Tonight should be fun. The Lakers should handle the Warriors and advance, but they have not played together in a meaningful game in months. My guess is the Lakers are too strong and the Warriors struggle, unless Curry goes wild, which is in play.

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MEM -4
GSW +6 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
DDR to lead the game in scoring +175 (FD)
Based on points props, DDR is expected to lead the game in scoring. Is it weird to bet a dog to be the highest scorer? DDR lead the game in scoring in one of three games against Memphis this year. I am passing because I do not have a feel for this game at all. You could tell me anything happens here. Pass.

Curry and LeBron to combine for 70+ +240 (FD)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
Per usual I hate these combo props. I would rather play one versus the other. This one is asking them to go over by eight points, which as you know is a lot. Pass for me.

Curry and LeBron to combine for 64+ points +100 (Fox)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
At least this is closer to where it should be, but the payout is much less. I mean you could just go for it and hope Curry goes bonkers, but I am scared of the Lakers. Pass for me.

Simmons Bird Boost Curry -5.5 points+Rebounds+assists vs. LeBron +100 (FD)
Curry’s combo is set to 48.5.
LeBron’s combo is set to 42.5.
In this case, you get an edge by one and it pays even money? Sure, why not. We know Curry is going to do a lot tonight. MY only worry is the Warriors start to get beat, and it turns into a run away. I am in here.

GSW/LAL 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +145 (DK)
What is this? Doing this on FD was not enough so DK had to swoop in. I realize these hit. However, I cannot. Just look at the issue Fan Duel had last night where people were arguing with when a ball went through the hoop. Why even deal with that? Pass.

SAS/MEM 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +260 (DK)
At least DK is changing this up depending upon the game. You guys can go and play these, I will keep passing. I doubt DK introduced them because they expect to lose money on them.

Ja to score 25+ points +220 (DK)
Ja’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the under is juiced.
Ja is +188 to score 25+ points tonight.
Ja is not exactly a big time scorer, even in a spot like this. This is asking him to go over his prop by several points. I am passing. It is a slight boost and Ja’s scoring has been inconsistent this year. Pass.

MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
This should pay +120. You can fire on this solid boost. You get the two favorites and they are expected to win. I am passing. I have no feel for these games, especially the Lakers. Pass.

MEM/GSW to both win +370 (Fox)
This should pay +364, so it is barely a boost. I am passing here as well. For me to feel like I have to play it, I need more from a boost.

SAS/GSW to both win +685 (Barstool)
This should pay +651. It is a smaller boost considering you are asking both dogs to win. I am passing. Like I said no feel for these games. I know what the model is saying, but with the Lakers who knows.

Curry to score 40+ points +200 (DK)
Curry is +178 to score 40+ on FD. If you think, he is going to go wild and win this game, go for it. I am passing. The Warriors will need a heroic Curry effort and this could go sideways. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PHI/ATL/WAS +375 (Fox)
This should pay +348. You do have three favorites in this combo, so if you like it go ahead. I am passing. I want the boost to pay a little more. Pass for me.

NBA
Nothing at this time.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 63-56 52.94%
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-94 +2625
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 475-458 50.91%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-36 -206
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Caris LeVert is now out for the Pacers due to health and safety protocols. I honestly, cannot fathom why he would not already be vaccinated. He might cost his team a playoff spot. I thought the Pacers would handle the Hornets, now it is in jeopardy.

When the LeVert news broke, I know one of the sites had both dogs to win odds boost. I guessed it was Draft Kings and was wrong. By the time, I got to Fox Bet, where it was, the boost had been pulled. I tried to rush, but failed. Always be aware when news breaks like this to act quickly and decisively.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND -1.5
WAS +2
MEM -4
GSW +5 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Beal and Tatum to combine for 65+ points +150 (FD)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
This is a few points over each players prop, even combined. I hate the combined ones, honestly. Maybe if this was 63+ then I would be interested. In this case I am passing. A parlay of them to score 65+ would obviously pay more, but Beal’s health is in question. He might be healthy he might not. He has torched the Celtics this year for 40+ points.

