Football is a strange game. There are so few data points that we must do our best to predict what is most likely to happen with small sample sizes. We can project touches, game flow, or how we believe the game may unfold. All of that could mean nothing with a small news update. Last Sunday I was planning to play Shady McCoy, Keenan Allen and Mark Andrews in my main cash game lineup. I thought Shady was a little thin, but felt better than playing Frank Gore. Then the pre-game warmups started. Mark Andrews was reportedly barely running. Shady was running with the third team and looked like an emergency only type running back. After getting those two updates, I felt I had to pivot. I did not want to come off Allen, but I really liked my other pieces. I had locked Kyle Allen, CMC and Dalvin Cook in along with Larry Fitzgerald and the Pats defense. I never considered coming off the Pats defense in cash, but perhaps I should have.
Reluctantly, I went to John Brown, Vance Macdonald and Austin Ekeler. Vance was not my favorite, but I was just short of getting up to Evan Engram and his targets with Rudolph last week were encouraging. That 3v3 swap was horrid. My lineup still cashed in 60% of my cash games, but surely would have swept and won them all without the sweep.
Process over results.
I keep telling myself that my process was correct, despite the results being bad. Shady was hurt again and only played 24 snaps. He scored two touchdowns on those 24 snaps. Mark Andrews was a non-factor and looked hurt. Allen crushed. If I had just gone down to Gore and up to Engram, I crush. I dumped all my Andrews shares and ended up with some Engram, Kittle, Ertz and Vance.
My best GPP lineups on each site seemed to be going extremely well, and then Arizona stopped scoring. Everything was in place for a nice or pretty big score, but the shootout in Arizona never happened. The Panthers just blew out the Cardinals.
The process you should be trusting is our computer model. The computer is destroying against the spread hitting on all games at almost 65%! Platinum plays and premium plays are on fire too! We will be posting this plays every Thursday! Until then, good luck everyone!
Platinum 6-2 (75%)
Premium 9-6 (60%)
Overall 31-17 (64.58%)
College Teasers and Parlays 4-3 (57.14%) +140
College Picks 8-9 (47.05%)
NFL Teasers and Parlays 4-2 (66.66%) +480
NFL Picks 6-5 (54.54%)
Overall Teasers and Parlays 8-5 (61.53%) +620
Overall Picks 14-14 (50%)
Baseball Record 89-60 +2259
Baseball Parlays 28-74 -995
Great blogging son.
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