The Rockets, Jazz, Knicks, and Nuggets are all on a back-to-back. The Nuggets even played an overtime game where Jokic went nuclear. The Bulls have struggled with good team this year and get another shot at one in Philly tonight; the line is a little surprisingly large at Sixers -7.

Houston is coming off a shocking upset of Memphis and now gets to lose to Miami tonight. Kyle Lowry is still out for the Heat, but Gabe Vincent has been fine and Tyler Herro has played well off the bench. Portland will be without Simons and any talent for the most part in Minnesota tonight. I do not even know what to do with the Blazers at this point. The Blazers are close to the play-in, but that seems wildly unlikely. They are much better off tanking the last month here.

Utah gets to play again tonight in Dallas. Utah is 2-0 against the Mavs this season and before their loss in New Orleans over the weekend were 10-1 run. The dead, but not really dead Lakers play in San Antonio tonight. No matter what the Lakers will end up in the play-in tournament in the West. The Spurs are one of the teams that could conceivably catch them, but it is highly unlikely. The Spurs have several starters listed as questionable right now.

The Warriors will be playing their second unit tonight in Denver. Klay, Steph, Wiggins, Payton, Iggy, Dray, and Wiseman are all out. This feels like a spot that the Nuggets could rest Jokic since the Warriors have already made it clear how they are handling this game.

The Knicks find themselves as a dog in Sacramento on their West Coast swing. The Kings are the healthiest they have been in a while.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHI +7.5
ATL -7
MIA -14.5
POR +15
LAL +2.5
UTA +0.5
GSW +8.5
SAC -3.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
DK Mystery Odds Boost for an SGP
I got 50%.

DDR and Embiid to combine for 60+ Points +120 (DK)
Here is DK again with the combined boosts.
Embiid’s prop is set to 30.5. DDR’s prop is set to 28.5. You can just parlay their over for +238. Pass on this boost.


LeBron to score 55+ Points/assists/rebounds +500 (DK)
LeBron’s combo prop is set to 45.5 and the over is slightly juiced. This I not bad, but you could parlay LeBron to go over his prop on assists and rebounds and score 35+ for +735. That would put you at 50 combined. I would much rather do that. Pass for me.

ATL/PHI/LAL to all win +280 (Fox)
This pays +300 on FD. Easy pass.

NBA
SAC -3.5
The Knicks are 3-5 straight up in back-to-backs this season. The Knicks have two wins since February 1. TWO.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 202-2022
NBA Record 37-40 48.05%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-44 46.98%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-19 +494
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-65 +1086
Hoops Player Props 7-15 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 434-405 51.72%

The Bulls, Hawks, Pistons, and Raptors are all on a back-to-back. FVV and OG are both already out for Toronto. Tobias Harris is questionable for the Sixers. Anthony Edwards is out for Minnesota. The Thunder may have only nine bodies tonight and two of them I heard the names of for the first time two days ago.

The Sixers will play against a real defense for the first time since the Harden debut. I am very curious to see how the Cavs can try to slow them with their baseline. The Suns will still be without Booker and CP3 again as they host the Knicks. I have been waiting for the Suns to stumble without both of their backcourt starters, but it has not happened yet.

Several larger favorites on the slate tonight, it may be time to lose a money line parlay again. We have two boosts and an SGP for tonight!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +7
IND -3.5
WAS +4.5
CHI +5
TOR -7
UTA -4
MIN -9.5
HOU +13.5
NYK +6.5





*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a double-double and Sixers to win +110 (FD)This should pay around -130. I am in on the Sixers. I know the defense may be tougher tonight, but this is basically Harden to record 10 assists and the Sixers to win. I think they do and he will certainly have his chances. Harden’s assist prop may be set to 10.5 and the under is juiced, but Harden to record 10+ assists is -154. I am in.

DK SGP Mystery Odds Boosts
I got 50%. If you get 100-200% I think you should be taking advantage of that.
I really like SGA and this Minnesota game tonight. So here we go. I was limited in my wager amount due to the max win limit, as I like to have fun with these but make them somewhat plausible.