Beal to record 45+ points/rebounds/assists +210 (DK)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal’s rebound prop is set to 4.5 and the over is juiced.
Beal’s assist prop is set to 3.5 and the over is very heavily juiced.
Beal’s combo of all three is set to 40.5 and the under is juiced. Yes, Beal is capable of scoring 45 real life points on his own, but you are taking a bigger risk here. Beal needs to go over his combo by several points, not to mention the heal concerns. I am fine risking one boost on his health, but after that it becomes more risky. The boost I selected is the best boost and asking Beal to do the least. Pass for me.

LaMelo to score 20+ points and Hornets to win +560 (DK)
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
Ball to score 20+ pays +194. This parlay should pay +376. While this is a boost, the Hornets closed the season by losing five in a row and have been awful since the Gordon Hayward injury. I am passing.


WAS/IND to both win +295 (DK)
This parlay should pay +291. I know these odds have shifted due to LeVert being out. While his absence will matter, TJ has played very well when given minutes. This is more a bet against the Hornets, than on the Pacers. I have to pass here since this is such a small boost, but I do like this combo to win. I am out here.

MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
You will have to come back tomorrow for this one!



LaMelo and Beal to combine for 50+ points +100 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
I think Beal gets his 30+, but LaMelo and the Hornets have struggled down the stretch. I am passing here as the Hornets just have not been great.

Beal and Tatum to each score 30+ points +200 (Barstool)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
Both players are expected to score at or around 30+ points. This parlay should pay +136. Provided Beal is healthy and that is a risk, he has scored at will against the Celtics this year. We know Tatum has a bigger scoring workload without Jaylen Brown. I am using the boost here to justify the risk of Beal’s heal. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
BAL/TOR/STL to all win +700 (DK)
Two small favorites and one small dog in this combo. It should pay +615. Yes, it is a boost, but pass for me. I swear they pick names out of a hat here.


BAL/WAS/NYY to all win +650 (Fox)
Two small favorites and one small dog again. Do you sense the trend? They are just begging you to take a dog in a parlay. I know dogs have been solid in baseball, but yeah no way am I doing this. This should pay +607. Pass.


SF/TB/CWS/OAK/SEA/SDP to all win +4650 (Barstool)
What in the world is this? This should pay +3188, so yeah it is a massive boost. However, why? I mean why are you betting this. Are you bored? Do you want to waste $5 for entertainment and hope it hits? Pass.

Celtics and CLE to both win +285 (Barstool)
I mean, I think the Celts lose. Pass.

NBA
WAS +2
Beal has owned Boston and the Celtics are dying for the season to end. Losing two games in three days is a much faster exit than a 7-game series.

IND -1.5
Hornets lost their last five games. The Pacers closed 5-5 down the stretch but I like them tonight. TJ plays just fine and they win.

MLB
NYY/SDP ML parlay +140

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 62-55 52.99%
NBA Playoff Record 0-0 0%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 474-457 50.91%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 18-36 -346
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 4-8 +121
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Be aware of who needs to win and if someone else wins or loses earlier in the day if that motivation changes. No top play from the model as news keeps changing and earlier results can alter what may need to happen/

To summarize Just read this.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NYK -11.5
Suns -4
WAS -6.5
GSW -3
BRK -12.5
ATL -8.5
IND -6
ORL +7.5
MIA -5
MIN +6.5
LAC -8
LAL -8
MIL -2
UTA -9.5
POR -9.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Knicks to win and over 215+ Points +200 (FD)
This would be asking the total to go over by 5+ points. This parlay should pay +166. There is no way the Celtics bench is putting up points. Pass.

MAVS/CLIPPERS/Blazers to all win +120 (Fox)
Not all of these teams are trying to win. Pass.
Sixers/HEAT/Bucks to all win +275 (Fox)
Not all of these teams are trying to win. Pass.

Curry and Dame to each score 30+ +150 (Fox)
Dame’s prop is -29.5.
Dame is -110 to score 30+.
Curry’s prop is 36.5.
This parlay should pay +126. If the Blazers weren’t a threat to win in a blowout, I would like this, but pass for me.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYM and BOS to both win +275 (FD)
This should pay +204. Both are favored and in good spots. I am in here. This is a solid boost.

NYM/BOS/HOU to all win +400 (Fox)
This is a tiny boost as it should pay +379. If this were a larger boost, I would be more inclined. Pass.

