Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 3-31-2021

Baseball odds boosts have started to trickle in for the season and opening day tomorrow. I have added a section there to break those down too. I can discuss the season long ones, but the player specific ones will have to wait until tomorrow since we do not have player props and some lines at the moment. I did already post the PGA article for this week discussing our bets and the odds boost break down. You can find that here.

I have been debating getting a hobby box of NBA Panini Prizm to rip, but man, $2k is a lot. Nevertheless, I think it would be a ton of fun. By this weekend, we will have PGA, MLB, the Final Four and the NBA all going on at the same time. I hope the weather cooperates as well and this should be a fantastic time to be a sports bettor.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
IND +2 (Tied for Highest Rated in model)
DET +8
HOU +12
DAL +1
MEM +6
NYK -3.5
OKC +8 (Tied for Highest Rated in Model)
SAC +3
MIL -8.5
PHO -7





NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Knicks/Heat/Lakers to win +1270 (DK)
Let me say this is a boost. I will also mention the Lakers are almost double-digit dogs. Pass.


Luke to score over 28.5 points and Mavs to win +270 (DK)
Luka’s point prop is set to 28.5. The Mavs are a slight dog in this game as well. At this moment, if you parlay them together it should pay +281. At this point, I am passing. I keep saying right now. If Jaylen Brown is ruled out for the Celtics, this line could flip and the Mavs could be favored. If that happens, then this may be a boost that has value. Until that happens, pass.


33% Profit boost on any 3+ leg NBA Parlay (DK)
I am using this, but cannot use anyone -500 or longer. See below.



Tatum and Randle 1+ dunk each +400 (Fox)
Tatum has 29 dunks in 41 games.
Randle has 17 dunks in 46 games.
This is a boost I want to add based upon the likelihood they both dunk in a game, but you know how I feel about these. Pass.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Baylor to lead at half time and win by 5+ points +170 (DK)
If you like Baylor, by all means go ahead.





MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Did you think we would not be covering this too? Baseball Breakdown coming tomorrow when more information on each game is posted!
NYY/Cubs/Dodgers to all win +230 (DK)

Cole to record over 7.5 K’s and NYY to win +130 (DK)



Bet a $5 single pre-game bet on TOR/NYY get a mystery MLB boost (DK)
I did this to see what happened and I got a 100% boost!


Get a $10 free parlay when bet a $10+ parlay on Opening Day (Fox)

Judge to have 1 or more Hits on opening day +100 (Fox)
I am in!


Phillies to win the World Series +4500 (Fox)
Phillies are +4000 on DK and +3500 on FD.
If you like this, it is a boost. I am passing but it is out there.

$10 free same game parlay (FD)
I will be using this on opening day. I will pick five people to homer and have it pay over $2k and I will lose, but it is free.


NBA
BRK -12.5
I will be going against the tankers often.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
BRK/PHO/MIL ML Parlay -110
POR/PHO/MIL ML Parlay DK Boosted to +168


Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 39-36 52%
NCAA Record 17-19 47.22%
NCAA Tourney Record 8-7 53.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 15-25 +004
Hoops Odds Boosts 41-58 +3580
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 45-37 54.87%
NBA Model 284-289 48.56%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record
Baseball Parlay Record
Baseball odds boosts Record

PGA Valero Texas Open Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Our Plays 4-1-2021

This is the calm week before the Masters! I am excited. On Thursday this week, we will have NBA, PGA, and MLB. BY the time the weekend hits, we are adding the Final Four. A week later, we add WrestleMania and the Masters! I am pumped!

I will break down my wager by location, so you can get the best number possible. I am taking some shots here in each range, as you will see.

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

PGA
Jordan Spieth +1560 (DK)
Brendan Grace 55/1 (DK)
Brice Garnett 190/1 (FD)




PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jordan Spieth to win +1560 (DK)
He is 10/1 on Fox and 11/1 on FD. I liked him before this boost. I am in.


