After the tiny slate last night, we are back with a full set of NBA games. I said it last night and I will say it again, six to eight games is the perfect sweet spot. Tonight, I am on the Victor Oladipo train. I am still working on what I will do with my Draft Kings parlay boost. I will be sure to post it on Twitter later tonight.

NBA Model Plays
BOS +4.5
CLE +10
IND +1
ATL -5
TOR -4
MIN +3.5
HOU +6
MEM +1
LAC -10
SAS +1

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Booker and Oladipo combined over 55+ points +280 (FD)
What is this? You can parlay their player props of Booker 23.5 and Oladpio 21.5 to +242. Last time I checked 45 is slightly lower than 56. In this case I would rather do that then play this boost. Pass.

Embiid 30+ points and Sixers to win +560 (FD)
Embiid’s prop is set for 24.5 and I know he normally plays really well against the Celtics. You can parlay Embiid over 24.5 and Sixers money line to +161. Are six points really worth almost +400? In this case, maybe. Embiid does have several 30+ point performances against the Celtics and they are well rested. I think I have talked myself into this. I am in.

KD or Harden to record a triple double +1040 (FD)
Kyrie is back. Pass.

33% Profit Boost 3+ leg Parlay (DK)
Sadly, the largest money line you can use is -500. Both the big favorites today are -530. If they fall to -500 add in a third team and it will pay almost +200. I am going to wait this out, but use this on some combo I will post on Twitter.

Chris Paul and Devon Booker over 39.5 combined points +110 (DK)
This is basically right in line with their player props. On Fan Duel, you can parlay Paul over 15.5 and Booker over 23.5 at +235. They do not have alternate points listed at this time, but I would check back and see what Fan Duel has to offer. I bet you can lower each players prop and parlay to still get the +110 at a lower number of points needed.

Embiid and Jaylen Brown each to score 24.5 points +300 (DK)
As you know from above this is Embiid’s prop number. Brown’s is also set to 24.5 and in a same game parlay on Fan Duel this pays +248. At +300 this is a boost though. The small spread indicates this will be competitive. In addition, there is no Jayson Tatum, so Brown will be asked to do a ton. I am in on this. Unless the game is a blowout, this is solid.

Harden/KD/Kyrie 21+ points each +200 (Fox Bet)
This seems good, it really does. However, there is blowout potential and who knows how the minutes are divided. If the Nets are up 25, so any of them play in the fourth. Pass.

Embiid 1 or more Dunks and Sixers win +100 (Fox Bet)
I hate these dunk props. Embiid should dunk here and the Sixers should win. I am looking at this as Sixers money line at +100. It is a max of $100 so sure why not.

Nets/Mavs/Sixers to win +250 (Fox Bet)
I am not touching the Mavericks until they get some people back.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Clemson/UNC/Auburn to all win +650 (DK)
They are trying to trick you with some big name schools, but Auburn is a 6.5-point dog. Clemson is a small road favorite. Pass.  

NBA
Victor Oladipo Over 21.5 Points -108
In a 25 point loss, Oladipo took 23 shots and played 32 minutes. If this game is even remotely close, he is going to get there tonight. I am all over this.
 

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-9 -440
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 51-48 51.51%

Only having two NBA games tonight feels weird. I much prefer six to eight games every night. Instead, we have two. There is one odds boost I am recommending tonight, over on Fox Bet.

Last night could have been awesome as we were set up nicely. The three-team parlay closing with the Lakers money line allowed me to take the Warriors +8.5 and try to middle the game. The Lakers blew a lead and ended up losing. I broke even then. Anytime I can take zero risk into the late games with a chance to win a straight bet and a parlay I am going to do it. A quick math break down for you. I am using $100 as the wager amount to make the math clear and easy for everyone.

Wager 1 $100 parlay Knicks ML/Hawks ML/Lakers ML +332
A win pays $332
A loss -$100

Wager 2 $110 Golden State Warriors +8.5
A win pays $100
A loss -$110

If Lakers lose net result $0
If Lakers win net result $332-$110 = +$232
If Lakers win by 1-8 points net result $332 +$100 = +$432

This is why we middle games. A large window was created to win both wagers with zero risk after the first two games came in. If Lebron James hits that three at the buzzer, sweep the board.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
OKC +10 (Highest rated in the model)
NOR +6

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Zion to score 30+ points +500 (FD)
Zion’s points prop is around 22.5 today, so this is asking a lot in a game with 217.5 total, while also playing in Utah. Zion has two 30-point performances in 11 games this year. Pass for me.

