Week 14 #NFL Odds Boosts You should bet and Computer Model Plays (Sunday Morning Update)

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum

None

Premium
LVR +9.5
NYG +10

Regular Plays

BAL +2.5
JAX +8.5
NO -6
DAL -4
CAR -2.5
SEA -7.5
DET +8.5
CIN +1
BUF +3.5
CHI +12.5
ARZ -2.5


Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

KC/TB/GB to all win +170
This should pay +119.
Seems like everyone is on TB, or at least the public is. Be careful. Pass for me.

NYG/ATL to win +950
Ummm, no.

Brady and Allen to both throw for 300+ +320
Fox bet has the same boost at +300, pass on the Fox one obviously.
Brady is set to 306.5.
Allen is set to 295.5.
This should pay around +227. Look Buffalo cannot run. The Bucs like to throw it and will score. This is going to be high scoring. I like this. I think Buffalo may be the correct side in this game, so Allen must play well. I am in.

Draft Kings
Chubb to run for 100+ +340
Look, I love Cleveland today.
His prop is set to 70.5. He is +250 to run for 100+ over on FD. Look, I think the Browns offense gets it going today. I know that sounds insane. I am in on this considering the price and boost.



Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

I do not like any of these.


Fox Bet

KC/SEA/DAL to all win +150
This should pay +126. This feels like a trap, especially with Dallas on the road against a suddenly resurgent WFT. I am out on this. While I do like the other two, I may make my way to being on the WFT and the points. Pass. Update: The line has moved in Dallas and I am in!

TB/DEN/LAC to all win +150
Certainly feels like books are happy to take a lot of TB money. Pass for me.

NFL
CLE -2.5

CIN +2
I know I am going against the sharps here. I think the Bengals will all be healthy and play well.


College Football

Let’s Get Weird
KC/TEN/DAL/DEN/GB ML Parlay +178
This may be a very chalky week.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 92-102 47.42%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-19 55.81%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-28 50.87%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 21-16 56.75%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 15-35 -1685
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154 Combined
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Odds Boosts 17-32 -1185
Teasers and Parlays 2-2 +181

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