Come on Collin Morikawa!!!!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
LAC +2
WAS +6.5
NYK +1
ATL +1 (Highest Rated in Model)
HOU +4
LAL -3
MIN +10.5
CHA +2.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry and Lebron to make 8+ Threes +280 (FD)
This is a slight boost, but Lebron is the one to not get there. The Lakers play so slow, I am going to pass.

Giannis and Kawhi to score 30+ points +290 (FD)
Giannis’s points prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
Kawhi’s points prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
If you parlay them to both go over it pays +230.
If you parlay them to both score 30+ it pays +245.
This is a decent sized boost. However, Kawhi has only score 30+ in 10 out of a possible 28 games. I need this boost to be well over +300 to be in. Pass.

Randle first basket +600 (FD)
Nope, never.

Kawhi to record 40+ points/rebounds/assists +105 (DK)
This is set to 39.5 on Fan Duel and the over is juiced at -115. This is a nice sized boost considering the margins. As long as this is a competitive game, he should get there. I am in.

Lebron to record a triple double and Lakers win +610 (DK)
Lebron is +270 to record a triple double and the Lakers are slight favorites. This should pay around +510, so it is a decent boost. Lebron has three triple doubles this entire season. Pass.

Kawhi/Giannis/Lebron 1+ dunks each +100 (Fox)
Pass, I need a rest from dunk props.

Curry and Booker to score 30+ points +450 (Fox)
Curry’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry to score 30+ points is -106.
Booker’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
Booker to score 30+ points is +172.
If you parlay them to both score 30+, it pays +434 on Fan Duel. I mean this is a boost, but the blowout potential for the Suns is very real. Pass.

Knicks/Heat/Rockets to all win +550 (Fox)
This would pay +649 on Fan Duel if you parlayed it, so pass on this boost.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay

NBA
ATL +1
I am riding the model.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 27-26 %
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 7-15 -245
Hoops Odds Boosts 25-35 +2010
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 31-26 %
NBA Model 185-200 %

My son had little league evaluations and that has taken up some of the day. Well, that and being in line for my NBA Top Shot pack! It was nice to hit the Fox Bet odds boost last night and I had bet the one today that involved Kyrie. Now, he is out and so is that boost. I am just watching PGA and hoping this continues….

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +11
MIN +4.5
SAS +3
UTA -9.5
IND +1.5
DEN -6.5
BRK +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model despite no KD or Kyrie)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a triple double +260 (FD)
Fox Bet has the same boost for +240.
Harden is +275 on Draft Kings to record a triple double. Pass on this boost.


Zion to score 35+ +410 (FD)
Zion’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced. Zion is +370 to score 35+ on Fan Duel. Zion has two games with 35+ points this season. Pass.

DK has no hoops boosts since the Nets game has been altered due to Kyrie being out.

Fox Bet had a nice 25+ boost I had bet earlier that involved Kyrie, but that is off and will be refunded.

Embiid and Zion 1+ dunks each +100 (Fox)
Pass on Embiid dunk props that do not pay +200 or more.

Harden and Luka 30+ points +225 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop it set to 29.5 and the over is juiced.
Harden’s point prop is set to 29.5.
If you parlay them to both go over it pays, +239.
Pass on this boost then.

Sixers/Pelicans/Nets +300
This pays +309 on Fan Duel. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay

NBA
NOP -3
Rested and get a depleted Spurs team.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 27-25 51.92%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 7-15 -245
Hoops Odds Boosts 25-35 +2010
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 31-25 55.35%
NBA Model 181-197 47.88%

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND +2.5
HOU +8.5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
DET +2
CHI +6
MEM +6.5
UTA -7
OKC +5.5
POR +5
CHA +6

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tatum and Brown to each make 3+ threes +325 (FD)
Tatum is -122 to make 3+ threes.
Brown is +132 to make 3+ threes.
If you parlay them together it pays +295.
Tatum has made 3+ threes in 18 out of 27 games.
Brown has made 3+ three in 15 out of 30 games.
The Celtics have been in a tailspin and both player’s made threes prop is set to 2.5. Brown has the under juiced up and Tatum has the over juiced. If you parlay them together, it pays +306. This is going to be a competitive game and both players will play a ton of minutes. This is fine to play. I am in.

