It’s finally week one!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I am not excited at all. Put on a Disney movie for the kids to watch (Inside Out) so Daddy could get some extra prep work and writing done. We have had some weather updates from Cleveland, where the rain will not be as bad as expected. The wind may be an issue but I am going back to Antonio Brown. This is a risk, especially in cash games, but I feel good about it.
Computer selections were posted a few days ago, but it’s time for my wagers.
CINN +2
I think they are healthy and the better team. Indy’s roster is very bad overall. In a few weeks we will look back and wonder how the Colts could be favored in this game.
Denver -3
Every year we have a surprise team come out of nowhere and win ten games. I think the Broncos could be that team. Why yes, I would like to invest a lot of money in Case Keenum. I have a friend coming over to watch games that is a Denver fan, so that should make this even more fun.
5 Team 7 point Teaser +300
CINN +9
PITT +3.5
BALT -.5
NO -3
MINN PK
Yes, trying to get five games correct is hard, but it pays +300! If you really want have fun add the Packers in tonight and it pays even more!
Week One DFS Stacks
When you are stacking you must ALWAYS play a QB with a WR from their team and run it back with a player from the opposing team. All the data says that is the optimal way to play, even if it doesn’t work every week. The goal here is to give ourselves the best opportunity for a big GPP score. I am not playing to cash, I am playing with win GPP’s.
Draft Kings
Rivers/Allen/Tyfreak
Keenum/Sanders/Lockett
Keenum/Sanders/Baldwin
Dalton/AJG/Doyle
Dalton/AJG/Ross/Doyle
Somehow in the DFS community Dalton is becoming chalk. One way differentiate off that chalk is by adding in John Ross. He is a big play and explosive WR and great pivot off the chalk that will be Keelan Cole.
Fan Duel
Rivers/Gordon/Allen/Tyfreak
Rivers/Allen/Tyfreak
Brady/Hogan/Gronk/White/Hopkins
Brady/Hogan/Hopkins
Brees/Kamara/Thomas/Godwin
Dalton/AJG/Doyle
Dalton/AJG/Ross/Doyle
Keenum/Sanders/Lockett
Keenum/Sanders/Baldwin
I have not deviated from my core at all, but have added some onslaught stacks. An onslaught stack is using 3-4 players from one team and expecting that they score a ton of points and your lineup soaks it all up. Sony Michel being ruled out means the Patriots have three RB’s in Burkhead, White and Hill. Hill is short yardage and goaline only. The Pats have only four healthy WR’s so expect James White to be on the field a ton in this one.
Pending any news this is my plan. It could change if anything else comes out between now and lock. LFG!!!!!!!
Win The Weekends 