Hitting a +575 SGP was a nice way to start last night! It would be great to keep it going on a larger slate! We are officially in beware of back-to-back scratches. SGA is pulled for OKC and when he is out you cannot ever back the Thunder. I am sure you saw the result. The same thing happened with Giannis and the Bucks. The Bucks list their starters and surprise, no Giannis. This was an old school DFS scramble moment, but in terms of betting you can surely go and quickly fire against the Bucks when this happens.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MIA +5.5
WAS -3
PHI +1
MIN +8
ORL +2.5
NOP +7
UTA -8
GSW -7
LAC +2







*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PG and LeBron to combine for 55+ points +230 (DK)
Why the combined boosts. Boo.
PG’s prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
LeBron has not 100% officially been cleared at the moment so his props are not up everywhere.
It appears LeBron’s prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced. As always, parlaying both guys to go over is a better move. Pass for me.

One Pregame boost and one In game Boost (DK)
I used this on GSW -7 boosted to plus money. This line will climb when/if the Suns announce people resting tonight.

Warriors and Suns to combine for 30+ Made 3’s +275 (DK)
This game was just played the other night and now Booker is out. This is a perfect spot for the Suns to drop a game on a back-to-back playing against the Warriors without Booker. This feels like a lower scoring blowout where the Warriors win.  Pass as I think the Suns may get run.


WAS/ATL/LAC to all win +550 (Fox)
This should pay +513. Of course, with Fox Bet, spot the dog in this parlay as a trap. Pass for me. Two games have tiny spreads. I am out.

NBA
GSW -7 +100 (Fox Bet)

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 13-17 43.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 15-19 44.11%
Hoops Parlay Record   4-8 +304
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-20 -185
Hoops Player Props 1-3 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 17-24 41.46%
NBA Model 140-147 48.78%

As usual, the sites have not really posted any odds boosts at this time. However, this is a very interesting week. I will be going game by game on the Numberball.com football show tonight with Jeff Collins. There are plenty of bigger spreads compared to last week and some very ugly spots that I am interested in.

I really want to take my Panthers Saturday night in the ACC Championship game, but they feel like a very public side. I will however, throw them in parlay odds boosts from Draft Kings. When those boosts have such a low maximum bet it is worth the risk. Normally, it is around $50, the same as most odds boosts on the books. I like it when they list the max bet in the boost, instead of me trying random numbers that are rejected first before I find what my max is. As we all know, some people have drastically different max bets than others on various items.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
NYG +4
DEN +9.5

Regular Plays
TB -11
ARZ -8
LAC +3
MIN -7
PHI -6.5
IND -9
WFT +2.5
JAX +13
PIT +4.5
SEA +3.5
NE +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Nothing is listed at this time.

Draft Kings
33% Profit Boost 3+ Leg Parlay College Football
CIN ML/MICH ML/PITT -3 Parlay +191 Boosted to +254
I am in!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
PHI/ARZ/TB to all win +125
Three big road favorites all bunched together. This will be the week of the money line parlay for sure. The way this season has gone, we have to assume one of them will lose right. The public has been being beaten up and that could easily continue this week. This parlay should pay +110. How can you say no to a slight boost here? I know these have been getting killed recently, but I am in!


Brady and Herbert to each throw 2+ Passing TD’s +100
Herbert has looked awful and Brady has not looked like Brady for the last few weeks. The Chargers and Bengals game is very interesting because as soon as expectations show up, the Bengals crumple. The Jets and Browns games are prime examples. Brady’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced. Herbert’s is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Provided you do not think each team will run it a ton when in close, which they both have recently, this is solid. I am reluctantly in on these two struggling QB’s.

NFL
Steelers +4.5
This is such a good buy low spot. I know, I know, they have looked awful. This will be a three-point game.

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 83-97 46.11%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-17 58.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-26 52.72%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 19-15 55.8%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 13-32 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100 Combined
Overall 26-17 60.46%
Odds Boosts 15-29 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

It was nice the model went 7-2 last night and the highest rated also came in. I hope that it will build on this momentum and keep it going tonight. I hope you like some underdogs.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NYK +2
TOR +4
OKC +9.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +12
SAS +5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Randle to score 20+ and NYK to win +300 (FD)
The NYK are a two-point dog.
This should pay +202 as Randle’s point prop is set to 20.5. If you like the Knicks, sure you can fire. I do not see Vuc slowing down Randle at all. Randle crushed the Bulls on their last matchup, but the Bulls still did win. I am passing because of the Knicks needing to win component.

