All of the odds boosts are updated and ready to go! I will post my contest plays closer to kick off! I hope that you saw my tweet about Coastal Carolina -35 as they rolled by 50. The games cannot start soon enough.

9-24-21 Week three is always a little weird. We have some new data and two games as an eye test, but how much can we trust what we have watched to this point. I am skeptical of plenty of teams and with the Colts for sure, I have no idea what to make of them. This is where we really start to learn about everyone after week three. Just like the first two weeks, I will update this article as new odds boosts are posted and I post my wagers. I will also tweet out the five games I use in my picks contest Sunday morning.

9-23-21 Last week was pretty disappointing. I liked four games all week, but needed a fifth for my contests. I settled on the Chiefs. The Chiefs were up 11 with the ball late in the third and lost the game outright, as I am sure you know. Some weeks are much tougher than others are and some games may stand out. I thought Carolina last week was an easy play as the Saints were way over valued. I thought Bears coming home giving less than a field goal was also a solid wager. I ended up betting more on the Bears than anyone else by the time Sunday 1 PM rolled around. The Bengals were a public dog and darling, but I was betting on the Bears defense at home. I still think the Eagles was the correct side in that game, but they failed to come away with points too many times when deep in Niner’s territory. My big mistake was staying with the Steelers. Once the Devin Bush and Joe Haden injuries were announced, in some of my contests I had ample time to make a change. This is where my love of my team gets in the way. I thought the defense would be able to figure it out. Once Tyson Alualu and TJ Watt got hurt early in the game, the Steelers were without four defensive starters. Of course, that does not fix the problems on offense. I should have swapped off the Steelers to someone else. After all, I bad planned to play the Vikings, but missing defensive starters scared me off. Why would I do that with Minnesota, but not Pittsburgh? Oh, yeah, I was going to the Steeler game and they are my team.

In the end, I finished 2-3 in my contests, brining my season long record to 7-3, which is good enough for 68^th place in the Draft Kings picks contest.

I went 2-2 in games I gave out on the Numberball.com Podcast with Jeff. Our computer model went 1-2 on premium plays. One was New Orleans and well, I went the other way as you know. Atlanta not covering after being down three-points with the ball in the fourth quarter was a weird result, but that can happen. Looking at everything and I think my process was correct on most games except sticking with the Steelers. The best part of betting on the NFL is we can learn from our mistakes and go full Ted Lasso and “be a goldfish.” We are on to week three!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays Week 3
Platinum
CHI +7
NO +3


Premium
BAL -8
IND +5.5
ATL +3
PIT -3
ARZ -7
NYJ +10.5

Regular Plays
WAS +7.5
KC -6.5
LVR -4
TB -1
SEA -1.5
GB +3.5
PHI +4

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

ARZ/BAL/DEN to all win +110
This should pay -117 or so. We all know one of these touchdown or more favorites is going to lose, but who? I am in on this.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

I am ehhhh on all the DK boosts except for one.

Michael Carter to have 12+ receiving yards +110
Tevin Coleman is out. This is set to 10.5 and the over is slightly juiced. I am in here. The Jets will be behind and throwing and one or two dump offs will hit the over here.

Barstool Sportsbook
Do you want to back any of the Barstool employees random parlay boosts? Yeah, me either.  

Fox Bet
ARZ/BUF/CLE to all win +150
This should pay +114 and it is solid. Look, I am taking the dog in some of these games, but I am happy to do both for this boost. I am in.

Honestly, there is nothing that is even in the realm of good. Many of these are combined props that you are better off betting on their own. Disappointing.

NFL
LAC +6.5
The Chiefs have really struggled to cover and the Chargers had so many penalties and weird red zone turnovers last week. I think the Chargers can win outright, but I will happily take the points.  


LAR +1.5
No AB means the Rams can put Ramsey on Evans and make the rest of the Bucs offense beat them. Maybe I am crazy, but this lines up perfectly for a Rams defense that has not been as good as expected. I think they get right here and get pressure on Brady and the Rams win at home. The Bucs will not go 17-0.

PHI +4
I bet this Friday night. I know the game is Monday, but grab the numbers before they disappear. The Eagles make it difficult to run the ball and the Cowboys defense won last week despite forcing one punt. This is a close game and I like Philly.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
7 point teaser +700
ARZ -.5/BAL -.5/WAS +14/LAC +14/CHI +14.5/DEN -3.5/LAR +8.5/PHI +10

NFL Computer Model
Overall 16-17 48.48%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 3-2 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 3-2 60%

Our Plays
Overall 6-2 75%
NFL Odds Boosts 4-7 -275

College Football
Overall 3-1 75%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

Week three is always a little weird. We have some new data and two games as an eye test, but how much can we trust what we have watched to this point. I am skeptical of plenty of teams and with the Colts for sure, I have no idea what to make of them. This is where we really start to learn about everyone after week three. Just like the first two weeks, I will update this article as new odds boosts are posted and I post my wagers. I will also tweet out the five games I use in my picks contest Sunday morning.

9-23-21 Last week was pretty disappointing. I liked four games all week, but needed a fifth for my contests. I settled on the Chiefs. The Chiefs were up 11 with the ball late in the third and lost the game outright, as I am sure you know. Some weeks are much tougher than others are and some games may stand out. I thought Carolina last week was an easy play as the Saints were way over valued. I thought Bears coming home giving less than a field goal was also a solid wager. I ended up betting more on the Bears than anyone else by the time Sunday 1 PM rolled around. The Bengals were a public dog and darling, but I was betting on the Bears defense at home. I still think the Eagles was the correct side in that game, but they failed to come away with points too many times when deep in Niner’s territory. My big mistake was staying with the Steelers. Once the Devin Bush and Joe Haden injuries were announced, in some of my contests I had ample time to make a change. This is where my love of my team gets in the way. I thought the defense would be able to figure it out. Once Tyson Alualu and TJ Watt got hurt early in the game, the Steelers were without four defensive starters. Of course, that does not fix the problems on offense. I should have swapped off the Steelers to someone else. After all, I bad planned to play the Vikings, but missing defensive starters scared me off. Why would I do that with Minnesota, but not Pittsburgh? Oh, yeah, I was going to the Steeler game and they are my team.

