After this week, we are a third of the way through the NFL season. This seems impossible. I never thought I would be looking up mock drafts for 2023, but here we are with the Steelers. Blame Canada!
Another week, with more home dogs. Be careful out there. We start with one in the Dolphins getting 3.5 from the Vikings. Look, I am not laying more than three with Kirk Cousins on the road. Under three, I am intrigued, more than three and I hesitate. I am passing here.
I want to take the Browns at home laying less than three points. I just cannot seem to pull the trigger. The Browns are on my short list in contests, but I am not there yet. The Browns defense has been quietly bad this year. I am passing, right now.
The Niners are playing back-to-back East coast games and have plenty of injury issues. The Falcons are undefeated against the spread and a decently sized home dog. I like it. I am in on the Falcons +5.5. However, if the San Francisco defense suddenly gets healthy, I am remove this from my contests.
What if I told you there is a home dog getting more than a touchdown. Would you be interested? I would be. Except it is my Steelers. This is a great spot to be a home dog with zero expectations against a Bucs team that has struggled as well to live up to their pre-season hype. While Tampa Bay is getting healthier, they are not there yet. The Steelers are on my short list. I am prepared for pain.
This is a game I love if we get some injury news. If Tee Higgins is out, and if Marshon Lattimore plays, I love the Saints. This is a perfect set up to me. The Bengals offense has struggled and they cannot protect Joey B. The Saints should be able to double Chase, or use Lattimore in that capacity. I barely care who the Saints QB is. This feels like an ugly game the Saints flex their defensive muscles. Saints +2.5 once we get injury info.
I hate this game. The Ravens are getting heathier and should smash, but I refuse to lay this many points on the road against a team that likes the ugly up all their games. Pass on this one.
The Jets getting a touchdown looks too good. This is the public dog of the week. The Jets being +7.5 in some contests has me torn. The Packer have not shown the ability to blow out anyone and should not have covered against the Bears. I think we saw what that offense looks like last night. Jets are on the short list.
The computer loves the Jags. The Colts are bottom five in any and all metrics on offense. The Jags defense has been fine the offense has struggled. We believe the Jags should be favored, but if there was ever a spot, where the Colts can get right, this is it. Jags on my short list.
The Cardinals have struggled all year long. Seattle has been a wonderful surprise. Neither team can play much defense. I like the home dog here in Seattle. I wish this was +3, so I am going to wait until Sunday and see if I can get a better number. Seattle is on the short list.
This game is terrible. The computer believes the Rams should not be favored by this many points over anyone. I am not touching this game anywhere except survivor. I have some that are still alive and will be using the Rams in those.
The Bills are better than the Chiefs are, but there is no way I am laying points in Arrowhead. I am passing for now. Obviously, people love this game for DFS. I am passing right now.
Professional money has moved this line from 4.5 all the way to 6.5 points! The assumption is the Eagles offensive line is healthy and is very good, thus they can handle that Dallas front. This is a game where you should check your contests as some have Philly -4.5 and that is a nice amount of value. I lean Eagles.
As you can tell, we have some work to do before Sunday and contests lock. I need to continue with my hot start!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Week 6 LA Rams
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
JAX +2
CAR +10.5
Premium
DEN +5
BUF -2.5
NYJ +7
Regular
CHI PK
TB -8
SF -5.5
NE +2.5
MIN -3.5
CIN -2
NYG +5.5
SEA +2.5
DAL +6
NFL Odds Boosts.
Make an SGP get a Reign Makers Pack (DK)
Great, more cards I can use to not enter contests.
Bet $5 on NBA get NBA League Pass for 3 months (FD)
I pay for league pass, and will bet NBA heavily, so if you want to watch this is a great way to do so for the cheap!
College Football Odds Boots
Free $5 bet PSU/MICH (Fox Bet)
CFB
NFL
ATL +5.5
NO +2.5
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 34-44 43.58%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 10-14 41.66%
Recommended Plays 11-16 (Platinum + Premium) 40.74%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 15-6 %
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-3 000
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 17-8 68.18%
Odds Boosts 3-3 000
Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
