Massive NBA slate tonight and I am excited! I already bet one early NBA game and have an odds boost I really like with some injury news. If you are in Virginia or Michigan, welcome to legal sports betting. Those states now have access to the same books that I do. I am sure each state will have some exceptional boosts for their launch. Make sure you are participating in them and collecting some free money. I know for sure they have a Pistons to make one three pointer at +100, max bet is $50.

Make sure you are following on Twitter as we may release some plays there later in the day!

I did a pack opening of NBA Top Shots. This is super fun and I suggest you give it a watch if you are curious, or have no idea what it is. Until then, let us have some fun and build the pile tonight.

NBA Model Plays
CHI +3.5
IND -4
HOU +3
BOS +5
MIA +3
CLE +6.5
ATL -6
SAS +2
OKC +13
NYK +4 (Highest rated in model)
DEN +1.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid first Basket and Sixers to win +650 (FD)
Do people really bet these first basket props? Pass.

Kyrie to score 30+ points vs Cavs +350 (FD)
KD is trending toward not playing. No points prop is listed for Kyrie, but it is going to be high if KD sits. Kyrie has scored over 30 points in three of the eight games he has played. Provided KD sits, which I believe he will, I actually like this one. I am in.

Kyrie/KD/Harden to combine for 100+ points +1300 (DK)
They only got there last game because it went to double-overtime. Also, KD is going to sit and this will be voided. Pass.

Mavs/Nuggets/Knicks to all win +800 (DK)
This is a boost, but just a slight one at +752 if you put them all together on your own. Them all winning is not crazy, but since the spreads are small, it is a three-team parlay without the points as two of them are dogs. I will pass, but mostly because it is a road back-to-back for the Knicks.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Michigan to lead at half time and win +125 (DK)
Michigan has been killing teams, but is only a 3.5-point road favorite tonight. Michigan’s lone loss is on the road in the big ten. This is not bad if you like Michigan tonight and do not want to bet just the money line at -188.

Sixers/Mavs/Nuggets all to win +500 (Fox Bet)
If multiple sports books are offering an odds boost with a money line parlay involving the same teams, one of them is going down. Pass.

LaVine/Fox/Brown one or more dunks each +600 (Fox Bet)
Please stop with the dunk boosts. Pass.

Brogdon and Sabonis combine for over 54.5 points +300 (Fox Bet)
I am highlighting this one to remind you how bad some of these boosts can be. Both of these players’ prop numbers for tonight are in both set at 22.5 points. You can parlay that they both hit the over for +263 on fan duel and still be almost 10 full points under this boost. Yes, I realize this boost is combined, but this is ten points too high. It should be 45 points or so.

NBA
CHI +3
The Bulls are finally getting healthy, which seems weird since they have been hurt for what feels like years.

Obviously, I am in on that Kyrie boost as we await KD news. I expect he sits.  That is what I have for tonight at this point.
 

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 6-9 +520
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model 57-53 51.81%

Hitting a bunch of Joel Embiid props that almost equaled +1000, made last night pretty good. Factor in Victor Oladipo just getting over his points prop and overall, it was a fantastic night. Draft Kings crashing right before DFS lineups locked was a little less fantastic. Yet, Draft Kings said they would refund entry fees since editing was almost impossible near and right after the first games started.

The NBA schedule has been altered a ton and will continue to do so with COVID protocols. Tonight we only have three games.

NBA Model Plays
LAL +1.5
NYK +4.5
NOR +7

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Boost two or more three pointers made in first three minutes Lakers/Bucks +100 (FD)
I am never playing this. Much like first basket scorer, it is a little random. They also have this for the Pelicans and Jazz game. Pass.

Zion or Donovan Mitchell first basket +275 (FD)
Pass.

Zion over 2.5 Dunks +120 (DK)
I am not betting these dunk props.

Lebron and Giannis over 56.5 combined points +110 (DK)
Lebron’s prop is set at 25.5. Giannis is set at 29.5. You could parlay them at Fan Duel for +245. When these two teams played a little over a year ago, they combined for…55 total points. However, when they played right before the NBA season shut down, they combined for 69 total points. In that game, both of them would have surpassed their player prop listed for tonight. If you are going to play this, might as well parlay them on Fan Duel at +245. Pass on this Draft Kings boost.

