Yes, plenty of the numbers from the model are stale. Yet, we use the numbers from the Westgate Super Contest. It means we have a consistent number and you know where they are and how they have moved. I have already bet the Steelers at +3.5, Titans -3 and the Chargers -7. The Chargers as I tweeted was on Covid speculation. The line did move a half point, but I may just buyout of it if we do not get any news Sunday morning.

In terms of my picks contests I need some 5-0 closes to get in the money. I am sitting at 58%, but that is not good enough apparently. Who knows.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
NYG +6
TB-13
DEN +6.5

Regular Plays
IND -6.5
BUF -14.5
ARZ -5
CAR +7
PHI -3.5
CIN +5
JAX +15
MIA +3.5
HOU +12
DET +7
LAR -3.5
MIN +6.5
PIT +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
BUFF -1.5/TB +0.5/NE -2.5/SF +0.5 -110
Sure, why now. All of three teams should win easily. I am most frightened by San Francisco, but I am in.

Draft Kings
Brady to throw for 300+ +155
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
Brady to throw for 300+ is +154 on Fan Duel. This is not a boost. Pass.

Waddle to score a TD +200
Waddle is +175 to score an anytime TD. While this is a boost, I am passing. I like the Titans side here. Pass.


Kupp to record 130+ yards +215
Kupp’s prop is set to 109.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kupp is +146 to get 125+ yards. This is a solid price and the Raven’s secondary is in tatters. I am in.

Kelce to record 99+ yards +320
Kelce’s prop is set to 72.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kelce is +260 to record 100 receiving yards. I think he 100% rebounds. I am taking a shot here. I am in.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
TB/BUF/PHI to all win +120
This should pay -125. I know some professionals are on the WFT. The Eagles game looks too easy, so I am passing. You can fire though, just not for me.

Stafford/Brady/Burrow all 250+ Passing Yards +200
Stafford’s prop is set to 289.5.
Burrow’s prop is set to 274.5.
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
This should pay +170. I like this. All three with have to throw, except Brady and he loves to stick it to the Jets and bad teams in general. I am in.



LAC/DAL/NO to all win +180
This should pay +148. This is a tiny boost, but might be worth it because of the price. I just cannot with the Saints and Cowboys. Look, Dallas should have their way with the Cardinals, who appear dead in the water, but I am still scared of them. I am passing, but you can fire.

NFL
PIT +3.5
Was there a doubt here?

TEN -3
I want to see the Dolphins win on the road here. I doubt it happens. The Dolphins have beat one good team during their winning streak.

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 116-124 48.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-23 52.08%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-32 48.38%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 30-21 58.82%
Odds Boosts 20-37 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259

Yes, plenty of the numbers from the model are stale. Yet, we use the numbers from the Westgate Super Contest. It means we have a consistent number and you know where they are and how they have moved. I have already bet the Steelers at +3.5, Titans -3 and the Chargers -7. The Chargers as I tweeted was on Covid speculation. The line did move a half point, but I may just buyout of it if we do not get any news Sunday morning.

In terms of my picks contests I need some 5-0 closes to get in the money. I am sitting at 58%, but that is not good enough apparently. Who knows.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
NYG +6
TB-13
DEN +6.5

Regular Plays
IND -6.5
BUF -14.5
ARZ -5
CAR +7
PHI -3.5
CIN +5
JAX +15
MIA +3.5
HOU +12
DET +7
LAR -3.5
MIN +6.5
PIT +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
BUFF -1.5/TB +0.5/NE -2.5/SF +0.5 -110
Sure, why now. All of three teams should win easily. I am most frightened by San Francisco, but I am in.

Draft Kings
Brady to throw for 300+ +155
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
Brady to throw for 300+ is +154 on Fan Duel. This is not a boost. Pass.

Waddle to score a TD +200
Waddle is +175 to score an anytime TD. While this is a boost, I am passing. I like the Titans side here. Pass.


Kupp to record 130+ yards +215
Kupp’s prop is set to 109.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kupp is +146 to get 125+ yards. This is a solid price and the Raven’s secondary is in tatters. I am in.

Kelce to record 99+ yards +320
Kelce’s prop is set to 72.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Kelce is +260 to record 100 receiving yards. I think he 100% rebounds. I am taking a shot here. I am in.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Fox Bet
TB/BUF/PHI to all win +120
This should pay -125. I know some professionals are on the WFT. The Eagles game looks too easy, so I am passing. You can fire though, just not for me.