Jordan Spieth to finish top 5 +280 (FD)
Spieth is +275 to finish top 5 on DK, so this is not a boost. While I think, he plays well and can win, the purpose of this space to is to identify values on boost, which this is not. Pass on this boost.


PGA Odds Boost Record
2-4 +150


Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
3/24Rahm 14/1 Fox
Bryson 14/1 DK
3/18Brandon Wu 70/1 DK
Doug Ghim 65/1 FD
Cameron Tringale 45/1 FD
Brendan Steele 45/1 DK
3/11
Xander 24/1 FD
Zalatoris 85/1 FD
Zalatoris top 20 +300 DK (Him finishing 21st hurt)
Norlander 240/1 FD
Norlander top 20 +700 FD
JT 20/1
Bryson Live +1500
Bryson Live +900

3/4/21
Bryson 13/1 (FD)
Zalatoris 45/1 (DK)
Kokrak 40/1 (FOX)
Norlander 140/1 (FD)


2/25
Will Zalatoris 70/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris Top 10 +550 (DK)
Collin Morikawa 45/1 (DK)
Bryson 20/1


2/18
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360


2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-30-2021

The NCAA games on Monday and Tuesday just feel wrong. Yes, I am going to be the person complaining that a game should not start at 10:00 PM Eastern. Seriously, why? Do they not want anyone to stay up and watch it?

I realize my post yesterday may have confused people; no, I did not sell all my NBA Top Shot moments and take all my money out. I did take a good chunk of profit that I had sitting in my Dapper and withdrawal it to my bank account. It was fast and easy. I still believe in Top Shots, but it is not the printing press it had been before. It is still profitable to buy packs and flip things though. I am still holding some moments that there are fewer than 15,000.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CHA -3
DEN -4.5
ATL +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model, but not very high at all.)
ORL +10.5






NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to record a triple-double +380 (FD)
Jokic is +333 on Draft Kings to record a triple-double.
As we know, points will not be an issue for Jokic. Jokic’s rebound prop is set to 10.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Jokic’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is also heavily juiced. The Sixer defense, even without Embiid has been very good. Considering this is a small boost, but should be a slower paced game, I am happy to fade this. Pass for me.

Gordon to score over 14.5 points and Nuggets to win +280 (DK)
Gordon’s point prop is set to 13.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Gordon is +126 to score 15+ points.
This parlayed together should pay +199. Gordon scored 12 in his first game with Denver and this is right around what he should score nightly in his new scenario. As insane as it is, I kind of want to play this. I realize the Nuggets could win easily and Gordon could score six points. Bahh, I cannot pull the trigger. I am passing, but I think if you want to fire, it is fine.


Booker and Trae to record 8+ made threes +1500 (DK)
As we know from previous Trae boosts like this he averages around 2.5 made threes a game. His made threes prop for tonight is, you guessed it, 2.5, yet the over is heavily juiced. Booker’s made threes prop is set to 1.5 and the over is incredibly juiced at -162. While this may appear to be a large payout, it is kind of in line with what it should be. If you parlay Trae and Booker to make 4+ threes is pays +1659. There is no way I can combine these to make this to be a boost. Trae to make 5+ threes and Booker to make 3+ threes is also +1643. Pass from me.

Sixers/Clippers/Suns to all win +375 (Fox)
Taking Philly in Denver without Embiid is a hard no.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Gonzaga and Michigan to both win +100 (FD)
This should pay -155. I believe that Gonzaga will win. I am in, see below.

Gonzaga and UCLA to both win +360 (DK)
This should pay +325. Since I believe Gonzaga will win, I think you can see where this is going. If each one has a max bet of $50, you can play both here with zero risk.
$50 Gonz/Mich if it wins you make $50. (Get your $50 bet back so $100 comes back to account)
$50 Gonz/UCLA if it wins you make $180. (Get your $50 bet back so $220 comes back to your account)
Of course, this is all predicated on Gonzaga winning outright. The downside is if Gonzaga loses the first game, you lose everything.  I am 100% betting both of these. I have the Gonzaga money line to close the parlay from yesterday, so you know I am on them. I believe the Zags win and then we have a free roll to break even, or make +260 tonight. I am in.