Giannis/AD/Zion 2 or more dunks each +135 (Fox Bet)
Why the dunk props???????

Lebron and Zion 25 or more points each +250 (Fox Bet)
Zion scored 32 against them, just a few days ago. Lebron’s prop is set at 25.5 as I mentioned above. Zion’s is only set at 22.5 with the juice heavily on the over. On Fan Duel, you can parlay Zion over 22.5 and Lebron over 25.5 for +239. That seems like a better idea. You are asking Lebron to beat his prop by one point and get a small break on Zion’s. Pass on this boost.

Lakers/Warriors/Jazz ML Parlay +350
Ehhhh, this is a slight boost from +320, but the Lakers are a small dog. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Iowa and UCLA to both win by 10 points +300 (DK)
This is a nice boost if you want to parlay these two to win and cover. This is right in line with their current odds at the time of writing. If you liked these two games before, you should like them more here. It is a pass from me though.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 6-9 +520
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model 55-52 51.40%

I thought Conor McGregor retired? Much like boxing and WWE, no one every truly retires if the money is right. McGregor will fight on Saturday and there will be some interesting odds boosts. In this case, we have a free money alert.

Draft Kings is offering the following boost on McGregor at +100 to win. This of course has a max bet of $25.

Now, you can bet this and be happy with taking the favorite at a nice discount. However, you could also take Dustin Poirier at +255 and guarantee you do not lose. In this case you would be rooting for the dog to make money.

There will undoubtedly be more odds boosts and we will update as we see them.

PGA Winners I bet during last season
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

Last week we air-balled with Abraham Ancer. I have two wagers for this week.

Russell Henley 35/1 (Draft Kings)
Brendan Steele 90/1 (Fan Duel)

Let’s build the pile!

After the tiny slate last night, we are back with a full set of NBA games. I said it last night and I will say it again, six to eight games is the perfect sweet spot. Tonight, I am on the Victor Oladipo train. I am still working on what I will do with my Draft Kings parlay boost. I will be sure to post it on Twitter later tonight.

NBA Model Plays
BOS +4.5
CLE +10
IND +1
ATL -5
TOR -4
MIN +3.5
HOU +6
MEM +1
LAC -10
SAS +1

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Booker and Oladipo combined over 55+ points +280 (FD)
What is this? You can parlay their player props of Booker 23.5 and Oladpio 21.5 to +242. Last time I checked 45 is slightly lower than 56. In this case I would rather do that then play this boost. Pass.

Embiid 30+ points and Sixers to win +560 (FD)
Embiid’s prop is set for 24.5 and I know he normally plays really well against the Celtics. You can parlay Embiid over 24.5 and Sixers money line to +161. Are six points really worth almost +400? In this case, maybe. Embiid does have several 30+ point performances against the Celtics and they are well rested. I think I have talked myself into this. I am in.

KD or Harden to record a triple double +1040 (FD)
Kyrie is back. Pass.

33% Profit Boost 3+ leg Parlay (DK)
Sadly, the largest money line you can use is -500. Both the big favorites today are -530. If they fall to -500 add in a third team and it will pay almost +200. I am going to wait this out, but use this on some combo I will post on Twitter.

Chris Paul and Devon Booker over 39.5 combined points +110 (DK)
This is basically right in line with their player props. On Fan Duel, you can parlay Paul over 15.5 and Booker over 23.5 at +235. They do not have alternate points listed at this time, but I would check back and see what Fan Duel has to offer. I bet you can lower each players prop and parlay to still get the +110 at a lower number of points needed.

Embiid and Jaylen Brown each to score 24.5 points +300 (DK)
As you know from above this is Embiid’s prop number. Brown’s is also set to 24.5 and in a same game parlay on Fan Duel this pays +248. At +300 this is a boost though. The small spread indicates this will be competitive. In addition, there is no Jayson Tatum, so Brown will be asked to do a ton. I am in on this. Unless the game is a blowout, this is solid.