NBA
NYK -11.5
The Garden will be rocking with the four-seed on the line.


GSW -3
Memphis is going to win on the road here? No way.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 61-54 53.04%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 464-452 50.65%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 18-35 -246
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 4-8 +121
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

Everyone gets a free $5.14 bet on Draft Kings today. The books clearly do not want to offer odds boost when people are resting and motivation is in flux. There are so few offered today.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wizards, Sixers (Need 1 win), Jazz, and DAL.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Cavs, Pistons, Magic, OKC, HOU, MEM (game against GSW will determine 8-seed), SAC, TOR, NOP, GSW (Game against MEM will determine 8-seed) Denver/LAC both appear to be taking tonight off in some ways.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS -8 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +8.5
UTA -14.5
PHI -14
HOU +10
MEM -6.5
TOR +14 (Even with adjustments some of these teams grade out well because the spread has changed greatly.)
NOP +2.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic or Porter first basket +275 (FD)
I do not bet these ever.

Bet $25 on NBA future get a $5 free bet for ever round they win (DK)
The Sixers are the ones to easily win two rounds and get $10 back. Pick the team you like the best and use this.

Sixers/Grizz/Warriors to all win +200 (Fox)
Before saying what this should pay, the Warriors are and Grizzlies are playing for nothing. When they play Sunday, it will determine the 8-seed in the Western Conference. Proceed at your own risk. This should pay +154. I am passing.

Sixers/Clippers/Warriors to all win +165 (Barstool)
I already said it about the Warriors and the Clippers and Nuggets are almost officially locked into the ¾ seed. Be very careful in these spots. This should pay +119. I am passing.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kluber 5+ K’s and NYY win +135 (DK)
Kluber’s K prop is set to 5.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay around +145. This is obviously not a boost worth investing in if the combo should pay more than this does. Easy Pass.

NYY/DET/TB to all win +475 (Fox)
The Tigers are a dog today and this parlay should pay +418. I mean, I guess you can play this with the NYY and Rays being larger favorites, but I am never betting on the Tigers.

TB/WAS/LAD to all win +300 (Barstool)
This features three great pitchers, who are all large favorites. This parlay should pay +242. I am in here. I get the best pitchers in each game and a boost. Fire this one up.

NBA
WAS -8
Cavs will not mess up and win another game. Wiz need one more to clinch.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 60-54 52.63%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-59 53.54%
NBA Model 459-449 50.49%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

Several teams are technically alive for some seeding potential, but really. The Kings are not technically eliminated, but they will be after tonight. Tonight should, or could eliminate several more teams and make the final weekends motivations very clear. While the Sixers do not have the no.1 seed locked up for sure, they need one win in their last three games and they finish with Orlando twice. Therefore, the Sixers can clearly rest Embiid tonight and not really worry about it, as they will win at least one of those final two games.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Clippers, Hornets, Bucks, Pacers, Hawks, Heat, Spurs, Knicks, Nuggets, Kings, Grizzlies, Bulls, Blazers, and Suns.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Magic, Sixers, Wolves, and Raptors.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +7.5
MIL -9
ORL +12.5
NYK -4.5
MIA -2.5
MEM -8
TOR +10
DEN -4.5
PHO -4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel has two different 3×2 boosts because they hate me.

ATL/MEM/MIL to all win -106 (DK)
This should pay -124. This is a boost despite it not paying plus money. Oddly, all three need to win and are playing teams that may not have as much motivation. The Kings are not dead, but are all but dead. The Magic are playing for ping-pong balls. The Pacers could try to win, but Caris Levert is now questionable as well. I am going to roll with this provided no news breaks and makes it bad. This is a small boost, but all three are sizable favorites. I am in.


Dame to make 3+ 3’s and Blazers to win +285 (DK)
Dame’s made 3’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. This parlay should pay +214. This seems like a good spot on the surface, but this is a road back-to-back for the Blazers. The Suns do still have a chance at the one seed out west. I kind of like the Suns tonight, so this is a pass for me.



Sixers/NYK/Grizz to all win +300 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +321. This is a trap, as the Sixers do not need this game at all. Could they win it? Sure, but it means nothing to them. Pass.