CP3 to record 30+ points/assists +150 (DK)
Booker is out.  CP’s Combo is set to 27.5 and the under is juiced. I suppose the worry here is a blowout. The game features a robust 12-point spread. CP3 has accomplished this feat only twice this year. This is the first game this season where Paul will play without Booker. While I am kind of interested in playing this, I can parlay Paul to go over his points prop and record 10+ assists at +170 and can miss this number by three. Pass for me.

Lonzo and DDR to combine for 45+ points +320 (DK)
Lonzo’s point prop is set to 12.5.
DDR’s point prop is set to 24.5.
As always with these props, you are better parlaying them when it is combined. You can parlay them to both go over their numbers for +270. Pass on this boost.

CHI/TOR/MEM to all win +500 (Fox)
This should pay +434. Memphis is the only one that is a larger favorite. The Bulls are -2 and the Raptors are a four-point dog. Pass for me.

NBA
Randle over 20.5 points -120
Walker is gone and the old Randle should be back.

Let’s Get Weird
Randle over 20.5 points/Randle over 8.5 rebounds/Burks over 15.5 points/Burks over 2.5 assists +575 (DK)
They have not adjusted for their new roles after the Kemba Walker benching.

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 13-17 43.33%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 15-19 44.11%
Hoops Parlay Record   3-8 -271
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-20 -185
Hoops Player Props 0-3 -300
NBA Model Highest Rated 17-23 42.5%
NBA Model 137-145 48.58%

Dallas is up to -6 in some places as the Saints have ruled some players out. The line in most picks contest is Dallas -4.5. You can take advantage of that if you want to. I am still parsing out my thoughts. Our computer model has this as Dallas -4. There is one odds boosts I am playing for sure because of the discount.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum


Premium


Regular Plays
Dal -4.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting

Fan Duel
Cowboys to score in every quarter +170
I do not bet timed boosts. Pass for me.

Dallas to cover -2.5 +100
How can you not bet this? Dallas at a discount without any juice? It is worth the $50 risk. I am in.

Draft Kings
100% Profit Boost SGP
Not sure, how but have to use this.

Dak to record 325+ Passing Yards +260
Dak’s passing prop is set to 280.5. Dak is +225 to record 325+ passing yards on another site. Dak getting this many passing yards would require the Saints to score and the game to be a little more explosive. The total in this game is 47 points. I just do not think Dak gets there the way he has been playing and with the issues, the Cowboys offense has been having. Pass for me.


DAL/NO to combine for 55+ points +220
Oh no. This pays +230 on FD. Pass.


Taysom to score a TD in 1^st half +550
I do not bet timed boosts. Pass.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
Dak to throw for 250+ Passing Yards and Zeke to score a TD +200
This should pay +172. Mehhh. This is boost and Dak should smash his number. I have concerns about how Dallas scores since the Saints have been tough against the run. Pass, but this is not awful to play.

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 82-97 45.81%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 24-17 58.53%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 29-26 52.72%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 19-15 55.8%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-32 -1715
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100

Combined
Overall 26-17 60.46%
Odds Boosts 14-29 -1215
Teasers and Parlays 1-2 -073

I am ready to jump on a team tonight. Before even running the model, I liked the Sixers. They are finally getting healthy and getting everyone back into shape. Embiid has always played well against the Celtics, even in Boston. I expect that to continue tonight. The model loving the Sixers is the icing on the cake. Prepare for a big Embiid game.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
WAS -4
ATL +1.5
ORL +7.5
PHI +3 (Highest Rated in Model)
MIA -4.5
DAL -3
HOU +2.5
CHA +9
LAC -8






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid to record a double-double and Sixers to win +320 (FD)
The Sixers are a small dog tonight. Embiid is -190 to record a double-double. This should pay +241. Look, if you want to take some swings on the Sixers tonight it appears the books want to give you options. Embiid has owned the Celtics. I have officially talked myself into the Sixers tonight. I am in.


