I am shocked this season seems to have gone so quickly. It is actually December. We have to purchase, wrap and give out Christmas gifts in 25 days. I am not ready for this.

I am barely ready for week 13!

ARZ +5.5 at PIT – Beware Tomlin as a favorite of three of more. This feels almost too easy. You can run on Arizona. The Steelers want to run it a ton. Arizona struggles to score; the Steelers have not given up 20 or more in 7 weeks. I lean Pittsburgh but am leery to lay this many points. I mean just wait until next Thursday.

IND -1 at TEN – I hate this game. Minshew has been bad on the road and the Titans are not good. Pass.

LAC -5.5 at NE – The Chargers are a dead team heading for an exaction. The coach will be gone, and they need to make some changes. Austin Ekeler looks slow, their first-round pick looks like a bust and their defense can not stop anyone. Yet, they are laying almost six points on the road. OL. I am not telling you what to do, but you have to be out of your mind to take the Chargers here. Pass for me. If the Pats even had a pulse I would be all over them.

DET -4.5 at NO – The Lions look like they are falling apart and they truly are on defense. The Saints have no healthy WR, seriously, they might not have anyone over 3.2K on Draft Kings. I think we forget how bad the NFC South is at times. I lean Detroit. This feels like a good get-right spot for the Lions.

ATL -2 at NYJ – A whole bunch of nope here.

MIA -9.5 at WAS – I am not laying almost ten on the road, even if it is the Commanders. I have been weary of the Dolphins pass defense and we know Washington will be throwing it a ton. If this was in Miami I would like the Dolphins, but not on the road. I lean Commanders, but pass for now.

DEN +3 at HOU – The Broncos defense has turned a corner and they just keep forcing turnovers. I could see Houston turning it over in this one. The Texans have not covered as a favorite this year. Pass for me.

CAR +5 at TB – I am left in one survivor contest and may use the Bucs this week. I hate it. That is how I feel about this game.

CLE +3.5 at LAR – Is Myles Garrett going to play? Is Joe Flacco really going to start? I kind of like Cleveland if the defense is healthy. Pass for now.

SF -3 at PHI – There is an obvious rest advantage for the Niners here playing on Thanksgiving while the Eagles played almost an entire 5^th quarter late Sunday evening. The Eagles have no healthy middle linebackers and the Niners will take advantage of that. One of the things people are not discussing is how Jalen Hurts was pressured a ton in the first half last week. I think San Fran gets pressure and gets up early on the Eagles. No Philly magic this week. I am on the Niners -3 in wagers and contests.

KC -6 at GB – Did the Chiefs get their mojo back last week? Green Bay is obviously playing well losing a close game to the Steelers, beating the Chargers and Lions. This is another case of a team with rest advantage, but as a home dog. I am in. I think Jordan Love has put something together and this will be competitive. Packers in wagers and contests.

CIN +8.5 at JAX – How will the Bengals score and stop the Jags? If you told me 6 weeks ago I would lay this many with the Jags I would have laughed. It literally took two tipped pass completions, a wrongly called incomplete pass and a weird fumble that Dionte Johnson did not notice for the Bengals to hang around and score a whopping ten points at home last week. Bengals are done. Jags are grinding games out with their defense. I am on the Jags in wagers and contests.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers (WIN)
Week 9 Cleveland (WIN)
Week 10 Dallas (WIN)
Week 11 Washington (LOSE)
Week 12 Titans (WIN)
Week 13 Tampa Bay

Computer Model Plays
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Premium
CLE +3.5
SF -3

Regular Plays
DAL -9
IND -1
NE +6
DET -4
NYJ +2
PIT -5.5
MIA -9.5
HOU -3.5
TB -5.5
GB +6
CIN +9.5

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NFL
SF -3
JAX -8.5
GB +6

College Football

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NFL Computer Model
Overall 87-84 50.87%
Platinum 1-5 16.66%
Premium 18-18 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 19-23 45.23%

Our Plays
Overall  21-12-1 63.63%
College Football 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200