LAC/MIL/DEN to all win +190 (Barstool)
This should pay +169. The Nuggets may sit MPJ tonight, as he is listed questionable. I am scared of Denver tonight as they are all but locked into the four seed. I am passing here.


Dame and Booker to each score 25+ points +140 (Barstool)
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Booker’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
This combo should pay +116. This is a boost and both players are expected to get over this number. I am in.


NYY and NYK to both win +170 (Barstool)
This should pay +164. This is not much of a boost obviously. The NYY are small road favorites and I am not a fan of risking for this little of a boost unless I like it. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Boston and Houston to both win +240 (FD)
This should pay +182. The Astros are large favorites and the Red Sox are small favorites. Houston is a safe play and Boston has been on fire, despite the three-game skid they are on. This was close, but I am passing.  

Kelenic to record a hit and Mariners to win +280 (DK)
This guy is supposed to be this big rookie call-up. This parlay should pay +159. While this is a massive boost, you are asking a kid to get a hit in his MLB debut and the Mariners to win a game with a tight spread. Pass for me.


SF/A’s to both win +235 (DK)
This should pay +217. Ehh, again this is right on the border as the A’s are in a coin-flip game with the Red Sox. I am out.

HOU/NYY/BOS to all win +425 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +395. This is a tiny boost compared to the payout in my mind. Normally, with the boosts as the payout rises, the size of the boost does as well. In this case, it is small, comparatively. I am passing.

NBA
MIA -2.5
The Heat need this game badly to be in the 4/5 range.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 59-54 52.21%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 54-92 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-58 53.96%
NBA Model 457-443 50.77%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

There are several items to be aware of before the games start tonight. The Pelicans are dropping out of playoff contention because of injuries and rest. The Spurs all but clinch a play-in birth now. The Kings are lurking, but they have their own issues. This is why the Mavs are such big favorites tonight. Boston is going to be the 7-seed and thus can rest people to prepare for the playoffs without Jaylen Brown. With a win and a Blazers loss, the Lakers can move into a tie to avoid the play-in. The Blazers have the tiebreaker though.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wiz, Hawks, Spurs, Nets, Mavs, Blazers, Jazz, and Lakers.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Celts, Cavs, Pels, and Rockets.

As strange as it is, when did Barstool end up with the best boosts? That seems to be happening more often.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
BRK -5.5
CLE +6
DAL -9
UTA -1
LAL -11.5 (Every Laker is now questionable, but they need this game.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This is 40 Boost Was/Atl +165 (FD)
This paid almost twice as much last week. I think they know what they have in this game between these two. When they played earlier this week, 249 points were scored, including the Wizards dropping 45 points in the fourth. These are the perfect two teams for this boost. I am in.

3+ FG’s made in first 3 minutes Uta/Por +380 (FD)
I am out on time boosts like this. Again, show me the data on how many threes each team takes in the first three minutes. Pass.

Dame over 9.5 1^st Quarter points and Blazers to win +370 (DK)
Why? Why are they doing the first quarter boost? Pass on all timed boosts like this.

Russ/Dame/Trae to score 25+ +175 (Fox)
Russ’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
All three players are expected to score above 25+ points tonight.
This seems like a great boost right. Nope. This should pay +185. This went from an easy play to an easy pass. I am out.


Wiz/Nets/Mavs to all win +500 (Fox)
This should pay +459. I do like the Wizards and think the other two win. I wish this were a larger boost however. Pass for me.


Russ and Trae to combine for 100+ Points+Rebounds+Assists +100 (Barstool)
Russ’s combo is set to 54.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Trae’s combo is set to 42.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Obviously, using our brilliant powers of addition, we can see combined they are expected to be at 97 total. Yet, with both lines juiced, this becomes more interesting.
When they played the other night Russ finished with a combo of 62. Trae finished with a combo of 51. As you can tell that is 113. This number looks attainable at based on history and where their props lie. I suppose the worry here is that the Hawks shoot lights out and the Wizards fall behind. Russ will not let that happen. I am in.


