It was nice to go 4-1 last week in the contest, which makes up for the 1-4 week a little while ago. I am sitting at 29-21 and really need to pick it up to have a chance at a top finish. This week is a special one as I am attending the Steeler game with my dad and both my children. I have been looking forward to this for some time.
For now, on to week eleven.
WAS +2.5 at MIA
Have you seen the Commanders defense? This team is exceptionally bad and this feels like a lost season in Washington. Miami had a chance to quit but now seems to be playing better. I think the Dolphins weapons will be able to move the ball and score. I have believed in the Dolphins before and that was a mistake. Lean Miami in Madrid.
CIN +5 at PIT
Nope. I was able to throw the Steelers out of picks contests last Sunday. I am staying away again. If Joe Flacco carves them up again, it is a bad sign for what we know is already a team that is not that good. Pass.
CAR +3.5 at ATL
Do we bet numbers or teams? This is an awful spot for the Falcons, coming back from an OT game in London and playing right away a few days later. The Panthers are well the Panthers. Just when I think they have an identity, they play badly, mostly at the QB position. Either way, I am out here.
TB +6.5 at BUFF
I have zero feel here. The Bucs seem too beat up to get it done, the Bills are wildly inconsistent. Pass.
HOU -6 at TEN
No one in their right mind is laying almost a touchdown with Davis Mills on the road. Having said that, I am not exactly clamoring to bet the Titans. Pass.
CHI +2.5 at MIN
I do not believe in the Bears, at all. The Bears defense has struggled all year long and I am for some reason betting on JJ McCarthy to be an efficient passer and score points. Minnesota as a bet and in picks contests.
GB -6.5 at NYG
I will not bet on Jameis Winston as a home dog. I will not bet on Jameis Winston as a home dog. I will not bet on Jameis Winston as a home dog. Lean Giants.
LAC -2.5 at JAX
It feels like the correct spot to take the Jags as they get healthy. The Chargers offensive line issues still remain, but for now I can not. Pass.
SEA +3.5 at LAR
I Think the Rams may be the best team in the NFC. I need to see Sam Darnold do it again on the road against a real defense before I really start to believe. I know the Rams will score here as their offense has been fantastic. Rams as a bet and in picks contests.
SF -2.5 at ARZ
No clue on either of these teams. The Niners offense is getting healthy but the defense is still dead. Pass.
BAL -7.5 at CLE
I feel like I take Cleveland in this spot every year. The Ravens and their high-powered defense come in and there is weird weather, and the Browns defense makes enough plays to win, or stay close. I am betting the Browns defense in this spot. I just hope the Browns offense does enough. Bowns as a bet and in picks contests.
KC -3.5 at DEN
I think the Chiefs are the correct side here with their defense against whatever Bo Nix is and has been. Yet, I struggle to lay the points with the Chiefs here, even coming off a bye week. Lean Kansas City.
DET +2.5 at PHI
The Lions have struggled when teams have lined up and punched them in the face, like the Vikings, Chiefs and Packers. Guess what Philly will do. Lean Eagles.
DAL -3.5 at LVR
Nope. Pass.
This is where I am at the moment and who knows what news may hit that changes my plans in contests. As of now, I have lots of work to do!
I will post my choices on Twitter/X Sunday morning.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays
LAR -3.5
CLE +7.5
MIN -2.5
Contest Picks
LAR -2.5
CLE +8.5
MIN -2.5
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
NYJ +13
TB +6.5
DET +2.5
Regular Plays
WAS +2.5
CAR +3.5
HOU -6
CHI +2.5
NYG +6
CIN +5
JAX +2.5
LAR -3.5
ARZ +3
CLE +7.5
KC -3.5
DAL-3.5
NFL Computer Model
2025-2026 Season
Overall 69-81 46%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 14-14 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-20 44.44%
My Plays
Overall 13-12 52%
Draft Kings Contest Record 29-21 58%
Props/Parlays/Teasers/Other 2-2 50% +000
Win The Weekends 