25% Profit Boost for every game on Draft Kings.


Gonzaga and Michigan to win by 10+ Points +400 (Fox)
This line is slightly too low. If you parlay their alternative line of each to win by 10+ it should pay +469. Pass on this.




MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Did you think we would not be covering this too?
NYY/Cubs/Dodgers to all win +230 (DK)
Break down coming soon!


NBA
Den -4.5



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
We are a Gonzaga away here!
HOU/BAY/GONZ/BRK/DAL/UTA +146

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 38-36 51.35%
NCAA Record 16-19 45.71%
NCAA Tourney Record 7-7 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 13-25 -402
Hoops Odds Boosts 41-58 +3580
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 45-36 55.55%
NBA Model 281-288 49.38%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-29-2021

I decided to take some money off the table on NBA Top Shot. I cashed out on Friday and the money is in my account right now. I would say that ended up being faster than I could have hoped. After such a delay, I will take it. It feels really weird having NCAA Tourney on a Monday with a massive NBA slate. There are plenty of boosts for college and the NBA, so here we go!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
WAS +5
MIN +11.5
NYK +4
NOR +4
MEM -7
DAL -11 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +3.5
SAC +2.5
UTA -16
GSW +1
MIL +2






NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a triple-double and Brooklyn to win +260 (FD)
This should pay +196. This game has a massive total and if it stays close, Harden can easily get there as he does almost nightly. Harden’s rebound prop is set to 9.5 and the over is juiced. Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Harden is +160 on DK to record a triple-double. I am in.


Giannis and Leonard to score 25+ +175 (FD)Both of their props are above this at 27.5 and 26.5 points. This should pay +138. This should be a tight competitive game and I like this. I get both players to score under their prop. I am in.

Giannis to record 3+ dunks and Bucks to win +360 (DK)
He averages around 2.5 dunks a game. The Bucks are small dogs in this spot. Pass. I hate dunk props.


Heat/Mavericks/Raptors to win +240 (DK)
This should pay +188 and all four teams are favored. However, I cannot go against the Knicks at home, or back the Raptors on the road. Pass. I am not sure what Toronto is even trying to do at this point.


Heat/Nets/Grizzlies +175 (Fox)
This should pay +125, so feel free to fire. I already said I do not feel comfortable taking the Heat in New York. I know Randle is questionable, but if he is ruled out and this boost is still posted, then I am coming back. The other two games in this one are more than fine. I am currently out, unless Randle sits, then I am in.


Tatum and Butler 1+ dunks each +200 (Fox)
Nope. Pass.


Zion/Kyrie to score 30+ each +400 (Fox)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay around +325. The down side here is you need Zion to have a fantastic game and Kyrie to score and that game to remain close. While that could happen, you need both guys to go over their number by a few points. If both games were super competitive, I could see it. I am going to pass here.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Houston and Baylor to win +100 (FD)
This should pay -154, so this is a great boost. If you think both favorites are going to win, you should be in. I have to take this one. This is too much of a boost to avoid considering we are getting both favorites. I am in.

Houston and Baylor to win +100 (Fox)
This is a max bet of $10 for me. Combined I can bet $60 on this. I am in.



Baylor to win and 149+ points scored +180 (FD)
The total is 148.5 in this game and Baylor is an eight-point favorite. If you parlay them to win and the over, it should pay +145. I think Baylor wins here, so this is betting the over at +180. These games have been trending under, so be aware of that.
Houston and Baylor to win by 5+ points +175 (DK)
This is a break on the line for both teams. This is about the price it should be. I think you are better off taking the boost on FD where they both just have to win. Pass for me.