In the end, I finished 2-3 in my contests, brining my season long record to 7-3, which is good enough for 68^th place in the Draft Kings picks contest.

I went 2-2 in games I gave out on the Numberball.com Podcast with Jeff. Our computer model went 1-2 on premium plays. One was New Orleans and well, I went the other way as you know. Atlanta not covering after being down three-points with the ball in the fourth quarter was a weird result, but that can happen. Looking at everything and I think my process was correct on most games except sticking with the Steelers. The best part of betting on the NFL is we can learn from our mistakes and go full Ted Lasso and “be a goldfish.” We are on to week three!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays Week 3
Platinum
CHI +7
NO +3


Premium
BAL -8
IND +5.5
ATL +3
PIT -3
ARZ -7
NYJ +10.5

Regular Plays
WAS +7.5
KC -6.5LVR -4
TB -1
SEA -1.5
GB +3.5
PHI +4

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Nothing else is listed at the moment.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

25% Profit Boost College Football Parlay. No one side can be a larger favorite than -500.

Draft Kings basically gives out free bets for any kind of casino play. I am doing this to get the free bets and using them on random things like NBA futures. Yes, the NBA season is right around the corner. I mean who does not want to use a $10 free bet on 10 football money lines and the Nuggets to win the NBA title, which becomes boosted to 130/1?

Nothing else is listed at this time.

Barstool Sportsbook
Nothing is listed at this time.

Fox Bet
There are a few smaller things mentioned, but nothing note worthy.

NFL
LAC +6.5
The Chiefs have really struggled to cover and the Chargers had so many penalties and weird red zone turnovers last week. I think the Chargers can win outright, but I will happily take the points.  

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 16-17 48.48%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 3-2 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 3-2 60%

Our Plays
Overall 6-2 75%
NFL Odds Boosts 4-7 -275

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

Last week was pretty disappointing. I liked four games all week, but needed a fifth for my contests. I settled on the Chiefs. The Chiefs were up 11 with the ball late in the third and lost the game outright, as I am sure you know. Some weeks are much tougher than others are and some games may stand out. I thought Carolina last week was an easy play as the Saints were way over valued. I thought Bears coming home giving less than a field goal was also a solid wager. I ended up betting more on the Bears than anyone else by the time Sunday 1 PM rolled around. The Bengals were a public dog and darling, but I was betting on the Bears defense at home. I still think the Eagles was the correct side in that game, but they failed to come away with points too many times when deep in Niner’s territory. My big mistake was staying with the Steelers. Once the Devin Bush and Joe Haden injuries were announced, in some of my contests I had ample time to make a change. This is where my love of my team gets in the way. I thought the defense would be able to figure it out. Once Tyson Alualu and TJ Watt got hurt early in the game, the Steelers were without four defensive starters. Of course, that does not fix the problems on offense. I should have swapped off the Steelers to someone else. After all, I bad planned to play the Vikings, but missing defensive starters scared me off. Why would I do that with Minnesota, but not Pittsburgh? Oh, yeah, I was going to the Steeler game and they are my team.

In the end, I finished 2-3 in my contests, brining my season long record to 7-3, which is good enough for 68^th place in the Draft Kings picks contest.

I went 2-2 in games I gave out on the Numberball.com Podcast with Jeff. Our computer model went 1-2 on premium plays. One was New Orleans and well, I went the other way as you know. Atlanta not covering after being down three-points with the ball in the fourth quarter was a weird result, but that can happen. Looking at everything and I think my process was correct on most games except sticking with the Steelers. The best part of betting on the NFL is we can learn from our mistakes and go full Ted Lasso and “be a goldfish.” We are on to week three!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays Week 3
Platinum

Premium


Regular Plays
HOU +8.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

1+ TD’s scored in each quarter HOU/CAR +320
I hate timed boosts. Easy Pass for me. This game also has a low total of only 43.5.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

CMC to rush for 100+ Yards +200
CMC’s prop total is set to 84.5. CMC to rush for 100+ is +144 on another website.
Oddly, CMC does not often rush for 100+ yards. He has not done it since the 2019 season, where he did it six times. (Yes, he was hurt most of last year) In fact, he has only done it 10 out of 53 career games. If you throw out his rookie season, where he did not accomplish this feat at all, and it is 10 out of 37 games. This wager has an implied probability of hitting around 33.33% of the time. Since CMC has done this only 27% of games he has played after his rookie year, we are not getting a price I would like to take advantage. Pass for me.

Cooks to record a TD catch +220
Cooks is +185 to score a TD anytime on one site and +200 on another. Notice, this boost says to catch a TD. While the chances of him running or returning a TD are remote, they are excluded from this boost. Look, if you want to back Davis Mills throwing a TD against a sneaky good Panthers defense, go for it. I will not be doing that. Pass for me.

Darnold to throw for 300+ Yards +240
Darnold’s prop is set to 258.5. Darnold to throw for 300+ is +235 on another book. Some boost. This is an easy pass as it is barely a boost.

Barstool Sportsbook
Nothing for Thursday night NFL.

Fox Bet
Darnold 250+ Passing Yards and Panthers win +100
Darnold’s prop is set to 258.5. Darnold is -146 to throw for 250+ yards. The Panthers are large 8.5 point favorites, or as low as 7.5 depending upon where you look. This parlay pays +116 on Fan Duel, so there is no reason to bet this at +100 over on Fox Bet. Pass.