Luka and Jonas to make 2+ 3’s +240 (FD)
Luka’s made 3’s is set to 2.5 the over is juiced.
Jonas’s made 3’s is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
This is a product of what Jonas did in his last game. Despite that explosion, he normally does not attempt that many threes. This should pay +172. Pass for me.


Get a dime towards a free bet for every point scored (DK) with a $50 wager.
220 total points would generate a $22 free bet. The total in this game is 206 points.  I am in. Give me the Sixers +125 on the money line!

LaMelo or Giannis to record a triple-double +600 (DK)
Here we go with the combiner or either or bets again.
LaMelo is +750 to record a triple-double.
Giannis is +1100 to record a triple-double.
I would rather bet either of them to have one, but this game needs to stay close for this to pay off and the Bucks are healthy. I am passing.


Trae to record 40+ points/assists +210 (DK)
Trae’s combo is set to 35.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
He has done 40+ in three straight games. This is a competitive game with a tight spread. I was thinking about betting this until I realized I could parlay Trae to have 30 and 10 at +448 on Fan Duel. Pass for me.



Embiid to record 30+ points +300 (DK)
Embiid’s prop for tonight is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Embiid to score 30+ is +310 on Fan Duel. This is an easy pass then.

DEN/WAS/PHI +425 (Fox)
This should pay +359. Just like always, Fox tries to throw a “name” into these that is a dog. Tonight that dog is the Sixers. Pass for me.

NBA
Sixers +3

Embiid over 23.5 points -110

Let’s Get Weird
SGP Sixers ML/Embiid Over 23.5 points/Embiid over 10.5 Rebounds +525 (DK)

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 12-17 41.37%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 14-19 42.42%
Hoops Parlay Record   3-7 -171
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-19 -085
Hoops Player Props 0-2 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 16-23 41.02%
NBA Model 130-143 47.61%

Finally, home and ready for normalcy. The record has been updated and we are back. The Warriors as dogs feels almost too easy at this point. I am staying away. Knicks seem to be getting too many points and the model agrees.

Also, bet against Pitt basketball while you can. They are so bad and should be dogs to almost every major college team they play.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NYK +7 (Highest Rated in Model)
TOR -3.5
GSW +2.5
SAC +4
DET +9.5






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry and Mills to make a combined 10+ 3’s +175 (FD)
I rarely bet combined boosts.
Mill’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry’s prop is set to 5.5 and the under is juiced.
You can parlay them to both go over at +312. Meh, I hate combined boosts. Pass.

50% Profit Boost any NBA Bet Tonight (DK)
You must use this.

25% Profit Boost GSW/PHO (DK)
If you use this with the above you can lock in a profit.
You could boost the GSW +2.5 to +108 (Using 25% Boost).
Then boost Suns money line to +115. (Using 50% Boost).
That would lock you in a tiny profit, but giving you the chance to sweep both if the Suns win by 1-2 points! Using the boosts to middle the game means you will not taking a loss.

LeBron 45+ points/rebounds/assists +280 (DK)
LeBron’s combo is set to 38.5 and the under is juiced. I mean, this is a fair price, but I cannot. The Lakers are all over the place and I am passing here.


KD and Randle to combine for 60+ points +550 (DK)
I hate combined boosts.
Randle’s point prop is set to 20.5.
KD’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
This requires both to go over by a lot. I mean, they are expected to be around 49 points and this is asking a lot. Pass for me.


Booker and Curry to record 10+ combined made 3’s +370 (DK)
Here we go with the combined boosts again.
Curry’s prop is set to 5.5 and the under is juiced.
Booker’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
You can parlay them to both go over their prop at a combined eight for +354. Considering this is combined, it is a fair price. I just do not want to play these combined boosts. Pass.

KD and Curry to each score 30+ +320 (Fox)
Curry’s point prop is set to 29.5.
KD’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
This parlay should pay +312. This is a massive boost and you have to play it. I am obviously kidding. If you like it, go ahead, but it is not large enough to warrant playing. Pass.


BRK/TOR/GSW to ALL WIN +400 (Fox)
This should pay +361. As usual, Fox tries to through a name that is a dog into these parlays. This time it is the Warriors. Pass for me.