Harden/KD/Kyrie 21+ points each +200 (Fox Bet)
This seems good, it really does. However, there is blowout potential and who knows how the minutes are divided. If the Nets are up 25, so any of them play in the fourth. Pass.

Embiid 1 or more Dunks and Sixers win +100 (Fox Bet)
I hate these dunk props. Embiid should dunk here and the Sixers should win. I am looking at this as Sixers money line at +100. It is a max of $100 so sure why not.

Nets/Mavs/Sixers to win +250 (Fox Bet)
I am not touching the Mavericks until they get some people back.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Clemson/UNC/Auburn to all win +650 (DK)
They are trying to trick you with some big name schools, but Auburn is a 6.5-point dog. Clemson is a small road favorite. Pass.  

NBA
Victor Oladipo Over 21.5 Points -108
In a 25 point loss, Oladipo took 23 shots and played 32 minutes. If this game is even remotely close, he is going to get there tonight. I am all over this.
 

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-9 -440
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 51-48 51.51%

Only having two NBA games tonight feels weird. I much prefer six to eight games every night. Instead, we have two. There is one odds boost I am recommending tonight, over on Fox Bet.

Last night could have been awesome as we were set up nicely. The three-team parlay closing with the Lakers money line allowed me to take the Warriors +8.5 and try to middle the game. The Lakers blew a lead and ended up losing. I broke even then. Anytime I can take zero risk into the late games with a chance to win a straight bet and a parlay I am going to do it. A quick math break down for you. I am using $100 as the wager amount to make the math clear and easy for everyone.

Wager 1 $100 parlay Knicks ML/Hawks ML/Lakers ML +332
A win pays $332
A loss -$100

Wager 2 $110 Golden State Warriors +8.5
A win pays $100
A loss -$110

If Lakers lose net result $0
If Lakers win net result $332-$110 = +$232
If Lakers win by 1-8 points net result $332 +$100 = +$432

This is why we middle games. A large window was created to win both wagers with zero risk after the first two games came in. If Lebron James hits that three at the buzzer, sweep the board.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
OKC +10 (Highest rated in the model)
NOR +6

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Zion to score 30+ points +500 (FD)
Zion’s points prop is around 22.5 today, so this is asking a lot in a game with 217.5 total, while also playing in Utah. Zion has two 30-point performances in 11 games this year. Pass for me.

Jokic to record a triple double and Nuggets win +250 (FD)
Jokic is +175 to record a triple double on Draft Kings and adding the money line is not terrible at -530. The down side is the game would have to be competitive for Jokic to get there. Despite what you might think of the Thunder, they are 5-1 on the road this year and have been competitive in every game. I would rather just play the triple double prop instead of this boost. In the same game parlay section of player props, this is already listed at +235. Such a tiny boost. Pass

Zion Over 2.5 Dunks +140 (DK)
I hate this prop and all dunk props. If I put my kids to bed and want to check on this, I cannot check a box score. I have to go and read the play-by-play instead to scroll and see if it happened. Fox Bet loves the dunk props. One time last year, they had a Jaylen Brown and Ja Morant to dunk combo prop. Fox Bet left the odds boost up, even after Memphis had played and Morant had dunked. It was a $50 max bet, but it was fun to fire and win after half of the prop was already in. I think it paid like +210 or something similar.

Jokic over 45.5 combined points/assists/rebounds and the Nuggets to win +125
You can bet this number without the Nuggets needing to win at -113 on Fan Duel. Pass.

Zion/Jokic/Mitchell 1+ dunks each +1000 (Fox Bet)
I mean, at least this is better than the DK dunk boost. I am not playing these.

Jokic triple double and the Nuggets to win +250 (Fox Bet)
When every site lists a similar odds boost, it has a tendency to lose. They did this with Curry last week too and Seattle Seahawks in the NFL Playoffs. Pass.

Jamal Murray to record a double double +1100 (Fox Bet)
Murray had zero double doubles this season. Murray has missed by one rebound or one assist twice though. Fox Bet has the same boost for Donovan Mitchell and he also has zero double doubles. Pass.

