Another 3-2 week in contests. I need a 5-0 to vault me a lot higher. Perhaps this week!
PIT +2.5 at CHI
Is it wrong if I like the Steelers more if Mason Rudolph is the QB? I am waiting here, but I need to avoid my team. Pass
NE -7 at CIN
Will Joe Burrow play? This line is all over the place and sits at +8.5 in some contests. If the number gets closer to six, then I am intrigued in contests due to the CLV. But as a bet, pass.
NYG +10.5 at DET
The Lions at home coming off a loss against a bad defense. Lions always put up points in these spots and the Giants will put up little resistance. The Packers offense has struggled recently and they put up 27 on the road in New York. Lions as a bet and in contests.
MIN +6 at GB
Passing on JJ McCarthy until he shows life. Also, not a fan of the Packer’s offense without Josh Jacobs, maybe. I am out.
SEA -13.5 at TEN
I want to take Seattle, but I always fear laying large amounts of point on the road. Pass.
INDY +3.5 at KC
Daniel Jones on the road outdoors has been an adventure. The Chiefs playing anywhere has been downright disappointing. I have no trust either way. Pass.
NYJ +13.5 at BAL
I do not trust the Ravens with Lamar looking like he does at the moment. The Jets are terrible, but at least they have an actual QB now. Lean NYJ, but pass.
CLE +3.5 at LVR
As someone who had invested in the Browns last week, I was slightly nervous when Dillion Gabriel left the game. It worked out, but yeah, the Browns offense is not good at all. Both defenses should control the game, but the Browns defense has been worse on the road. Pass for me, but there is an argument the Raiders should not be favored by more than three over anyone.
JAX -3 at ARZ
I can get a feisty home dog here? I am intrigued. The Cardinals offense came to life with Jacoby Brissett. I do not believe the Jags are good at all. Massive home win last week, time to come crashing back down to Earth. Lean Cardinals.
PHI -3.5 at DAL
The Eagles best offensive lineman is out. The Eagles have struggled to move the ball. The Dallas defense got healthier, in addition to the moves they made at the trade dead line. The Dallas offense will have to protect and move the ball against a stout Eagles defense. I like the home divisional dog here and think Dallas is getting better at the moment. Maybe the Eagles offense shows up here and reminds everyone who they are. I need to see it. Dallas as a bet and in contests.
ATL +2.5 at NO
The Falcons are missing Drake London and will have the corpse of Kirk Cousins playing QB. Did we not see this same situation at home versus the Dolphins? I think the Falcons could not move the ball at all. Lean Saints.
TB +6.5 at LAR
This line keeps bouncing between 6.5 and 7 points. The Bucs are still injured on defense. The Bucs have the stomach flu rolling through their team this week. The Ram’s defense is very good and the Rams offense will have a great chance to score in bunches here. Lean Rams.
CAR +7 at SF
Wait, why is this number so big. The model does have the exact same number, but this feels like a big adjustment from the books as the Panthers were 5.5-point favorites just two weeks ago. The Niners defense is still bad, and the Cardinals moved the ball the entire game. Lean Panthers.
This is where I am at the moment and who knows what news may hit that changes my plans in contests. As of now, I have lots of work to do!
I will post my choices on Twitter/X Sunday morning.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays
DAL +3.5
DET -10.5
Contest Picks
DAL +3.5
DET -10.5
CIN +8.5 (If Joe B plays)
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
IND +3.5
NYJ +13.5
CLE +3.5
Regular Plays
HOU +6.5
PIT +2.5
NE -6
DET -10.5
MIN +6.5
SEA -13.5
ARZ +2.5
ATL +2
DAL +3.5
LAR -6.5
CAR +7
NFL Computer Model
2025-2026 Season
Overall 75-90 45.45%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 14-16 46.66%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-22 42.10%
My Plays
Overall 14-14 50%
Draft Kings Contest Record 32-23 58.18%
Props/Parlays/Teasers/Other 2-2 50% +000
Win The Weekends 