25% Profit Boost for every game on Draft Kings.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings




NBA
Dal -11
I am rocking with the model.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
I am already on the Houston/Baylor combo, so why not add it it?
HOU/BAY/GONZ/BRK/DAL/UTA  +146

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-36 50.68%
NCAA Record 15-19 44.11%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-7 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record 12-25 -502
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 44-36 55%
NBA Model 272-286 48.74%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-28-2021

It is not a secret that I had COVID a few weeks ago. I got my vaccine on Friday night. I felt fine, but tired. Woke up Saturday and felt exactly, like I did when I got COVID. I took my son to little league practice, did some drills and such and was pretty tired. I went home and crashed. I felt like I had been standing for days and did a very difficult and heavy lifting workout. I was hurting. I laid down on the couch and fell asleep during Baylor/Nova. I woke up saw Baylor down four, live bet Baylor +1 and bet the Oral Roberts money line boosted to +620. I put my kids to bed and fell asleep with them. In all I slept around 13 hours in an 18 hour stretch. Today, I feel fantastic. I am just saying, be aware when you get your vaccine. I got the one shot J and J, so I realize it might be different from those of you getting two doses. In addition, maybe having COVID so recently played a factor. Nevertheless, it is over now!

Will update the rest soon.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CHA +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
TOR +1
ATL +4.5
ORL +7





NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to score 30+ and the Nuggets to win +410 (FD)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5. Jokic is +250 to score 30+ points.
These two parlayed should pay +342, but it is six points over his prop. Pass for me.


Trae to make 3+ threes and record 10+ assists +310 (FD)

Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Trae is +106 to make 3+ threes.
Trae’s assist prop is set to 10.5. Trae is -198 to record 10+ assists tonight.
This combo parlayed should pay +186, so this is a massive boost. In his last eleven games, Trae has only made 3+ threes in four of them. The math makes me want to play this, but Trae’s performance making threes makes me want to fade it. If you want to fire, I understand and you can. This being a road game in Denver makes me want to fade. The math is on your side if you want to play it. I am passing.


Jokic and Murray to score 25+ points +500 (DK)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5.
Murray’s point prop is set to 19.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic is -108 to score 25+ points.
Murrya is +255 to score 25+ points.
This is all a long winded way to say if you parlay them to score 25+ on Fan Duel it pays +598. Pass on this boost.

Nuggets and Lakers to both win +150 (DK)
This should pay +112 so it is a decent boost. I can not believe I want to bet on this Laker team, but here we are. I think both these favorites win. I am in.


Gordon and Trent to score 15+ points +200 (Fox)
Gordon’s point prop is set to 13.5 and over is heavily juiced.
Gordon is +106 to score 15+
Trent’s point prop is set to 15.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trent is -150 to score 15+.
If you parlay them to score 15+ it should pay close to +243, nice boost. Pass.


Dame and Trae to score 60+ points +275 (Fox)
Look, I am out on Trae today. Pass for me.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.
FSU money line boosted!


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.




USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.


Michigan to make the Final Four +250 (DK)
You know I am on FSU. You know I bet them to make the final four and win the title. Pass for me.

Gonzaga to win and 160+ points scored +190 (FD)
The total is at 159 and Gonzaga is going to win. I am in on this. This is betting the over at +190. I am in.



Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA
Nothing at this time.



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120 (Use that DK Boost on this Money Line!)


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-36 50.68%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 11-24 -452
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 43-36 54.43%
NBA Model 270-284 48.73%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-27-2021

I wanted to get the NCAA odds boosts for today up before the games start. I will add NBA in the future!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!





NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nova or Syracuse to win +150 (FD)
This one is weird. Nova is a 7.5-point dog and missing a starter did not hurt them in the first two rounds. That will change here. Syracuse is a 6.5-point dog and I like them much more than NOVA. I think I would rather play Syracuse at +225 to win instead of this boost. Let me say, this is a fair price to have either; I just have not been on Nova for a while and will continue to fade. Pass on this for me.


50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.



Any double digit seed to make the final four +230 (DK)
With this bet you get UCLA, Oral Roberts, Oregon State and Syracuse. I suppose there is a world where Oregon State and Syracuse wins and this bet is over tomorrow. I just think you would be better off betting a money line parlay of any of these teams in back-to-back games. I think Syracuse is the most likely, but this is more of a fun Cinderella bet than anything I am into. Pass.


USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.



Ark/SYR/Bay to all win +450 (DK)
This should pay around +389, but you are taking a 6.5-point dog in Syracuse to win out right. I am passing on this, but if you like Syracuse, feel free to fire. The other two are larger favorites and will be in a great position to win.


HOU/BAY to both win by 10+ +560 (DK)
Both of these two teams are giving much shorter spreads than this. Houston is -6.5 and Baylor is -7.5 now. If you parlay them to both win by nine points, it pays +438. This is a fair number considering the situation, but I am not firing this up and asking both teams to win and cover by several points. Pass.


Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120

Let’s Get Weird
Three Money Line Parlays! Shop around and find where you can get the best price as they change often.
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL +163
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL/Loy Chi/Bay/Gonz +407
Loy CHI/Bay/Gonz +102

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-35 51.38%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 42-36 53.84%
NBA Model 264-280 48.52%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-26-2021

Would you like some NCAA tourney boost for the Sweet 16? I know I would. Well, here we go. Also, an NBA warning for tonight. Although the trade deadline has passed, these players have to pass physicals, get through protocols and may not be cleared to play yet. Be aware of that when you lock in your wagers.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
BRK -6
BOS +5.5
PHO -4
NOP +2.5
HOU +4
POR -11.5
CHA +.5
IND +4
MEM +9.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ATL -7.5
LAL -3.5





NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score the first basket +480 (FD)
Nope, never for me. This are too random. Pass.


Giannis and Tatum over 59.5 points combined +265 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Giannis’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
They are expected to score a combined 52 points, so they would need to go over by eight points to get there.
Tatum is +270 to score 30+ points and Giannis is +106. While them both betting 30 or more is not necessary, you will need some combo here. If you parlay them to both get 30+ is pays +576 on Fan Duel. Even if you make this 25+ for Tatum and 35+ for Giannis, the parlay would pay +528. No matter how you slice this, you will need both of them to get there and the payout should be much higher. Pass.


Trae to make 3+ threes and Hawks to win +190 (DK)
Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Trae is -106 to make 3+ threes. If you parlay Trae to make 3+ threes and the Hawks to win it should pay +148, so this is a small boost. However, there is no clue who may actually play for the Warriors at this moment. The Hawks do not exactly blow people out, but it is in play here. Shockingly, Trae only made 3+ threes in four of his last 11 games since March first. Pass.


Giannis and Zion 3+ dunks each +150 (Fox)
Zion averages 2.5 dunks a game and Giannis is in the same range. This is almost a fair price and if it was 2+ dunks I would be all in. This is on the verge of being a great wager, but not exactly there. Pass for me.


Luka/Booker/Ingram 25+ each +250 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 29.5
Luka is -325 to score 25+ points.
Ingram’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Ingram is -138 to score 25+ points.
Booker’s points prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Booker is -142 to score 25+ points.
If you parlay them all to score 25+ it should pay +284. Sometimes Fox Bet gives us a nice boost on these plays, but not tonight. You are better off parlaying this on Fan Duel, without a limit on how much you can wager with a larger payout. Pass on this boost.


Bucks/Suns/Nuggets +333 to all win (Fox)
This should pay +288, but includes two games with small spreads. If you like, the Nuggets and Suns go for it. I am passing.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nova or Syracuse to win +150 (FD)
This one is weird. Nova is a 7.5-point dog and missing a starter did not hurt them in the first two rounds. That will change here. Syracuse is a 6.5-point dog and I like them much more than NOVA. I think I would rather play Syracuse at +225 to win instead of this boost. Let me say, this is a fair price to have either; I just have not been on Nova for a while and will continue to fade. Pass on this for me.


50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.