Bridges and Cam Johnson to combine for 4+ made 3’s +105 (DK)
More of this combined stuff on DK. I would rather parlay their over props. Pass for me.


Giannis or DDR to score 40+ points +330 (DK)
This is not terrible since you get both. Giannis is +480 and DDR is +750 to record 40+. This game does have a massive total of 240 points. I am out on this though. Giannis did score 30 against the Bulls earlier this year. LaVine is back for the Bulls and this is asking a lot. Pass for me.

PHI/NOP/DEN to all win +240 (FOX)
This pays +248 on FD. The Pelicans are also dogs. Pass for me.

Winthrop/Murray State/Belmont to all win +140 (Barstool)
This should pay +114. Two of these are larger favorites and one is smaller favorite of only four-points in Belmont. I have not put a hex on a favored team in a conference tourney in 36 hours, so it is time. I am in.

NBA
SGA over 27.5 Points -114 DK
With the injuries he is shooting so much.

SGA 35+ +330 (FD)

Let’s Get Weird
PHI/TOR/MIN/DEN ML Parlay +135 (DK)
All four are playing weaker teams and are 7+ point favorites. Who randomly loses? Minnesota?

NBA Record 202-2022
NBA Record 37-40 48.05%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-44 46.98%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-64 +1076
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 426-397 51.76%

The Bulls, Hawks, Pistons, and Raptors are all on a back-to-back. FVV and OG are both already out for Toronto. Tobias Harris is questionable for the Sixers. Anthony Edwards is out for Minnesota. The Thunder may have only nine bodies tonight and two of them I heard the names of for the first time two days ago.

The Sixers will play against a real defense for the first time since the Harden debut. I am very curious to see how the Cavs can try to slow them with their baseline. The Suns will still be without Booker and CP3 again as they host the Knicks. I have been waiting for the Suns to stumble without both of their backcourt starters, but it has not happened yet.

Several larger favorites on the slate tonight, it may be time to lose a money line parlay again. We have two boosts and an SGP for tonight!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +7
IND -3.5
WAS +4.5
CHI +5
TOR -7
UTA -4
MIN -9.5
HOU +13.5
NYK +6.5





*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a double-double and Sixers to win +110 (FD)This should pay around -130. I am in on the Sixers. I know the defense may be tougher tonight, but this is basically Harden to record 10 assists and the Sixers to win. I think they do and he will certainly have his chances. Harden’s assist prop may be set to 10.5 and the under is juiced, but Harden to record 10+ assists is -154. I am in.

DK SGP Mystery Odds Boosts
I got 50%. If you get 100-200% I think you should be taking advantage of that.
I really like SGA and this Minnesota game tonight. So here we go. I was limited in my wager amount due to the max win limit, as I like to have fun with these but make them somewhat plausible.

Bridges and Cam Johnson to combine for 4+ made 3’s +105 (DK)
More of this combined stuff on DK. I would rather parlay their over props. Pass for me.


Giannis or DDR to score 40+ points +330 (DK)
This is not terrible since you get both. Giannis is +480 and DDR is +750 to record 40+. This game does have a massive total of 240 points. I am out on this though. Giannis did score 30 against the Bulls earlier this year. LaVine is back for the Bulls and this is asking a lot. Pass for me.

PHI/NOP/DEN to all win +240 (FOX)
This pays +248 on FD. The Pelicans are also dogs. Pass for me.

Winthrop/Murray State/Belmont to all win +140 (Barstool)
This should pay +114. Two of these are larger favorites and one is smaller favorite of only four-points in Belmont. I have not put a hex on a favored team in a conference tourney in 36 hours, so it is time. I am in.

NBA
SGA over 27.5 Points -114 DK
With the injuries he is shooting so much.

SGA 35+ +330 (FD)

Let’s Get Weird
PHI/TOR/MIN/DEN ML Parlay +135 (DK)
All four are playing weaker teams and are 7+ point favorites. Who randomly loses? Minnesota?

