NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 12-10-21

What a weird state the NBA is in. The Bulls have Covid issues. The Hornets have Covid issues. The Lakers are in disarray. The Warriors look like the most complete team, without Klay. The Pacers are open to trading everyone. The Blazers have everyone hurt.

While all this is going on there is a great game tonight with the Nets and Hawks. I am very much so looking forward to watching this while going to a Christmas Party tonight.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
SAC -1.5
IND -1.5
ATL -2
TOR -1.5
CLE -1.5
MIL -9
DET +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
PHO -4.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
SGP Week Long Free Bet (DK)
Here we go again. If you bet a $10 SGP every day for a certain amount of days, you earn a free bet. Seven days’ worth gets you a $100 free bet. Therefore, I will do this and post mine daily. Please tweet at me if I forget and do not post one!

30+ 3’s made Celtics and Suns +450 (DK)
This game has a total of 213. The suns average 11.3 made 3’s per game. The Celtics average 12.2 made 3’s per game. As you can tell with simple math, there is a reason why this is paying +450. Pass for me. The Suns have a solid defense even without Devin Booker. Pass for me.

Harden and Trae to combine for 25+ assists and made 3’s +100 (DK)
This game has a high total and a small spread.
Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Trae’s assist prop is set to 9.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Harden’s made 3’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Trae’s made 3’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
So while this I combined, you can see the prop market is expecting them to come in around what is needed to win this boost. However, if you parlay the same combo’s 10+10+over 2.5 and over 2.5, it would pay +760. I realize that you do not the benefit of combined in this situation, but the payout is so much higher that it is impossible to ignore. Pass on this boost. In fact this game gives me an idea for an SGP.

DAL/MIL/LAL to all win +270 (Fox)
This should pay +306. I should rename the Fox parlay boost spot the dog. Pass.

Cade and Mobley to score 15+ Each (This was on FD for a minute with no price and has since been deleted)
Cade’s point prop is set to 17.5 and the under is juiced.
Mobley’s point prop is set to 14.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 15+ it should pay +185.

KD and Trae 30+ points each +460 (Barstool)
Both of their props are set to 27.5.
This parlay should pay +401. I think you can fire on this if you want. Trae has been playing so well and the Nets are rested and coming off a loss. I am sticking with my wild SGP, but I am throwing down on this. Tight game, low spread, and a high total. What is not to like? I am in.

NBA
Harden over 2.5 made 3’s -135
Trae over 2.5 made 3’s -125
You know I bet the SGP, so I am coming right back here with these two props. I think this game is high scoring and a great game to watch.

DET +6.5
I am riding with the model.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-18 43.75%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-20 %
Hoops Parlay Record 5-9 +369
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-23 +580
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-26 40.90%
NBA Model 164-169 49.24%

Week 14 #NFL Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays

I ended up going 4-1 in the Draft King’s picks contest last week. I am in 267th place and top 135 are paid. Of course, while cashing would be nice, I want to win. Winning may be almost impossible at this point. I would need to not lose another game or something close to that. The leader is 44-16 on the season good for 73.3%. I am 34-26 for 56.7%. Yet, I am not very far out of the money and three games out of being inside the top 50. I am not dead yet, but really need to close strong.

Sometimes games just seem obvious and smack you in the face as plays. For me that is the Browns this weekend. Cleveland gets a beaten up Ravens team Sunday. I could be way off here, but it is great spot for the Browns. The Ravens secondary has been decimated by injury. Yes, the Browns are the worst team to take advantage of an injured secondary, but they will have to do that this week. I expect the Browns to start a little pass heavy with play-action and boots and then run it down the Ravens throats. The book is out on Lamar this year without a running back who can really help him in the rush game. I am all over the Browns. I texted friends early in the week to take the Browns -2.5, but I have zero issue with -3 as well. Of course, getting -2.5 is much nice for obvious reasons.

I really want to bet the Bengals this week. This is a great bounce back spot for them, but how healthy are those two fingers on Joe Burrow’s throwing hand? If we find out, he will be fine and practice reports say he is good to go, I will be on the Bengals. I said this on the Numberball show with Jeff last week. Every time the Bengals are set up to take the next step, they regress. However, then they bounce back right after. I am monitoring here.