CMC 70+ Rushing Yards and to score a TD +100
CMC’s prop total is set to 84.5. CMC is -240 to run for 70+ yards tonight. CMC is also -360 to score a touchdown at any time. This parlay should pay -130. This is a pretty solid boost. You get CMC under his prop number and he is obviously expected to have several scoring opportunities. I am in. I hope your max bet is larger than mine.

Free $5 Thursday Night Bet. (Opt in required)
I use this on a long shot for first TD every week. I’ll take DJ Moore at +775 on Fox Bet.  

NFL
Nothing at this time.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 16-16 50%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 3-2 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 3-2 60%

Our Plays
Overall 6-2 75%
NFL Odds Boosts 4-6 -175

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

Week two is upon us! There are a few odds boosts I am on, at various sites!

Nevertheless, we move on and are on to the main event of week two. I want to remind everyone that the computer model plays are based on the Westgate Super Contest Lines. They are stagnant and do not change. Again, when I post my plays for the DK contest they may be different from the computer model or what is posted. The Lines I will use at the bottom to mention my bets are the lines at the time of writing. I make bets all throughout the week, but to be fair to anyone out there I will mention the lines as they currently sit. I am mentioning this because I took the Eagles at +3.5 earlier in the week, but they are down to +3 throughout the industry.

Make sure you are subscribing to Numberball.com for all your DFS needs and listening to the show I am doing with Jeff Collins. We break down every single game in detail for DFS and sports betting purposes.

Last week was great, and hopefully, we can duplicate some of that success this week.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Nothing at this time.

Premium
HOU +12.5
NO -3
ATL +12.5

Regular Plays
PITT -5.5
CHI -2.5
IND +3.5
MIA +3.5
NYJ +6
SF -3.5
JAX +6
MINN +3.5
DAL +3
TEN +5.5
BAL +3.5
GB -11.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

DeVonta Smith 70+ Receiving yard +280
Smith’s prop number is set to 50.5 and I happen to like the over. The Niners have injuries on defense, especially in the secondary. This should pay around +10. I am in. I think the Eagles score a ton this week.

ARZ/KC to win +170
This should pay +126. I have weird feelings about this Arizona game and well, the Chiefs should win no problem as they own the Ravens. You can definitely fire on this if you want. I am going to pass


Herbert to throw 2+ TD’s/LAC to win +140
This should pay +131. This is such a tiny boost it is not worth playing. I think Herbert will easily throw two TD’s as this game has a massive total, but in terms of the boost, pass.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

33% Parlay Boost on a 3+ leg parlay. No one leg can be a larger favorite than -500. Max bet again is $50.

DeVonta Smith to score a TD +240
Smith is +200 for anytime TD scorer. If I am on the other prop, it makes sense I would be on this. I am heavily invested in the Eagles for the second straight week.

Chase Claypool to score a TD +170
Claypool is +160 for anytime TD scorer. This is an easy pass as it is barely a boost.

Barstool Sportsbook
Big Cat Can’t lose Parlay
CLE/PIT/TB to all win/ PHI +8.5/Over 47.5 KC and BAL +350
Shockingly, this is pretty solid. This parlay should pay +259. I think Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all win. I am on the Eagles, as you know. That means we get over in the KC/BAL game, but at a seven-point discount. Plus, we can hedge middle the total in the night game. I like this. I am in!

Fox Bet
 Eagles to score a TD at +100. My Max bet was $10. Maybe yours is larger, but I doubt it. Fox Bet has allowed us to bet things like this for a max of $10, but last year you could do it every day. I am not opposed to a free $40 if I can bet this every day until Sunday.

Ben 250+ Yards passing/2+ TD Passes/Steelers to win +200

Cooper/Lamb/Allen/Williams to each record 50+ Yards Receiving +300

NFL
PHI +3
I think the Eagles are good. The Niners lost several defensive players to injury. We will continue to ride the birds as dogs.

CAR +3.5
Every year in week two there are lines that are an overreaction to week one. I present to you the Saints on the road one week after a large portion of the betting public thought they were going to be crushed by the Packers. Yes, the computer model has the Saints, but here we are.


PITT -5.5
Old school betting take incoming. The Raiders played late Monday night on the west coast and now travel to the East coast for a 1 PM game against a very good defense and team that had an extra day of rest. On the other hand, these are games that Tomlin has a history of blowing. The Raiders somehow win in Pittsburgh a lot more often than they should. Tomlin last week proved that he was going to play to win games and threw to get first downs late instead of running the clock. Maybe, and yes this is the Steelers fan in me, Tomlin has figured out the aggression necessary to put games away. I hope the Steelers do not come out flat in this spot, but I think this is a tough ask for the Raiders.

CHI -1.5
Ohhhh this is an overreaction. The Bengals could have easily lost last week and the Bears would be -3 here. I am down with the Bears.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-9 43.75%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-3 +025

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

We almost hit that odds boost on Barstool, just needed Gibson to run in that TD instead of Mckissic. Nevertheless, we move on and are on to the main event of week two. I want to remind everyone that the computer model plays are based on the Westgate Super Contest Lines. They are stagnant and do not change. Again, when I post my plays for the DK contest they may be different from the computer model or what is posted. The Lines I will use at the bottom to mention my bets are the lines at the time of writing. I make bets all throughout the week, but to be fair to anyone out there I will mention the lines as they currently sit. I am mentioning this because I took the Eagles at +3.5 earlier in the week, but they are down to +3 throughout the industry.

Make sure you are subscribing to Numberball.com for all your DFS needs and listening to the show I am doing with Jeff Collins. We break down every single game in detail for DFS and sports betting purposes.

Last week was great, and hopefully, we can duplicate some of that success this week.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Nothing at this time.

Premium
HOU +12.5
NO -3
ATL +12.5

Regular Plays
PITT -5.5
CHI -2.5
IND +3.5
MIA +3.5
NYJ +6
SF -3.5
JAX +6
MINN +3.5
DAL +3
TEN +5.5
BAL +3.5
GB -11.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

There is nothing else listed at this time.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

33% Parlay Boost on a 3+ leg parlay. No one leg can be a larger favorite than -500. Max bet again is $50.