Jamal Murray and Brandon Ingram 20+ Points each +150 (Fox Bet)
Over on Fan Duel Murray’s points prop is 21.5 and Ingram’s is 22.5. For this bet, you get a slight break on each players points prop and it pays +150. I am in on this!

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing worth mentioning.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-8 -340
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 51-46 52.25%

NFL model is 7-3 after two weekends of games, a pretty sweet 70%! Overall, for the season the NFL model is checking in at just under 57%. The NBA model has been hovering toward the middle the last few days, but is over 52% at this point in the season. Today, we have a larger NBA slate and it should be interesting. Make sure you are on Twitter and checking to see what players may sit, be hurt, or be in the COVID protocols. Yesterday, I bet the Pacers, and then Myles Turner was ruled out shortly after. You can always buy out on most of these legal sites for a small loss at that point, but that does happen with injuries.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
NYK +2 (Highest rated in model)
ATL -7.5
POR +2
DET +5.5 (Second highest rated in model)
DAL +5 (Road b2b, several rotation players are out)
BRK +2 (Kyrie is questionable currently)
CHI +2
LAL -8.5
MEM +4.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Fan Duel has nothing listed for a full NBA slate that starts at noon. Yet, they have EPL and NHL? Seems weird to me.

Lebron and Steph to make 8+ combined threes +200 (DK)
Lebron averages around two made threes a game and Steph makes about 4.5 a game. Both teams are well rested though and Steph off rest is the kind of Steph I like for these shooting boosts. I am all over this. Fire away!

KD and James Harden over 54.4 combined points +105 (DK)
This is right in line with their player props. If Kyrie is ruled out, I am betting this 100%. If he plays, then I will stay away.

33% Profit Boost 3+ leg Parlay (DK)
Lakers/Hawks and Team X can be boosted nicely. Just need to find that third team today!

Nets/Raptors/Bulls +600 (Fox Bet)
This involves several small favorites. Pass.

Lillard and Giannis 70+ points +200 (Fox Bet)
Lillard without CJ is nice, but this is a ton of points. Pass.

Julius Randle and RJ Barrett combined over 49.5 points +400 (Fox Bet)
I actually really like this. The Magic have been giving up a ton of points and have plenty of players out. These two play a ton of minutes and will have ample opportunity. I am in.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kansas and Baylor to go to OT +1085
Do people bet things like this in basketball. Why? I am never touching this.

NBA
Knicks +2
I trust the model and like the Knicks today. This should go well.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Using that 33% DK Parlay Boost Lakers/Hawks/Knicks ML +332

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 8-9 47.05%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 46-42 52.27%

Hornets came through last night for the win, as Toronto does not cover yet again. Today is a busy day with the two NFL games and an NBA slate. AS a reminder, our computer model has both dogs today Cleveland +10 and Tampa Bay +3. Those lines appear to be dropping in both spots though.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

New NFL Playoff Odds Boosts for Sunday
Tyreek Hill First TD +680 (FD)
He is currently +650 on FD, so this is barely a boost. Pass, unless you were going to play it. He is however, +500 on DK right now. Remember, it always pays to shop around.

Nick Chubb to score 2 + TD’s +560
I mean if you believe in the Browns like this might as well play Browns money line. I think Chubb scoring twice would lead to a Browns win. Pass for me.

Kamara 100+ Rushing Yards and score 1 TD +350
Lat Murray being out makes this interesting, but Kamara Rarely runs for this many yards. If it were total yards, I would say max bet.

Brady to throw for 300+ yards and Bucs win +370
If you think one happens, I believe the other would be in play. I am starting to lean Tampa Bay today due to Saints injuries, so I may revisit this tonight.

Mystery Boost for both NFL Games (DK)
I got Kareem Hunt any time TD +185
While this is not bad, some people got Chiefs to score first and win.

50% live bet boost for both NFL Games (DK)
Wait until kickoff and bet whomever you want at plus money!

Brady and Brees to complete a 40+ yard pass +245 (DK)
I do not know how Drew Brees would do this? A screen and a lot of YAC? Pass.

Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards and 3+ passing TD’s +195 (DK)
Why not just parlay Kansas City and the over in this case?

Alvin Kamara first TD +500 (DK)
He is +490 on FD, massive boost here. LOL.