225+ points in all games Was/Atl + SA/BRK + Por/UTA +180 (Barstool)
The Total in all these games are 233 or more. If you used some alternate totals and parlayed them, it should pay +122. In this case, we are getting a significant break on all three numbers. The boost pays out a lot more than it should. This is an easy one to jump on. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Cole 10+ K’s and NYY to win +200 (FD)
The NYY are almost -200 favorites tonight. Cole’s strike out prop is set to 9.5 and the over is heavily juiced. This parlay should pay +162. I like boosts that ask a player to do something they have been doing often and their team to win, when they are expected to. I am in here!

Cole to record 12+ K’s +215 (DK)
This is right around the number it should be for this many strikeouts. While I do like the other boost quite a bit, this is asking him to go over his prop by two extra strikeouts. Cole has been at 12+ K’s in two of his seven starts this year. In his one matchup with the Rays Cole had exactly 10 strikeouts. Pass for me.  


NYY/STL/MIN to all win +805 (DK)
Would you parlay two dogs and one favorite? I would not but that is the DK parlay boost way. This boost should pay +770. This is an easy pass for me.

NYY/PHI/ATL +400 (Fox)
All three are favored, which is a nice change for these parlays. However, this boost should pay +380. That is an easy pass for me. If I am on a boost, it must be a larger percentage that is boosted and not anything this tiny, unless I was betting it before seeing the boost.



NBA
BRK -5.5
WAS +6.5

MLB
Cole over 9.5 K’s -125 (DK)

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 57-54 51.35%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-90 +2825
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 67-58 53.6%
NBA Model 453-441 50.67%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

I have an idea. Since I cannot stop betting Bryson every week, I might as well throw him in a crazy parlay. That way I can wager less and when I lose, it does not hurt as much. At least, that is what I am telling myself.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
DET +7.5 (This game has massive tanking complications. The Wolves lose their pick if it is not in the top 3.)
DEN -6.5
MIA -1
LAC -12
BRK -6
DAL -2
PHI -6.5
MIL -14 (Highest Rated in Model)
GSW +5.5
OKC +11

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% Profit Boost on NBA Game of Choice (DK)

Simmons over 19.5 points/assists and Sixers to win +205 (DK)
Simmons points + assists prop is set to 18.5 and the over is juiced. This parlay should pay around +170. First, you have to have Simmons go over his prop by one more item. Second, the Sixers should win here. I wish this was boosted a little more. I think this is fair if you want to fire, but I am passing. Simmons has been right around this number at all times though.

Randle to score 30+ and the Knicks to win +800 (DK)
LeBron is supposed to be back for the Lakers tonight.
Randle’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
Randle is +215 to score 30+ tonight.
This is a solid boost as it should pay +535, but I am not taking Randle and the Knicks here with LeBron back. A Lakers loss would be devastating to their chances to avoid the play-in. Pass for me.


Heat/Nets/Sixers to all win +320 (Fox)
This parlay should play +326. This is an easy pass in that case. Go bet this combo somewhere else if you like it. Pass.


KD/Jokic/Leonard to all score 25+ points +500 (Fox)
KD’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Leonard’s point prop is set to 22.5.
If you parlay them all to score 25+ points, it should pay +408. This seems solid on the surface. Yet, when you look a little deeper, the Clippers are massive favorites and Leonard is also the one guy in this combo with a prop that is under 25-points. This screams Clippers blowout and Leonard does not get there. I am going to pass.



KD/Vuc to each score 25+ points +210 (Barstool)
KD’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Vuc’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 25+ points, it should pay +175.
This is a high-paced game with a nice total and I have no worries that KD will get there. In that case, I am getting Vuc at +210 to go over his prop by 1.5-points. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ohtani to record 5+ K’s and record a hit +135 (DK)
Ohtani is -240 to record a hit.
I cannot find any props on Ohtani to record K’s at this time, which seems odd. I have to pass in that case.


Cubs/Astros/Dodgers all to win +580 (DK)
They always try and sneak a dog in here. Let me mention the Dodgers have actually been bad thus far. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Cubs are a sizable dog as well. I am passing. Yes, this should pay +489, but I am way out on this one.


Sixers/Phillies to both win +205 (DK)
Phillies are a small dog tonight against the Nationals. This parlay should end up paying +196. I am going to pass this this is such a small boost.

