Look at this large spreads! I love it! Yet, those large spreads give me pause for some of these boosts. I am always looking for a reason to not bet something, as opposed to the other way around.
DK has a Cinco de Mayo surprise boost. I got a $5 free bet. Boooooooooooo.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
BOS -11
POR -12
MEM -3.5
PHO -1
PHI -14.5
IND -6.5
MIL -3.5
UTA -7 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +4
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This is 40 Either team to score 40+ in any quarter ATL/PHO +315 (FD)
The last time they offered this boost it was not great. Neither team really had or had given up a 40-point quarter. In this case, with these two teams it does happen a little more often. Yet, it is not often enough. The game does have a low spread and total that is not incredibly high at 227.5. While the Suns have had a few 40+-point quarters, there just are not enough to justify this wager at this price. Bill Simmons and FD need to raise the payout slightly, or pick a different game when they do this weekly. Pass for me.
Russ to record a triple-double and Wizards to win +305 (DK)
This is the game to do the 40+ boos on. Russ is going to get a triple-double and he is -185 to do so. The Wizards are small dogs in this game. If you parlay the Wizards and Russ here, it should pay +266. This is a boost, but such a small one. I am passing on asking the Wizards to beat the Bucks. Pass for me.
Embiid and Jokic to score 25+ points +250 (Fox)
Embiid’s point prop is set to 26.5.
Embiid is -172 to score 25+ points tonight.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5.
Jokic is -118 to score 25+ points tonight.
This parlay should pay +192. Man, I want to love this. Embiid should get there barring a blowout, which is in play. This is right on the line for me. It is a boost at +250, but I am extremely concerned about a blowout fir the Sixers. I still feel like this is too solid to pass up. I am in.
IND/MIL/DEN to all win +300 (Fox)
This should pay +244 so it is a boost. Yet, why am I scared of the Knicks? For some reason, I hate going against them. Perhaps the reason is the model always seems to like the Knicks. You can fire on this if you want, but I am staying away. If you told me in December I would be afraid of two games because of the Wizards and Knicks, I would have said you were insane.
PHI/PHO/UTA to al win +225 (Barstool)
This should pay +176. Philly and Utah are going to win. This to me is the Suns as a small road dog against a team I do not believe in. Yes, I am talking about Atlanta. I refuse to admit they are playing better since firing their coach. I refuse to believe they matter in any substantial way headed toward the playoffs. I believe the Suns want to win and become the number one seed. However, this being a back-to-back for the Suns coming off an overtime game feels like a great spot to avoid. I really want to fire, but I am holding back. Pass.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY to score first +145 (FD)
NYY are +120 to score first. I am not excited about taking a dog here to score first. In addition, the NYY are at home so they will hit second. This might seem obvious, but I wanted to mention. Pass here.
25% Profit Boost one live MLB bet (DK)
You should use this.
SD/LAA/OAK to all win +400 (DK)
This should pay +345. Two of these games feature small money lines and indicate a closer game. I am staying away here. I prefer to lose these with larger favorites.
Buehler to record 7k’s and LAD to win +195 (DK)
Buehler’s K prop is set to 7.5 K’s and the Dodgers are solid road favorites. Oddly, this is almost exactly, what this parlay should pay. It is not even a boost, unless you consider that this is a correlated parlay, which some sites do not allow. In this case, we can see this is what the price should be and it is not much of a boost. Pass.
Betts/Hoskins/Stanton 1+ hits each +300 (Fox)
Betts is -270 to record a hit.
Stanton is -250 to record a hit.
Hoskins is -155 to record a hit.
This parlay should pay +219.
Freddy Peralta has had a strong start to the year for the Brewers and has given up 14 hits in six starts. While this is a boost, I am not in interested in attacking a pitcher who has given up more than two hits only twice in six starts. Pass for me.
PHI/NYY/LAD to all win +550 (Fox)
This should pay +490. The Phillies are a dog tonight, which always makes me ready to run away from these boosts. I feel the same way here. I am out.
CLE/SD to both win +145 (Barstool)
Two favorites with the best pitchers in both games. I am intrigued. In this case, I get the better team in both games and this parlay should pay +126. I am in!
NBA
PHI -14.5
Sixers are going to win by 30+.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Celtics/Blazers/Sixers/Pacers/Jazz ML Parlay +170 (Barstool)
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-52 50.94%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-35 +779
Hoops Odds Boosts 52-84 +3175
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 63-55 53.38%
NBA Model 424-414 50.59%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 13-35 -991
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 2-8 -324
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070