NFL Week One Thursday Night

The computer model starts 1-0 and it is officially football season as I stayed up late watching a sloppy, weird, island game.

Tonight the computer likes the Rams -3.5. I am curious to see how the two different travel approaches play out in this game and moving forward. Our model has the spread slightly higher than the -3.5 and more in line with -4.5. I am staying away from this one as well. Playing at 10:30 AM Australia time, is weird enough, let alone all the travel plans and hype for this divisional matchup.

Tomorrow, we will have a full breakdown of every game and my thoughts. I will also reveal what games I will be taking in the Circa Millions picks contest, which still may have an overlay.

I have one random play for tonight. If you have any SGP boosts you could use them on this. I say boosts, because we know the books make the odds worse for SGP’s. This parlay on the surface should pay around +300, but on the sites, it is hovering around +200.

SF/LAR SGP +390 (Fanatics)
CMC Anytime TD
CMC 40+ Receiving Yards
CMC 4+ Receptions

Fanatics Sportsbook was kind enough to give me a 100% boost and bet up to $50. On most of the other sites, I am sure you have a much lower cap than $50 or any boost. Anyway, I will be watching and think a healthy CMC has a great start tonight. Just a little taste tonight before we have the main course Sunday.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!



NFL Computer Model
2026-2027 Season
Overall 1-0 100%
Platinum 0-0
Premium 0-0

My Plays
Overall 0-0
Circa Millions Contests Record 0-0
Props/Parlays/Teasers/Other 0-0