Barstool Sportsbook
Nothing is listed at this time. It appears Barstool is really catering to the college sports bettor, maybe that say more about their target demographic and who follows them on social media.

Fox Bet
 Eagles to score a TD at +100. My Max bet was $10. Maybe yours is larger, but I doubt it. Fox Bet has allowed us to bet things like this for a max of $10, but last year you could do it every day. I am not opposed to a free $40 if I can bet this every day until Sunday.

NFL
PHI +3
I think the Eagles are good. The Niners lost several defensive players to injury. We will continue to ride the birds as dogs.

CAR +3.5
Every year in week two there are lines that are an overreaction to week one. I present to you the Saints on the road one week after a large portion of the betting public thought they were going to be crushed by the Packers. Yes, the computer model has the Saints, but here we are.


PITT -5.5
Old school betting take incoming. The Raiders played late Monday night on the west coast and now travel to the East coast for a 1 PM game against a very good defense and team that had an extra day of rest. On the other hand, these are games that Tomlin has a history of blowing. The Raiders somehow win in Pittsburgh a lot more often than they should. Tomlin last week proved that he was going to play to win games and threw to get first downs late instead of running the clock. Maybe, and yes this is the Steelers fan in me, Tomlin has figured out the aggression necessary to put games away. I hope the Steelers do not come out flat in this spot, but I think this is a tough ask for the Raiders.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-9 43.75%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-3 +025

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

Island games are always super fun, even when they have a low total and may feature two bad teams. There are a few odds boosts to take a look at and possibly bet. The computer likes the WFT, but barely. It believe the spread should be -3.5 which is exactly what it is. When that is the case, and I personally do not have a lean on a game, I stay away.

I will update this article and add the rest of our computer model plays tomorrow. On Saturday, I will add in any odds, boosts the sites begin adding. It seems like last year they had their odds boosts ready by Thursday, but this year, they are waiting until Friday evening or even later. I wonder why they are choosing to wait. It feels odd to me. I would think they would get more traffic, if they just went ahead and posted them.

9-15-21
That was a decent start to the season.

On the Numberball NFL Rundown, I gave out six plays I liked. (Also, you should subscribe to Numberball.com for all your daily fantasy needs.)
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
ARZ WIN
PHI WIN
DEN WIN
LVR WIN

Our Computer model gave out two premium plays.
HOU WIN
MIA WIN

In the Draft Kings Pick’em contest I went 5-0.
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
DEN WIN
PHI WIN
LAR WIN

I am pretty sure I could not have drawn it up any better. A grand total of 32 people went 5-0 in the DK contest, of course I would like to win, and the $1 million that comes with winning the crown. There are over 1800 runners, so I am realistic as to what it would take to actually win. While it was nice to start the season this way, we are right back at it for week two. Sports betting is a very long grind and it never stops if you play multiple sports. One thing to keep in mind when you see me tweet my picks for the DK contest, they are avoiding ties by moving every line a half-point. This means a team that is +3 in every market may only be +2.5, or conversely +3.5 in the contest. There is no need to tweet at me, “how did you get +3.5, when I only see +3.” Believe me, I understand. As I mentioned last year on the show with Jeff Collins, there may be times a line has moved and you have to take it in the contest. Lines for most picks contest lock on Wednesday night. If major new breaks or a QB is ruled out, the line may be drastically different for what we can actually bet, yet the line for that contest is stagnant and will not change.

Just like last week, I will update this blog post throughout the week as different odds boosts are posted by the major sites. I hope that they can give us a dog we like again boosted to plus money. Even the one boost that failed, was due to injury and Fan Duel was nice enough to refund that money in site credit. I am still upset about the night two years ago, I bet an over on Jonathan Isaac of the Orlando Magic and he got hurt in under thirty seconds. It seems strange that FD decides to refund some things due to injury, but not others. I mean, the Mostert boost was their own sponsored boost, so perhaps that had something to do with it. Even though it was refunded, I am counting my suggestion to bet that boost as a loss. After all, it did not win.

Computer Model Plays
Platinum


Premium


Regular Plays
WFT -3.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Daniel Jones to have 1+ Passing TD’s in each half +360
Jones TD prop is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced at -205. This is an easy fade for me. I hate timed boosts and he is barely expected to get two passing TD’s let alone guessing on the timing. Pass.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

20% Profit Boost for TNF and every Sunday game. This is a max bet of $50, but you should use this, then bet more after. I mean why would you not take a team from -110 into plus money?

33% Parlay Boost on a 3+ leg parlay. No one leg can be a larger favorite than -500. Max bet again is $50.

McLaurin to record 100+ receiving yards +265
McLaurin’s player prop is set to 67.5 yards. If you head over to FD, you can bet him to record 100+ yards at +280. This is an easy pass on the boost.


Barkley or Gibson to score a TD in first half +120
I hate timed bets and I hate either or bets. You are almost always better taking the individuals. Pass for me.

Young to record 1+ sack +100
The total sacks in this game is set to 5.5. Over on Fox Bet over 2.5 sacks by the WFT -167. This is an odd one. In their two games last year, Chase Young had one sack only. The issue is that Daniel Jones may not throw many passes if this is a low scoring grind of a game. If you think WFT wins and is ahead most of the game, then by all means fire away as Jones will have to throw. However, when games are close, low scoring and competitive, Jones sometimes does not throw much. Against the Bronco’s last week, despite being behind and throwing more than usual, Jones was only hit three times and sacked on two of them. They were all by Von Miller. This is not a slam dunk auto bet, but in fact about right on the line. I am going to avoid, but if you like WFT a ton it makes sense to be on this.

