We are down to the final four. These are four very good defensive teams. I think the totals are going to resemble NBA games in the early 2000’s instead of what we are used to seeing during the last few years. So, who wins? Well, I do like Miami in game one tonight, but think the Celtics do win the series. They have somehow gone to another level and are truly a team where the whole is greater than the sum of their parts. Miami has struggled to score at times and oh, man that could be an issue against Boston.

Boston in 6.

The other series is a little more complicated. The Warriors do not have many people to throw at Luka that I think will be very successful. Yet, can all the non-Luka people score enough for Dallas? DFS is making himself a ton of money in the future with how he has played at times during the post season. It seems Dallas always has someone pop when they needed it most. Draymond Green did not play against Dallas at all this season, but Mavs have fared well against the Warriors. I think the Warriors beaten. Something just feels off about the aging Warriors. Golden State is going to need their younger players to step up here and play well. As strange as this sounds, Dallas know who and what they are. I am not sure the Warriors do exactly at this point. They have not had everyone the entire year and have to deal with the Gary Payton injury as well. I think Dallas’s pace and defense end up being the difference, well that and Luka being exceptional.

Dallas in 6.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
BOS +2
DAL +5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Reminder, rarely are combined boosts actually good. Normally, a parlay of some kind pays significantly more.

Let’s Get Weird
Mia -2
This is a tough turnaround for Boston and I could see them coming out flat here. I hope they lose game one, so I can bet them to win the series at a better price.

Dallas +5

Dallas +185 (Series price)
If Dallas loses game one, I am betting them again.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 11-7 61.11%
NBA Record 52-57 47.70%
Hoops Combined Record 66-74 47.14%
Hoops Parlay Record   10-24 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-74 +756
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 36-31 53.73%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 586-547 51.72%

MLB Record
Overall 0-1 -100
Parlays 0-1 -100

We can all agree that the Bucks stole game five. The Bucks were going to win game six. Now, they can close it out. I am on the Bucks tonight. It is also possible Kris Middleton may play tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MIL-1
MEM +8

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Reminder, rarely are combined boosts actually good. Normally, a parlay of some kind pays significantly more.

Let’s Get Weird
MIL -1

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 10-5 66.66%
NBA Record 51-55 48.11%
Hoops Combined Record 65-72 47.44%
Hoops Parlay Record   10-24 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-74 +756
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 34-29 53.96%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 584-545 51.72%

MLB Record
Overall 0-1 -100
Parlays 0-1 -100

I think we are getting a game seven in both of these series. I will be wagering accordingly!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
PHI -2
DAL +2

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Embiid and Butler to combine for 50+ points +120 (FD)
Embiid’s prop is set to 25.5.
Butler’s prop is set to 25.5.
You can parlay them to each score 25+ for +189, which I would rather do. Pass on this boost.

Booker or Luka First basket +250 (FD)
I am never betting a first basket wager. Pass.


Embiid/Harden/Maxey/Harris all to score 15+ points +200 (Fox)
Over on Fan Duel this pays +213. Easy pass on this boost.


PHI/DAL to both win +275 (FOX)
This should pay +263. This is a tiny boost, but I do like both of them. I am in!

Embiid and Luka 30+ each +400 (Fox)
Embiid’s prop is set to 25.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 33.5.
This should pay +323. Look, I think Luka plays well and so does Embiid. However, the key to Philly winning is the other guys scoring as well. I am passing on this boost. Embiid has to go over his prop by several points.

Let’s Get Weird
PHI -2
DAL +2

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 9-4 69.23%
NBA Record 50-54 48.07%
Hoops Combined Record 64-71 47.40%
Hoops Parlay Record   10-24 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-73 +856
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 33-28 54.09%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 583-544 51.73%

MLB Record
Overall 0-1 -100
Parlays 0-1 -100

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MIL +5.5
MEM +4

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Brown and Klay to score 25+ Each +500 (Fox)
Brown’s prop is set to 24.5.
Klay’s prop is set to 21.5.
This parlay should pay +483. This is a small boost and Klay is not expected to get there. This is a pass for me. I think Memphis plays well at home, but Klay has not played well.

Tatum to score 25+ and Boston to win +150 (FD)
Tatum’s prop is set to 28.5.
This should pay -113. This is a solid boost. Tatum has been over this number in half the games at this point. I am passing as I think the Bucks play well here, but you can fire.

BOS/MEM to both win +275 (Fox)
This should pay +257. I am passing as I am not backing a Ja-less Grizzlies in this spot.

Let’s Get Weird
Brewers/Dodgers ML Parlay +140
MIL +5.5

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 8-4 66.66%
NBA Record 49-54 47.57%
Hoops Combined Record 63-71 47.01%
Hoops Parlay Record   10-24 +194
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-73 +856
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 31-28 52.54%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 581-544 51.64%

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
PHI +2.5
PHO -6

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Let’s Get Weird
GSW/PHO ML Parlay -159

PHO -6

LAD/PHO ML Parlay -102

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 7-4 63.63%
NBA Record 48-54 47.05%
Hoops Combined Record 62-71 46.61%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-73 +856
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 30-27 %
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 580-543 51.64%
*We have removed college hoops from the record, because well, it has been a month.