NBA Record 202-2022
NBA Record 37-40 48.05%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-44 46.98%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-64 +1076
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-41 42.25%
NBA Model 426-397 51.76%

I am pretty sure if I am on a higher seed in a conference tournament, they are in trouble! The best part of this time of year is games all day. The worst part of this time of year is games all day. Throw in some PGA and we get to have a lot of fun. We have seven games tonight and I am loving this stretch of a solid amount of games every night.

We have plenty of injury concerns as of now, as we usually do in the NBA. John Collins is doubtful and Trae Young is questionable for the Hawks. They are only a one point home dog to the Bulls, so I assume Trae is going to play. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown tonight and I assume Jayson Tatum will be highly owned in DFS. The same two guys remain questionable for thr Raptors in FVV and OG, but they are large favorites against the Pistons tonight.

Miami is on a tough road back-to-back after playing the Bucks they get to play the Nets and the return of Kevin Durant. No word on Kyle Lowry at this point. Sacramento is also on a back-to-back playing against the Spurs.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHI -1
MIA -2.5
TOR -8
MEM +2 (Premium)
SAC +7
GSW +2
LAL +2.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Place a $25 first basket bet and get $1 back for every three made Bos/Mem (FD)
I do not bet first basket bets. But if you are, at least you are going to get something back if it fails.

MEM/BOS SGP Boost 33% (DK)
+175 to +232
Ja 25+ points/Tatum 3+ made threes/Adams 10+ rebounds
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5.
Tatum’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. He is also -225 to make 3+ threes.
Adams prop is set to 10.5 and the over is juiced.
This should pay +169. This is a solid boost and everyone should be in range for this. Suprosingly, I am in on one of these pre-built boosted SGP’s.

Ja to score 35+ +215 (DK)
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5. This should pay +176 or so. I said it the other night; I am not into attacking the Celtics defense right now. However, Ja as you all know has been incredible. I am passing on this one.

Luke to score 40+ +475 (DK)
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Over on FD Luka is +560 to score 40+. This is an obvious and easy pass.

MIA/DAL/SAS to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +310 and includes two small two-point favorites. I am passing. I am not into small road dogs. I am out.


Trent/Tatum/Steph to all make 3+ 3’s +250 (FD)
Trent is -250 to make 3+ threes.
Tatum is -220 to make 3+ threes.
Steph is -350 to make 3+ threes.
This parlay should pay +161. I like this. Gary Trent has been shooting more with OG out and maybe FVV sits too. Tatum does not have Brown tonight. Steph is Steph. I am in.


Ja and LeBron to combine for 4+ made 3’s +100 (FD)
I hate combined boosts. I would rather parlay as usual. You could parlay them to each make 2+ threes for +150. I am out.

Tatum/Curry/LeBron to all make 3+ 3’s +333 (Barstool)
Tatum is -220 to make 3+ threes.
Steph is -350 to make 3+ threes.
LeBron is -110 to make 3+ threes.
This should pay +255. I think the other two get there so I am more than happy to take a shot on LeBron here tonight. He has been shooting more threes this year and I am in.

Curry and Luka to score 25+ Each +160 (Barstool)
Curry’s prop is set to 24.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 29.5.
This should pay +133. I am in. Luka has been on fire and this gives me the Curry prop at +160. I am in!

NBA
MEM +2
We are going to find out just how goo Memphis is tonight. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown and their defense has been exceptional. I took Memphis a few weeks ago to win the title, but it is games like this where I want to see how they play on the road against a good team that has been coming on as of late. I am excited to find out.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 37-39 48.68%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-43 47.56%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-61 +1376
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-40 42.85%
NBA Model 424-392 51.96%

I am pretty sure if I am on a higher seed in a conference tournament, they are in trouble! The best part of this time of year is games all day. The worst part of this time of year is games all day. Throw in some PGA and we get to have a lot of fun. We have seven games tonight and I am loving this stretch of a solid amount of games every night.

We have plenty of injury concerns as of now, as we usually do in the NBA. John Collins is doubtful and Trae Young is questionable for the Hawks. They are only a one point home dog to the Bulls, so I assume Trae is going to play. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown tonight and I assume Jayson Tatum will be highly owned in DFS. The same two guys remain questionable for thr Raptors in FVV and OG, but they are large favorites against the Pistons tonight.