Tigers/Mets/Yankees to all win +550 (Fox)
Both New York teams are favored, but the Tigers as expected are dogs. This parlay should pay +492. I am skipping this one because the Tigers are involved and this feels like a pure gamble. I am interested if multiple favorites are involved. Pass for me.

Indians/Angels to both win +285 (Barstool)
This parlay should pay +264. This is such a tiny boost and the LAA are dogs despite Ohtani starting. I am passing. Like most of these, if you liked it before you can fire, but do not go for it just because it is an odds boost.


LAA to win and LAD -1.5 runs to win +385 (Barstool)
This is dangerous, the Dodgers have been bad and the Angels are dogs. This parlay should pay +354. Again, this is such a tiny boost; it is an easy pass for me. I am out.

NBA
Bucks -14
I know it is a back-to-back, but coming off a loss, I am in.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Bryson to win the Byron Nelson/LAC/PHI/BRK/MIL/SAC money line parlay +2738

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 57-53 51.81%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-89 +2925
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 67-57 54.03%
NBA Model 448-435 50.73%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

The end of the NBA season is a grind. This week is going to be weird. Teams will be have something to play for, until they do not. I know that sounds weird. Nevertheless, it is possible the Nuggets become locked into their position before the end of the week. They may have two games that do not matter. I will try to mention if people are tankers, or are trying to stay in a spot.

I realize that Beal is out for the Wizards, but I remain skeptical of the Hawks. Both teams needs to keep winning as the Wizards can actually get to the 8-seed perhaps. Some of these boosts will tempt my Wizards love and Hawks hate.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS +8 (Highest Rated in the model)
IND -8.5 (Pacers might be getting healthy, Cavs tanking)
NOP +9 (No Zion, no BI. Memphis can get to the 8-seed; Pelicans have a chance at 10-seed.)
MIL 7.5 (Bucks can still become 2-seed. Spurs holding on to 10-seed barely in West.)
UTA -2 (Jazz trying to keep 1-seed. Warriors have danger of falling to 9-seed.)
POR -14.5 (Rockets have gone full tank! Portland trying to hold on to 6-seed.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score 30+ and Bucks to win +260 (FD)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Giannis to score 30+ is +120.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +163. This is a boost, but it is asking Giannis to go over his prop by a few points. To me this comes down to if you think the game will be competitive. The Bucks have been playing much better and Giannis has been asked to do even less at times in terms of scoring. I think the Bucks roll here and I am passing. You can fire if you want to, but Giannis has only scored 30+ in five of his last 13 games. Pass for me.


Curry and Dame to combine for 12+ made 3’s +210 (FD)
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Dame has a massive blowout threat against the Rockets tonight. Because of the blowout chances, Lillard may not see his full complement of minutes. I think to get to 12+ Curry has to make seven and Dame five to get close. If you parlay that combo it pays +423. As usual, I hate these combo props. Yes, the combo makes it easier, but I think Curry going wild is more likely to assist you to get there. Pass on this prop.

Russ to score 30+ and Wizards to win +780 (DK)
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ is +146 to score 30+.
Russ to score 30+ parlayed with the Wizards to win should pay +595. This is a solid boost. I think Russ goes wild. Asking this big of a dog to win is a big ask, but it is worth a small sprinkle. I am in.

Curry to record 4+ made 3’s and Warriors win +160 (DK)Curry is -1450 to make 4+ threes. Yes, that is a real number. If you parlay the over and the Warriors it pays +111. I am in on this! Fire it up!

Mem/MIL/UTA to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +187.  While Memphis and Milwaukee are solid money line bets, taking the Jazz against the Warriors on the road without Donovan Mitchell is a pass for me. This is barely a boost and not worth the risk of taking the Jazz on the road. Pass.


Russ/Giannis/Dame to score 25+ +200 (Fox)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
I was hopeful this would be a solid boost, but it should pay +229. This is an easy pass for me.


Russ triple-double and Wizards to win +400 (Barstool)
Russ is -400 to record a triple double. The Wizards are +285 to win tonight. This parlay should pay +381. Meh, this is sort of a boost, but not enough I am interested. I would rather go for the gold with the boost above. Pass here.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PIT/BAL/SF to all win +850 (Fox)
This should pay +756. Yet, two of the teams in this boost are dogs. I am passing on this with two dogs involved.