Jokic to record a triple double and Nuggets win +250 (FD)
Jokic is +175 to record a triple double on Draft Kings and adding the money line is not terrible at -530. The down side is the game would have to be competitive for Jokic to get there. Despite what you might think of the Thunder, they are 5-1 on the road this year and have been competitive in every game. I would rather just play the triple double prop instead of this boost. In the same game parlay section of player props, this is already listed at +235. Such a tiny boost. Pass

Zion Over 2.5 Dunks +140 (DK)
I hate this prop and all dunk props. If I put my kids to bed and want to check on this, I cannot check a box score. I have to go and read the play-by-play instead to scroll and see if it happened. Fox Bet loves the dunk props. One time last year, they had a Jaylen Brown and Ja Morant to dunk combo prop. Fox Bet left the odds boost up, even after Memphis had played and Morant had dunked. It was a $50 max bet, but it was fun to fire and win after half of the prop was already in. I think it paid like +210 or something similar.

Jokic over 45.5 combined points/assists/rebounds and the Nuggets to win +125
You can bet this number without the Nuggets needing to win at -113 on Fan Duel. Pass.

Zion/Jokic/Mitchell 1+ dunks each +1000 (Fox Bet)
I mean, at least this is better than the DK dunk boost. I am not playing these.

Jokic triple double and the Nuggets to win +250 (Fox Bet)
When every site lists a similar odds boost, it has a tendency to lose. They did this with Curry last week too and Seattle Seahawks in the NFL Playoffs. Pass.

Jamal Murray to record a double double +1100 (Fox Bet)
Murray had zero double doubles this season. Murray has missed by one rebound or one assist twice though. Fox Bet has the same boost for Donovan Mitchell and he also has zero double doubles. Pass.

Jamal Murray and Brandon Ingram 20+ Points each +150 (Fox Bet)
Over on Fan Duel Murray’s points prop is 21.5 and Ingram’s is 22.5. For this bet, you get a slight break on each players points prop and it pays +150. I am in on this!

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing worth mentioning.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 10-9 52.63%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-8 -329
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-8 -340
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 51-46 52.25%

NFL model is 7-3 after two weekends of games, a pretty sweet 70%! Overall, for the season the NFL model is checking in at just under 57%. The NBA model has been hovering toward the middle the last few days, but is over 52% at this point in the season. Today, we have a larger NBA slate and it should be interesting. Make sure you are on Twitter and checking to see what players may sit, be hurt, or be in the COVID protocols. Yesterday, I bet the Pacers, and then Myles Turner was ruled out shortly after. You can always buy out on most of these legal sites for a small loss at that point, but that does happen with injuries.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
NYK +2 (Highest rated in model)
ATL -7.5
POR +2
DET +5.5 (Second highest rated in model)
DAL +5 (Road b2b, several rotation players are out)
BRK +2 (Kyrie is questionable currently)
CHI +2
LAL -8.5
MEM +4.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Fan Duel has nothing listed for a full NBA slate that starts at noon. Yet, they have EPL and NHL? Seems weird to me.

Lebron and Steph to make 8+ combined threes +200 (DK)
Lebron averages around two made threes a game and Steph makes about 4.5 a game. Both teams are well rested though and Steph off rest is the kind of Steph I like for these shooting boosts. I am all over this. Fire away!

KD and James Harden over 54.4 combined points +105 (DK)
This is right in line with their player props. If Kyrie is ruled out, I am betting this 100%. If he plays, then I will stay away.

33% Profit Boost 3+ leg Parlay (DK)
Lakers/Hawks and Team X can be boosted nicely. Just need to find that third team today!

Nets/Raptors/Bulls +600 (Fox Bet)
This involves several small favorites. Pass.

Lillard and Giannis 70+ points +200 (Fox Bet)
Lillard without CJ is nice, but this is a ton of points. Pass.

Julius Randle and RJ Barrett combined over 49.5 points +400 (Fox Bet)
I actually really like this. The Magic have been giving up a ton of points and have plenty of players out. These two play a ton of minutes and will have ample opportunity. I am in.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kansas and Baylor to go to OT +1085
Do people bet things like this in basketball. Why? I am never touching this.