Miami is on a tough road back-to-back after playing the Bucks they get to play the Nets and the return of Kevin Durant. No word on Kyle Lowry at this point. Sacramento is also on a back-to-back playing against the Spurs.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHI -1
MIA -2.5
TOR -8
MEM +2 (Premium)
SAC +7
GSW +2
LAL +2.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Place a $25 first basket bet and get $1 back for every three made Bos/Mem (FD)
I do not bet first basket bets. But if you are, at least you are going to get something back if it fails.

MEM/BOS SGP Boost 33% (DK)
+175 to +232
Ja 25+ points/Tatum 3+ made threes/Adams 10+ rebounds
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5.
Tatum’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. He is also -225 to make 3+ threes.
Adams prop is set to 10.5 and the over is juiced.
This should pay +169. This is a solid boost and everyone should be in range for this. Suprosingly, I am in on one of these pre-built boosted SGP’s.

Ja to score 35+ +215 (DK)
Ja’s prop is set to 30.5. This should pay +176 or so. I said it the other night; I am not into attacking the Celtics defense right now. However, Ja as you all know has been incredible. I am passing on this one.

Luke to score 40+ +475 (DK)
Luka’s prop is set to 30.5.
Over on FD Luka is +560 to score 40+. This is an obvious and easy pass.

MIA/DAL/SAS to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +310 and includes two small two-point favorites. I am passing. I am not into small road dogs. I am out.

NBA
MEM +2
We are going to find out just how goo Memphis is tonight. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown and their defense has been exceptional. I took Memphis a few weeks ago to win the title, but it is games like this where I want to see how they play on the road against a good team that has been coming on as of late. I am excited to find out.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 37-39 48.68%
College Record 2-4 33.33%
Hoops Combined Record 39-43 47.56%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-61 +1376
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-40 42.85%
NBA Model 424-392 51.96%

When Jaylen Brown got hurt a few minutes into the game, I assumed my Celtics and under wagers could be in trouble. I was very concerned the under was dead toward the end of the first half. Yet, the reason I liked Boston and the under was their defense. In the second half, they adjusted and it worked very well. The Hawks scored just 33 points in the second half. Yes, you read that correctly. The Hawks scored 37 points in the second quarter, but could not muster the offense to come anywhere close in the second half. It is worth monitoring how quickly the totals adjust to Boston defensive ascension.

Tonight we have two rematches from just a few days ago with the Pacers and Magic playing tonight as well as the Knicks and Sixers. Houston is on a back-to-back tonight and may they have struggled in any and all situations. Kyle Lowry remains out for Miami in their matchup with the Bucks.

I made a few golf wagers already for the API this weekend. I am on Higgo 200/1 and Max Homa at 45/1. Both of these can be found on Draft Kings sportsbook.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE -3.5
IND -1
NYK +10.5
MIA +4.5
SAC +6
UTA -14
OKC +14.5
POR +13

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Rory/Mitchell/Hideki to all make the cut +120 (FD)
Wait, this is an NBA post. Yet, we are starting to see some PGA boosts that will for sure keep arising until the Master in a month. This should pay around -140 or so. I like this. I think all three are live to win. I may be playing some of these in my DFS lineups this weekend as well. I am in.

Harden to record a triple-double +425 (DK)
This is +240 on FD.
We know the points are not an issue at all. Harden’s rebound prop is set to 7.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Harden’s assists prop is set to 11.5 and the under is juiced. Harden -290 to record 10+ assists. I am looking at this as Harden to record 10+ rebound at +425. This is boosted as it almost pays double than what it does on FD. I am in. I need the Knicks to stay close here so Harden has to close the game.



Giannis to record 50+ points/rebounds/assists +185 (DK)
Giannis’s combo is set to 46.5 and the under is slightly juiced. This is a combo number that Giannis has struggled to reach. Additionally, in the two times they played this season, Giannis has not been great against Miami. Pass for me.


DK has a Mystery Profit boost for an SGP. I got 25%. Boooo.