NBA
WAS +8

Curry over 6.5 made 3’s +120
Oh I think he goes nuts tonight.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-53 51.37%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-87 +3125
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 66-57 53.65%
NBA Model 445-432 50.74%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

The Lakers may be in for a bumpy ten-day stretch. If they lose tonight and it is trending that way, coupled with a Dallas win and the West could be wild for the play-in games.

Current Standings
5. Dal 10 GB
6. LAL 11 GB
7. POR 11 GB

If Dallas and Portland win tonight
5. Dal 10 GB
6. POR 11 GB
7. LAL 12 GB

If you finish 7-10 you are in the play in games. The Lakers finish with PHO, NYK, HOU, IND, NOP. Houston is a win but the others could all be tenuous especially without LeBron James. What about Portland’s finish? Portland ends with SAS, HOU, UTA, PHX, DEN. On the surface that seems much tougher. However, a win tonight and Portland owns the tiebreaker with the Lakers based on head-to-head. Plus, Denver may be locked into the four seed on that last game of the season. In essence, if Portland wins tonight a 4-1 finish may be good enough to avoid the play in, maybe even 3-2. Will LeBron be back soon enough to keep the Lakers out of this?

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Joel Embiid is now listed questionable. Be aware. If he sits bets involving him will be voided.

NBA Model Plays
PHI -9.5
CHI +4
MIL -16.5
CHA -7
MIN +6.5
DAL -10
DEN +4
NYK +6.5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
SAC +4 (This is one of the weirdest lines of the season despite the Kings injury issues.)
LAL +7 (If the Lakers lose tonight, the last week will be very interesting.)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mavs/Nuggets/Lakers to all win +850 (DK)
Normally, DK does not miss this badly. If you parlay this, it should pay +1157. The Lakers are large dogs and the Nuggets are smaller dogs. Either way, the Lakers are in serious trouble. Pass for me and a very easy pass at that.

Zion to be the leading scorer Sixers/Pels +175 (FD)
This may be great now pending Embiid news.
Steven Adams is doubtful for the Pelicans. Brandon Ingram is out as well. This would set the stage for Zion to score even more. However, who is stopping Embiid? Willy Hernangomez? Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced. Zion’s total is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced. This is another Sixers smash spot and Embiid is going to score a ton. Pass on this boost.


Jokic to score 25+ and the Nuggets to win +320 (FD)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced. The Nuggets are four-point dogs in Utah.
This parlay should pay +274. This is one I can get behind. Jokic is playing out of this world. Utah has been a little off since Mitchell and Conley have been out, at just 6-4 over their last ten. I am in here. Jokic’s prop is over what is needed here and the Nuggets are a live dog. Fire this up.


Sixers/Celtics/Heat to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +169, but yeah the inconsistent Celtics on the road without Jaylen Brown. I am running away from that. Pass for me. In addition, Jimmy Butler is questionable for the Heat. Another red flag. Pass.



Embiid/Tatum/Booker to score 30+ +900 (Fox)
Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced.
Tatum’s prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Booker is +136 to score 30+.
If you parlay all three of these, it should pay +755. This is a pretty solid boost. I really do want to fire on this, but the Knicks being the Suns opponent gives me pause. The Knicks play extremely slow. They played this game a week ago and Booker did drop 33-points. Looking at this in a different way. I believe Embiid will smash tonight without any post players to stop him. Tatum gets to play without Brown, which means his usage rises. Booker is really the only one I am seriously worried about. With the size of the boost here, I am willing to risk it. The price is more than fair and as long as the games stay relatively close, everyone will have a chance. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY to win and 9+ runs scored +250 (FD)
NYY are -178 to win tonight.
The total is set to 8.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +175 so it is a boost. The NYY have played 31 games this year. In only seven of those 31 games have the Yankees won and 9+ runs been scored. Based upon that, this is slightly under a number I would feel comfortable betting. I am passing. If this were +300 or more, I would be more inclined.