NBA
Knicks +2
I trust the model and like the Knicks today. This should go well.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Using that 33% DK Parlay Boost Lakers/Hawks/Knicks ML +332

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 7-3 70%
Overall 145-110 56.86%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 8-9 47.05%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 46-42 52.27%

Hornets came through last night for the win, as Toronto does not cover yet again. Today is a busy day with the two NFL games and an NBA slate. AS a reminder, our computer model has both dogs today Cleveland +10 and Tampa Bay +3. Those lines appear to be dropping in both spots though.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

New NFL Playoff Odds Boosts for Sunday
Tyreek Hill First TD +680 (FD)
He is currently +650 on FD, so this is barely a boost. Pass, unless you were going to play it. He is however, +500 on DK right now. Remember, it always pays to shop around.

Nick Chubb to score 2 + TD’s +560
I mean if you believe in the Browns like this might as well play Browns money line. I think Chubb scoring twice would lead to a Browns win. Pass for me.

Kamara 100+ Rushing Yards and score 1 TD +350
Lat Murray being out makes this interesting, but Kamara Rarely runs for this many yards. If it were total yards, I would say max bet.

Brady to throw for 300+ yards and Bucs win +370
If you think one happens, I believe the other would be in play. I am starting to lean Tampa Bay today due to Saints injuries, so I may revisit this tonight.

Mystery Boost for both NFL Games (DK)
I got Kareem Hunt any time TD +185
While this is not bad, some people got Chiefs to score first and win.

50% live bet boost for both NFL Games (DK)
Wait until kickoff and bet whomever you want at plus money!

Brady and Brees to complete a 40+ yard pass +245 (DK)
I do not know how Drew Brees would do this? A screen and a lot of YAC? Pass.

Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards and 3+ passing TD’s +195 (DK)
Why not just parlay Kansas City and the over in this case?

Alvin Kamara first TD +500 (DK)
He is +490 on FD, massive boost here. LOL.

Gronk first TD +1950 (DK)
He is +1400 on FD, so this one is a real boost. You know what; I am going to take a shot on this for a small amount.

Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards and 3+ passing TD’s +200 (FOX)
Same as above, but a little better, but meh.

NBA Model Plays
BOS -7
DAL -7
PHI -3
UTA -1
NOP -3
IND +6.5 (Highest Rated in model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Paul George 30+ Points and Clippers win +350 (FD)
Is Kawhi hurt? Nope. So, pass here. I only am interested in PG props when they are low and Kawhi sits. Also, the Pacers are good.

Brandon Ingram to lead game in scoring +220 (FD)
Lonzo is out and Zion may be as well. I am intrigued here. I think I am going to fire on this one.

Ben Simmons to record a triple double and Sixers to win +650 (DK)
This is a road back-to-back for the Sixers, who are playing one of the worst teams in the league. Simmons had 11/16/9 last night. Simmons is +460 on FD to record a triple-double, but you cannot parlay them. I kind of like this and will throw a small sprinkle of a wager on it.

Zion over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists and Pelicans win. +210
Zion should get to this number if he plays, but the Pelicans are short road favorites. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I think they are focused on the other sports today.

NBA
IND +6.5
I am going to continue to ride the undervalued Pacers on the road. I hope Caris Levert gets healthy and can come back for the Pacers.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-3 62.5%
Overall 143-110 56.52%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 8-8 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 44-39 53.01%

You should never be betting so much money that one game, or one bet affects your life. Having said that, losing Bulls +1 last night was brutal. They blew two different 15-point leads and were outscored 19-3 to close the end of regulation. Losing by two points was the sweet icing on the bad beat cake. Nevertheless, we continue on to today. Make sure you ready our breakdown of the NFL Divisional games and odds boost from yesterday. I also tweeted new odds boosts the sites posted today.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
HOU +7
BRO -9
CHA +6.5 (Highest Rated)
PHI -1 (No Embiid, Morant maybe back. Be careful)
DET +5
ATL +5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
James Harden 25+ points and Nets win +115 (DK)
Ehhh, let’s see if Harden is cleared first. Besides that, how will the shots be distributed? Kyrie is slated to play too. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on 4+ leg parlay (DK)
Meh, unless you want to throw some money lines together.

Baylor and Virginia to win +180 (DK)
Two small road favorites. This is the Admiral Akbar odds boost.

NBA
CHA +6.5
They just played this game and the Hornets almost won. Gordon Hayward almost played the other night and should play tonight, but is listed questionable. I am running it back and still wondering why the Raptors are giving this many points to anyone.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-8 46.66%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-6 -140
Hoops Player Props 1-1 +000
NBA Model 42-36 53.84%

NBA model went 4-1 last night and is now hitting at 54% on the season. This will be much shorter than normal due to the length of the NFL post!

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
CLE +2
BOS -3
DAL +7.5
CHI +1
MEM +2 (Highest rated in model)
ATL +6
NOR +10
SAC +7

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
Giannis and Luka combined for 65+ points +200 (FD)
This is slightly too many points for me. Notice that they have these every day, yet, they keep losing. I am a lot more interested when the numbers are in the 50’s. Pass.

I wanted to mention, I would never post about first basket odds boosts. First touchdown is different and first basket is a lot more random.

Giannis and Luka to each score 30+ points +400 (DK)
They are trying to lure you in here. Pass.

Lebron James and Zion Williamson Over 50 points +230 (DK)
This I can get behind. If the game is competitive and Zion’s minutes have been steady above 30, I like this. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on 4+ leg parlay (DK)
Meh, unless you want to throw some money lines together.

NBA
CHI +1
Bulls are well rested and have been performing well on the road, either winnings games or staying close to good teams. Now, the baby Bulls get a bad team that is winless at home.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.  

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-7 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-5 -040
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 39-32 54.92%

The computer model went 5-1 last week in the playoffs and likes, all four dogs this weekend! That seems wild to me, but I trust the model. The model has gone 143-108 overall good for 56.97%!

I fully expect the sites to add more odds boosts for this weekend. I will add more information and update as the sites do. I might just post them in the NBA odds boost blog.

We are in the process of getting a podcast approved in all places that you can listen to podcasts. We are already up on Spotify and you can subscribe and download right here.

This week we released three different YouTube videos. You can watch our intro video here. You can watch our 2020 NFL Panini Prizm box break here. You can watch a more detailed breakdown of every NFL playoff game this weekend here.

Make sure you like all of our videos!

Also, do not forget to subscribe!

NFL Divisional Playoff Round Weekend Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
25% boost on 3+ leg parlay (Max Bet $25)
I am going to take advantage of this, but getting a little creative.
GB money line/KC money line/Baltimore money line/NO -3 +592
Boosted this is +740 makes this bet $25 to win $209.

50% live bet boost for both games on Saturday 1/16/21 (Max Bet $50)
I will be using this tomorrow. Remember, if you wait until the game locks, they sometimes hang a live number before they even kick off! That means you can bet the game with significantly better juice at plus money.

Any player to score 3+ TD’s +120
Ah, no thanks.

GB/BUF/KC/NO Money Line Parlay +365
This is available on Fox Bet at a better payout. This is also barely a boost. Last week the sites had an odds boost with Seattle in every money line parlay. Notice they are doing it again this week. Emoji eyes!

Davante Adams 2 or more TD’s +305
You know the volume will be there, but with Jalen Ramsey shut him down? Pass.

Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen to both score a TD +400
I am going to pass. While I think, they will run the ball each plenty, not as safe to say they both score.

Lamar Jackson Over 100+ Rushing Yards +180
I mean you could just bet his over prop of 76.5 yards at -112. I like the Fox Bet Boost more that I will mention below.

Fan Duel
It feels like Fan Duel will probably add some more? Having only two odds boosts seems pretty weird on a massive weekend like this.

Pat’s Picks
GB +0.5/TB +10.5/BAL +9.5 +160
I kind of want to play this. I suppose you could play this and still believe the Saints win.

Extra Points for Extra Pay
CLE +11.5/TB +4.5/BAL +3.5 +470
Our computer model really likes this. I might throw a little something on this. I am still debating.

Packers to win by 14+ points +225
I feel like you are better off just betting the Packers, but a blowout where Jared Goff with one thumb cannot get any points on the board is in play.


Fox Bet
Bet at least $10 on GB/LAR game and get a $10 free live bet. If you include this game in a parlay, even money line it counts and you get the free bet. I am in.