Curry and Booker to each score 30+ +625 (Barstool)
Curry’s point prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +525. Now, I do not often say this, but this is a solid boost from Barstool. However, it is asking Booker to go over his prop by seven points. Pass for me.

NBA
NYK +7

Let’s Get Weird
Minnesota -2.5
Have you watched Pitt basketball?

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 11-17 39.28%
College Record 2-1 66.66%
Hoops Combined Record 13-18 41.93%
Hoops Parlay Record   3-7 -171
Hoops Odds Boosts 9-19 -085
Hoops Player Props 0-2 -200
NBA Model Highest Rated 15-23 39.47%
NBA Model 129-139 48.13%

Big update coming tomorrow as we get back to normalcy! Traveling for a Holiday is fun but exhausting.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NFL Model Plays
Regular Plays
SEA +1

NBA Model Plays
PHI -14
MIA -7.5
OKC +2
IND +2.5
CHA +4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
CLE +6.5
WAS -3
UTA -7.5
LAC -7






*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Luka to record a Double-Double and the Mavs to win +200 (FD)
This should pay +131. I like this as the Luka has finally played himself into shape. I am in.

Dame to make 5+ 3’s +250 (DK)
On the road in Utah, oh man. Dame’s made 3’s is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. This pays +240 on FD so it is a tiny boost. Easy pass for me.


Luka to record 50+ Points/Rebounds/Assists +230 (DK)
This pays +240 on FD. Easy pass again.

CHI/MIN/SAS to all win +550 (Fox)
This is a boost, as it should pay +476. However, this features three games with small spreads and the Spurs have some injury issues on their bench. Pass for me.

NBA COMPUTER MODEL PLAYS 11-27- 21

Phi -7
BRK -2
NYK +6.5
CHA -5.5
MIA -1.5
ORL +10 (highest rated in model)
WAS +6.5
NOP +13

FD: KD and Booker 25+ each +300. This should pay +191. KD’s prop is set to 27.5 and Booker’s is 23.5 but the over is juiced. I like this. Brooklyn is due to play well in a big game and Booker will have to score for the Suns. This is also a pretty big boost. I am in!

Fox: ATL/PHO/CHA TO ALL WIN +350 This should pay plus +310 and contains a dog. Easy pass on such a small boost.

Our plays

BRK -2 This is a great spot for the Nets and a road b2b for the Suns.

That’s all for today! Let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Updated 11-28-21

NFL Computer Model plays week 12!
Platinum

None

Premium

Jax +2.5

Regular

Pitt +4

Ind +3

Car -2.5

NE -6.5

Phi -3.5

HOU -2.5

Den +2.5

LAR -1

Min +3

Cle+3.5

Sea +1

Football odds boosts

Fox bet

Phi/Car/ATL to all win +500

Three road favorites with tiny spreads. Pass! This should pay +380,But I am so far out.

Jonathan Taylor to score a TD +100How could you not be interested in this? I love the Colts Sunday too. I am in.

FD

Pats super boost of colts +3.5 +100. Of course I am in!

DK I don’t see anything worth mentioning.

Our plays

INDY +3 Give me the Colts at home here, yes please.

Pitt +3.5 Steelers as a dog, always! Also, they are healthier than last week by a king shot.

That’s all for now! Let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA COMPUTER MODEL PLAYS

DET +11.5

MIN +2.5

NYK +3

ORL +9.5

ATL +1 (highest rated in model)

TOR +4

WAS -7.5

SAS +4

NOP +13.5

DEN +3.5

POR +6

SAC +7

DK currently has zero odds boosts.

FD: Ayton and Randle to each record a double double +250. This should pay +180 or so and both players you have to lay odds for them to record a double-double. This should be a competitive game and both will get their minutes. I am in!

FD: Lonzo and LaMelo 3+ made threes. +420. This should pay +320. Really the issue here is LaMelo as Lonzo is minus money to make three or more threes. I am fading here but it’s not that bad.

Fox: PHO/ATL/BOS to all win +500. This should pay +385 but every game is a smallish spread. You can fire but it is not for me. As usual if you liked these games before you saw this boost than sure go ahead!

That’s all for today and we will update our record after this weekend due to holiday travels! As always let’s have some fun and build the pile!