The playoffs are fun, but even more so when your team is playing. I want the Steelers to play well and win of course, but I think they can. In a blizzard with 40 MPH winds anything is literally in play.
CLE -2 at HOU
The Browns defense is severely beat up and the Texans were not healthy at all during their last meeting. CJ Stroud did not even play in that previous game. There is still some injury news we are waiting on for this game, but I am leaning toward the Texans. The Browns defense has been worse on the road and with some secondary injuries popping late in the week, Cleveland may have to make changes today to prepare for tomorrow. Is this the week Joe Flacco finally turns back into Joe Flacco? I think so, if the Texans pass rush is healthy and playing. I lean Houston, but am waiting to make a wager tomorrow.
MIA +4.5 at KC
I bet the Chiefs -3.5 on Monday morning. This was before the weather news was really out there. My wager has nothing to do with weather, but more to do with the Dolphins signing people this week to play defensive end Saturday in Arrowhead. The Dolphins injuries on defense are significant and of course the weather will matter. I know it will be cold for Kansas City as well, but living in Florida and coming into this Saturday night is going to be insane. Yes, the Chiefs have struggled, but this is a wager on their defense and running game. KC -4.5.
PIT +10 at BUFF
I am completely biased, however, I think one team is much more physical. The Steelers have an identity and are a completely different team than they were just four weeks ago. TJ being out is going to hurt a ton of course, but the weather and snow is going to make this an interesting situation. Strong winds and possible blizzard conditions will make throwing difficult. Josh Allen should run the ball plenty of times. If Gabe Davis sits, the Steelers can put JPJ on Diggs and then really focus on Cooks and Allen. The Steelers middle linebackers do make me weary of them, but I think the weather neutralizes any speed advantage the Bills may have. This game will be tight and close and I hope it is Allen that needs to make a late drive and not Mason. Steelers +10.
GB +7 at DAL
Everyone seems to like the Packers and the points, but why? Green Bay’s defense was shredded by everyone not names Justin Fields and Jaren Hall. Byrce Young put up 30 points. Baker Mayfield put up 34 points. Tommy Devito put up 24 points. What is the juggernaut Dallas going to do at home? Put up points. This feels like the blowout spot of the weekend to me. Dallas will score and Jordan Love has his first playoff game jitters and the Cowboys roll. Dallas -7.
LAR +3 at DET
Last year the Giants were the week one dog we were all on and here we go again. The Rams are healthy and really have it together on offense. Since Kyren Williams returned the Rams have scored 37, 36, 31, 28, 30, and 26 points. The Lions have had just enough injuries on offense that they may struggle to score. Sean McVay clearly knows Jared Goff well and the Matt Stafford narrative is strong here. LAR +3.
PHI -3 at TB
Both teams are not good. The Eagles seems to be done and suffered another injury in their secondary. I will tentatively lean to the home dog that can throw it around. Lean TB.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
PIT +10
Regular
HOU +2.5
MIA +4.5
GB +7
LAR +3
TB +3
NFL
KC -4.5
PIT +10
DAL -7
LAR +3
Let’s Get Weird
HOU ML/KC ML/PIT ML/DAL ML/LAR ML +5000
HOU +8/KC -2.5/PIT +17.5/DAL -1.5/LAR +9.5/TB +9.5 +550
Anytime TD Parlay
Nicol Collins/Pacheco/Najee Harris/Lamb/Kyren Williams/Mike Evans +6200
NFL Computer Model
Overall 131-133 49.62%
Platinum 1-5 16.66%
Premium 24-24 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 25-29 46.29%
Our Plays
Overall 24-17-2 58.53%
College Football 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
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