Sixers SGP boost 22% (DK)
Embiid double-double/Harden double-double/ Sixers -9.5
This goes from +150 to +183 on DK.
This boosted price is about where it should be. I mean, you do get a slight break on all the prices, but not enough I feel like I have to bet it. Pass for me.

ORL/PHI/SAC to all win +600 (Fox)
I am not wagering $1 on the Magic. This features a large dog in the Kings and it should pay +577. This is such a small boost, I am out.

NBA
UTA -14
Houston in winless on back-to-back this season and the closest they have been is losing by seven points back in December. It feels really weird to lay double-digits on the road in the NBA, but Utah has not played since Sunday.

Let’s Get Weird
UNC Ashville -10
They have beaten Charleston Southern by 19 and 23. This is an early afternoon start. After my wager yesterday was up 14 with the ball with a minute left and did not cover 10.5, I expect bad things with college hoops.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 37-38 49.33%
College Record 2-3 40%
Hoops Combined Record 39-41 48.75
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 30-40 42.85%
NBA Model 421-387 52.10%

This is a back-to-back for Minnesota, Toronto, and Brooklyn. Since this is a road game Kyrie is allowed to play. The Lakers are playing against the red-hot Dallas Mavericks, LeBron is listed as questionable the Lakers are 5.5-point home dogs. Yikes. I am not the first person to say it, but the Lakers closing schedule is brutal. They will be fortunate to be in the play-in tournament.

I made a few golf wagers already for the API this weekend. I am on Higgo 200/1 and Max Homa at 45/1. Both of these can be found on Draft Kings sportsbook.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS -3.5
BOS -6 (Premium)
BRK +8.5
LAC -7
MIN +1.5
DAL -5.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mavs/Lakers SGP Boost 33% (DK)
LeBron 30+ points/Luka 10+ Assists/MAVS ML
+500 to +665
LeBron’s prop is set to 28.5.
Luka’s prop is set to 8.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +559. This is a solid boost but you are asking both players to go over here by a few. There is also a chance the Lakers are dead and the Mavs, who are playing well, roll them. I am passing. I think there is a chance the Lakers get crushed and there is not enough time for these guys to get here. On the other hand, if LeBron does score 30+ the Lakers may win, making this boost a little odd with the MAVS money line. I am out.

Hawks/Celtics SGP Boosts 33% (DK)
Brown 25+ points/Tatum 25+ Points/Trae 10+ Assists
+475 to +631
This should pay +581. This is a boost, but it is rather on the small end for a number this big. I am just not into attacking the Celtics defense right now. Pass for me.

Celtics to win by 10+ +155 (DK)
The Celtics -9.5 are +138 on another site. This is a very fair price if you believe in the Celtics to win and cover. I would rather just play them ATS, but this is fair. Pass for me.


KAT and Curry to combine for 7+ made 3’s +140 (DK)
Here we go with the combined stuff again on DK.
Curry’s prop is set to 4.5 and the over is juiced.
KAT’s prop is set to 1.5 and the over is juiced.
You can parlay them to go over for +199. I would much rather do that as usual with these combined boosts. I am passing on the boost.

Duke/Purdue/Arizona to all win +220 (FD)
The College hoops boosts should ramp up in the next few weeks. This features not one, but two small road favorites. Pass for me! This should pay +160 though if you want to fire.

DET/BOS/LAC to all win +375 (FOX)
Since it is Fox you know a dog is going to be included in this.
This should pay +359. This is a tiny boost and the Pistons are dogs. Pass for me.

TEN/OK/ARZ to all win +160 (Barstool)
This should pay +132. I was in after the first two legs, but taking a small dog on the road seems bad after the last week of college hoops. Pass for me.

Trae and Tatum to each score 25+ +160 (Barstool)
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 26.5.
This parlay should pay +132. This is a decent boost and both players. Yet, the Celtics defense has been exceptional recently and I do not want to attack them. Pass for me.

NBA
BOS -6
BOS/ATL Under 227.5
I am here for the Celtics resurgence. No Collins again for the Hawks and they played a few days ago with this game sailing way under. I think Boston coming off that subpar Sunday against the Pacers get it going tonight.