LAD/LAA 10+ runs scored +160 (FD)
The total is 8.5 in this one and the over is barely juiced at -112. I am passing here, as this is asking the over to come in plus an extra run. While neither starter has been amazing, they have been touched up at times. No need to step into this one even though over 9.5 runs should pay +132.

50% Profit Boost any live MLB Bet (DK)
You should use this.

Judge to hit a HR +400 (DK)
Judge is +300 to hit a HR on Fan Duel. This is a boost, but I think betting HR props are a losing proposition at these prices. Pass for me.

Nats/Twins/Phillies to all win +1100 (Fox)
This is a boost as it should pay +961. However, two of these teams are dogs and I would never fire on this with two dogs. Pass for me.
Brewers/Rockies to both win +550 (Barstool)
Would you like to parlay two dogs here? This should pay +530, so it is a tiny boost. I again am never parlaying two dogs in a boost. Pass.


NYY/NYK to both win +450 (Barstool)
This should pay +400. The Knicks in Phoenix is a tough one for me. The Suns see the top seed up there. While this is a boost, asking the Knicks to win on the road like this is too much for me. Pass.

NBA
DEN +4

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-52 51.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-85 +3325
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 65-55 54.16%
NBA Model 434-420 50.93%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070

Nothing like having your DFS Golf lineups dead at 8:00 AM, when Webb Simpson withdrawals. At least my bets on him were refunded and I could fire on my guy Bryson. It is clearly destiny.

I just want to remind everyone that late season NBA is very weird and wild. Things change fast and people will, rest, tank, get hurt, etc. often. I think the Rockets finished their game last night with six players. Be careful!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
CHA +4
BRK -3.5
WAS +2
DET +9.5
IND +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
GSW -14.5
LAC -8.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I see they have adjusted the payouts on the 3×2 boosts on Fan Duel. Pass for me always.

Lakers/Clippers 25+ made 3’s +125 (DK)
The Lakers average 11.1 made threes per game.
The Clippers average 14.4 made threes per game.
This is an interesting one because it is oddly right on the nose, but does play plus money. This game has the chance for a blowout without Lebron. The Lakers are missing more than Lebron and I am skeptical of the pace and points scored in this game. This game only has a total of 211 points and 25 made threes is a lot considering the pace the Lakers may be forced to play. Oddly, the Clippers do take a ton of threes. I am passing here. The Lakers are capable of shooting horribly and making well under ten threes considering how many they shoot. I am out.


MEM/ATL/GSW to all win +105 (DK)
This looks very juicy on the surface. All three are solid favorited playing inferior opponents. This parlay should play -115. Yet, I have reservations. This is a road back-to-back for the Hawks and I do not trust them. I did avoid the Suns in Atlanta last night in a similar spot. The Pacers may be getting some people back tonight, but I just have no trust in Atlanta. You can fire, as this normally would be right up my alley. Pass for me.



Curry/Luka both to score 30+ +150 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
Curry’s point prop is set to 35.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Curry is -360 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two it should pay +111. Both players need to just miss, or significantly miss their prop. This is a boost. Despite the Warriors blowout worries, I am in.


BRK/ATL/TOR +350 (Fox)
This should pay +294. There is no chance I am going against the Wizards with the Raptors headed for the lottery. I have already made my thoughts on Atlanta clear. Pass.


KD/Luka to both score 30+ +150 (Barstool)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
KD’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
KD is -130 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay KD and Luka to score 30+ it should pay, +204. This is an easy pass here as the boost is well under what it should pay and is not a boost at all. Pass.



Clippers/LAA to both win +155 (Barstool)
This is a small boost as it should pay +120. Look, the Clippers are healthy and not losing to the Lakers tonight. The Clippers need to win and the Lakers are headed for the play-in. The Angels are small favorites, but since I feel the Clippers are going to win, this is a solid spot to take the LAA. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Braves and Nats to go to extra innings +870 (DK)
What is this? This is not as bad as the college basketball games going to OT wagers that Draft Kings have posted before. Pass.

There are so many early baseball games, there are no other boosts posted for late games.

NBA
IND +6
I trust the model and do not like the Hawks.

MLB
Nothing at this time.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 55-52 51.40%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-36 +679
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-84 +3425
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 64-55 53.78%
NBA Model 429-418 50.64%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070