Lillard and LeBron to each score 30+ points +260 (FD)
Lillard’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced. You can parlay these two to go over for +240. You can parlay both LeBron and Lillard to score 30+ for +235 on Fan Duel. LeBron has really struggled to score 30+ points since January 1 and this is not a great number considering his point prop. This is a pass.


Lebron to lead game in scoring and Lakers to win +250 (DK)
This is an easy pass. The Lakers have been struggling and Lillard is slated to score more than Lebron. Pass.

Curry and LaMelo to combine for over 8.5 made threes +150 (DK)
LaMelo’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 5.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay Curry and LaMelo to go over this number, it pays +318. I get that Curry could go over by himself, but I would rather bet the over on both of these parlayed than this boost. Pass.


Lebron/Curry/Lillard to score 25+ points each +200 (Fox)
Lillard’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Lillard to score 25+ is -500.
Lebron to score 25+ is -270.
Curry to score 25+ is -330.
If you parlay these together is pays +114. This is a fantastic boost and I am in.


Celtics/Clippers/Jazz to all win +250 (Fox)
This should pay around +216. Therefore, it is not bad at all. I just cannot get behind the Celtics at this time. Pass.

Tatum/LaVine/LeBron all to make a dunk and a three +400 (Fox)
Them all making a three is not a concern.
Tatum has 16 dunks in 27 games.
LeBron has 40 dunks in 33 games.
LaVine has 29 dunks in 31 games.
Ehh, this is right on the border, but I am going to pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay

NBA
HOU +8.5
I back the top play in the model!

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 27-24 %
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 7-15 -245
Hoops Odds Boosts 24-34 +1910
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 31-24 %
NBA Model 180-189 %

We are just waiting for packs perpetually from NBA Top Shot. Sigh. Delays, to stop the bots. While we wait a little, bit longer, a nice-sized NBA slate. A few teams are on back-to-backs and there are actually a few odds boosts I am recommending tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
DAL +4.5
ORL +9
NYK -1.5
MEM +8.5
WAS +7.5
NOP +9 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel just has two different 3×2 boosts. As you may know, this is a pass from me. If someone can show me some sort of data on how many threes every team attempts in the first three minutes of the game, I would be happy to break it down.

Luka and Embiid to each score 30+ points +230 (DK)
Luka’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Embiid’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is juiced.
Luka to score 30+ is -154.
Embiid to score 30+ is -160.
If you parlay them, it pays +161 on Fan Duel. This is a really solid boost with both guys needing to slightly miss their prop to pay off the boost. I am in.


Zion and Giannis to combine for over 4.5 Dunks +140 (DK)
Zion has 58 dunks in 30 games. Zion averages 1.93 dunks a game.
Giannis has 86 dunks in 31 games. Giannis averages 2.77 dunks a game.
Together they average 4.7 dunks per game. This actually works considering it pays plus money. I am in.

Embiid and Giannis one of more dunks each +100 (Fox Bet)
We know that Embiid dunks on average every other game. I am just going to avoid all Embiid dunk props unless they are paying +200 or more at this point. Pass.

Sixers/Nets/Nuggets all to win +150 (Fox Bet)
This is barely a boost at +146 on Fan Duel. However, I like it. I am in. If you opt in to the Thursday night NBA special in your challenges on Fox Bet, you also get a $10 free live bet for betting $20 or more on NBA. You can bet this boost and get a free $10 to have fun with.

Luka and Beal to score 31 or more each +275 (Fox Bet)
Luka’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Luka to score 30+ is -154.
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
If you parlay Beal to score over 30.5 and Luka to score 30+ is pays +205.
While the Wizards playing in Denver is not great, this boost is worth playing at this price. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Michigan to win the Over 156.5 points to be scored +190 (DK)
The total is set to 154, so this is an easy pass.

SDSU/COL/OSU to all win +270 (DK)
This should pay +238, but two of the games feature smaller spread and one is on the road. Pass.

NBA
Sixers -4.5
I really like them tonight coming off some rest.

