I hate to say I told you so on the Steelers, but here we are. The defense has so many problems for being the most expensive defense in the league. I hope that when my grandchildren are around and Mike Tomlin retires, the next coach is offensive minded.
I would think that when we reach week seven, we should have a better handle on who is actually good this season. However, I believe there are a few teams that are so bad that they make other teams appear to be better than they are. I am talking about you Colts. We also have some teams getting healthy and having players returning from suspension. I said yesterday, I thought the Steelers were fraudulent and here we are. I can see the Ravens coming back and winning the AFC North after beating the Steelers in week 18. Anyway, on to week seven!
LAC -3 at JAX (LONDON)
Nope. If Puka was playing, I would like the Rams. Instead, I am passing.
LV +12.5 at KC
Are the Chiefs back? Rice is returning, but this is the spot every year the Chiefs win but fail to cover. I am not laying the points here, but the Raiders without Brock Bowers are very bad. Pass for now.
MIA +2.5 at CLE
Bad weather. Miami coming north. Everyone can run the ball on the Dolphins. I believe the Browns defense is the best unit on the field and will make things very hard for the Dolphins. Cleveland in contests and as a wager. I texted a few friends earlier in the week to play Judkins rushing overs. In a day it went from 84.5 (Where I bet it) all the way to 95.5. That is a jump. Browns in everything.
NE -7 at TEN
I am not laying a TD on the road, even if the team getting points is the worst in the NFL and just fired people. Pass.
NO +5 at CHI
The Bears have not really beaten anyone. The Saints are undervalued in the eyes of the public. I am not taking Spencer Rattler on the road outdoors. Pass.
PHI -1.5 at MIN
We have a home dog coming off a bye week that is getting healthy. I think considering all the injuries, I like the Vikings defense against the Eagles. Minnesota had a slew of injuries on both sides of the ball, but the defense is back. Offensively, I cannot believe I want to back Carson Wentz, if he starts. Really, I want to play the Vikings passing game against the injury-filled Eagles secondary and defense. Lean Vikings in contests and as a wager. The downside here is are the Eagles really going to lose three games in a row?
CAR -1.5 at NYJ
The Panthers are a road favorite? In this economy? Pass. This game sucks.
IND +1.5 at LAC
The Chargers are getting healthy. The Colts have a secondary that is missing a ton of players. The Cardinals threw the ball at will last week against the Colts. I think the Chargers will be able to do the same. Provided Joe Alt is back, the Chargers offense will have the time to throw and score points. Chargers as a wager and in picks contests.
NYG +7 at DEN
Oh boy I want to be on the Giants here. The broncos played in London last week and the Giants played on Thursday. This is a wonderful rest advantage spot for New York. However, it is a rookie QB on the road against a very good defense. Lean Giants.
WAS +1.5 at DAL
Dallas is now a slight home favorite as the line has just shifted. Neither team can defend here and I have no feel. Pass.
GB -6.5 at ARZ
I am not laying almost a touchdown on the road. Pass for me. I do want to mention the Packers are over-rated in the market though.
ATL +2 at SF
The Falcons coming off a massive home win now head across the country. If the Niners defense was healthy, this was an easy spot to play them. However, they are not. Man, I really want to play the Niners, but pass for now.
TB +5.5 at DET
This is the Lions get-right spot after losing in Kansas City last week. The Tampa Bay injuries keep piling up and while the Lions secondary is in tatters, the Bucs do not have anyone left to attack them. That has not mattered for Baker, but I think it catches up with them this week. Lions as a wager and in picks contests.
HOU +3 at Seattle
I hate Houston. Lean Seattle and their defense, as I expect they could throttle the Texans offensive line.
This is where I am at the moment and who knows what news may hit that changes my plans in contests. As of now, I have one team in for sure and lots of work to do!
I will post my choices on Twitter/X Sunday morning and may make a video for TikTok and YouTube like I did a few times last year.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays
DET -5.5
LAC -1.5
CLE -2.5
Contest Picks
DET -4.5
LAC -1.5
CLE -2.5
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
PIT -5.5
IND +1.5
HOU +3
Regular Plays
LAR -3
NO +5
MIA +2.5
NE -7
LVR +12.5
MIN +1.5
CAR +1.5
NYG +7
WAS -2.5
GB -6.5
ATL +2
DET -5.5
NFL Computer Model
2025-2026 Season
Overall 46-48 48.93%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 12-8 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-12 52%
My Plays
Overall 8-7 53.33%
Draft Kings Contest Record 18-12 60%
Props/Parlays/Teasers/Other 2-2 50% +000
Win The Weekends 