Any double digit seed to make the final four +230 (DK)
With this bet you get UCLA, Oral Roberts, Oregon State and Syracuse. I suppose there is a world where Oregon State and Syracuse wins and this bet is over tomorrow. I just think you would be better off betting a money line parlay of any of these teams in back-to-back games. I think Syracuse is the most likely, but this is more of a fun Cinderella bet than anything I am into. Pass.


USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.



Ark/SYR/Bay to all win +450 (DK)
This should pay around +389, but you are taking a 6.5-point dog in Syracuse to win out right. I am passing on this, but if you like Syracuse, feel free to fire. The other two are larger favorites and will be in a great position to win.


HOU/BAY to both win by 10+ +560 (DK)
Both of these two teams are giving much shorter spreads than this. Houston is -6.5 and Baylor is -7.5 now. If you parlay them to both win by nine points, it pays +438. This is a fair number considering the situation, but I am not firing this up and asking both teams to win and cover by several points. Pass.


Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA
Nets -6
I bet Harden plays and they win here.



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120


Let’s Get Weird
Three Money Line Parlays! Shop around and find where you can get the best price as they change often.
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL +163
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL/Loy Chi/Bay/Gonz +407
Loy CHI/Bay/Gonz +102

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-35 51.38%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 42-36 53.84%
NBA Model 264-280 48.52%

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-25-2021

Trade deadline day is always chaotic. Rotations may be off, players will be moved and lines may change. Just be careful.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
POR +3
NYK -3
LAC -6.5 (Highest Rated, but a back-to-back and resting is in play)
SAC -3
PHI -5.5




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
You can take these 3×2 boosts and fire them into the sun.


Simmons to score 25+ and the Sixers to win +640 (DK)
Simmons point prop is set to 17.5.
Simmons to score 25+ pays +410.
If you parlay Simmons to score 25+ and Sixers to win, it pays +521 on FD.
While I realize Embiid is out, Simmons has score 25+ only twice this year. Pass.

Dame to make 4+ threes and Blazers to win +325 (DK)
Dame’s made three prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced.
Dame is -240 to make 4+ threes.
If you parlay the Blazers to win and Dame to make 4+ threes, it pays +173. This is a massive boost and Jimmy Butler is questionable. If Butler is out, the Blazers may become favorites. The Heat may also make a trade and could be shorthanded. I realize the Blazers made a deal, but no one that should affect the game that much. I am in.


Ben Simmons 1+ dunk +100 (Fox)
Simmons has 53 dunks in 36 games. I am in. My max bet is $10. Lame. Go collect your free $10.


Russ and Kawhi 1+ dunk each +150 (Fox)
Russ has 14 dunks in 35 games. Pass.


Wiz/LAC/Sixers to win +375 (Fox)
This should pay +349.
The Wizards are small dogs and will be missing people due to trades. The Clippers may rest people on the back-to-back. I am not into playing the Wizards against the Knicks at all. Pass.


Dame/Randle/Tobias 25+ points each +550 (Fox)
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Dame is -275 to score 25+.
Randle’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Randle is -140 to score 25+.
Tobias’s point prop is set to 22.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tobias is +130 to score 25+.
If you parlay them all it pays +438. This is a pretty goof boost and really a bet on Tobias Harris to get to 25 points. If you take away the pace down spot against the Knicks and that weird game against the Bucks, Harris has been getting the shots to score 25+. As long as the Lakers keep this close, I think he can get there. I am in.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.




NBA
PHI -5.5
I am firing this up before the Lakers make a trade. I still get the Sixers two main guys against the Lakers bench.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 36-35 50.70%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-56 +3520
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 41-36 53.24%
NBA Model 259-280 48.05%

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-24-2021

Be aware of resting and “injuries” as the trade deadline is tomorrow!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
DET +6
DEN -2.5
BOS +6
ORL +10
MIN +8 (Highest Rated in Model)
CHI -6
CHA -3.5
MEM -5
SAS +5.5
ATL -3
BRK +9.5




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to record a triple-double +230 (FD)
Jokic is +175 to record a triple-double on DK.
Jokic will get there in points.
Jokic rebound prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Jokic assist prop is set to 8.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This is a solid boost and Jokic only needs to go over his number in assists by one. I am hopeful that the Raptors can stay in this game and perhaps not trade anyone, so it remains competitive. I am in.