NOP +9
I know this is a back-to-back for the Pelicans and they are inconsistent, but the Bucks have been all over the place.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Just that parlay boost above.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 25-24 51.02%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 7-15 -245
Hoops Odds Boosts 23-31 +2070
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 30-24 55.55%
NBA Model 176-187 48.48%

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

PGA
Last year, I had plenty of success just buying top end golfers when their prices dipped. When I had DJ that was the highest number, he had been to win an event in a while. I did the same thing with Bryson at the U.S. Open. Am I a golf expert? Of course not. Nevertheless, I do read everything on Numberball.com. Does my opinion and wagers lineup with whom they like every week? No, in fact it occasionally does, but not that often.

 I have this problem where I cannot stop betting on Bryson. He is just sitting there at 20/1 taunting me, with this number. It has been extremely rare to see someone with Bryson’s ability being listed any higher than around 12/1 or 14/1 in any field. This week we are going to take some shots on some higher numbers. It is a no-cut event, where Justin Thomas always seems to win. I was all about Justin Thomas earlier in the week, but have backed off. JT has had some family things happen and I thought his number would be higher since he played so badly last week.

PGA Wagers
Will Zalatoris 70/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris Top 10 +550 (DK)
Collin Morikawa 45/1 (DK)
Bryson 20/1 (DK – As a friend said, “Death, taxes, and you betting Bryson.”)

PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
DJ to win or tie his first round matchup with Brooks and Berger +130 (FD)
DJ is listed at +105 to win his group today, so this is a boost. Those of you that are new to golf betting need to realize that yes, all three players in this group are a dog. This is a decent boost considering you get the betting favorite of the entire tournament. I am in.

John Rahm to win by 2 or more shots +1600 (Fox Bet)
What is this? Not only does Rahm have to win, he has to win by two shots? Pass.

All to finish top ten Xander/DJ/Rory +850 (Fox Bet)
DJ is -150 to top ten.
Xander is +138 to top ten.
Rory is +180 to top ten.
Yeah, so this should pay around +1010 for them all to make the top ten at their current numbers. Pass.

Cam Smith to be top Australian +400 (Fox Bet)
Adam Scott and Cam Smith are listed as co-favorites to be top Australian at +300. This is a boost. Smith is actually 60/1 to win while Scott is 66/1 to win. Add this up and it is a solid boost. You get a better number on the person who is a slight favorite, or in this case has better winning odds. I am in.


Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
2/18
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360


2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

PGA Odds Boost Record
0-1 -100

In what is a bigger slate I continue to be amazed the major sites do not offer more in terms of odds boosts. Nevertheless, I see some PGA boosts being listed for tomorrow. I will have an article up and take a look at them. Sadly, I did not get a NBA Top Shots pack last night. I was asleep and did eventually wake up and join the drop. With only 5,000 packs, I was 47,000 in line. Oh well. Either way, back on the NBA grind tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
GSW +2.5
CLE +4
ATL +2.5
TOR +2.5 (Tied for Highest Rated In Model)
SAS -1
CHI -4
DET +9.5 (Tied for Highest Rated in Model)
CHA +10
LAL +9

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lebron to record a triple double +380 (FD)
Lebron to record a triple double +350 (Fox Bet)
The two above are “boosts.” Over on Draft Kings you can bet Lebron to record a triple double for +425. Pass on these boosts.


Curry or Brogdon first basket +250 (FD)
Nope, never.


Mitchell to score 30+ points and make 3+ threes +310 (FD)
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 24.5 points.
Mitchell’s three prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
You can parlay Mitchell to hit the over on both these and it pays +140.
Mitchell is +240 to score 30+ points.
A parlay to score 30+ points and make over 2.5 threes pays +269, on Fan Duel. Yeah, you can pass on this boost on Fan Duel, when you can get a better number at the same book. Pass.


NBA 3+ team parlay 33% profit boost (DK)
I am going to use this! I will explain how below!

Lebron or Mitchell to score first basket +230 (DK)
Nope, never.

Curry to make 7+ threes and Warriors to win +330 (DK)
Curry to make 6+ threes and Warriors to win +275 (Fox Bet)
The Warriors are 2.5 point dogs. Curry’s made threes prop is set to 5.5 and the under is juiced.
If you bet Curry to make over 5.5 threes and the Warriors to win it pays +261. That means the Fox Bet boost is fine to play since it is a small boost. For one extra made three you can get all the way to +330 on Draft Kings. Curry has made 7+ threes in eight of 31 games. Considering the frequency with which Curry can make this many threes, it seems to reason this is a solid boost. However, this is a road back-to-back for the Warriors. Warriors are 2-2 on back-to-backs this season, but the Pacers are rested and this is a spot to avoid. Pass.


Warriors/Pelicans/Suns to all win +200 (Fox Bet)
If you parlay these on Fan Duel they pay +218. Pass on this boost.

Zion/LaVine/Edwards 1 or more dunks each +200 (Fox Bet)
I was so out on these dunk props, but then won a bunch in a row.
Zion has 58 dunks in 29 games.
LaVine has 28 dunks in 30 games.
Edwards has 18 dunks in 32 games and stole Yuta’s soul with a dunk last week.
This is on the borderline based upon the numbers above. The price is about what it should be, but I am going to pass.


Sabonis to record a triple double +900 (Fox Bet)
Sabonis is +700 on Fan Duel.
Sabonis is +800 on Draft Kings.
Sabonis point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is juiced.
Sabonis rebound prop is set to 12.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Sabonis assist prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay Sabonis to have 10+ asissts/10+rebounds/15+ points it pays +651.
Sabonis has three triple doubles this season and has just missed several times. This is a good number considering all the factors. If the Warriors stay competitive on the back-to-back Sabonis will do well. I am in.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
These seem to always have one team lose.
Alabama/FSU to win +175 (DK)
FSU is -11.5 on the road tonight.
Alabama is two-point dog on the road tonight. If you parlay them together, it pays +140. I am not playing a 2-point road dog, unless I really like them. Pass.


Temple/Tenn/Clem to all win +550 (DK)
Clemson is -2.5 on the road. Temple is a four-point road dog. What is this boost? Pass.

NBA
Bulls -4
I love them tonight against Minnesota.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Pelicans/Jazz/Bulls Money Line Parlay +144 (Boosted on DK to +191)
Yes, betting against Lebron can be scary, but I like this.  

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 24-24 50%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-15 -436
Hoops Odds Boosts 23-30 +2170
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 30-22 57.69%
NBA Model 171-183 48.30%

I find it a little bizarre that with so many NBA games we got such a weak odds boost offering today. I suppose they had to avoid the Kings/Nets game since the total is insane and neither team has the ability to stop anyone.

I was very lucky and got an NBA Top Shot pack last night. When the line was randomized, I found myself at 3805. On Saturday when they did the same, I was 6311. I missed a pack by about 60 people that night. Last night I pulled an Ibaka, Theis and Anthony Davis. I sold the first two for $35 and $30 and have the AD on the market now for somewhere in the high $300’s. Not bad for a $9 pack. I have been slowly building up information on what has been happening with NBA Top Shot and what I have been doing with it. If you listened back on January 14 when I said buy packs, you are up a bunch. A more detailed article and podcast are coming. The NBA Top Shot world just moves so quickly.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CLE +7.5
DET +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +3
BOS -2
BRK -6
TOR +1.5
MIL -11
DEN -6
WAS +12

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tatum and Brown to score 25+ points +270 (FD)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the over is juiced. Brown’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is juiced. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +249.
If you parlay them to both score 30+, it pays +267. While I do like this combination, in this space we have to decide if a boost is worth it. In this case it barely is. This boost is paying you an extra $3 for every hundred wagered. If you factor in that the boost has a $50 limit, you are obviously better off playing them parlayed together. Pass on the boost.

Lillard to score 40+ Points +480 (FD)
This is a road back-to-back in Denver. Also known as the toughest back-to-back in the NBA. Pass. Just for the sake of an argument. Lillard is +400 to score 40+ points and his point prop is set to 31.5, so this is a boost. However, this is an awful spot. Pass.

Fan Duel also has two of those 3×2 boosts. Pass.

Lillard to score 30+ Points and make 5+ threes +190 (DK)
See above. In addition, this should pay around +195 parlayed together. Pass.

Luka and Tatum to combine for 65+ points +240 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the over is juiced. Luka’s point prop is not yet listed, but I will be kind and say it is set to 30.5 at -110. That is probably a little high anyway. If you parlay Luka over that number with Tatum’s point prop, it should pay +253. That is also a number that is 10 points short of what you need for this boost. If we try to parlay Tatum to score 30+ with someone like Dame to score 35+ it should pay around +738. Not a 100% fair comparison, but not that far off either. This boost is way off and should be avoided.

Giannis and Embiid 1 or more dunks each +100 (Fox Bet)
Giannis is a lock for this. Embiid dunks roughly every other game, as we know from looking at data. Embiid did not dunk in the last Sixer game. I am in.

Nets/Sixers/Mavs all to win +450 (Fox Bet)
This should pay around +412 and I like the Sixers and Nets to win tonight. However, this is a back-to-back for the Mavs and a rested Boston team comes to town. I like Boston tonight so I will be passing.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
WVU/OK/Nova all to win -110 (DK)
WVU -7.5 (-320)
OK -10.5 (-560)
Nova -11 (-620)
This parlayed together should pay around -126. I am in.

25% Profit boost on any one college game (DK)

NBA
DET +3.5
I am in in following the model’s top rated play.

PHI -1.5
They are not losing two in a row to the Raptors. They shot awfully the last game.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-24 47.82%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-14 -336
Hoops Odds Boosts 23-29 +2270
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 29-22 56.86%
NBA Model 167-178 48.40%

We were a last second bad call, or a waved off put bank dunk away from an excellent night. Oh well. We are right back at it tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
HOU +1.5
MEM +5.5 (Highest Rated in the model)
OKC +6.5
POR +6
CHA +12
LAL -7

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lebron to score 30+ and record 10+ assists +170 (FD)
Lebron’s point prop is set to 31.5 points and the under is juiced. Lebron’s assist prop is set to 9.5 and the over is juiced. You can parlay the over on both of these for +190, which is two more points than the boost. Lebron is also -166 to score 30+ points. If you parlay Lebron to score 30+ and go over 9.5 assists that pays +146. This boost is pretty good. However, Lebron has one game of 30+ points and 10+ assists. That game was a double-overtime game against the Pistons. All this is adding up to a pass from me.

Mitchell to score 30+ and Jazz to win +250 (FD)
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay the over and the Jazz money line it would pay -103. Mitchell is +178 to score 30+ points on Fan Duel. If you parlay Mitchell to score 30+ and the Jazz to win it pays +177. Mitchell has scored 30+ in seven out of 28 games this season. While this is a decent price we have to account for the fact the Jazz are large favorites. This feels like a game that could easily blowout. Pass.

LaMelo over 29.5 points/assists/rebounds +110 (DK)
LaMelo’s points/assists/rebounds prop on Fan Duel is set to 29.5 and the over is set to -115.
LaMelo’s points prop is set to 16.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
LaMelo’s assist prop is set to 6.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
LaMelo’s rebound prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay the over on all three of these props, it pays +258. In a blowout against the Jazz in early February LaMelo went for 34/8/4 stat line. Despite the large spread, this is a boost that should be minus money, but pays plus money. The line and numbers are fair and as long as there I no foul trouble, like he has in his last game, Ball has a great chance to get there. I am in.

Lebron to record triple double +275 (DK)
LeBron is +210 to record a triple double so this is a decent boost. However, how likely is Lebron to get a triple double? Lebron has a grand total of three triple doubles this season. Yes, I realize this is the Wizards and Anthony Davis is out, but this is a pass.



Luke and Dame to score 30 or more each +200 (Fox Bet)
Dame’s points prop is set to 31.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame is -188 to score 30+ points on Fan Duel.
Porzingis was just moved to questionable and the Luka props, well all the Mavs props are down.
If Porzingis is out, you are taking this boost. It was solid with Dame, so I can assume it would be better if Luka were alone. I am in, unless something changes.


Mavs/Heat/Suns to all win +210 (Fox Bet)
This should pay +176 and is not bad. However, I am on Memphis so pass.

Porzingis and Mitchell 1 or more dunk each +400 (Fox Bet)
Pass. Blowout chance where Mitchell may not get there. Porzingis is now questionable.

Wall to record a double-double +320 (Fox Bet)
Wall’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is juiced.
Wall’s assist prop is set to 7.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay Wall to go over both these numbers it pays +189.
Wall to score 15+ and go over 7.5 assists pays -109.
Wall is +260 to get 10+ assists.
If you parlay Wall to go over 15+ points and get 10+ assists, it pays +242.
Wall has one game of 10 or more assists since joining the Rockets. Having said all of that. Boogie Cousins is out. Victor Oladipo is out. Wall is going to play 35 or so minutes in a competitive game against a team that struggles defensively. This is a good boost since the points are not in doubt. The assists will be the issue of course, but I am willing to take the gamble. I am in.


LaMelo triple double +1900 (Fox Bet)
He is +2000 on Fan Duel. LOL.

Lebron to record a triple double +250 (Fox Bet)
The DK boost is better, but pass on both.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
USC/TT both to win +180 (DK)
This should pay close to +138, but contains to small favorites, including one on the road. Pass for me.

NBA
Memphis +5.5
Model loves them. I bet them. (Porzingis was moved to questionable)

NCAAB
Drake -11
They were up 20+ yesterday all game long until the bench almost blew the cover.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-23 48.88%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-14 -336
Hoops Odds Boosts 22-28 +2360
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 29-21 58%
NBA Model 167-172 49.26%

Real life stuff got in the way, which happens sometimes on the weekends! Either way, we are back with everything tonight. I will say it again; if you are not on NBA Top Shots, you are missing out.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NOP +2
TOR +3.5
DET +3
CLE +3
NYK -3
ATL +2.5
BRK +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
SAC +10

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie to score 30+ and make 3+ Threes +320 (FD)
Kyrie’s points prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Kyrie’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced. If you parlay Kyrie to go over and make 3 threes is pays +189. If you parlay Kyrie to score 30+ and make over 2.5 Threes is pays +219. This is a nice boost on what the number should be. Kyrie has done this five times this season and even did it against the Clippers recently. However, the Clippers are healthy now and the Nets are a dog in this game. I am going to pass.

Embiid 30+ points and Sixers win +220 (FD)
Embiid’s points prop is set to 30.5. The Sixers are small 3.5-point road favorites and Kyle Lowry is expected to sit for the Raptors. If you parlay Embiid to go over and the Sixers money line it pays +143. This is again a pretty solid boost as most are with Embiid at the moment. He is just crushing everyone and scoring at will. I am in.


Harden and Kawhi to each score 30+ points +570 (DK)
Kawhi’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the under is juiced. Harden’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is also juiced. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +262. If you parlay them to both score 30+ points on Fan Duel, it pays +356. Kawhi has scored 30 or more in eight of 27 games. Harden has scored 30 or more in 1 game since joining the Nets. This is a really tough spot against a healthy Clippers team, but this is such an excellent price I think it is almost worth it. I would not max it, but I am in.

Jokic to record a triple double and the Nuggets to win +490 (DK)
Jokic is +220 to record a triple double. If you parlay that with a Nuggets win, it pays +451. This is a decent boost, but the Nuggets are a small favorite on the road. This is a pass for me.


Embiid and Giannis to each make a dunk and a 3 +300 (Fox Bet)
We know that Embiid does not dunk as often as we expect. This seems like a good spot to stay off an Embiid dunk prop, especially when you factor in that Giannis makes roughly 1.1 threes per game. This is a fair price considering the Bucks play the Kings. Fine, I believe riding Embiid at this point makes the most sense. However, a dunk free game is coming. I am in.

Knicks/Sixers/Nuggets all to win +400
I hate all the small favorites together. This should pay close to +355. This is not bad if you like all these teams, go ahead. I will pass.

KAT/Trae/Kyrie 25+ points each +500 (fox bet)
Kyrie and Trae and minus money to score 25+ and KAT is +124. If you parlay them together, it pays +405. KAT’s player prop is set to 22.5 and the over is juiced. This is actually pretty good. Two players prop is slated to be over and KAT needs an extra two points. I am in.

Kawhi to lead NBA In scoring today +1200 (Fox Bet)
Pass. He does not have the ceiling ability.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)

NBA
Philly -3.5
Embiid is playing out of his mind and Lowry is expected to sit.