Let’s Get Weird
FGC -10.5
Oh it is March so it is time to dip back in on college hoops. North Alabama lost to them by 32 when they last played and NA has lost their last eight. Their season ends tonight.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-38 47.94%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-40 48.05%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-40 42.02%
NBA Model 417-385 51.99%

I said it on Twitter, but I need to say it here too. I saw my guy Bryson at +2800 on DK Sportsbook this morning and immediately bet it. I love Bryson. When Bryson is +2000 or more, I just bet him. My friends call it my Bryson Tax. (Bryson just decided to not play, I saved some money.)

Tonight we have a back to back for the Pacers and the Hornets. The Hornets game even went to overtime yesterday.

After those first two games, I feel even better about my Sixers futures. There is obviously, a long way to go.

As always, make sure to opt in to boosts, missions, or whatever promos are out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND +1
CLE +3.5
BRK +4
CHI +4.5
MEM -8.5
CHA +10.5
SAC -5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
SGP Random Odds Boost (DK)
I got 50% I am going to use this!

LaMelo or Giannis to record a Triple-Double +650 (DK)
Giannis is +650 to record a triple-double on FD and LaMelo is +1800. Yeah, you are clearly better off betting both on FD instead of getting both for Giannis’s price on DK. Pass on this boost.

CLE/ORL/MIA to all win +600 (Fox)
They want you wager real money on the Magic to win. Pass. This should pay +585. I am out.

NBA
IND +1
The Magic should never be favored.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-37 48.61%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-39 48.68%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-14 -735
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-40 42.02%
NBA Model 415-380 52.20%

About 13 months ago, I wrote a blog titled, “What is NBA Top Shot? Should you buy packs?” Imagine that. A time when packs, plural, more than one, were just readily available. While we made some money on NBA Top Shot back then, we missed the boat slightly. If I had jumped in a few months earlier, I would have made even more money. I do not want you to get the wrong idea here. I did make money, just not as much as I should have. When the market tanked, it hit everyone hard.

Smartly, Top Shot has invigorated things in two ways. The nightly flash challenges are rewarding people who ow and acquiring moments to complete them, but financially and with entertainment. Even if you have a low-value moment, it could end up in a challenge on a given night and allow you to sell it for a profit, or complete the challenge. I have friends who do not closely follow the NBA as I do, but are locked in when they think they have some components for a challenge. I think this will be huge moving forward for interest to stay high and users to stay engaged. Top Shot has the ability to pick random challenge ideas that make even the worse Top Shot moment potentially have some value. Additionally, the challenge rewards have been a nice bonus to many Top Shot account holders.

While the profitability is key, acquiring new users and retaining their interest is massive moving forward. Yes, some of the original moments and rare ones will have value. Nevertheless, for the ordinary person to keep buying packs and coming to the marketplace there needs to be a reason. The flash challenges give them a reason, even if it is to only dump their five Daniel Gafford’s they got in the last pack drop.

The second and most important change NBA Top Shot has made is to include rare moments in regular packs. I get they want to reward their high volume owners with Elite pack drops. Again, you have to give the general public a reason to buy new regular packs. Including some rookies numbered to /4000 is not it. Finally, Top Shot has included more limited or rare moments in regular packs. Yes, the chances of landing them are remote, but the chase and the gamble help sell the product. Why are people buying into sports card box breaks? The chase and the gamble. What if, remains a very powerful phrase when buying sports cards or digital moments, or NFT’s. Do you sell that unopened hobby box? Do you rip it yourself? Do you sell your newly minted NFT prior to reveal? What if it is very rare and worth a significant amount of money. We as people enjoy the chase and the gamble, while also trying to strategically profit.

To summarize, NBA Top Shot is slowly climbing and I believe will keep doing so, albeit slowly. However, that is not why we are here. We are here to talk about the NFL equivalent to NBA Top Shots, NFL All Day. NFL All Day already has the benefit that it is owned by Dapper and users can share a wallet to buy packs and moments on either platform. Today, the NFL All Day Market is supposed to open. At the first try, it lasted 38 seconds before crashing. (Insert it is still in beta joke.)

