Still alive in DK contest but can only win the quarterly prizes over at Circa. Either way we continue.
MIN -3.5 at CHI
Sam Darnold has turned back into a pumpkin, but the Bears coaching staff leaves a lot to be desired of. I lean Chicago, mostly because of their defense, but pass for now.
DET -7 at IND
Man, this is tempting as the Lions just come through ATS week, after week. I am passing as I am not going to lay over a TD on the road though.
NE +7.5 at MIA
This used to be the bet the home dog Dolphins spot. I lean Patriots because Drake Maye is pretty good and keeps them in games. I am skeptical of the Dolphins. Pass for now.
TB -6 at NYG
Pass. This feels like a good home dog week.
DAL +10.5 at WAS
Okay, here we go finally a game I like. Dallas on a short week travel to Washington, who is off a bye week. Massive rest advantage for the Commanders and I am going to assume they are healthier. You can score on Dallas and I am here the Commanders comeback week. Washington in contests and as a wager.
KC -11 at CAR
I am not laying this many on the road. Pass.
TEN +7.5 at HOU
Is Nico Collins playing? Then you can expect the Houston offense to be significantly better. Lean Texans.
DEN -6 at LVR
I love the Denver defense. I am in on the Broncos and already prepared to fade the teams I believe will fire their head coach and have a new QB next year. Denver in wagers and picks contests.
SF +2.5 at GB
Weird vibes out of San Francisco. Brock may be hurt, CMC looks kind of ordinary and things just are not clicking. I am heavily leaning toward the Packers here, despite the Niners coming off a loss.
ARZ +1 at SEA
The Cardinals are coming off a bye week, while Seattle had that massive comeback win against the Niners. I kind of like the Cardinals a lot and this feels like a great spot to fade Seattle. Lean Cardinals.
PHI -3 at LAR
What a weird spread this is. Pass for me. I do not trust the Eagles on the road at all.
BAL -3 at LAC
The Ravens will not lose two in a row, right? Right? Lean Baltimore.
I will post all my plays Sunday morning on Twitter or YouTube and Tik Tok.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays and Contest Picks
WAS -10.5
DEN -6
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
DET -7
Premium
NE +7
WAS -10.5
DEN -6
Regular Plays
PIT -3.5
MIN -3.5
TB -6
KC -11
HOU -8
SF +2
ARZ -1
PHI -2.5
LAC +2.5
NFL Computer Model
2024-2025 Season
Overall 90-74 54.87%
Platinum 3-6 33.33%
Premium 29-18 61.70%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 32-24 57.14%
My Plays
Overall 28-28 50%
Circa Millions Record 24-31 43.63%
Draft Kings Contest Record 28-27 50.90%
Win The Weekends 