blame them. This is an odd time of year. Maybe I will break out some baseball boosts to look through in the future.

We are into the home stretch of the NBA. I am going to breakdown motivations as I have mentioned before. There are so many people that are resting, hurt, or just not trying to win at the moment.

ORL at CHA -13.5
The Magic are resting people to tank. Charlotte is going to be the ten seed. No one needs to play in this game. Be careful.

BOS at MIL -6
This game will determine 2-4 seeding in the East. It appears everyone is a go.


PHI at TOR -1
Philly is in the 2-4 seeding in the East. Toronto is going to be the five seed it appears. Philly needs this game more than the Raptors, but the spread would indicate Toronto is playing.

POR at NOP -17
Portland wants to lose. NOP is almost locked into the nine seed. The Pelicans may rest people and still win.

SAS at MINN -8.5
Both are in and almost officially locked into their spots. I think we could see resting here. Murray is already out.

MEM at DEN -4
Memphis is playing for nothing. Denver could move up or down a seed, but it would take a lot. Denver needs this game a lot more than the Grizzlies, who do not need it at all.

LAL at GSW -12.5
This game means nothing to both teams. I wonder if LeBron plays to go for the scoring title.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
CHA -13.5
BOS +6 (Premium)
PHI +1
SAS +8.5
POR +17
MEM +4
GSW -12.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
TOR/BOS/MIN to all win +700 (Fox)
This should pay +700. It is not a boost at all and Boston is a dog in Milwaukee. Pass for me.

Let’s Get Weird
BOS +6
I think they want to go for it.  

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 534-502 51.54%

I love the Masters. I used to not really like watching golf, but DFS and sports betting has built my interest. The Masters has this special feel and I enjoy everything about it. I will fire too many bets. I will play too many DFS lineups. I will not care either way. I will enjoy the ride. We do have plenty of odds boosts offered by the books. Some are solid and you should be opting into and using. On the other hand, some are not great and priced where they should be.

I am firing on several players this weekend. Adam Scott has been in contention a bunch this season, but played his way out of it on Sundays. Collin Morikawa has won two majors and this is his third shot at Augusta. Willy Z does not have a win, but finished second here last year. Like most people, if he puts well anything can happen. Robert McIntyre played very well in his debut last year. He is a lefty and as you know, lefties play very well here. I would love a final pairing of any of these four on Sunday.

My Wagers
Adam Scott 60/1 FD (Now 55/1)
Morikawa 22/1 FD
Will Z 35/1 DK
Robert McIntyre 125/1 (Fox)

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Masters Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Winners Insurance If your bet finishes top-10 but does not win you get your wager refunded with a max of $25 (FD) It makes sense to opt in and wager $25 if Fan Duel has the best number on whomever you like.

Smith/Lowry/Home/Macintyre to all make the cut +200 (DK)
Smith is -700.
Homa is -215.
Macintyre is -215.
Lowry is -430.
This should pay +202 or so. This is not much of a boost at all. Pass for me.

Add +300 to anyone golfer’s odds to win the Masters (DK)
While I would use this if you are making only one wager. It is obviously more significant on one of the favorites or close to it. I will be using it on Morikawa.

DK has added Tiger insurance. If you bet Tiger to win and he withdrawals, you get a refund.

Bryson to finish top 10 +450 (DK)
Bryson is +320 on other books to finish top 10. I love him. Yet, he is hurt and not playing well. Please forgive me Bryson. Pass.

Daily Profit boost 18% (DK)
You can always wait for the first shot then make a wager on the event, boosted by 18%.

Tiger Woods to finish top 40 +100 (Fox Bet)
Tiger is -200 to finish top 40 on other websites. You get a -200 wager at +100. I am in.

Rahm/DJ/JT to all finish top 20 includes ties +300 (Fox Bet)
Rahm is -220.
JT is -170.
DJ is -135.
This should pay around +302. This is not a boost at all. Pass. I think the books are trying to trick you into betting these things that they sometimes do not allow to be parlayed.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 41-50 45.05%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 55-67 45.08%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-23 +094
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-70 +736
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 31-43 41.89%
NBA Model 532-498 51.65%