We are back! After a weeklong family trip to Disney World, it is time to return to the NBA. I will have more on Disney later, but I highly recommend it. We will be dipping into some MLB at some point too.

Where we are now in the NBA is extremely interesting. Tonight is massive for Boston obviously, if the Bucks go up 3-1, they are winning this series. I think the Bucks do go up 3-1 tonight. I am in. Golden State should take control as well and Ja Morant’s injury is going to effectively end this series. Ten is a lot of points though and I am staying away.

I have also already bet the Suns -6 for game five. This is a perfect bounce back spot for Phoenix after that Scott Foster/Chris Paul foul filled game.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
Bucks -1
Grizz +10.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Once a week you can make an SGP and if it loses you get refunded. Use this!

Boston/GS to both win +150 (Fox)
I am on the Bucks. This should pay +128. I am passing as you know.

Let’s Get Weird
MIL -1

GSW/PHO ML Parlay -159

PHO -6

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 7-3 70%
NBA Record 48-53 47.52%
Hoops Combined Record 62-70 46.96%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-73 +856
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 29-26 52.72%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 579-542 51.65%
*We have removed college hoops from the record, because well, it has been a month.

KENNY PICKETT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I am headed out of town and I will post the computer model on Twitter every day. The sites are barely posting any NBA Boosts, but that should change when round two begins.

My round two predictions
Suns in 6
GS in 6
BOS in 7
PHI in 7

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MEM -1.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

 
$10 risk free SGP (DK)
Use this as always.

Let’s Get Weird
Mem -1.5

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 6-3 66.66%
NBA Record 47-53 47%
Hoops Combined Record 61-70 46.56%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-73 +856
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 26-19 57.77%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 576-535 51.84%
*We have removed college hoops from the record, because well, it has been a month.

It is time that we end these two series. The Gentlemen sweeps are happening tonight. I love the Bucks tonight and thinks this is a blowout early.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
MIL -12
GS -8.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry/Klay to each make 3+ 3’s and Jokic to score 30+ +250 (FD)
Giannis and Jokic to score 30+ Each +150 (Fox)
I am just going to say there is a high likelihood both these games become blowouts. I expect the Bucks to lay one on the Bulls and Giannis to not have to play a ton. Because of this, I am out on his boosts. In the late game, it could be more of the same. In the games in Golden State, Jokic scored under 30 because the game was nowhere near as close. The same can be said for Curry and Klay. I am not into hoping this game stays competitive with the spread and where it is.

 
$10 risk free SGP (DK)
Use this as always.

Let’s Get Weird
Bucks -12
They will win by 20+.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 5-3 62.5%
NBA Record 46-53 46.46%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 60-70 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 44-73 +696
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 22-18 55%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 572-534 51.71%

Atlanta getting a bunch of points without Kyle Lowry. Minnesota with a resurgent KAT. The Pelicans who keep playing well since Booker is out. This is very intriguing and I like all three dogs, just like the computer model. I think tonight we get a great slate of games.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
ATL +7
MIN +6
NOP +6.5

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja and Edwards to score 20+ and Bane to make 3+ 3’s +160 (FD)
Ja’s prop is set to 26.5
Edwards’s prop is set to 23.5.
Bane’s prop is set to 3.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This should pay +100. I like this. Everyone is expected to score above their numbers. I am in. I think this game may be a little competitive.

 
$10 risk free SGP (DK)
Use this as always.

Let’s Get Weird
ATL +7
MIN +6
NOP +6.5

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 3-2 60%
NBA Record 44-52 45.83%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 58-69 45.66%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-73 +536
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 20-17 54.05%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 570-533 51.67%

This will be Atlanta’s best showing tonight, but I still do not like them. I do like the Bucks even without one of their big three. We have watched the Suns come through all year, even with one of their backcourt members out. I do like Phoenix tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Computer Model Plays
ATL +1.5
MIL -3
PHO -2

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$10 Risk Free SGP (DK)
You get one a day from now until 4/22. I would say use this!

25% Parlay Boost on 3+ Leg NBA Parlay

Trae/Giannis/BI to score 25+ each +175 (FOX)
Tare’s prop is set to 27.5.
Giannis’s prop is set to 34.5.
BI’s prop is set to 25.5.
This should pay +169. Some boost huh. Pass.


ATL/MIL/PHO to all win +500 (FOX)
This pays +513 on FD. Easy Pass.

Let’s Get Weird
PHO -2

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Playoff Record 2-2 %
NBA Record 43-52 45.26%
NCAA Tourney Record 9-9 50%
College Record 14-17 45.16%
Hoops Combined Record 57-69 45.23%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-24 -006
Hoops Odds Boosts 43-73 +536
Hoops Player Props 10-18 -735
NBA Playoff Record 11-12 47.82%
NBA Model Premium Plays 32-43 42.66%
NBA Model 561-528 51.51%