It has been a few weeks, I know. We took some time for the Holidays with family to travel and focus on our picks contests. I learned something I already knew along the way.
“Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.” – Rounders
Can you be disappointed after winning almost $20K in a picks contest? Yes, of course. Because I should have won more! Like any day when you are playing DFS, if you never looked and saw at the end of the day you won 20X your buy in you would be excited. However, if you monitored throughout the day and saw that the Packers giving up two-garbage time TD’s to the Vikings cost you even more money you might be disappointed. Both of these things happened to me last Sunday.
I ended up going 2-3 in the picks contest and finished tied for seventh out of 4500 entries. That is fantastic. If you told me that in August, I would have taken it without question as a great season. Instead, I have been lamenting my decision to remove the Steelers and play the Bears. It is tough to think about what that difference would have meant, but then I was reminded I did win a game because of that Raiders return a few weeks back.
Overall, this was a successful season. We will be back next year and try to finish even higher. While that contest ended after week 17, some of mine continue. I will tweet out my plays in my remaining picks contests and mention any bets on Twitter. I am awaiting all the news we can get in terms of who is playing and what motivation we may have, because there are a lot of quarterbacks out there who are not good and playing a major role this weekend.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Platinum
Premium JAX -6 HOU +2.5 DET +5.5
Regular LVR +9.5 BAL +7.5 TB +4 BUF -7 CHI +7 MIA +1 CAR +3.5 CLE +2.5 LAC +2.5 NYG +14 ARZ +14 SEA -6.5 DAL -7.5
NFL Odds Boosts.
NFL
2022 NFL Computer Model Overall 118-131 47.38% Platinum 3-5 37.5% Premium 20-30 40% Recommended Plays 23-35 (Platinum + Premium) 47.91%
It has been a few weeks, I know. We took some time for the Holidays with family to travel and focus on our picks contests. I learned something I already knew along the way.
“Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.” – Rounders
Can you be disappointed after winning almost $20K in a picks contest? Yes, of course. Because I should have won more! Like any day when you are playing DFS, if you never looked and saw at the end of the day you won 20X your buy in you would be excited. However, if you monitored throughout the day and saw that the Packers giving up two-garbage time TD’s to the Vikings cost you even more money you might be disappointed. Both of these things happened to me last Sunday.
I ended up going 2-3 in the picks contest and finished tied for seventh out of 4500 entries. That is fantastic. If you told me that in August, I would have taken it without question as a great season. Instead, I have been lamenting my decision to remove the Steelers and play the Bears. It is tough to think about what that difference would have meant, but then I was reminded I did win a game because of that Raiders return a few weeks back.
Overall, this was a successful season. We will be back next year and try to finish even higher. While that contest ended after week 17, some of mine continue. I will tweet out my plays in my remaining picks contests and mention any bets on Twitter. I am awaiting all the news we can get in terms of who is playing and what motivation we may have, because there are a lot of quarterbacks out there who are not good and playing a major role this weekend.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Platinum
Premium JAX -6 HOU +2.5 DET +5.5
Regular LVR +9.5 BAL +7.5 TB +4 BUF -7 CHI +7 MIA +1 CAR +3.5 CLE +2.5 LAC +2.5 NYG +14 ARZ +14 SEA -6.5 DAL -7.5
NFL Odds Boosts.
NFL
2022 NFL Computer Model Overall 118-131 47.38% Platinum 3-5 37.5% Premium 20-30 40% Recommended Plays 23-35 (Platinum + Premium) 47.91%
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model
Premium
Regular UTA -2.5 GSW +6 CHI +4 PHO -7 MEM -1.5
NBA Odds Boosts At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!
Ja and Poole to score 25+ points +150 (FD) Ja’s prop is 28.5 and the over is juiced. Poole’s prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced. This should pay +118 or so, but both guys are expected near this number. Just like last night, I fully expect one to get there for sure. I am in on needing Poole to lead the way here.
NBA
2022 NBA Computer Model Overall 158-159 49.84% Premium 7-13 35% Our Plays 3-4 42.85% Props 2-1 +120 Odds Boost 8-4 +650 Parlays 0-4 -400
I back off the Bears late and swapped in Green Bay -6.5. Sigh. I wish I had the 4-1 locked up, but instead, we have sweat out tonight. At least the real line has jumped to 7.5, so I am happy sitting with the -6.5.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Computer Model Platinum
Premium LAR +7
Regular
NFL Odds Boosts. Rodgers 200+ Jones 50+ Rushing Packers to win +280 This should pay +192. I am on the Packers and I think they play very well here. I am in!
NFL
2022 NFL Computer Model Overall 106-111 48.84% Platinum 3-5 37.5% Premium 20-26 43.47% Recommended Plays 23-31 (Platinum + Premium) 42.59%