Barstool Sportsbook
WAS to lead at half time and win the game +135
If you bet this as a parlay on another site it should pay +109, so this is a boost. If you really like the WFT tonight and think they dominate or lead throughout, then you can fire away. I am staying away as it may take the backup QB some time to get acclimated, and you have to be winning at half time. Not exactly, a lot of prep time on a short week. Pass for me.

WAS to win/Gibson to score/Gibson to rush for over 67.5 Yards +350
I cannot find an exact comp here due to the yards being different and not all yardage is listed on every website. However, a parlay of WFT to win, Gibson anytime TD scorer and over 70 rushing yards should pay +258 on FD sportsbook. This is a very strong boost. You get a break on the yardage and it pays significantly more. I like it. I am in.

Fox Bet
Free $5 bet every Thursday, but must opt in. I always use it on first TD and try to make it a bigger bonus.

McLaurin and Shepard both 50+ Yards receiving +100
McLaurin is set to 67.5. Shepard is set to 57.5.
If you were to wager on the prop of their alternate receiving yards set to 50+ and parlay them it should pay +129. On the face, this seems like a good boost, but you can find better elsewhere. Pass.

*For Sunday they have the Eagles to score a TD at +100. My Max bet was $10. Maybe yours is larger, but I doubt it. Fox Bet has allowed us to bet things like this for a max of $10, but last year you could do it every day. I am not opposed to a free $40 if I can bet this every day until Sunday.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL
Nothing at this time.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-8 46.66%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +125

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

That was a decent start to the season.

On the Numberball NFL Rundown, I gave out six plays I liked. (Also, you should subscribe to Numberball.com for all your daily fantasy needs.)
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
ARZ WIN
PHI WIN
DEN WIN
LVR WIN

Our Computer model gave out two premium plays.
HOU WIN
MIA WIN

In the Draft Kings Pick’em contest I went 5-0.
PITT WIN
MIA WIN
DEN WIN
PHI WIN
LAR WIN

I am pretty sure I could not have drawn it up any better. A grand total of 32 people went 5-0 in the DK contest, of course I would like to win, and the $1 million that comes with winning the crown. There are over 1800 runners, so I am realistic as to what it would take to actually win. While it was nice to start the season this way, we are right back at it for week two. Sports betting is a very long grind and it never stops if you play multiple sports. One thing to keep in mind when you see me tweet my picks for the DK contest, they are avoiding ties by moving every line a half-point. This means a team that is +3 in every market may only be +2.5, or conversely +3.5 in the contest. There is no need to tweet at me, “how did you get +3.5, when I only see +3.” Believe me, I understand. As I mentioned last year on the show with Jeff Collins, there may be times a line has moved and you have to take it in the contest. Lines for most picks contest lock on Wednesday night. If major new breaks or a QB is ruled out, the line may be drastically different for what we can actually bet, yet the line for that contest is stagnant and will not change.

Just like last week, I will update this blog post throughout the week as different odds boosts are posted by the major sites. I hope that they can give us a dog we like again boosted to plus money. Even the one boost that failed, was due to injury and Fan Duel was nice enough to refund that money in site credit. I am still upset about the night two years ago, I bet an over on Jonathan Isaac of the Orlando Magic and he got hurt in under thirty seconds. It seems strange that FD decides to refund some things due to injury, but not others. I mean, the Mostert boost was their own sponsored boost, so perhaps that had something to do with it. Even though it was refunded, I am counting my suggestion to bet that boost as a loss. After all, it did not win.

Our computer model play for Thursday night will be posted tomorrow.

Computer Model Plays
Platinum


Premium


Regular Plays

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded with a $25 free bet. You have to do these things.

Barstool Sportsbook

Fox Bet

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL
Nothing at this time.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 7-8 46.66%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 2-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 2-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall 4-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +125

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

9/11/21- I am happy to go 1-0-1 in college today and have moved on to tomorrow. I have updated and added the odds boosts for every site. I have also included my wagers. I will tweet out my plays for my picks contests Sunday before kickoff!

9/10/21- Last night was the appetizer Sunday is the main course. I am so excited! I have updated all the odds boosts and placed all of our computer model plays below as well. Sunday at 1 PM cannot get here soon enough!

The sites have been pretty slow to post any other odds boosts for this weekend in the NFL. I will update and post on Saturday after they are revealed, if there are any.  I will also update with my wagers and what I am putting into my picks contest this weekend!

9/9/21-Week One is upon us. While all of our wagers and computer model picks will be listed later in the week, here is a little background. We breakdown our computer model into three categories. The highest is platinum. The next level is Premium. The remaining are just regular plays. Our recommendations is to play the platinum and premium plays. Yet, you can look at our data for the last few years and see that if you bet every single game based upon the computer model, you would be profitable. We started tracking our data with the 2015 season and began posting three season ago. Of course, during the 2019 season our plays were behind a pay wall for a large portion of the season. Just to give you an idea, this is how we finished last season.

Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

I said we have data for the last few season and here it is. The breakeven point for betting assuming -110 is 52.4%. As you can see, we are well above that in totality. If you were to bet $110 on every single NFL using our model, last year you would have won $14,700 on winners and lost $12,210 on losers, for a net return of $2,490.

Computer Model Record
2015-2020
Overall 797-672 54.25%
Premium 178-146 54.93%
Platinum 31-30 51.66%

Overall
2015 132-132 50%
2016 127-94 57.47%
2017 108-99 52.17%
2018 141-118 54.44%
2019 142-118 54.62%
2020 147-111 56.97%

Premium
2015 43-37 53.75%
2016 30-24 55.56%
2017 18-21 46.15%
2018 32-21 60.38%
2019 31-28 52.54%
2020 24-15 61.54%

Platinum
2015 2-1 66.67%
2016 4-4 50%
2017 6-4 60%
2018 6-11 35.29%
2019 11-5 68.75%
2020 2-5 28.57%

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Nothing for this week

Premium
HOU +3
MIA +3

Regular Plays
PITT +6.5
WFT -1
CAR -5
ARZ +3
ATL -3
IND +3
CIN +3
SF -7.5
KC -6
NYG +3
NO +4
CHI +7.5
BAL -4.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Risk free $25 wager. If it loses, you get $25 in site credit back. I tried to hit a home run with this in college by taking the Minnesota money line; I will do the same and take a live dog here as well.