Stafford/Brady/Burrow all 250+ Passing Yards +200
Stafford’s prop is set to 289.5.
Burrow’s prop is set to 274.5.
Brady’s prop is set to 278.5.
This should pay +170. I like this. All three with have to throw, except Brady and he loves to stick it to the Jets and bad teams in general. I am in.



LAC/DAL/NO to all win +180
This should pay +148. This is a tiny boost, but might be worth it because of the price. I just cannot with the Saints and Cowboys. Look, Dallas should have their way with the Cardinals, who appear dead in the water, but I am still scared of them. I am passing, but you can fire.

NFL
PIT +3.5
Was there a doubt here?

TEN -3
I want to see the Dolphins win on the road here. I doubt it happens. The Dolphins have beat one good team during their winning streak.

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 116-124 48.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-23 52.08%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-32 48.38%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005

College Football
Overall 8-1 88.88%
College Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 30-21 58.82%
Odds Boosts 20-37 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259

It was nice to hit that LeBron boost and prop right after the New Year hit!

We are doing very well on recommended odds boosts sitting currently at 26-30 good for +2261.
IF you bet the $50 max, you can on most of these your account should be growing.

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
MIL -11.5
CHI -2.5
DET +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
BRK -12.5
HOU +7
GSW +5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry and Mitchell to each make 4+ 3’s +190 (FD)
Curry’s prop is at 5.5 and the under is juiced.
Mitchell’s prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This parlay should pay +187. This is so tiny, it is makes zero sense to bet. Pass for me.

Warriors to win by 5+ +310 (DK)
Warriors to win by 5+ pays +240 on Fan Duel. I am passing here, because the Warriors are not healthy.


CHI/BRK/DEN to all win +185 (FOX)
This should pay +165. This features a beat up Denver on the road and the Bulls on a road back-to-back.


Giannis/KD/Curry to all score 25+ Points +200 (Barstool)
Giannis’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
KD’s prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
Curry’s prop is set to 28.5.
This parlay should pay +158. I am a fan of these types of boosts. All three players can miss their prop and still get there. I am in! My only worry is a blowout in the Brooklyn game.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

DET +6.5
I know they are bad. However, this is a road back-to-back for the Spurs who are already missing players. This line is too big.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 20-23 49.51%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 22-25 46.80%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 26-30 +2261
Hoops Player Props 3-5 -265
NBA Model Highest Rated 20-30 40%
NBA Model 222-233 48.79%

We will be posting our NFL computer model and plays tomorrow. But, I felt like we should look into the odds boosts for the CFB Playoffs!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium


Regular Plays

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Alabama to win and over 57.5 points +180
This should pay +119 on another site. Alabama games have gone over this number plenty of times. If you believe Alabama’s defense is going to dominate then you should fade here. If you think Cincinnati can get to 21+ I think you should play this. I am staying away as I expect the Bama defense to crush.

Draft Kings
Michigan to win the 1^st Quarter +180
I do not bet timed boosts.

Alabama to win by 25+ points +370
Oddly, I can only find one place with alternate lines. You can lay -23 with Alabama at +240 on Barstool of all places. This is a great number compared to that obviously. You know what; I am going to throw a small sprinkle on this. I am in.

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Alabama -13.5 and Georgia to win +185
This should pay +154. You can play this if you like the SEC parlay. I am passing. I kind of like Michigan and the dusty Big Ten.

Fox Bet
Alabama First score to be a TD +100
I am in! I think Bama Rolls big time.

NFL
PIT +3.5
Was there a doubt here?

Let’s Get Weird
ALA -13.5
If I am playing them to win by 25+, I have to be in here. I think Bama cruises. Perhaps I am mad at Cincy for not covering when I bet them this year, but here we are. I am in.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 116-124 48.33%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-23 52.08%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-32 48.38%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 29-21 58%
Odds Boosts 19-36 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259

Happy New Years! I love the earlier NBA games on New Year’s Eve! Most of the sites do not have any boosts listed for the NBA at this point. This is strange since the games start right after lunch!

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.  Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHO -3
CHI -3.5
SAC +1
MIA -3.5
LAC +7
ATL +1.5
NYK -4.5
MEM -5.5
UTA -12
POR +5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
LeBron to score 37+ +270 (Fox Bet)
LeBron’s prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced. LeBron is +182 to score 35+, so this is a great number. Yet, can LeBron actually get there. LeBron is also +470 to score 40+. LeBron has been playing massive minutes and putting up insane numbers. This game has a big time total and could be your first win of the year as it should not end until after midnight Eastern. I am going to take a shot here. He has been around this number plenty of times. Fire it up!

