I could really use a 5-0 week in contests!

NYG -6.5 at CAR (LONDON)
God no. Pass.

PIT +3 at WAS
Mike Tomlin as a dog. Check. Mike Tomlin against a rookie QB. Check. Washington has not faced a top defense besides the Bears and they barely could move the ball. I will take the physical Steelers on both sides of the ball here. Steelers in contests and as a wager.

NE +6 at CHI
This is terrible again. Pass.

BUF -4 at IND
The Colts might just be bad, and the Bills keep cruising along. Stopping the run is an issue for Buffalo, are the Colts smart enough to actually pound the ball. Pass for me.

DEN +7.5 at KC
I am just not laying a bunch of points with the Chiefs. I think I have not gotten the Chiefs or their opponent, when I have wagered on or against them. Pas.

ATL -3.5 at NO
Man, I want to lean into the Saints getting the dead cat bounce. Chris Olave being out along with the Saints having no one to stretch the field is an issue. Pass for now.

SF -6 at TB
Niners off a bye week, the Bucs played a Monday Night Football overtime game. What’s that? San Fran is getting the best offensive weapon back. Oh, the Bucs still do not have any WR and lost another one? Sign me up. Niners in contests and as a wager.

MIN at JAX
In one of my contests MIN is -4. That is an obvious choice. The Jags are slowly tanking without actually tanking. Had that game finished closer to the 22-0 score as it started and this is actually a number closer to 8-9 points. Vikings in contests and as a wager. My god, here we are adjusting and taking SAM DARNOLD laying a TD on the road. What is happening.

TEN +7 at LAC
Chargers. The Titans can not score, and the Chargers beat and dominate bad teams. Chargers in contests and wagers.


PHI -7.5 at Dallas
Man, I want to take Dallas so badly, but we need to adjust to 2024. Pass on this game.

NYJ -1.5 at ARZ
Pros have moved this number toward the Jets. I am not backing Rodgers and the Jets on the road. Pass for me.

DET -3.5 at HOU
If Nico Collins is out, I am highly interested in the Lions. Lean Detroit.

MIA +1 at LAR
This is a weird number and professionals have come in on the Dolphins. The Rams get some offensive lineman back. Pass for me.

I will post all my plays Sunday morning on Twitter or YouTube and Tik Tok.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

My Plays and Contest Picks

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
MIN -7
DET -3.5

Premium
DEN +8
PHI -7


Regular Plays
BAL -6
NYG -6
CHI -6
BUF -4
NO +3.5
TB +6
PIT +3
LAC -7.5
NYJ +1
LAR -1.5

NFL Computer Model
2024-2025 Season
Overall  73-63 53.67%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 23-17 57.5%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 25-22 53.19%

My Plays
Overall  22-23 48.88%
Circa Millions Record 19-26 42.22%
Draft Kings Contest Record 22-23 48.88%