Gronk first TD +1950 (DK)
He is +1400 on FD, so this one is a real boost. You know what; I am going to take a shot on this for a small amount.

Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards and 3+ passing TD’s +200 (FOX)
Same as above, but a little better, but meh.

NBA Model Plays
BOS -7
DAL -7
PHI -3
UTA -1
NOP -3
IND +6.5 (Highest Rated in model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Paul George 30+ Points and Clippers win +350 (FD)
Is Kawhi hurt? Nope. So, pass here. I only am interested in PG props when they are low and Kawhi sits. Also, the Pacers are good.

Brandon Ingram to lead game in scoring +220 (FD)
Lonzo is out and Zion may be as well. I am intrigued here. I think I am going to fire on this one.

Ben Simmons to record a triple double and Sixers to win +650 (DK)
This is a road back-to-back for the Sixers, who are playing one of the worst teams in the league. Simmons had 11/16/9 last night. Simmons is +460 on FD to record a triple-double, but you cannot parlay them. I kind of like this and will throw a small sprinkle of a wager on it.

Zion over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists and Pelicans win. +210
Zion should get to this number if he plays, but the Pelicans are short road favorites. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I think they are focused on the other sports today.

NBA
IND +6.5
I am going to continue to ride the undervalued Pacers on the road. I hope Caris Levert gets healthy and can come back for the Pacers.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-3 62.5%
Overall 143-110 56.52%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 8-8 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 44-39 53.01%

You should never be betting so much money that one game, or one bet affects your life. Having said that, losing Bulls +1 last night was brutal. They blew two different 15-point leads and were outscored 19-3 to close the end of regulation. Losing by two points was the sweet icing on the bad beat cake. Nevertheless, we continue on to today. Make sure you ready our breakdown of the NFL Divisional games and odds boost from yesterday. I also tweeted new odds boosts the sites posted today.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
HOU +7
BRO -9
CHA +6.5 (Highest Rated)
PHI -1 (No Embiid, Morant maybe back. Be careful)
DET +5
ATL +5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
James Harden 25+ points and Nets win +115 (DK)
Ehhh, let’s see if Harden is cleared first. Besides that, how will the shots be distributed? Kyrie is slated to play too. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on 4+ leg parlay (DK)
Meh, unless you want to throw some money lines together.

Baylor and Virginia to win +180 (DK)
Two small road favorites. This is the Admiral Akbar odds boost.

NBA
CHA +6.5
They just played this game and the Hornets almost won. Gordon Hayward almost played the other night and should play tonight, but is listed questionable. I am running it back and still wondering why the Raptors are giving this many points to anyone.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-8 46.66%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 42-36 53.84%

NBA model went 4-1 last night and is now hitting at 54% on the season. This will be much shorter than normal due to the length of the NFL post!

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
CLE +2
BOS -3
DAL +7.5
CHI +1
MEM +2 (Highest rated in model)
ATL +6
NOR +10
SAC +7

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Giannis and Luka combined for 65+ points +200 (FD)
This is slightly too many points for me. Notice that they have these every day, yet, they keep losing. I am a lot more interested when the numbers are in the 50’s. Pass.

I wanted to mention, I would never post about first basket odds boosts. First touchdown is different and first basket is a lot more random.

Giannis and Luka to each score 30+ points +400 (DK)
They are trying to lure you in here. Pass.

Lebron James and Zion Williamson Over 50 points +230 (DK)
This I can get behind. If the game is competitive and Zion’s minutes have been steady above 30, I like this. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on 4+ leg parlay (DK)
Meh, unless you want to throw some money lines together.

NBA
CHI +1
Bulls are well rested and have been performing well on the road, either winnings games or staying close to good teams. Now, the baby Bulls get a bad team that is winless at home.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-7 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-5 -040
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 39-32 54.92%

The computer model went 5-1 last week in the playoffs and likes, all four dogs this weekend! That seems wild to me, but I trust the model. The model has gone 143-108 overall good for 56.97%!

I fully expect the sites to add more odds boosts for this weekend. I will add more information and update as the sites do. I might just post them in the NBA odds boost blog.