When the sites post their odds boosts, I will update throughout the weekend.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
LVR +9.5
NYG +10

Regular Plays
BAL +2.5
JAX +8.5
NO -6
DAL -4
CAR -2.5
SEA -7.5
DET +8.5
CIN +1
BUF +3.5
CHI +12.5
ARZ -2.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
KC/SEA/DAL to all win +150
This should pay +126. This feels like a trap, especially with Dallas on the road against a suddenly resurgent WFT. I am out on this. While I do like the other two, I may make my way to being on the WFT and the points. Pass.

NFL
CLE -2.5

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 92-102 47.42%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-19 55.81%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-28 50.87%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-16 56.75%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 15-35 -1685
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Odds Boosts 17-32 -1185
Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +181

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 12-9-21

Man, my SGP hit every leg but Richaun Holmes. Holmes got hurt and exited the game with four points and three rebounds. Every single other leg hit. He needed 12 and 8 to give us a 50/1 winner, but I digress. That is the risk with all of these SGP’s or any player prop. One injury and you are done, if you bet overs.

What a strange slate. The Nuggets being a dog seems super weird, even on a back-to-back. The Sixers as home dogs, says to me someone is sitting like perhaps Joel Embiid. I do really like the Lakers tonight though as they get Memphis on a back-to-back without Ja Morant who is still out.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
UTA -3
LAL -4
DEN +2

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

LeBron to score 25+ and Lakers to win +190 (FD)
LeBron has been on fire recently.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
This should pay +160. I like the Lakers. I think they are playing better and get a beat up Memphis team on a back-to-back. I am in.

LeBron to record a double-double +330 (DK)
LeBron is +210 on another site to record a double-double. Points. Yes, LeBron has been getting there, but the assists and rebounds have not been there. Pass for me.

Embiid to have more rebounds + blocks than Rudy Gobert +180 (DK)
This is a back to back for the Sixers. This line keeps moving toward the Jazz. Someone is sitting for the Sixers I would guess. Pass for me.

LeBron/Jokic/Mitchell to all score 25+ points +350 (Fox)
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 26.5.
This combo should pay…..+368. This is an easy pass.

PHI/LAL/DEN to all win +700 (Fox)
Philly is a dog. The Nuggets are a dog. Easy pass. This should pay +621.

NBA
LAL -3.5 (DK)

Let’s Get Weird
Have any free bets to use? I always do, so here is a fun one.
LAL/Chiefs/Titans/Chargers/Broncos/Packers all to win +320

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-17 45.16%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-19 45.71%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-8 +469
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-22 +680
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-26 40.90%
NBA Model 163-167 49.39%

Week 14 #NFL TNF Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays

What to do tonight. As you know, the Steelers are my team. I had this marked off as a schedule loss when I saw this game back in the spring. The Steelers never cover after they play Baltimore. However, the Steelers are normally a favorite after they play Baltimore. Mike Tomlin is excellent as a dog and horrible as a favorite, especially of a touchdown or more. This is an odd spot. The Vikings are beat up and while the Steelers are not exactly healthy, they are not in horrid shape.

I believe the Vikings to be the right side tonight, but I just cannot. The Steelers desperately need this game if they are going to make the playoffs. Kirk Cousins has been awful on prime time. The Steelers are a dog to Kirk Cousins. REALLY!? I have not done it yet, but I will end up betting the Steelers. I am going to try my best to stay away, but here we are.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum

Premium

Regular Plays
Pitt +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Jefferson and Najee to each score a TD +350Barstool has the exact same boost at +400. Pass here.

Steelers to win +180
The line is slowly climbing to +3.5 and the money line is doing the same near +150. Pass for me. The Steelers never cover the following week after playing Baltimore. I am out.

Draft Kings
Harris to run for 100+ Yards +425
His prop is set to 72.5. This pays +250 on FD. This is a very large boost, but I do not see it. Steelers are my team and they have no ability to run for this many yards. Pass.

Jefferson to have a TD reception +115
JJ is -145 to score an anytime TD. Pass for me. The Vikings have one weapon in the passing game and I am to believe he will beat the Steelers? The Steelers will screw this up, but I am not ready to believe it will be Jefferson to kill them. Pass.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Jefferson and Najee to each score a TD +400
This should pay +243. You know how the sites all put the same person in odds boosts and that can be a warning sign. Justin Jefferson is in every boost it seems. I am passing. This game might be very ugly and the Steelers have been throwing it in the end zone, but they are not exactly an offensive juggernaut. Pass.

