I love big Friday night NBA slates. Having more games for DFS and to bet on increases the fun and intrigue. I am not going to post what I am doing as of yet, because I will be using some NBA in the Draft Kings Sports Betting Championship tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
ORL +3.5
DET +10.5
MEM +1.5
MIL -4
CLE +5.5
LAC -2.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
NOP +9.5
CHA +1.5
IND +4.5







*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% Profit Boost on any one SGP (DK)
Remember these are insanely profitable for the books and they will keep making offers like this for you to use and try.

NOP/GSW to combine for 30+ made 3’s +225 (DK)
The Pelicans average 11.4 made 3’s per game.
The Warriors average 15.6 made 3’s per game.
Combined this should be at 27 or so made threes. Considering this is basically asking them to go over their average by three it is not a bad price at all. However, this game has blowout potential and a surprising low total of only 214. Pass for me.




Giannis and Randle to combine for 5+ Blocks/Steals +225 (DK)
Giannis’s Block prop is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Randle’s Block prop is set to 0.5 and the under is very heavily juiced.
Giannis’s steals prop is set to 0.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Randle’s steal prop is set to 0.5 and the over is juiced.
All of this adds up to the under for me. The Knicks play slower and it seems these props are suggesting around 3+ blocks/steals for these two. I am passing.

Harden/FVV to score 25+ each +350 (Fox)
Harden’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
FVV’s point prop is set to 18.5.
You can parlay them to go over their player prop for +272. This boost is pretty aggressive in terms of what each would need to get to 25+. FVV is +360 himself on FD to get 25+ so obviously; this boost is not great and should be avoided. Pass.


BRK/SAS/CAVS to all win +450 (Fox)
This should pay +440. This is not much of a boost. The Spurs are a small road favorite and the Cavs are a decent sized dog. Pass for me. I want my boosts, to be real boosts.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 6-7 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-6 -325
Hoops Player Props 0-1 -100
NBA Model Highest Rated 8-9 47.05%
NBA Model 60-52 53.57%

Like most weeks, very few odds boosts are posted. I may not post as much as I am taking part in the Draft Kings Sports Betting Championship this weekend. Wish me luck!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
BUFF -14.5



Premium
MIN +6
GB +7 (Despite a massive downgrade, still grade out so well)
ARZ -1.5

Regular Plays
CIN -2.5
DEN +9.5
HOU +6.5
LVR -3
NE -3.5
PHI +1.5
LAR -7.5
CHI +6

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Draft Kings

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
BAL/MIA/NO to all win +200
This should pay +164. One of these feels like is going to lose. The Texans are different with Tyrod. Minnesota line is too large as an overreaction to last week. The Saints are laying almost a TD with Trevor Siemian. Pass for me.

NFL
CIN -2.5
I love the Bengals coming back this week and winning. Cleveland is headed the wrong direction.

SF +1
Murray may sit and the Niners almost won this game in Arizona with no offense. Grabbing this number, in case it moves.

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 59-65 47.58%
Platinum 4-7 36.36%
Premium 16-13 55.17%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 20-20 50%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-10 61.53%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200 Combined
Overall 23-11 67.64%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

Several teams are on a back-to-back and there are plenty of key players that are questionable. Be aware of what is happening and paying attention to the news. At the time of posting, these are the lines. The lines will move and change as injury news drops throughout the day and evening.

UTA: Goebert is out. Mitchell is questionable.
ATL: This is a back-to-back.
LAL: The key players are questionable.
PHI: This is a back-to-back and Embiid may rest.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DET +5
UTA -2
BOS +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
PHO -10.5
LAL -13






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Fan Duel
I will never play these.

Jaylen Brown and Jimmy Butler to combine for 50+ Points +170 (DK)
Brown’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Butler’s point prop is set to 22.2 and the over is slightly juiced.
I would rather parlay them to both go over at +238 on FD than bet this boost. This is usually the case with these combined boosts.


Sixers/Hawks/Heat to all win +300 (Fox)
On FD this parlay pays +322. Easy pass.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 6-7 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-6 -325
Hoops Player Props 0-1 -100
NBA Model Highest Rated 7-9 43.75%
NBA Model 57-50 53.27%

I get we must put every team on TNF, but we got very lucky that the Jets are hot and more fun. Who knows with this game? Our model has the spread at 11 and of course, it sits at 10.5 points at the moment.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium


Regular Plays
IND -10.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

Jets and Colts to each score 1+TD’s in each half +250.
I do not bet timed boosts. Pass.