Brown and Tatum to each score 25+ points +460 (FD)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 22.5.
Brown’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is lightly juiced.
Both Tatum and Brown are plus money to score 25+ and if you parlay them, it should pay +384. This is a solid boost and if the game stays close both can get there. When they played earlier this year, they both got there easily. I am going to think this game stays competitive and the Bucks offense forces the Celtics to keep scoring as well. I am in.


Risk Free single game parlay up to $10 (FD)
I got this emailed to me. I will of course use it and pick like 12 things and try to win 14K.



33% Profit boost on any 3+ leg NBA Parlay (DK)
Need that Jazz money line to drop so it qualifies for this boost.
I will update later on Twitter.

Mitchell to outscore Harden +175 (DK)
Mitchell’s prop is set to 26.5.
There is nothing listed for Harden at this time. I assume he may sit and the Nets just forget this game completely. Even if Harden plays the blowout, risk is real. For now, this is a pass due to lack of information.

LaVine to score 35+ and Bulls to win +460 (DK)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
Lavine is +375 to score 35+ tonight.
If you parlay scoring 35+ along with the Bulls to win it should pay +427. This is a boost, but I am not into being on LaVine needed to go this far over his prop. Pass.

Brown and Morant 1+ dunk each +400 (Fox)
Nope. They keep putting Brown in this dunk bets and he does not dunk that often as we know. Pass.




NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.




NBA
MEM -5
OKC is tanking.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 35-35 50%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-54 +3720
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 41-35 53.94%
NBA Model 254-274 48.10%

Golf WGC Dell Match Play Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Our Plays 3-24-2021

Wait, you mean my people do not always make a charge, come back, and win. Weird. I kind of half expected Cameron Tringale to come out Sunday, shoot a 65, and win. Instead, he went from three shots back to even further back. Either way we are back this week with a bracket! This format is different and will be pretty strange compared to what we normally see. Just like with the NCAA bracket, do not bet people in the same region to win it all. Pick people on different sides. I am backing two of the favorites here, I am pretty sure you can guess who one of them is. In my dream scenario, they meet in the finals.

I will break down my wager by location, so you can get the best number possible. I am taking some shots here in each range, as you will see.

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

PGA
Rahm 14/1 Fox
Bryson 14/1 DK




PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bryson to reach the quarterfinals +360 (FD)
To do this Bryson would have to win his group and then defeat the winner of Finau, Frittelli, Kokrak and Zalatoris. Since Byson is +115 to win his group, we can assume he would be favored over everyone in the other group. Even if we make him -125 in the second round, a parlay on him would pay roughly +287. (I used the numbers form below to make it easy.) Either way, this is a boost and I am in. I am a sucker for Byrson as you know.



Bryson and Rahm to both win their group +500 (DK)
Rahm is -125 to win his group.
Bryson is +115 to win his group.
If you parlay them to both win, it should pay +287. This is a pretty solid boost. While I understand they have to beat the other golfers in their group, I am in on this.
 


PGA Odds Boost Record
2-2 +350


Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
3/18
Brandon Wu 70/1 DK
Doug Ghim 65/1 FD
Cameron Tringale 45/1 FD
Brendan Steele 45/1 DK

3/11
Xander 24/1 FD
Zalatoris 85/1 FD
Zalatoris top 20 +300 DK (Him finishing 21st hurt)
Norlander 240/1 FD
Norlander top 20 +700 FD
JT 20/1
Bryson Live +1500
Bryson Live +900

3/4/21
Bryson 13/1 (FD)
Zalatoris 45/1 (DK)
Kokrak 40/1 (FOX)
Norlander 140/1 (FD)


2/25
Will Zalatoris 70/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris Top 10 +550 (DK)
Collin Morikawa 45/1 (DK)
Bryson 20/1


2/18
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360


2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship