In the NFL every week, there are injuries and as a result, there is value to be had when playing DFS. This seems like a rare week that is almost devoid of value. Looking at Draft Kings pricing and there is one person under $4k that we know for sure will be seeing a ton of snaps in Auden Tate. Tate should be the highest owned player on Draft Kings especially in cash games. Unless some unexpected injuries news pops up, this will be the tightest priced week on Draft Kings in recent memory.
We are officially in “jam in the stud running backs and figure out the rest territory,” as we were a few years ago in cash. At a point two years ago, all you had to do was play David Johnson, Todd Gurley and Lev Bell along with some cheap value wide receivers. Add in a cheaper quarterback and you had a massive floor of almost 90 points every week. In cash games, this was extremely valuable. Last year, this was not as simple. There were no clear-cut running backs who you knew would play a high snap percentage and was a lock for touches every week. Fast forward to this year and we are back to having some secure plays. I feel very confident that Dalvin Cook, CMC and David Johnson have an insanely high floor. Between targets and rushes, all three will have a chance to touch the ball 25 or more times. All three are also in fantastic spots this week. Yes, I am calling Jacksonville a great spot. I will be jamming all three in cash games this week and looking for value in other areas.
As for the rest of the DFS player pool.
Quarterbacks
Watson – I am going back to the well after he crushed me last week. Best spot of the week. Hope the price keeps ownership down.
Matt Ryan – This game will go over.
Kyler Murray – Short week for the Bengals and they are awful.
Dak – They started feeding Zeke and the offense looked worse. Gallup back.
Mason Rudolph – The Ravens defense has quietly been bad. Steelers did just enough on Monday. Feels like it could be the Rudolph bust out spot. No one will play him, with reason.
Running Backs
Cook – Cash game staple.
CMC – Just playing him every week until he is 9.5K.
DJ – Fantastic spot against the Bengals.
Zeke – Green Bay has not been able to stop the run.
Conner – Oh the price is low and a Steelers onslaught is very interesting.
Samuels – If Conner is actually hurt and sits, lock city.
Wide Receivers
Tate – Cash Game lock.
Hopkins – I am going to ride this train off the cliff.
Theilen – I am playing Cook instead.
Julio – God this game feels like a shootout.
Fuller – Oh, I cannot wait to watch him not do anything again.
Tyler Boyd – Everyone looks good against the Cards.
Amari CSURAM88 Cooper – Everyone wants to play Zeke and I want to stack up Dak and Cooper.
Larry – Cardinals onslaught anyone?
MVS/Allison – I hope Adams sits so I can play one of these cheap guys and watch them go 4-55.
Emmanuel Mrs. Jennings Sanders – Sutton will get shadowed in the slot so.
Golden Tate – Really, like the price on Fan Duel.
Baby Chark – Guy keeps producing.
Diontae Johnson – Is the clear No.2 WR in Pittsburgh now. Is constantly open. Ravens secondary has been bad. This is a GPP winning guy.
Tight End
Nick Vannett – There is very little value but need Vanimal to sit here.
Austin Hooper – If you want a piece of this game, but cannot get up to Julio.
Tyler Eifert – I mean someone has to catch the ball. Will he lay enough snaps?
Knox – He is cheap. That is all I got.
Waller the Baller – Plays every snap and gets insane volume.
Mark Andrews – Is he going to be questionable every game?
Defense
New England – if you can get up to them do it.
Philly – No Darnold again.
Chicago – Mack revenge game.
New Orleans – Jameis INT regression incoming.
Buffalo – Get great pressure and the Titans have to turn it over eventually.
Tennessee – If there is no Josh Allen.
Pittsburgh – This is the GPP play. They force turnovers and get to face a team that is fumbling often.
This is my current plan! Good luck everyone!
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