Draft Kings
Colts/Jets to record 6+ Sacks +165
The Jets average 2.42 sacks per game.
The Colts average 2.12 sacks per game.
Combined they average 4.54 sacks per game. Obviously, this is under what they prop is set to and asking for a larger jump. I am passing, as this seems a tad high.


Mike White to have 275+ Passing Yards +155
White’s passing prop is set to 253.5.
White is +142 to throw for 275+ yards tonight over on FD. This is a boost, but a very small one. I am passing. Maybe White can pull it off again, but no one really knows. I am passing.


Jonathan Taylor 100+ Rushing Yards +180
Taylor’s rushing prop is set to 83.5. Taylor to run for 100+ pays +164 on FD. This is an easy pass.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Michael Carter and Jonathan Taylor to each score a TD+420
This parlay should pay +285. This is a pretty solid boost if you think the Jets will compete tonight. Feel free to fire on this one. I am passing because I think the Jets could be crushed.

Fox Bet
Wentz and White 275+ Passing Yards +400
White’s passing prop is set to 253.5.
Wentz’s passing prop is set to 244.5.
This parlay should pay, +552 over on Fan Duel. This is an easy pass as a better price is out there on another book.

NFL
SF +1
Murray may sit and the Niners almost won this game in Arizona with no offense. Grabbing this number, in case it moves.

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 58-65 47.15%
Platinum 4-7 36.36%
Premium 16-13 55.17%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 20-20 50%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-10 61.53%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200

Combined
Overall 23-11 67.64%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

Some night the NBA can be cruel. The Pelicans were winning at the end of the first three quarters, yet failed to cover getting 11.5 points. It happens sometimes, but all you can do is move on and get ready for the next slate.

For the first time this year, there are multiple boosts I believe are worth betting!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +5
BOS -6.5
TOR +3.5
PHI -2
NYK +1
ATL +5
DEN +1
LAC -1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
DAL +1
NOP +4.5
CHA +6





*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
LaVine/KD/Randle to score 20+ +140 (FD)
KD’s point prop is set to 27.5
Randle’s point prop is set to 22.5 and the over is ever so slightly juiced.
LaVine’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +104. Every player is expected to eclipse 20+ based upon their betting odds and point props. This is also a solid boost. I am in.

Get a $1 free bet for every made 3 in CHA/GSW (DK)
You must opt in and make a $50+ wager on the game. I will be doing this.
CHA averages 14.6 made threes a game. GSW averages 15.2 made threes a game. Even if they fall short of their averages, I think a $27 free bet at least is in play. I am thinking about the Hornets +190 money line at the moment but will tweet my decision later.

25% Profit Boost SGP (DK)
They will do anything to get people to bet these SGP’s. They must be slightly profitable haha.

LaMelo to have 40+ Points/Rebounds/Assists +400 (DK)
LaMelo’s combo is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This would take him going over his prop numbers by a great deal, as you can tell. You could just parlay him to go over each prop 19.5/5.5/5.5 at +468 instead. I realize he could go wild scoring and get you there, but I wanted to present options and explain why I am passing. I am out on this.


Trae to have 25+ points and 10+ Assists +450 (DK)
Trae’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Trae’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +336.
Trae has accomplished this combination exactly zero times this season. Yet, this game has a higher total compared to some games and this is a larger boosts than what is normally given out on wagers like this. Despite Trae having not done this during this new season, I am going to play this because of the size of the boost. With his point total near the number needed, it is a larger bet on his assist total going over. I am in.

Tatum and Randle 25+ Points +350 (Fox)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Randle’s point prop is set to 22.5 and the over is ever so slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +307, so it is a boost, yet Randle really needs to go over and I am skeptical of him. Yes, I realize I have him going over 20+, bit this is an extra five points we are talking about. I am going to pass on this one.


BOS/NYK/DEN to all win +450 (Fox)
Can you spot the small spread team in this parlay? It is a trick there are two. This should pay +443, not much of a boost. Pass.