$5 in bonus credits for every win a team has during the year, if you bet $50+ on them to win the Super Bowl. If your team wins 10 games, you can max this out and make it a few wager essentially. I think taking a team with a higher win total obviously, makes sense to make this “free,” but does negate any value or hedge equity for later in the season as those teams have shorter odds to win the title. 

Mostert to score 2+ TD’s +600
If you listened to the podcast or watched the video I did over at Numberball.com, you know how I feel about him. I am in on this. Niners will run for a ton of yards tomorrow.

PA Super Boost PHI +3.5 +125
I was on the Eagles before this boost. I assume it is for PA players only. I think the healthy Eagles offensive line allows them to score a lot. I do not believe in the Falcons. I am in.

Draft Kings
20% Boost on every single Sunday game. Honestly, if you are betting Sunday and the line is the same, you should be betting here to get the boost. That is my plan.

DK continues to offer their Wild Card Promotion. You get a new one at different levels of betting or DFS play. There are up to five in total with the top end being reached when you get to $2500 in sports betting or DFS play before week two of the NFL season. Make you go to promos and opt in though.

Risk free same game parlay for the NFL. Just like with most of these opt in is required. Make sure to do so. Normally Fan Duel does this only up to $10, but here DK is giving you a refund up to $25. These are things you have to try to take advantage of!

All of the DK boosts for Sunday are meh. Pass on those boosts and just use the 20% on every game you are into.

Barstool Sportsbook
Chicago Bears +7.5 at +100. The more people that bet it the larger the multiplier becomes. I believe the max is bet $5 to win $50 if the Bears cover. I get what Barstool is trying to do here, and yes, this is a nice boost, but it is nowhere near the free money that Draft Kings is giving out. Should you play this, of course. It is a very large boost. The optimal play here is to play this for max bet of $5, then turn around and bet $6 on the Rams -7.5. No matter what you turn a profit, although it is only one dollar if the Rams cover, it is much more if the Bears to keep it close.

Fox Bet
SF/BUF/SEA to all win +250
This should pay +176 so it is a boost. I think San Fran is going to be very chalky especially in money line parlays and that makes a lot of sense to me. Buffalo should beat my Steelers, but the Steelers are going to be a frisky dog. Seattle being on the road in Indy against a Colts team that has been in flux seems like a trap. I am avoiding just because of the Seahawks. Pass for me.

Jalen Hurts to throw 1+ TD passes +100
My max bet is so small, I hope yours is larger. I am obviously in. I like the Eagles tomorrow so of course I like this one.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL
Pitt +6.5
There is value on the Steelers. This line feels inflated to me since everyone loves Buffalo and the Steelers have been told they are supposed to be bad. They will not be. Steelers make sure this is a very close game.

PHI +3.5
I am very bullish on the Eagles in the early season. There are plenty of questions, but I do like them this Sunday.

LVR +4.5
Home dog getting points to open a new stadium at night. Baltimore has injury issues as you know. This feels like Baltimore has to squeak past the Raiders in order to win.

SF/LAR/KC ML Parlay +141 (FOX)
We are living in a world where the Chiefs in week one are the smallest favorite of these three and appear to be the most in jeopardy. The Browns could not beat a backup QB in the playoffs, they are not winning here.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2021-2022
Computer Model
Overall 0-1 0%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 0-0 0%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 0-0 0%

Our Plays
Overall 0-0 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 1-1 50% +000

College Football
Overall 2-1 66.66%
College Odds Boosts 1-0 +100

Last night was the appetizer Sunday is the main course. I am so excited! I have updated all the odds boosts and placed all of our computer model plays below as well. Sunday at 1 PM cannot get here soon enough!

The sites have been pretty slow to post any other odds boosts for this weekend in the NFL. I will update and post on Saturday after they are revealed, if there are any.  I will also update with my wagers and what I am putting into my picks contest this weekend!

9/9/21-Week One is upon us. While all of our wagers and computer model picks will be listed later in the week, here is a little background. We breakdown our computer model into three categories. The highest is platinum. The next level is Premium. The remaining are just regular plays. Our recommendations is to play the platinum and premium plays. Yet, you can look at our data for the last few years and see that if you bet every single game based upon the computer model, you would be profitable. We started tracking our data with the 2015 season and began posting three season ago. Of course, during the 2019 season our plays were behind a pay wall for a large portion of the season. Just to give you an idea, this is how we finished last season.

Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

I said we have data for the last few season and here it is. The breakeven point for betting assuming -110 is 52.4%. As you can see, we are well above that in totality. If you were to bet $110 on every single NFL using our model, last year you would have won $14,700 on winners and lost $12,210 on losers, for a net return of $2,490.

Computer Model Record
2015-2020
Overall 797-672 54.25%
Premium 178-146 54.93%
Platinum 31-30 51.66%

Overall
2015 132-132 50%
2016 127-94 57.47%
2017 108-99 52.17%
2018 141-118 54.44%
2019 142-118 54.62%
2020 147-111 56.97%

Premium
2015 43-37 53.75%
2016 30-24 55.56%
2017 18-21 46.15%
2018 32-21 60.38%
2019 31-28 52.54%
2020 24-15 61.54%

Platinum
2015 2-1 66.67%
2016 4-4 50%
2017 6-4 60%
2018 6-11 35.29%
2019 11-5 68.75%
2020 2-5 28.57%

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Nothing for this week

Premium
HOU +3
MIA +3

Regular Plays
PITT +6.5
WFT -1
CAR -5
ARZ +3
ATL -3
IND +3
CIN +3
SF -7.5
KC -6
NYG +3
NO +4
CHI +7.5
BAL -4.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Risk free $25 wager. If it loses, you get $25 in site credit back. I tried to hit a home run with this in college by taking the Minnesota money line; I will do the same and take a live dog here as well.