GB/BUF/KC/NO Money Line Parlay +400
The true odds of this are around +335, so it is a boost. I like one of these games to go the other way, so I will pass. Just like last week, the sites are offering a ML odds boost featuring the same teams. Hmmmm.

Lamar and Josh Allen to combine for 125+ rushing yards +150 (Max bet $100)
I love this bet. In the last six competitive games, Josh Allen has run for an average of 32 yards. In his two career playoff games, Allen has rushed for 92 and 54 yards. The Bills will be without Zach Moss and Allen will be asked to do even more in the rushing game. In the last six competitive games, Lamar Jackson has run for an average of 94 yards. Outside of the Jacksonville game, which was a blowout (35 yards), Lamar has rushed for 80 yards or more in each of the last six games. Frankly, Lamar may get this all by himself. Now, can I parlay this and the Ravens winning? Sadly, no.

If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
Lamar Jackson over 76.5 Yards -112 (FD)
Fox Bet has 75.5 yards but it is -120.
Draft Kings has 74.5 -134.
I am going to pay less juice with the extra two yards added.

BAL +3 (DK)
Buffalo has problems stopping the run. The Colts ran for 163 yards. The Bills struggle to run the ball and at times can be very one-dimensional. Baltimore’s defense is very good and they will make things difficult for Josh Allen. I think Baltimore wins outright. The Lamar revenge tour continues.

Who Wins Each Game
Green Bay
Baltimore
Kansas City
New Orleans

Who Wins Each Game ATS
Green Bay
Baltimore
Cleveland (This is so dumb, but KC has not turned it on in months.)
New Orleans

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None

Premium Plays
None

Regular Plays
LAR +6.5
BAL +2.5
CLE +10
TB +3



NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 7-7 50%
NCAA Record 4-8 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-5 -040
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 39-32 54.92%

The NFL odds boosts are slowly starting to show up for this weekend. We will break those down tomorrow in detail.

Our YouTube Channel is live! Our Introduction video and 2020 NFL Panini Prizm box break are out there, give them a watch, then like and subscribe!

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day.

NBA Model Plays
MIA +11
CHA +8.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
HOU +7
DEN -5
IND +3

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic Triple Double +220 (FD)
Ah, he is +250 on DK to record a triple double. Do not play this. Play the DK one if you like him tonight.

Embiid 35+ Points and Sixers to win +630 (FD)
Ehhh, Sixers are getting healthy and Embiid may not be needed for as many minutes tonight. Pass.

Warriors and Nuggets Over 26.5 made 3-pointers +105 (DK)
The Warriors floor for made 3-pointers appears to be around 13 per game this season. The Nuggets are more than happy to shoot a ton as well. In a competitive game with a high total, I am in on this one!

Brooklyn Nets to win the NBA title +400 (Fox Bet)
This has a max bet of $25. The Nets are currently +300 everywhere so I am going to take this, bet the max, and recommend you do too. Outside of an injury, these odds are only going to get shorter.

Jokic Triple Double +250 (Fox Bet)
I mean, at least it is the same price as DK.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing is listed.

NBA
Pacers +3
This is a back-to-back for the Blazers and the Pacers were preparing for life after Victor Oladipo in their last game as he sat for “injury.” Pacers have been very good on the road this year and I like backing them here.

CHA +8.5
Toronto is 2-8 and despite this being a back-to-back for the Hornets, the Raptors should not be giving this many points to anyone. I also trust our model!

NCAAB
Winthrop -16.5
Winthrop is undefeated and has taken care of business, especially at home this year. Longwood has struggled with everyone in their conference. Winthrop is primed for a big win after having two of their last three games canceled.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing tonight.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 5-7 41.66%
NCAA Record 4-7 36.36%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-7 -229
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-4 +060
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 35-31 53.03%

The model went 3-3 last night and is around even for the year. One big win from last night was we told you to avoid all of the Drafts Kings and Fan Duel NBA odds boosts. Well, guess what. They all lost. Every single one. That is one of our goals here at Win the Weekend. We want you to become smarter and avoid the odds boosts that seem great, but actually are not.

Please make sure you are following the news as with COVID and the NBA, lines are shifting dramatically and games are being canceled. If our model suggest a game at -8 points and you see the line is now only one point, well something has happened. Head to Twitter and find out why before blindly making a bet.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day. We are also working on some YouTube content in the future. Our First video will be a Panini Prizm 2020 Football box break!