Trae and KD 25+ Points each +185 (Barstool)
Trae’s point prop is set to 25.5.
KD’s point prop is set to 27.5
This should pay +150. This is a solid boost. Both players are expected to land at or past the numbers needed. I am in.

NYK and BRK to both win +220 (Barstool)
NYK are one-point dogs tonight. Brooklyn is a smallish favorite. This parlay should pay +202 or so. If you like them both sure, but I am always shying away from these small spread games being thrown in these boosts. Pass for me.

NBA
Embiid over 26.5 points -105 (DK)
Who on the Bulls roster has a chance at defending him? This game has a small spread and should be competitive. Oh, the Sixers are also missing Tobias Harris and Embiid will be asked to do even more offensively.

ATL +5
Can you tell I like the Hawks tonight?

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 6-6 50%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-3 -025
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 6-9 40%
NBA Model 51-45 51.51%

The NBA never stops and that is why I love it. At some point, I will stop falling asleep on the couch, but that normally does not happen until NFL season ends. The Pelicans game has plenty of injuries, but with what we know now, the model really likes them. I am here for smaller slates being easier to break down and play DFS.

NBA Model Plays
MIL -4.5
MIA -2.5
UTA -9
NOP +11.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
LAL -10




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Boost is back on Fan Duel. I hate it so much. Pass.

Luka Triple Double +600 (FD)
Luka is +400 to record a triple-double on other sites.
Luka’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Luka’s rebound prop is set to 7.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Luka’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the over is juiced.
This is a fair price and boost for Luka. But, can he actually get there. Luka has zero triple-doubles this year in seven games. Luka had 11 triple-doubles last season. In reality while this is a boost, Luka has not demonstrated a ceiling this year at all. This game also has a low total of only 210 points. Pass for me.

Suns to record 15+ made 3’s +500 (DK)
The Suns average nine made threes a game. I suppose you could hope this game blows out and the Suns get hot from deep, but they only attempt 29 3’s per game. If this game had a higher total and we were expecting more points I could maybe see being interested. Nevertheless, again the total is only 215 points. Pass for me.


LeBron and AD to combine for 50+ points +130 (DK)
LeBron’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
AD’s point prop is set to 23.4 and the over is slightly juiced.
You could just parlay them to both go over for +253. As usual with these combined boosts betting them alone, or parlayed is better. I am passing.


Bam to record 3+ Steals/Blocks +190 (DK)
Bam is averaging 0.4 blocks and 1.0 steals per game. He has recorded 3+ only once in five games this season. I like Bam tonight especially his DK price, but this is tough. There are no specific player props for defense listed on any site at this moment. While I do have interest in Bam, I am passing.

MIL/DAL/UTA to all win +320 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +305. Dallas is a small dog tonight, if you read every night you know how these sites keep adding in small dogs in these parlay boosts. Pass for me.

Luka/Fox/Mitchell 25+ points each +400 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Fox’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is juiced.
I was ready to fire on this and hope that Fox gets there, but after running it this should pay +473. This is an easy pass if I can find a better price elsewhere. Pass.


Barstool has a, to win opening tip boost. I mean why?

NBA
NOP +11.5
I am rolling with the model. If the injury news breaks against the Pelicans and you did not bet this yet, please stay away.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-3 -025
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 6-8 42.85%
NBA Model 49-42 53.84%

If you saw my Tweet last night, you know this upcoming weekend should be interesting. While I am devising my strategy for the Draft Kings Sports Betting Championship, we have a few days before Friday. Until then we have NFL and NBA tonight.

The NFL is at the top of this post and NBA is afterwards near the bottom. All model information and break down of odds boosts are there though.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
NYG +9.5


Premium


Regular Plays

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

1+ TDs scored in each quarter +150
We do not bet timed boosts like this. Pass.

Mahomes and Jones to combine for 5+ TD passes +200
This would mean the over comes in for sure. Do you really want to wager on two struggling offenses to not just score five TD’s but pass for five? No thanks.

Draft Kings
25% Boost on a SGP (Opt in required)

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

KC to win and over 50+ points +110
This should pay +100 or so. This is pretty fair, as the Chiefs money line grows even larger this becomes better. The total in this game is 52.5. Ehhh, I am passing again. I like it when boosts are so solid that you have to play them. That is not the case here. It is fine and you can do it if you like.

