We had another winning week and are slowly building. Need to keep the momentum going in these contests, because it is getting late early for me.

Either way we are on to week nine!

MIA +6 at BUF
The Dolphins are not good, especially on defense. I said it was getting late early for me, but it really is for Miami. A Bills win here feels like it locks up the division in November! I think the Dolphins lack an identity, but they did run the ball well against the Bills in their first matchup. Lean Buffalo.

DEN +8 at BAL
I am not playing Bo Nix on the road against the Ravens coming off a loss. Pass.

LVR +7 at CIN
The Bengals should not be laying a touchdown to anyone. I am not backing the Raiders on the road either. Pass.

WAS -3.5 at NYG         
This is what I mean by we must adapt. I would never lay points on the road in division, but I will here. Washington is going to score, that is a fact. I do not know the Giants can stop them or score enough to keep up. WAS in contests and as a wager.

LAC -1.5 at CLE
I was all over the Browns last week and I am doing it again this week. The Chargers have struggled when they have played better teams. I am running it back here. The Browns have life and are way more fun, not to mention they can actually move the ball. I know Jameis will throw the ball to the other team three times per game, just need to hope those are dropped again like lats week. Cleveland in contests and as a wager.

DAL +3 at ATL
Are both these teams secretly bad? Pass. Dallas is not good, but the Falcons have a majority of their yards and points coming against the Bucs and bad teams.

NE +3.5 at TEN
Nope. Who cares. Keep this off all quad box options.

NO -7 at CAR
Is Derrick Carr playing? If he is I am laying the points on the road. What could go wrong. I am in agreement that the Panthers are historically bad. Saints, with Carr in contests and as a wager.

JAX +7.5 at PHI
You can only play the Eagles here. Pass for me. Jags have no offense and Philly has been all over the place, but seems to have found their identity.

CHI +1.5 at ARZ
Pass. This is a fun game, but I do not know what to make of either of these two teams coming off their last game.

DET -3 at GB     
The Lions finally play outside, and it may rain. The Packers have a question at QB as it may be Malik Willis. The Lions are the public play for sure, as this almost seems too easy. Pass for me, but I think the Packers are fraudulent.

LAR -1 at SEA
The Seattle defense is slowly getting healthy, but the offense without DK Metcalf is bad. Provided this Puka injury is not a real issue, this feels like another road division favorite I like. This is going to go so badly. I am trying to adjust and figure out this season and playing favorites now seems to be the way. Lean LAR.

IND +5.5 at MIN
I want to play the Colts so badly, but will Minnesota blitz Joe Flacco out off the field? Lean Colts.

TB +8.5 at KC
Ugh, pass. I hate laying points with the Chiefs and the Bucs have a slew of injuries.

I will post all my plays Sunday morning on Twitter or YouTube and Tik Tok.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

My Plays and Contest Picks
WAS -3.5
CLE +1.5
NO -7 (If Carr)

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
BUF -6
WAS -3.5

Premium
HOU +2
LAC -1.5
NO -7
DEN +9
CHI +1
DET -3


Regular Plays
ATL -3
LV +7
NE +3.5
PHI -7.5
SEA +1
IND +5.5
TB +8,5

NFL Computer Model
2024-2025 Season
Overall  67-54 55.37%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 21-13 61.76%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 22-17 56.41%

My Plays
Overall  20-20 50%
Circa Millions Record 18-22 45%
Draft Kings Contest Record 20-20 50%