NCAAB
Drake -12.5 (Gave out on Twitter earlier)

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-22 50%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-14 -336
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-25 +2160
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 28-21 57.14%
NBA Model 162-169 48.94%

Going 3-0 on recommended odds boosts for +470 was very nice. While mostly everything else is around even, if you bet the highest rated in our model you would be hitting at 56%. Of course, I have to mention what we have done with player props and odds boosts. The NBA season is almost exactly two months old.
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630

It has been a solid two months. Nevertheless, that is the past and we are moving on. I am not going to dwell on the Pelicans having an eight-point lead while getting points in the fourth quarter and losing by twenty. As they say in Ted Lasso, “be a gold fish.” In addition, if you have not watched, you should watch Ted Lasso on Apple TV.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +2
LAL -3.5
MEM +4
CHI +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
POR -4.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Butler or Lebron to record a triple double +130 (FD)
Butler is +380 (FD) and +350 (DK) to record a triple double.
Lebron is +250 (FD) and +330 (DK) to record a triple double.
I realize Butler has done this his last three games.
Math time like usual with these wagers.
$100 on boost and either makes a triple double you win $130.
$100 on Lebron and Butler to make a triple double.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Lebron gets there +$330. You make $130.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Butler gets there +$380 you make $180.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) both get there +$810 you make $610.
Of course, the upside is there to beat each separately, with the added downside of risking twice as much to achieve that upside. As is the case with most of these combo-triple double wagers, it is better to bet both separately for the potential gains than to just bet the boost. Pass on this boost.


LaMelo to score 20+ points and record 8+ assists +270 (FD)
First, I love LaMelo. I won a small GPP on Draft Kings thanks to him a few weeks ago. I have been playing him in DFS every night until he got to 9K was my plan. Both Martin’s are out and so is Devonte’ Graham for the Hornets. The Hornets catch the Warriors on a back-to-back and the game has a massive total at 233.5 points. LaMelo’s points prop is set to 17.5 and the over is slightly juiced. LaMelo’s assist prop is set to 7.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay the over on both of these, it pays +191. LaMelo is +130 to score 20+ points and +100 to get 8+ assists. If you parlay those together, it pays +226. LaMelo has accomplished this three times in his last nine games. With a tight spread, secure minutes and a fast-paced game, I absolutely love this boost. I am in.


Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win +206 (DK)
The Lakers are a small 3.5-point favorite against the Heat. Lebron’s point player prop is set to 29.5. Lebron to hit his prop and the Lakers to win is set to +169 on Fan Duel. Oddly, enough Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win pays only +160. This is a decent boost if you like the Lakers. The Lebron number is in line and fair. I am just not sure I like the Lakers. Pass.


Lebron to have two or more dunks and two or more Three pointers +300 (Fox Bet)
Lebron averages 1.7 made threes a game. Lebron has 36 dunks in 30 games. This is a pass for me. Lebron is not likely to have two dunks based upon that information in a slower paced game against the Heat. Pass.


Warriors/Lakers/Suns to all win +400 (Fox Bet)
No way I would be on the Warriors on a back-to-back here. This should pay +343 though, but all three have small spreads. Pass.

Dame Lillard over 5.5 threes and Portland to win +350 (Fox Bet)
Lillard’s made threes prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced. If you parlay the Lillard over and Portland to win, it pays +200 on Fan Duel. LIllard is +116 to make 5+ threes on Fan Duel. The best comp I can find is Lillard to make five or more threes and Portland to win should pay +227. Is one extra three pointer worth an extra +123. This is right on the boarder of being a good boost to play, but is well above what Lillard is expected. Lillard has made six or more threes in eight of 27 games. While this is close and the Wizards are awful defensively, if this was 4.5 threes I would be all over it. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)

Oregon/UNC/UCLA all to win +127 (DK)
Oregon -9
UNC -5.5
UCLA -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win. However, you can parlay the same combo on Fan Duel for +130. Pass on the boost then.

Nova/Alabama/Tenn all to win +110 (DK)
Nova -7
Ala -14
Tenn -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win as well. In this case, if you parlay these on Fan Duel it pays -116. I am in on this boost!

NBA
LaMelo Ball over 17.5 Points
Oh yes, I am all over LaMelo.

NCAAB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-22 50%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 27-21 56.25%
NBA Model 160-166 49.07%