Fox Bet
Min to win and JJ to score a TD and +100 Receiving Yards +400
This should pay +351. I think you know I am out on all JJ props. Pass for me. If all these sites are offering JJ to score and overs in receiving, this is a good spot to go under. Pass.

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 92-101 47.66%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-19 55.81%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-28 50.87%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-16 56.75%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 15-35 -1685
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154 Combined
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Odds Boosts 17-32 -1185
Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +181

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 12-8-21

I really wish the schedule was a little more balanced. I know I keep harping on this, but here we are.

The teams on a back-to-back are obvious candidates to rest someone, so be aware of news that may hit. I am looking at you Brooklyn and Dallas. The Boston situation, does not require travel so that may be different.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
IND -5
CHI +3.5
WAS -5
PHI -6 (Highest rated in Model)
OKC +7.5
MIL -6.5
HOU +6
MIN +7
DAL +3.5
DEN -2.5
ORL +6.5
POR +14
LAC -4

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Giannis and Embiid 25+ points +190 (FD)
Giannis and Embiid 22+ points +100 (Fox)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
Embiid’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay them to both score 25+ it should pay +144.
If you parlay them to both score 22+ it should pay -135.
I am in on both of these. Embiid crushed the Hornets the other day that should happen again. As long as the Bucks/Heat game is close, Embiid will have a great chance to get there.

Tatum to record a double-double +280 (DK)
This is a road back-to-back for the Celtics. Obviously, there is no travel.
Tatum is +165 to record a double-double on another site. If this game is close, Tatum will have ample opportunity to actually get there. This is such a large boost, I feel like I have to take a shot. I am in.

Lowry and Jrue to record 3+ Combined Steals +185 (DK)
Pass. Always pass on combined boosts. Both of their steals prop is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Pass for me.

Curry to record 40+ points +600 (DK)
This game will not be this close that Curry will need to play this much. However, he could do it in three quarters.
Curry’s prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced. This also pays +720 on FD. Easy pass when a better price is at another book.

WAS/DEN/GSW to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +168. Denver feels like the only real concern with them being a small road favorite. I am passing.

Giannis 30+ points and 10+ rebounds and Bucks win +400 (Barstool)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
This should pay +319. I am fine with the other two boosts, but think fading is the correct play here. While this is a boost and Giannis seems to always get to 10+ rebounds, I am out.

NBA

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-17 45.16%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-19 45.71%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-8 +469
Hoops Odds Boosts 14-20 +600
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-25 41.86%
NBA Model 157-160 49.52%

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 12-7-21

Such a small slate, but here we are. We are finally in the positive in odds boosts and parlays, but this season has been tough. Just kind of hanging around near even, which is meh. Nevertheless, we proceed and keep going.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
BRK -2
NYK -2.5
BRK +2.5

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
50% boost on one NBA Bet (DK)
The obvious and easy thing to do is to boost one favorites money line to plus money. The go and bet the dog for the same amount. It is a risk free $10-$20 if you want it.

SGP Week Long Free Bet (DK)
Here we go again. If you bet a $10 SGP every day for a certain amount of days, you earn a free bet. Seven days’ worth gets you a $100 free bet. Therefore, I will do this and post mine daily. Please tweet at me if I forget and do not post one!

LeBron to record 35+ points/assists +190 (DK)
LeBron’s combo here is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced. This is asking a lot and you can parlay LeBron over points and assists at +285. Pass.

KD to record a double-double +200 (DK)
KD is +180 to record a double-double. This is a very tiny boost. KD’s rebound prop is set to 7.5, so this is not a large enough boost for this to be worth it. Pass.

Randle and Keldon Johnson to combine for 35+ points -110 (DK)
I am not playing an odds boost that is minus money. Pass.

BRK/SAS/LAL to all win +600 (Fox)
LOL. Every game has a tiny spread and this includes a dog as usual. Pass.

BRK/NYK ML Parlay +200 (Barstool)
This should pay +192. What a boost. Pass.

