Another chance for a 4-1 week becomes a 3-2 week because of Atlanta. The lesson here is that Atlanta is the issue, ha. Nevertheless, here we are on our search for five games against the spread. Remember I will post my contest plays on Twitter Sunday morning and hopefully posting on YouTube and Tik Tok.
PIT -1.5 at IND
This season especially, you want to be on the opposite side of the public. The Steelers are the public side here. However, the Colts have a lot more injuries than expected. The Colts offensive line contains some of those injuries. The only way the Colts win this game is by their offensive line dominating the Steelers defensive line. Anthony Richardson has a proclivity for turning the ball over and I see the Steelers defensive line winning, considering those injuries to the Colts. Teams have been able to run on the Colts. The Steelers want to run the ball. This is the game Najee Harris gets going. The Steelers always defend Lamar Jackson well and Richardson is the homeless man’s version of Lamar. Call me John Q Public as I am on the Steelers in bets and in contests.
DEN +7.5 at NYJ
I am not laying more than a TD with the Jets. This is a good spot to fade the Broncos after that win, but pass.
PHI -1.5 at TB
The Eagles are coming off a huge road win and appear to be without AJ Brown, Devonte Smith and Lane Johnson. The offense was not exactly clicking with those guys. Tampa Bay played awful last weekend and this is a great spot for them to get the offense going. You can throw on the Eagles and I believe the Bucs will. I will take the small home dog here, provided the Eagles offense remains on the injury report. Bucs in contests and as a wager.
MIN +2.5 at GB
Jordan Love is coming back it appears, but the Vikings defense is very good. I am passing here.
CIN -4.5 at CAR
If the Bengals could not get a win on Monday night in a huge spot, why would we expect them to go on the road and get a win? Lean home dog Carolina, but pass for me.
JAX +6.5 at HOU
The Texans are 0-3 ATS this season despite a 2-1 record. I think everyone watched the Jags implode on Monday and who will actually tag the Jags? Professionals it appears. I am passing, because I do not like either side.
NO +2 at ATL
Both teams had their center get hurt and will not play in this game. I have no clue here. I am 1-2 wager on Falcons games and 0-1 wagering on Saints games. Maybe I should avoid these two teams.
NE +10.5 at SF
Pass. Niners will be getting some people back, but ehhh. No thanks.
LAR +3 at CHI
The professionals have hit the Bears here and driven this number all the way to +3. The Rams could have easily been blown out last week, but miraculously got a win. The Bears have some questionable coaching to say the least. Lean Bears as an offensive breakout spot but pass for now.
WAS +3.5 at ARZ
Washington is the public side here, but I am passing here. I think both defenses are bad.
KC -7 at LAC
This line has fallen and that is because of professionals betting the Chargers. I am of the belief that both starting OT’s will be out for the Chargers and someone not named Justin Herbert will be the starting QB. The Chiefs have a history of winning and not covering these games. Pass for me, too many unknowns.
CLE +1.5 at LVR
The Browns are slowly dying and of course I lost going against them during their only win of the season. The Raiders laid an egg at home last week and have a great chance to attack that Browns offense. Cleveland lost more offensive lineman to injury and they were already thin in that spot. The Raiders if nothing, can get a pass rush. I like the Raiders and if I had to make picks now, they would be my 5th team. Heavily interested in Raiders 1.5.
BUF +2.5 at BAL
This line looks suspicious. The 1-2 Ravens are favored over the 3-0 Buffalo Bills. Buffalo’s defense has been suspect all year, but played well against Tua for a half during a Thursday night game and of course crushed the Jags on Monday. Bills have a short week and are on the road this week. I think the Ravens get it right and win this game. I am heavily interested in the Ravens as a bet and in picks contests.
TEN +1 at MIA
I have no clue here. Who is the QB for the Dolphins? Will the Titans give up another touchdown on offense? Pass.
SEA +3.5 at DET
This is not the Lions from last year. Goff has been off. Their center tore his pec and is done for the year. I had the Lions last week in Arizona and watched that entire game. The Lions of last year blow that game open and win easily. Instead, it became a sweat as that Lions offense died in the second half. They could not run it effectively and Goff was all over the place. If you look back, Goff was not great in week one. Struggled against the Bucs at home in week two, then could not shut the door on the Cardinals in week three. Provided the Seattle defense remains healthy, pending Friday practice reports, I like the Seahawks to keep this close and maybe win. Seattle in picks and as a wager.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
My Plays and Contest Picks
SEA +3.5
PIT -1.5TB +2
Leaning toward
BAL -2.5
LVR -1.5
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
DAL -6
DEN +6.5
JAX +6.5
SF -10.5
CLE +2
MIA -1
Regular Plays
NO +2.5
LAR +3
GB -3
PIT -1.5
TB +2
CIN -4.5
WAS +3.5
LAC +7
BAL -2.5
SEA +3.5
NFL Computer Model
2024-2025 Season
Overall 28-18 60.86%
Platinum 0-2 0%
Premium 7-4 63.63%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 7-6 53.84%
My Plays
Overall 7-8 46.66%
