We are at the halfway point of the season. Until last week, I was doing just fine in contests and with wagers. Then I went 1-4. Now, there is not a lot of margins for error at all. 3-2 needs to be the standard each at every week at a minimum in order to cash.
ATL +6.5 at IND (Germany)
I think I have not got the Falcons right this entire season. I am not going to try now. The Colt should bounce back and score, as they have every week this season. Lean Colts, but pass.
NYG +4.5 at CHI
I am in the same boat with the Giants. I think I have whiffed on them a few times. When you do not have a read stay away. However, the Giants are now missing their two best weapons, several offensive lineman and the defense is not good. Lean Bears.
Billa -8.5 at MIA
We all know the Dolphins are dead and heading for an ugly off-season. Yet, I am interested in the home divisional dog here. The Bills coming off a massive win and in for a let-down spot. You can run on Miami and we all know Buffalo wants to do that a ton. Lean Miami.
BAL -4.5 at MIN
If the Ravens are going to make a run, it starts with games like these. Baltimore should score, but have they fixed their defense? We will find out Sunday. Lean Baltimore.
CLE -2.5 at NYJ
The Browns being road favorites is hilarious. Just out of principal I want to take the Jets. Pass.
NE +2.5 at TB
The Bucs coming off a bye week, might be getting healthy. If the Bucs are healthy once we see the Friday practice report and injury designation, I would extremely interested in them. Pass, for now.
NO +5.5 at CAR
The Panthers can play defense and run the ball. They finally have an identity. Am I about to lay points with Carolina, perhaps. The Saints are clearly playing for the future and traded an offensive lineman and a wide receiver from an already putrid offense. I am heavily considering the Panthers.
JAX -1.5 at HOU
Davis Mills? Laying points on the road with the Jags? Nope. Pass.
ARZ +6.5 at SEA
Why do I think the Cardinals might not be terrible? God. Seattle is good, we know that. I am staying away here.
LAR -4.5 at SF
Speaking of teams I never get correct, the Niners. I want to play the Rams here, but I hate laying points on the road. Lean Rams.
DET -8 at WAS
This is the Lions bounce back spot, right? Right?
PIT +2.5 at LAC
I am trying to be strong. I feel like an addict coming back for a fix. I want to play my Steelers here, but really it is about the Chargers offensive line being torn to shreds and me assuming the Steelers get fast pressure. Sigh. Steelers as a bet and in picks contest.
PHI +2 at GB
The Eagles coming off a bye week against a vastly inconsistent Packers team. I am in. The Eagles have to run the ball and get pressure here, which I think they do. Eagles as a bet and in contests.
This is where I am at the moment and who knows what news may hit that changes my plans in contests. As of now, I have one team in for sure and lots of work to do!
I will post my choices on Twitter/X Sunday morning.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays
PIT +2.5
PHI +2
Contest Picks
PIT +2.5
PHI +2.5
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
PIT +2.5
Regular Plays
DEN -8.5
IND -6.5
CHI -3.5
BUF -9.5
MIN +3.5
CLE -2
NE +2.5
CAR -5.5
HOU +2
ARZ +6.5
LAR -4.5
DET -8.5
PHI +2.5
NFL Computer Model
2025-2026 Season
Overall 63-73 46.32%
Platinum 2-6 25%
Premium 14-13 51.85%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-19 45.71%
My Plays
Overall 12-11 52.17%
Draft Kings Contest Record 25-20 55.55%
Props/Parlays/Teasers/Other 2-2 50% +000
Win The Weekends 