LeBron and Tatum to each score 25+ +220 (Barstool)
Tatum’s prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Lebron’s prop is set to 24.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
This should pay +183. I kind of like this. This will be a competitive game with a small spread and neither team has been consistent this year. I am in.

NBA

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 14-17 45.16%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 16-19 45.71%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-8 +469
Hoops Odds Boosts 13-20 +380
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 18-25 41.86%
NBA Model 155-159 49.36%

Week Thirteen #NFL MNF and NBA Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays

Record updates for all coming tomorrow!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium

Regular Plays

NE +3

NBA Model Plays
PHI -7
DET -2.5
WAS +6
MIA -4.5
DEN +3.5
ATL +2.5
MIL -6.5
PHO -7.5
LAC -3
GSW -16

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Pats to win by 1-13 points +220
If you like the Pats sure, go ahead. Pass for me.

Draft Kings
Bourne to score a TD +320
Pass for me. The weather is supposed to be bad and it is a rookie QB on the road in a hostile environment. I am out.

I am skipping the other DK boosts as they relate to passing yards or Mac TD’s. I am way out.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
Each team to score a TD in each half +200
Sharps are on the under it has come all the down from 45. Easy pass for me.

NBA Odds Boosts
LaVine and Lonzo to make 3+ Threes +200 (FD)
LaVine’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Lonzo’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
This should pay +150 or so. This is a solid boost and right around the spot both are expected to land. I am in.

Curry to make 7+ 3’s +190 (DK)
This game feels like a blowout. Curry’s prop is set to 5.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Pass for me.

Jokic and Vuc to combine for 70+ points and rebounds +145 (DK)
Combined boosts are never the answer. Pass for me.

CP3 to record a double-double +115 (DK)
CP3 is -120 to record a double-double on another site. I am in. This is a solid boost and this is Paul’s assist prop at +115.

PHI/MIA/DEN to all win +425 (Fox)
This should pay +406. They always sneak in a dog and tonight it is Denver. Pass for me.

PHO/GSW/LAC to all win +150 (Barstool)
This should pay +130. Two of these are larger favorites, while one is a small favorite. I am treating this as the Clippers money line at +150. I am in.

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird
GSW/PHO/PHI/MIL ML parlay +165 (FD)

NFL Computer Model
Overall 83-97 46.11%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-17 58.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-26 52.72%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 19-15 55.8%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 13-32 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100 Combined
Overall 26-17 60.46%
Odds Boosts 15-29 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

Week Thirteen #NFL and NBA Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays

Remember these lines are based on the Westgate Super contest for the model and they do not change. The model is run during the week with what information is available, so that is why you see the Giants grading out so well.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
NYG +4DEN +9.5

Regular Plays
TB -11
ARZ -8
LAC +3
MIN -7
PHI -6.5
IND -9
WFT +2.5
JAX +13
PIT +4.5
SEA +3.5
NE +3

NBA Model Plays
UTA -4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
TOR -1
ATL -7.5
NOP +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
MIN -2.5 and TB -2.5 +100
This should pay -142. I am in. Both these teams should win!

Draft Kings
33% Profit Boost 3+ Leg Parlay College Football
CIN ML/MICH ML/PITT -3 Parlay +191 Boosted to +254
I am in! I am leaving this here to celebrate my Panthers winning the ACC!

Antonio Gibson to rush for 100+ Yards +380
Gibson’s rushing prop is set to 69.5.
Gibson’s rushing attempt prop is set to 17.5.
This is +280 on another book.
With JD Mckissic out, we can assume that Gibson will see a massive work load. The Raiders have been run on and the WFT has been wanting to run the ball. If we project that the WFT can win this game and line movement will tell us it is in play. I am going to play this.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

KC/LAR/MIN/IND to all win +175
This should pay +129. I am in. Which team is most likely to lose here? The Chiefs off a bye week? The Vikings against the Lions? I am in.

Fox Bet
PHI/ARZ/TB to all win +125
Three big road favorites all bunched together. This will be the week of the money line parlay for sure. The way this season has gone, we have to assume one of them will lose right. The public has been being beaten up and that could easily continue this week. This parlay should pay +110. How can you say no to a slight boost here? I know these have been getting killed recently, but I am in!

Brady and Herbert to each throw 2+ Passing TD’s +100
Herbert has looked awful and Brady has not looked like Brady for the last few weeks. The Chargers and Bengals game is very interesting because as soon as expectations show up, the Bengals crumple. The Jets and Browns games are prime examples. Brady’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced. Herbert’s is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Provided you do not think each team will run it a ton when in close, which they both have recently, this is solid. I am reluctantly in on these two struggling QB’s.

WFT/LAR/BAL to all win +275
This should pay +250. Nope. I am out on this. I do like the WFT, but no way I am playing Baltimore as I am headed to the game. Pass.

NFL
Steelers +4.5
This is such a good buy low spot. I know, I know, they have looked awful. This will be a three-point game.

LAC +3
DEN +9.5

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 83-97 46.11%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-17 58.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-26 52.72%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 19-15 55.8%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 13-32 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100

Combined
Overall 26-17 60.46%
Odds Boosts 15-29 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 12-3-21

Hitting a +575 SGP was a nice way to start last night! It would be great to keep it going on a larger slate! We are officially in beware of back-to-back scratches. SGA is pulled for OKC and when he is out you cannot ever back the Thunder. I am sure you saw the result. The same thing happened with Giannis and the Bucks. The Bucks list their starters and surprise, no Giannis. This was an old school DFS scramble moment, but in terms of betting you can surely go and quickly fire against the Bucks when this happens.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MIA +5.5
WAS -3
PHI +1
MIN +8
ORL +2.5
NOP +7
UTA -8
GSW -7
LAC +2

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PG and LeBron to combine for 55+ points +230 (DK)
Why the combined boosts. Boo.
PG’s prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
LeBron has not 100% officially been cleared at the moment so his props are not up everywhere.
It appears LeBron’s prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced. As always, parlaying both guys to go over is a better move. Pass for me.

One Pregame boost and one In game Boost (DK)
I used this on GSW -7 boosted to plus money. This line will climb when/if the Suns announce people resting tonight.

Warriors and Suns to combine for 30+ Made 3’s +275 (DK)
This game was just played the other night and now Booker is out. This is a perfect spot for the Suns to drop a game on a back-to-back playing against the Warriors without Booker. This feels like a lower scoring blowout where the Warriors win. Pass as I think the Suns may get run.

WAS/ATL/LAC to all win +550 (Fox)
This should pay +513. Of course, with Fox Bet, spot the dog in this parlay as a trap. Pass for me. Two games have tiny spreads. I am out.

NBA
GSW -7 +100 (Fox Bet)

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 13-17 43.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 15-19 44.11%
Hoops Parlay Record 4-8 +304
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-20 -185
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 17-24 41.46%
NBA Model 140-147 48.78%

Week Thirteen #NFL Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays

As usual, the sites have not really posted any odds boosts at this time. However, this is a very interesting week. I will be going game by game on the Numberball.com football show tonight with Jeff Collins. There are plenty of bigger spreads compared to last week and some very ugly spots that I am interested in.

I really want to take my Panthers Saturday night in the ACC Championship game, but they feel like a very public side. I will however, throw them in parlay odds boosts from Draft Kings. When those boosts have such a low maximum bet it is worth the risk. Normally, it is around $50, the same as most odds boosts on the books. I like it when they list the max bet in the boost, instead of me trying random numbers that are rejected first before I find what my max is. As we all know, some people have drastically different max bets than others on various items.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
NYG +4
DEN +9.5

Regular Plays
TB -11
ARZ -8
LAC +3
MIN -7
PHI -6.5
IND -9
WFT +2.5
JAX +13
PIT +4.5
SEA +3.5
NE +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Nothing is listed at this time.

Draft Kings
33% Profit Boost 3+ Leg Parlay College Football
CIN ML/MICH ML/PITT -3 Parlay +191 Boosted to +254
I am in!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

NFL
Steelers +4.5
This is such a good buy low spot. I know, I know, they have looked awful. This will be a three-point game.

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 83-97 46.11%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-17 58.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-26 52.72%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 19-15 55.8%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 13-32 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100 Combined
Overall 26-17 60.46%
Odds Boosts 15-29 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

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