I am incapable of going 4-1 or better. At least it seems that way! I seem to be 3-1 and have a night game that can push us over the top and nope. Either way, we continue on the path, and it is a long journey. I am headed to Pittsburgh for the Steeler game this weekend and it is apparently Russell Wilson time.
NE +6 at JAX (LONDON)
I am not laying the points here. I am kind of interested in the Pats ands the points, but why. Pass for now.
DET +1.5 at MIN
The Vikings coming off a bye week hosting the red hot offense of the Detroit Lions. If the Lions defense was healthy I would be all over them, but I am hesitant. I lean Detroit and the points, but I am not interested in playing the Vikings in this matchup.
PHI -3.5 at NYG
Pass. The entire division is bad.
HOU at GB -2.5
Houston is still missing Nico Collins and despite playing well in New England, CJ Stroud does have home/road splits. The Packers are secretly, slowly getting healthy. I like the Packers at home giving less than a field goal here as I continue to fade the Texans. Packers -2.5 in picks contests and as a wager.
CIN -5.5 at CLE
I am not laying this many points on the road, even if Deshaun Watson is on the other side of this game. This is the game, if the Browns do not score here then they never will. Pass for now.
TEN +9.5 at BUF
I hate laying this many points, but I am leaning that way. Have you seen Will Levis play? Oh boy, the Titans will be moving on at years end. Lean Buffalo.
SEA +3 at ATL
The Seattle defense is injured and cannot stop anyone since all of these injuries have started to mount up. I rarely have got Atlanta correct this season, but fading that Seattle defense makes sense until they get healthy and stop someone. Lean Atlanta.
MIA +3 at IND
The Dolphins coming off a bye week against the Colts, who like Seattle can not stop anyone. If Miami can not get it going this week, they are completely cooked until Tua returns. I like Miami here in contests where it is +3.5.
CAR +8 at WAS
This is a lot of points, but the Panthers can not stop anyone. Lean Washington, but the over is the play here.
LVR +7 at LAR
Pass on this game.
KC +1.5 at SF
I know we rode the Chiefs as a dog the entire playoffs. Yet, why were the Chiefs a dog in the playoffs? Oh, they took random games off during the season where they did not play well. This is Andy Reid off of a bye week, but this is also the perfect spot for the Chiefs to a drop a game. Kansas City is the public dog of the week. Lean SF.
NYJ -1.5 at PIT
My Steelers as a home dog on primetime?! I lean the Jets if anything. Sauce Gardner can take away Pickens. Leaving the immobile Russell Wilson to throw to, Van Jefferson? If the Steelers can run the ball they can win this game, but the passing game will have to make more plays without Justin Fields legs to bail them out. The Jets offensive line may collapse under pressure, but first team to 17 win here. Lean NYJ.
BAL -3.5 at TB
I am riding with the home dog here that can score points in bunches. Baltimore still struggles on defense and while they should win, I like the Bucs run stuffing abilities here and potent offense. TB +3.5 in contests and as a wager.
LAC -2.5 at ARZ
Another home primetime dog. The Cardinals are not good and without MHJ are even worse. I think this may be a good spot to back the home dog here. Are the Chargers really going to win two straight road games as short favorites? Lean ARZ.
I will post all my plays Sunday morning on Twitter or YouTube and Tik Tok.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays and Contest Picks
GB -2.5
TB +3.5
MIA +3.5
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
WAS -7.5
Premium
IND -3
NYG +3.5
PIT +1.5
TB +3.5
Regular Plays
NO +3
NE +5.5
ATL -3
BUF -8.5
CIN -5.5
GB -2.5
DET +1.5
LVR +7
KC +1.5
LAC -2
NFL Computer Model
2024-2025 Season
Overall 50-40 55.55%
Platinum 0-3 0%
Premium 16-10 61.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 16-13 55.17%
My Plays
Overall 13-17 43.33%
Circa Millions Record 13-17 43.33%
Draft Kings Contest Record 14-16 46.66%
Win The Weekends 