MIA/LAC/NYK to all win +750 (Fox Bet)
Spot the dog! This should play +680. The Clippers are +200 dogs to win tonight and an easy pass for me. I am out.

Dame and LeBron to each score 30+ +275 (Barstool)
LeBron’s prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame’s prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay +177. I like this. Both players are expected near this number and LeBron has been lighting it up. I am in!

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird
LeBron over 30.5 points -115
I am already all in on him, so why not?

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 20-23 49.51%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 22-25 46.80%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 25-29 +2091
Hoops Player Props 2-5 -365
NBA Model Highest Rated 20-30 40%
NBA Model 219-227 49.10%

Perhaps, because of the Holidays I did not realize how successful we have been on odds boosts. I know last year we did very well, but here we are up almost +2000 before the New Year. Anyway, we will proceed!

Enjoying the Holiday break here!

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.

Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
PHI +5.5
CLE +3
MIL -14
GSW -6





*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry and Jokic to combine for 22+ made 3’s and assists +150 (DK)
What is this? This game may also be canceled. The Nuggets are at the limit for players. I am passing here. This could be a blowout or not even play.


Embiid and KD to combine for 60+ points +250 (DK)
Why the combined junk. UGH! If you parlay them to both score 30+ it pays +489. If you parlay them to go over their own props, which are a few points under 30, it pays almost +240. Pass for me.


Curry/Giannis/Embiid all to score 25+ +333 (Fox)
This should pay +286. Everyone’s prop is above 25, except Giannis, who is at 25.5. I am rolling the dice and assuming this is canceled thanks to the Nuggets. I am in.


PHI/CLE/GSW to all win +1000 (Fox)
I mean why? The Cavs have no healthy PG. The Sixers are dogs. Easy Pass.

KD/Giannis/Jokic to all score 25+ +325 (Barstool)
This should pay +250 and again, everyone is supposed to be at this number or higher. I am in!

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 20-23 49.51%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 22-25 46.80%
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 24-29 +1991
Hoops Player Props 2-5 -365
NBA Model Highest Rated 20-30 40%
NBA Model 217-226 48.98%

Massive record update for NFL and NBA coming in a few days. Enjoying the Holiday break here!

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.

Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
NYK -8
CHA +3.5
BOS -6.5
MEM -5.5
ATL +8
POR +7.5
SAC +2.5




*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ja and LeBron to each score 25+ +180 (FD)
LeBron’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is juiced.
Ja’s point prop is set to 24.5. This parlay should pay +147. The Grizzlies are catching the Lakers on the back-to-back. I like this. I think both play very well. I am in. The Barstool one is better, but we can get around the max requirements, by betting on both sites.


Booker to score 30+ and Suns to win +310 (FD)
The Suns are going to win. Yet, will Booker have to play enough that he can get to this number. Booker’s prop is set to 25.5 and this feels like a blowout. Pass for me.

Russ and Ja to combine for 20+ assists +475 (DK)
Here we go with the combined boosts again. Again, over parlays are normally better.


LeBron/Russ/JA to each score 20+ +175 (Fox)
Russ’s prop is set to 20.5. This parlay should pay +150. You can fire on this, but I am out on Russ as a scorer. Pass for me.


BOS/CHI/LAL to all win +450 (Fox)
Spot the dog. Tonight it is the Lakers. This should pay +429. The Lakers are a 5.5-point dog on the back-to-back. Pass for me.


MEM/PHO/UTA to all win +120 (Barstool)
This should pay +110. I am passing. This is a tiny boost. If you liked it before then go ahead now, but I am worried about the Jazz on the road without Mitchell. Pass.


LeBron and Ja to each score 25+ +190 (Barstool)
I am shocked a Barstool boost is better than a FD one. I am betting both.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is juiced.
Ja’s point prop is set to 24.5. This parlay should pay +147. The Grizzlies are catching the Lakers on the back-to-back. I like this. I think both play very well. I am in.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 19-23 45.23%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 21-24 %
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 18-27 +1020
Hoops Player Props 1-5 -465
NBA Model Highest Rated 19-30 38.77%
NBA Model 202-206 49.50%

Massive record update for NFL and NBA coming in a few days. Enjoying the Holiday break here!

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.

Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays

ORL +15

TOR +6

WAS +6.5

MIN +4

HOU +6

CLE -3.5

GSW -8

OKC +6

*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting

LeBron to score 30+ and Lakers to win +230 (FD) This should pay +150. LeBron has been killing it and his point prop is set to 28.5 and then over is juiced. If they Lakers can’t beat the Rockets what are they even doing here. I’m in.