$5 in bonus credits for every win a team has during the year, if you bet $50+ on them to win the Super Bowl. If your team wins 10 games, you can max this out and make it a few wager essentially. I think taking a team with a higher win total obviously, makes sense to make this “free,” but does negate any value or hedge equity for later in the season as those teams have shorter odds to win the title. 

Draft Kings
20% Boost on every single Sunday game. Honestly, if you are betting Sunday and the line is the same, you should be betting here to get the boost. That is my plan.

DK continues to offer their Wild Card Promotion. You get a new one at different levels of betting or DFS play. There are up to five in total with the top end being reached when you get to $2500 in sports betting or DFS play before week two of the NFL season. Make you go to promos and opt in though.

Risk free same game parlay for the NFL. Just like with most of these opt in is required. Make sure to do so. Normally Fan Duel does this only up to $10, but here DK is giving you a refund up to $25. These are things you have to try to take advantage of!

33% Parlay Boost for college football. This must be 3+ teams and no one can be greater than -500. The Max bet is $50 here.

Barstool Sportsbook
Chicago Bears +7.5 at +100. The more people that bet it the larger the multiplier becomes. I believe the max is bet $5 to win $50 if the Bears cover. I get what Barstool is trying to do here, and yes, this is a nice boost, but it is nowhere near the free money that Draft Kings is giving out. Should you play this, of course. It is a very large boost. The optimal play here is to play this for max bet of $5, then turn around and bet $6 on the Rams -7.5. No matter what you turn a profit, although it is only one dollar if the Rams cover, it is much more if the Bears to keep it close.

Fox Bet
SF/BUF/SEA to all win +250
This should pay +176 so it is a boost. I think San Fran is going to be very chalky especially in money line parlays and that makes a lot of sense to me. Buffalo should beat my Steelers, but the Steelers are going to be a frisky dog. Seattle being on the road in Indy against a Colts team that has been in flux seems like a trap. I am avoiding just because of the Seahawks. Pass for me.

First Score of the Game to be a PSU TD +100 (PSU vs. Ball State)
My max bet is very small, but PSU is a 22-point favorite. I am in, backing the school that I hate.

Iowa/Texas/USC to all win Saturday +350
Iowa is a 4.5-point road dog in a rivalry game. Texas is -7.5 on the road in Arkansas. USC is a massive 17.5-point favorite against Stanford. This parlay should pay +296. While two of these seem solid with favorites that should win, be aware that books will try to squeeze a name in on these boosted parlays. I am passing. I am not taking a road dog in a boost like this.


Miami (Fla)/BYU/USC to all win +450
Just like above BYU is a 7.5-point dog. This is trying to lure you into the name BYU. This parlay should pay +372. Pass for me.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL
SF/LAR/KC ML Parlay +141 (FOX)
We are living in a world where the Chiefs in week one are the smallest favorite of these three and appear to be the most in jeopardy. The Browns could not beat a backup QB in the playoffs, they are not winning here.

College Football
Pitt -3.5
I know, I am awaiting Pitt to break my heart and ruin my over bet on them and for them to not win the coastal. Yet, it will not happen this week. Pitt will lose as a large home favorite, not in this spot. I am in.

Northern Illinoi +7
NI got a big road win at Georgia Tech last week after going winless last year. Wyoming struggled and should have lost at home to Montana State. I am taking the home dog after their big road win.  

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2021-2022
Computer Model
Overall 0-1 0%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 0-0 0%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 0-0 0%

Our Plays
Overall 0-0 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 1-1 50% +000

College Football
Overall 1-1 50%

Week One is upon us. While all of our wagers and computer model picks will be listed later in the week, here is a little background. We breakdown our computer model into three categories. The highest is platinum. The next level is Premium. The remaining are just regular plays. Our recommendations is to play the platinum and premium plays. Yet, you can look at our data for the last few years and see that if you bet every single game based upon the computer model, you would be profitable. We started tracking our data with the 2015 season and began posting three season ago. Of course, during the 2019 season our plays were behind a pay wall for a large portion of the season. Just to give you an idea, this is how we finished last season.

Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

I said we have data for the last few season and here it is. The breakeven point for betting assuming -110 is 52.4%. As you can see, we are well above that in totality. If you were to bet $110 on every single NFL using our model, last year you would have won $14,700 on winners and lost $12,210 on losers, for a net return of $2,490.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Record
2015-2020
Overall 797-672 54.25%
Premium 178-146 54.93%
Platinum 31-30 51.66%

Overall
2015 132-132 50%
2016 127-94 57.47%
2017 108-99 52.17%
2018 141-118 54.44%
2019 142-118 54.62%
2020 147-111 56.97%

Premium
2015 43-37 53.75%
2016 30-24 55.56%
2017 18-21 46.15%
2018 32-21 60.38%
2019 31-28 52.54%
2020 24-15 61.54%

Platinum
2015 2-1 66.67%
2016 4-4 50%
2017 6-4 60%
2018 6-11 35.29%
2019 11-5 68.75%
2020 2-5 28.57%

Computer Model Plays
Platinum


Premium


Regular Plays
TB -8.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Risk free $25 wager. If it loses, you get $25 in site credit back. I tried to hit a home run with this in college by taking the Minnesota money line; I will do the same and take a live dog here as well.

$5 in bonus credits for every win a team has during the year, if you bet $50+ on them to win the Super Bowl. If your team wins 10 games, you can max this out and make it a few wager essentially. I think taking a team with a higher win total obviously, makes sense to make this “free,” but does negate any value or hedge equity for later in the season as those teams have shorter odds to win the title. 

TB -9.5 at +150 thanks to Pat McAfee. To be fair, our computer model does feel the spread should be double-digits. If you look at alternative spreads, TB at -9.5 is -110 on Draft Kings Sportsbook. This is actually pretty solid. If you are playing TB -8 or -8.5, there is a lot of value in adding a point to move up to +150. I think this is almost too good of a boost to pass up. Yes, there is a lot of risk here as the Bucs still need to cover, but I would rather lay this number at +150 then lay the -110. I am in.

Draft Kings
Has the Tampa Bay Bucs at +73 for week one of the NFL season. This max bet appears to be around $50. Go collect your free money! I am in.

DK continues to offer their Wild Card Promotion. You get a new one at different levels of betting or DFS play. There are up to five in total with the top end being reached when you get to $2500 in sports betting or DFS play before week two of the NFL season. Make you go to promos and opt in though.

Risk free same game parlay for the NFL. Just like with most of these opt in is required. Make sure to do so. Normally Fan Duel does this only up to $10, but here DK is giving you a refund up to $25. These are things you have to try to take advantage of!

Brady to throw for 300+ Yards and No INT’s +250
Brady’s pass prop is set to 300.5 yards. Brady to not throw an INT is -130. This combo should pay +233. In this case, this is such a small boost it is not worth wagering. There is also the built in blowout risk since the Bucs are larger favorites. Pass for me.

Dak to throw for 350+ Passing Yards +240
Dak’s passing prop is set to 294.5. If you look at alternate lines, Dak to throw for 350+ yards on the Fan Duel Sportsbook pays +265. As you guessed, this is an easy pass. This is your yearly reminder to always shop around and find the best line. Please have money on multiple books, so you can bet this if you want at the best price. Pass on this boost.

10+ points in first quarter -135
I am not a big fan of timed boosts. Pass.

Barstool Sportsbook
Chicago Bears +7.5 at +100. The more people that bet it the larger the multiplier becomes. I believe the max is bet $5 to win $50 if the Bears cover. I get what Barstool is trying to do here, and yes, this is a nice boost, but it is nowhere near the free money that Draft Kings is giving out. Should you play this, of course. It is a very large boost. The optimal play here is to play this for max bet of $5, then turn around and bet $6 on the Rams -7.5. No matter what you turn a profit, although it is only one dollar if the Rams cover, it is much more if the Bears to keep it close.

TB to lead after each quarter +150
Mostly, I avoid all timed wagers. There is no urgency for the Bucs to score quickly if there is one minute left in the first quarter in a tie game, or while trailing. Pass.

Lamb or Evans to score 1^st TD +515
Lamb is +1200 and Evans is +650. Usually when you have options like this I prefer to just play the players individually. If you bet $100 on this boost and hit it pays +515 for a net of +$515. Yet, if you bet them individually, while you are risking twice as much you get the added bonus of Lamb possibly hitting at +1200. If Evans scores you would win +$650 – $200 in wagers for +$450. The added ability of Lamb paying off +1200 is significantly better than this combined boost. Pass for me.

Fox Bet
TB Bucs to score at in every quarter Thursday night. This is boosted to +100. This is roughly -115 across the industry so it is a boost. The game has a high total at 52 points and the Dallas defense is bad, as we, all know. I am in on this, but not completely. My max wager is pretty small too. I know opening games teams are not always sharp and it can be a struggle, but I think the Bucs finally had an off season and may actually be better if that is possible. I am in! This is also not specific for who must score, which adds to it. A defensive TD is completely in play. You also get a poker mystery chest on Fox Bet (Poker Stars) if you place a football wager before Thursday. This can contain cash, but I assume it is not much.

Brady to throw a TD in each half +100
Brady’s TD total is only set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced at -180. Knowing that the likely outcome is Brady throwing two touchdowns, this seems like something to avoid. In addition, I just mentioned that I am not a fan of timed wagers. I am passing here too.

Football Futures
Pittsburgh Steelers over 8.5 wins +110
Am I a Steelers homer. Yes. The Steelers have not had a losing season since 2003. The year before Ben joined the team. With all the talent they have they only need to go 9-8 to hit this over and it pays plus money. The Bengals seems to be in shambles. The Ravens have no healthy weapons. The Steelers will hit this number.

Las Vegas Raiders Under 7 wins -110
The Raiders are clearly the fourth best team in their division. They have a tough start against three playoff teams from last season and could find themselves 0-4 before hosting the Bears in week five. I could see the Raiders going 1-7 on the road this year. This team continues to get worse.

Houston Texans Under 4 wins +100
The Texans are a three point dog at home in week one, to the Jaguars. They will not be favored all season long. 0-17 is 100% in play.

Pitt over 7 wins +100
Pitt to win the ACC Coastal +1000
I am a Pitt grad. I have been fading Pitt for years. I expect them to disappoint every single year. They have not let me down. Yet, this year I am extremely bullish on the Panthers. This is their best team in a while. They have a QB who could be a first round pick. They return a plethora of starters and depth with experience. What is the path to winning their portion of the conference? Miami and UNC are expected and the betting favorites to win the Coastal. Pitt plays both of these teams at home. I know Heinz Field is not exactly a home field advantage. But, with those games later in the season, it may be cooler and Pitt may have some buzz and perhaps fill the stadium.

Other Wagers I made where the number is gone
Broncos to win Super Bowl 50/1
Remember that day we thought Aaron Rodgers may go to Denver? I do with this wager. LOL. The Broncos are now 40/1.

Jalen Hurts to win MVP 100/1
Is Hurts going to win the MVP? Most likely no. However, he is down to 75/1. I made this wager before Carson Wentz was traded and knew there was value there.

NFL
Nothing at this time.

College Football
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2021-2022
Overall 0-0 0%
Platinum 0-0 0%
Premium 0-0 0%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 0-0 0%

College Football
Overall 1-1 50%