We are in the process of getting a podcast approved in all places that you can listen to podcasts. We are already up on Spotify and you can subscribe and download right here.

This week we released three different YouTube videos. You can watch our intro video here. You can watch our 2020 NFL Panini Prizm box break here. You can watch a more detailed breakdown of every NFL playoff game this weekend here.

Make sure you like all of our videos!

Also, do not forget to subscribe!

NFL Divisional Playoff Round Weekend Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
25% boost on 3+ leg parlay (Max Bet $25)
I am going to take advantage of this, but getting a little creative.
GB money line/KC money line/Baltimore money line/NO -3 +592
Boosted this is +740 makes this bet $25 to win $209.

50% live bet boost for both games on Saturday 1/16/21 (Max Bet $50)
I will be using this tomorrow. Remember, if you wait until the game locks, they sometimes hang a live number before they even kick off! That means you can bet the game with significantly better juice at plus money.

Any player to score 3+ TD’s +120
Ah, no thanks.

GB/BUF/KC/NO Money Line Parlay +365
This is available on Fox Bet at a better payout. This is also barely a boost. Last week the sites had an odds boost with Seattle in every money line parlay. Notice they are doing it again this week. Emoji eyes!

Davante Adams 2 or more TD’s +305
You know the volume will be there, but with Jalen Ramsey shut him down? Pass.

Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen to both score a TD +400
I am going to pass. While I think, they will run the ball each plenty, not as safe to say they both score.

Lamar Jackson Over 100+ Rushing Yards +180
I mean you could just bet his over prop of 76.5 yards at -112. I like the Fox Bet Boost more that I will mention below.

Fan Duel
It feels like Fan Duel will probably add some more? Having only two odds boosts seems pretty weird on a massive weekend like this.

Pat’s Picks
GB +0.5/TB +10.5/BAL +9.5 +160
I kind of want to play this. I suppose you could play this and still believe the Saints win.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
CLE +11.5/TB +4.5/BAL +3.5 +470
Our computer model really likes this. I might throw a little something on this. I am still debating.

Packers to win by 14+ points +225
I feel like you are better off just betting the Packers, but a blowout where Jared Goff with one thumb cannot get any points on the board is in play.


Fox Bet
Bet at least $10 on GB/LAR game and get a $10 free live bet. If you include this game in a parlay, even money line it counts and you get the free bet. I am in.

GB/BUF/KC/NO Money Line Parlay +400
The true odds of this are around +335, so it is a boost. I like one of these games to go the other way, so I will pass. Just like last week, the sites are offering a ML odds boost featuring the same teams. Hmmmm.

Lamar and Josh Allen to combine for 125+ rushing yards +150 (Max bet $100)
I love this bet. In the last six competitive games, Josh Allen has run for an average of 32 yards. In his two career playoff games, Allen has rushed for 92 and 54 yards. The Bills will be without Zach Moss and Allen will be asked to do even more in the rushing game. In the last six competitive games, Lamar Jackson has run for an average of 94 yards. Outside of the Jacksonville game, which was a blowout (35 yards), Lamar has rushed for 80 yards or more in each of the last six games. Frankly, Lamar may get this all by himself. Now, can I parlay this and the Ravens winning? Sadly, no.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
Lamar Jackson over 76.5 Yards -112 (FD)
Fox Bet has 75.5 yards but it is -120.
Draft Kings has 74.5 -134.
I am going to pay less juice with the extra two yards added.

BAL +3 (DK)
Buffalo has problems stopping the run. The Colts ran for 163 yards. The Bills struggle to run the ball and at times can be very one-dimensional. Baltimore’s defense is very good and they will make things difficult for Josh Allen. I think Baltimore wins outright. The Lamar revenge tour continues.

Who Wins Each Game
Green Bay
Baltimore
Kansas City
New Orleans

Who Wins Each Game ATS
Green Bay
Baltimore
Cleveland (This is so dumb, but KC has not turned it on in months.)
New Orleans

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None

Premium Plays
None

Regular Plays
LAR +6.5
BAL +2.5
CLE +10
TB +3



NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-7 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-5 -040
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 39-32 54.92%