Curry and Jokic to each score 25+ +110 (FD) Both of their props are set to 28.5 and 29.5. This should pay -126. I’m in! Curry is always a threat and Jokic will destroy the Warriors interior.

Curry to have 3+ threes in the first half +130 (DK) I don’t bet times boosts. Pass.

Embiid to score 25+ and Sixers to win +100 (Fox) This should pay -110. Embiid’s prop is set to 27.5. The Sixers should win and Embiid can miss and get there. I’m in.

Giannis, Lebron, and Embiid 25+ each +235 (Fox) We know Embiid is supposed to get over this number. This should pay +254. Pass for me.

Phil/NYK/LAL to all win +240 (Fox) this should pay +225. I don’t like the Knicks on the road tonight. Pass.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 19-23 45.23%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 21-24 %
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 18-27 +1020
Hoops Player Props 1-5 -465
NBA Model Highest Rated 19-30 38.77%
NBA Model 202-206 49.50%

Massive record update for NFL and NBA coming in a few days. Enjoying the Holiday break here!

Every few hours someone else enters the Covid protocols.

Covid and injuries are everywhere. Be careful out there!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

NBA Model Plays
HOU +7
CHI -4.5
MIN +6
SAS +7
MEM +8.5
POR +1
BRK -3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)



*If two games or more reach a certain level, we will label them highest rated in model. The record at bottom will be updated to note we may have more than one top play per day from the computer model.

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
JJJ and Ayton to combine for 50+ combined points and rebounds. +100 (DK)
Combined boosts are the worst as usual.
Ayton’s combo is at 27.5
JJJ’s combo is at 23.5. This is a very fair boost, except you can parlay them to both go over for more. I am in. This is a fair number at a decent price.

Booker and LaMelo 25+ points +450 (Fox)
Booker is set to 23.5.
LaMelo 21.5.
This parlay should pay +460. Pass.



CHA/CHI/SAS to all win +550 (Fox)
Spot the dog. In this case, it is the Spurs without Murray. Hard pass.

NBA
Look, I am being very careful here as news changes rapidly and who knows with all these G-League players on every team.

Let’s Get Weird

NBA Record 2021-2022
NBA Record 19-23 45.23%
College Record 2-2 50%
Hoops Combined Record 21-24 %
Hoops Parlay Record   5-10 +269
Hoops Odds Boosts 18-27 +1020
Hoops Player Props 1-5 -465
NBA Model Highest Rated 19-30 38.77%
NBA Model 202-206 49.50%

Ready to bet some ugly dogs?!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
None

Premium
WAS +11

Regular Plays
TEN +3
CLE +7.5
ARZ +1
DET +5.5
CIN -2.5
LAR -3
BUF +2.5
NYJ PK
NYG +9.5
CAR +10
LAC -10
CHI +6.5
PIT +7.5
DEN PK
MIA +3

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
PHI to win by 14+ +140
If you like the Eagles, you can fire. I am passing. The Eagles always seem to come out flat in their division.

Lamb and McLaurin to each have 50+ receiving Yards +150
Both players props are well above this number. This parlay should pay +108. I think WFT plays well. I am in.

$10 Refundable SGP
Do this but please opt in.

Draft Kings
Oddly, I do not like any of these. I hope you opened your gift from DK and collected your free bet!

Barstool Sportsbook
Reminder, never bet with barstool (Their employee boosts) and do not bet timed boosts for a quarter or half and needing to score.

Just like DK, I literally like nothing.

Fox Bet
Burrow and Stafford 250+ Passing Yards Each +100
Burrow is at 263.5.
Stafford is at 280.5.
This should pay +116. Nice try Fox Bet. Pass.


PHI/TB/LAR to all win +150
This should pay +118. I have zero trust in taking Stafford on the road in Minnesota. Pass for me,  but you can fire if you want.

NFL
WFT +9
I think they hang around as Dallas has not looked right in weeks.

CAR +10.5
Brady is missing weapons and his team struggles to cover on the road. I get a home dog-getting over 10 points. Sign me up!

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 106-118 47.32%
Platinum 5-9 35.71%
Premium 25-22 53.19%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 30-31 49.18%

Our Plays
NFL
Overall 22-20 52.38%
NFL Props 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 12-40 -1615
NFL Teasers and Parlays 2-3 +005

College Football
Overall 7-1 87.5%
College Odds Boosts 2-0 +200
College Teasers and Parlays 1-1 +154

Combined
Overall 29-21 58%
Odds Boosts 19-36 -1115
Teasers and Parlays 3-3 +259