Fox Bet
Mahomes 300+ passing Yards/Tyreek TD/KC wins +250
This should pay +227, so it is a boost. I have my doubts and worries about the Chiefs at this time. I honestly, have no idea what is going to happen. This seems like a very solid get right spot for Kansas City, but I am staying away.

Daniel Jones 2+ Passing TD’s and Giants to win +450
The Giants are +360 to win on their own. Why would you even make this bet? This should ay +940 on another website easy pass.

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-65 46.72%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 16-13 55.17%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 19-20 48.71%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-10 61.53%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200

Combined
Overall 23-11 67.64%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

NBA Model Plays
CLE +5
POR +2
IND -2.5
NYK -7
WAS +5.5
CHI +3 (Highest Rated in Model)
DEN +2
ORL +9
LAC -11.5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tatum and LaVine to each score 25+ points +240 (FD)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 23.5. The over is juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 27.5.
This should pay +182. This is right around both players prop number and is a boost in a tight completive game. I like it. I am in.

25% Profit boost PHI/POR (DK Opt in required)
This has become a little more interesting with Embiid out. I want to use this on Tobias Harris, but currently all player props are down.

NYK/DEN/MIN +270 ML Parlay (Fox)
This should pay +256. Denver is a tiny dog, but the other two are solid favorites. I am passing here, since this is the second time the Nuggets and Grizzlies are playing in a short time frame. Well, that and I hate putting small dogs in parlays like this. Pass.

NBA
CHI +3

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 5-5 50%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-2 +075
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 5-8 38.46%
NBA Model 45-37 54.87%

Look, if there was a game Joel Embiid could sit, tonight makes a ton of sense. The Sixers are large favorites and playing a winless Detroit team. The line is saying to me that Embiid is going to play. This will drop a few points if he sits.

This is also a road back-to-back for The Hawks and Grizzlies tonight. It is time to really focus on the schedules and travel as the season has really started.

Last year the model was on the Knicks from the jump and that seems to be continuing.

NBA Model Plays
DET +10.5
WAS +2.5
NYK +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
UTA -9.5
SAS +7
GSW -5.5


*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 risk free same game parlay (FD)
There is an opt in required, but always do this when it is risk free.

$25 risk free same game parlay (DK)
Again, you have to do these things and get a free bet if it loses.

Ja and Steph to combine for 60+ points +100 (DK)
This game has a total of 229.
Ja’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Steph’s point prop is set to 32.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This is a road back-to-back for the Grizzlies.
If you parlay these two to score 30+ each it should pay +291.
If we look at this a different way and parlay Ja to score 25+ and Steph to score 35+ it should pay +243. No matter how you slice it, you are better off parlaying a different combo versus betting this boost. Pass.

Rose to score 20+ +350 (DK)
Rose’s point prop is set to 13.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Rose is +500 to score 20+ on FD, so this is an easy fade.

John Collins and Zach LaVine 2+ dunks each +300
WHYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY? Nope.


WAS/CHI/UTA to all win +425 (Fox)
This is a weird one as two of the teams have a spread that is very small. This should pay +393, but why would you wager on this tiny spreads in a parlay unless you liked it before seeing the boosts? Pass.

NBA
NYK +1.5

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 4-5 44.44%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-2 +075
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 4-5 44.44%
NBA Model 30-24 55.55%

I am going away this weekend and will try to update as I can. Normally, I am only dropping the Thursday night game in this post, but today I am posting everything. The model feels like the rest of the world does that the Chiefs are overrated and should not be giving a ton of points to anyone, but Daniel Jones on the road.

The computer also likes the Pats, but I believe two games against the Jets this season have really inflated their numbers. Of course, they are going to look better when you have two games already against a bottom team in the league.

Our model usually sides with dogs when they are getting close to double-digits. However, if you noticed that did not occur last week and certainly is not happening this week.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
NYG +9.5


Premium
CAR +3
BUF -13.5
CIN -10.5
LAR -14.5
NE +6

Regular Plays
ARZ -7
SF -4
PIT +3.5
DET +3.5
IND -1
SEA -3.5
DEN -3
NO +5.5
DAL -1.

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
$10 Same Game Parlay. If it loses, you are refunded in site credit. Always, take the risk free stuff.

1+ TD in each quarter ARZ/GB +190
We do not bet timed boosts. Pass.

Aaron Jones and Nuk Hopkins to each score 1+ TD +350
Ehhhhh, the Packers offense could be very odd. Jones should up his volume, but this was supposed to be a great game. This should pay +246. I am passing because there are so many unknowns.

Draft Kings
$25 Same Game Parlay is back! That means if you lose it is refunded as a $25 bet.

All of the DK boosts are basically projecting the over to hit tonight. That seems odd considering the Packers have no WR available. I am passing on all of them.

25% Profit boost 5+ Leg College Parlay
No leg can be longer than -500
Pitt/ECU/Tulsa/Clemson/FAU ML Parlay boosted +242
This is the best way I could use this and push the envelope. Every team is right on the ML border of -500. So, why not take a shot as every team is a touchdown favorite or larger.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Barstool also has a few boosts that all essentially are saying the over is going to come in with scoring. If every book is pushing these boosts that are edging toward the over, it should make you think and wonder why. I am passing.

Fox Bet
Fox has the exact same boost as FD but it only pays +300 here. Again most of the boosts are timed, or relate to the over coming in tonight. Yes, I realize that happens often, but this feels like a red flag for what happens tonight. I am passing.

NFL
LAC -4.5 (Barstool)
Rest and a chance to wash that awful Raven’s game out of their mouth. The Pats are not good.

IND -1
Who do you think the public will be on in this one?

College Football

Let’s Get Weird
Pitt/ECU/Tulsa/Clemson/FAU ML Parlay boosted +242 on DK

NFL Computer Model
Overall 47-61 43.51%
Platinum 3-7 30%
Premium 12-12 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 15-19 44.11%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 16-8 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 10-25 -1215
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200 Combined
Overall 23-9 71.87%
Odds Boosts 12-26 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +027

Back to a full slate of games again. Nothing quite like losing three games yesterday by a total of 3.5 points. It happens. I am playing two games tonight, one is the model top play and one is a game I really like. I think the Heat are pretty good and have everyone back.

NBA Model Plays
CHA -6
MIA +4.5
IND +1
ATL -5.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
WAS +4.5
LAL -7.5
MIL -6.5
SAC +7.5
MEM +2.5
CLE +8


*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
$20 risk free same game parlay (FD)
There is an opt in required, but always do this when it is risk free.

$25 risk free same game parlay (DK)
Again, you have to do these things and get a free bet if it loses.

Earn a $1 Free Bet for every point over 200 in Memphis/Portland with a $50+ wager on the game (DK)
The total is 234. You have to play this, but how. These are two of the faster teams in the league and the over has come in quite a bit for both of them. I am going to play this game in some capacity, check twitter, as I will post what I do. Please make sure you opt in.

30+ 3’s made Heat/Nets +230 (DK)
This game has a lower total of only 217.5 points.
The Heat average 10 made 3’s per game.
The Nets average 12 made 3’s per game.
Ummm, no thank you. Pass.


Trae Young to score 30+ +200 (DK)
Trae’s points prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trae to score 30+ pays +186. Therefore, this is a boost, but a very tiny one at that. You can play this if you want, but I am passing. The Hawks are deep and the Pelicans are not good.


Ja Morant to record 40+ points and assists +230 (DK)
Ja’s combo here is set to 33.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
You can parlay Ja to score 25+ and have 8+ assists for +220. This feels a little too high and should pay more. I am passing here as the parlay I suggested pays almost the same. If you were to parlay Ja to have 30 and 10, it would pay +651 on Fan Duel. Pass on this boost.

Tatum and LaMelo to each make 3+ threes +250 (FD)
Tatum’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
LaMelo’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is also heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +192. Both of these players have made more than two threes in half their games this season. I am going to fire on this one. Tatum gets Washington and Ball gets the awful Magic. I suppose there are blowout concerns, but I am going to risk it. I am in.

WAS/BRK/ATL to all win +450 (Fox)
This parlay pays +498 on Fan Duel. Easy Pass.

NBA
MIA +4
Finally healthy it seems.

ATL -5.5
I trust the model.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record   0-1 -100
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-1 +175
Hoops Player Props 0-0
NBA Model Highest Rated 4-4 50%
NBA Model 25-19 56.81%