NBA Model Plays
MIL -10.5
CHA +4.5
BRO -6
LAL -8
MEM +2.5
POR -3.5
NOR +7.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
KD or Julius Randle to record a triple double +625 (FD)
Randle has one this year and just missed a few times. KD has zero this year, but been close once. Ehhh. This is also a back-to-back for the Nets. Pass, but slightly intrigued and may revisit with a tiny bet.

Kawhi and PG over 60 points combined +270 (FD)
It took a crazy fast high paced game for the to get over this against the Bulls. Pass.

Zion and Kawhi to each score over 24.5 points +365 (DK)
I wish this was not both of them. I think it is a few points too high. The total in this game is only 218. Pass.

LaMelo Ball to record a triple double +1000 (Fox Bet)
As Ball’s minutes increase so has his production. Ball has one triple-double this year, but has been in the area several times. I actually like this. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing is listed worth mentioning.


NBA
Nothing at this point tonight.

NCAAB
Citadel +13.5 (3PM)
Undefeated, playing a conference opponent and getting a ton of points at home. Sign me up!

Let’s Get Weird
Ball to record a triple-double/Bucks ML/Citadel +13.5 (+2375)
Ohhhhhhhhhh this is really wild. I would recommend a very small wager on this, but I like Ball tonight, the Bucks should win and I am on the Citadel. Of course, Citadel could lose this afternoon and this would be done early, but I like it.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 5-6 45.45%
NCAA Record 3-7 30%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-6 -129
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-3 +160
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 29-30 49.15%

I want to bet the Pacers tonight. The sites are all begging you to take the Warriors and back Steph Curry. I just do not see the need to attack Golden State at this point with the Pacers on a back-to-back and having two straight losses. I like to give myself reasons to not make a bet, instead of looking for a reason to bet. While, I may miss some winners this way, I also avoid many losers.

Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day. We are also working on some YouTube content in the future. Our First video will be a Panini Prizm 2020 Football box break!

NBA Model Plays
PHI -6.5
CLE +11(Highest Rated in Model)
BRO -1
OKC +2
LAL -4.5
IND +3

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
KD and Jokic to combine for 60+ points +220 (FD)
If this was a little lower I would be interested.  While KD’s prop is 30.5, Jokic’s is only 23.5. Pass.

Curry to score 30+ points and Warriors to win +225 (FD)
Warriors are small favorites and catch the Pacers in a road back-to-back. Curry’s prop is set at 29.5, but the under is favored at -122. This feels like too much of a coin flip to be worth the risk. It is not very advantageous. The true odds of this parlay are around +195. Pass.

Lebron and Harden to each score 26.5+ points +255 (DK)
This is right in line with where Lebron has been scoring when playing a full complement of minutes. However, both Anthony Davis and LeBron are questionable. If Davis sits, obviously I like the Lebron side a lot. However, Harden has not been shooting well. Harden has not been over 22 points since the New Year. If, Davis sits, I will fire on this though. If he plays, I am avoiding. Pass, for now.

Curry 4.5 Made 3’s and Warriors win +115 (DK)
Yeah, this is not that great at all. If the Warriors were bigger favorites, maybe. Pass.

Sixers/Nets/Lakers all to win +310 (Fox Bet)
Nets are one point favorites in a weird spot. The true odds are around +279. Slight boost, but a pass.

Curry over 29.5 points and the Warriors to win +200 (Fox Bet)
The FD bet is better obviously, even when looking at odds boost you need to shop around. Have you noticed a trend, where the sites keep offering similar odds boosts on the same teams or situations? It is almost as if they there is a reason. The last weekend they involved the Seahawks. Tonight, they all involve the Warriors and Curry. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing is listed.


NBA
PHI -6.5
Covid is the story here, but the line tells me that Joel Embiid is going to play. If Embiid plays, the Heat will be without Bam, Dragic, Nunn, Butler, Haslem and Harkless. This game has a great chance of being canceled. I am playing the Sixers as of now.

NCAAB
Nothing as of now.

Let’s Get Weird
Sixers/Jazz/Buffalo (NCAAB)/Akron ML parlay +130
This starts at 2 PM!

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 5-5 50%
NCAA Record 3-7 30%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-5 -029
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-3 +160
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 26-27 49.05%