I was fortunate to get an early invite to NFL All Day. I know plenty of people still have not been invited. I am here saying that I bought every pack I could get my hands on. I am treating these like Series 1 NBA Top Shot moments. I have purchased 10 packs at this time and own 39 moment. My best pull was a Legendary Jaylen Waddle Rookie that is 47/49.

All Day was the first to put rare moments in regular packs. I am sure there will be challenges when next season starts. It would track with what Dapper is doing for the NBA. The NFL is perfectly built challenges, even during island games.

I am mentioning all this, as the market will hopefully; stay online today and moving forward. I will be trying to buy cheap moments. If you have not yet done so, I would advise signing up for an account. Of course, this is if you are allowed. I know some people who despite signing up have not yet received an official invite to join. After wishing I were in NBA Top Shot earlier, I have a chance here to be on the ground floor. Here we go!

It is James Harden debut night! Do not fall for these Harden odds boosts. There is plenty of uncertainty between his minutes, role and situation. Having said that, it is a great spot. Minnesota, Phoenix and OKC are all on a back-to-back. The Lakers will be without AD and LeBron may or may not play. He is going to play. He is ready to be the hero and will them to the playoffs, or he will try.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
HOU +3.5
OKC +7.5
CHA +2
WAS +3.5 (Premium)
NYK +6
PHI -2.5
DAL +5.5
NOP +6.5
LAL -1.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them premium plays in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one premium play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bet an NBA team to win the title (DK) Return is in free bets
$25 MIN, get $1 for each win they have after the break.
$50 MIN, get $2 for each win they have after the break.
$100 MIN, get $5 for each win they have after the break.
Most teams have roughly 23 games remaining. Assuming a good team wins at a 60% clip to be safe, that’s about 14 wins the rest of the way.
This is an odd one for me. I have the Sixers already. I have a very old Nuggets ticket I forgot about. I want to get weird and West with this play. I am rolling with the Memphis Grizzlies at +2500. They have a very nice schedule to close with several teams that appear to have no direction, or ones that are headed toward the tank. This includes Orlando, Houston 2x, OKC, and Indiana 2x. That is six games they should win for sure. In addition, since the Grizz are such big dogs to win the title, I have some hedge equity in the plays. Memphis +2500.

LUKA to record 60+ points/rebounds/assists +475 (DK)
Luka’s combo is set to 49.5. Again, you could bet all of his overs parlayed for +515 and you can miss this boost number by ten. Pass.

Embiid and Harden to score 25+ and Sixers to win (SGP Boost DK)
+500 is the boost and it should pay around +400 on other sites as well.
Harden’s prop is set to 20.5 and Embiid’s is significantly higher at 30.5. Honestly, ehhh. This should be better. The Sixers are small road favorites and Harden’s prop is low. I want to like this. I am excited about Harden’s first start, but I am passing. There are too many unknowns in this scenario.

Harden to make 1+ 3 in 1^st quarter +100 (Fox)
Harden’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced. This is an easy pass. He is expected to make two threes, and I hate timed bets like this. Pass.

TOR/SAS/MIN to all win +550 (Fox)
I mean, they always put a dog in.
This should pay +547. I mean it is not even a boost and it includes a dog. Pass.

MIA/UTA/LAL to all win +340 (Barstool)
This should pay +274. LeBron is listed as questionable. I am very skeptical why the line is so small for the Lakers. Pass for me.

CJ and Booker to each score 25+ +240 (Barstool)
CJ’s prop is set to 22.5 and the over is juiced. Booker’s prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay +220. This is such a small boost. I am passing here. Booker is going to smash by the way.

NBA
WAS +3.5

Let’s Get Weird
Booker over 7.5 assist -120 (DK)
He is the point guard for now and his assists numbers will be up across the board.

Booker to have a double-double +230 (DK)
This is only +155 on FD.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 35-36 49.29%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 37-38 49.33%
Hoops Parlay Record   8-18 +594
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-60 +1476
Hoops Player Props 6-12 -535
NBA Model Premium Plays 29-39 42.64%
NBA Model 403-372 52%