NFL Week 9 Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

Man, this week sucks. I am not shocking anyone paying attention that the list of QB’s playing are well, uninspiring. I am not talking about Kenny Pickett for the first 55 minutes of every game either. I am sure it is hyperbole, but this feels like the worst QB slate we have ever had.

MIA +2 at KC (Germany)
Every time Miami has played a real offense they struggled. The Chiefs are coming off a loss and have a real offense. I will continue to fade the Dolphins against good team. KC -2 in contests and as a wager.

SEA +6 at BAL
I lean Baltimore but have questions about covering a large number. We have seen Baltimore struggle before covering large numbers in obvious spots. I think the clock is getting closer to striking midnight for Geno, so I am passing for now.

CHI +8.5 at NO
Nope. The correct side is the Bears, but there is no way. Pass for me.

ARZ +9 at CLE
No one is playing the Cardinals here. How can they even score this week? I lean Browns here based on defense alone. This feels like a 20-0 Browns win in coming. Cleveland is on my short list.

MIN +3.5 at ATL
I hate this game. Jaren Hall. God. This is bad. Pass.

WAS +2.5 at NE
This line was at or above three all week long. Is there any game that is super fun on the main slate? Pass for me.

TB +3 at HOU
Yeah, I am done laying points with Houston. I lean Tampa, but ugh, another awful game.

LAR +3 at GB
The Packers are only favored because the Rams have no QB. I would play the Rams or pass. Both of these teams are awful.

IND -2.5 at CAR
Why are the Colts road favorites? I lean Carolina since the Colts defense gets shredded for 30+ every week. The Panthers are on the short list.

DAL +3 at PHI
Fade Dallas on the road against good teams. I like the Eagles, but I fear everyone else does too. I was thinking I was all about the Eagles earlier this week, but I have slowed down some. I still lean Philly, but have not made a wager yet.

NYG +1.5 at LVR
The Raiders with anyone else calling plays and anyone else playing QB. I am in. The giants are awful and the Raiders with a few changes could have a few more wins. By changes I mean passes going to Adams and not sailing out of bounds when he is wide open. I like the Raiders to win in contests and for wagers.

BUF +2 at CIN
The Bengals have looked better than, beaten and out played the Bills every time they have shared a field, or in general the last three years. Now the Bills have defensive injuries and have tried to put a band-aid on to make it work. The Bengals are good and coming. You can throw on Buffalo. CIN in contests and as a wager.

LAC -3.5 at NYJ
I kind of want to take the Jets and their defense. We have seen the Chargers bust in this spot before. This could be the Herbert has three turnovers and somehow the Jets win again game. I lean NYJ, but pass for now.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers (WIN)
Week 9 Cleveland

Computer Model Plays
Platinum
BUF +2.5



Premium

MIN +4.5
IND -2.5


Regular Plays

Ten +2.5
MIA +2
ARZ +8
LAR +3
WAS +3.5
NO -8
BAL -6
TB +2.5
NYG +1.5
DAL +3
LAC -3



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Draft Kings

NFL
LVR -1.5
CIN -2
KC -2


College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 56-59 48.69%
Platinum 1-3 25%
Premium 12-17 41.37%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-20 39.39%

Our Plays
Overall  16-8-1 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week 9 TNF Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

I wonder if I will end up on the Steelers laying under a field goal to a rookie QB on a short week with travel. I could easily add that Will Levis actually graded out horribly despite the win and touchdowns last week. Pittsburgh -2.5 and Here We Go!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers (WIN)
Week 9 Cleveland

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium




Regular Plays

Ten +2.5




Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

NFL


College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 56-59 48.69%
Platinum 1-3 25%
Premium 12-17 41.37%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-20 39.39%

Our Plays
Overall  15-8-1 63.63%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week 8 Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

 It’s week 8!? How did we get here? I am still stuck in neutral in picks contests just logging 3-2 every week. I need a big week to get back up there!

PHI -7 AT WAS – This is the perfect let down spot for the Eagles. Huge win over the Dolphins, with Dallas next week. I am all about home dogs. WAS as a bet and in contests. 

JAX -2 AT PIT – Steelers as a home dog is an auto bet at this point. Inconsistent Jags with a shaky line and secondary. Steelers as a be and in contests. 

CIN +5.5 AT SF – Short week, No Debo, No Trent Williams and a recently concussed Brock Purdy against the Bengals coming off a bye week. This feels like s schedule issue for the Niners. I am on Bengals as a bet and in contests.

LVR +8 AT DET – Lions got embarrassed and get to come home against a bad team. I am laying a large number here. Detroit as a wager and in contests. 


Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers

Computer Model Plays
Platinum

HOU -3

Premium

LAR +6.5

KC -7.5

BAL -9

SF -3.5

CHI +8.5

Regular Plays
BUF -8.5

MIN -1

TEN +1

NO +1

MIA -9.5

NYJ -3

JAX -2.5

PHI -7

CLE +3.5

DET -8

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PIT +2.5
CIN +5.5
DET -8
WAS +7

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 51-51 50%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 12-12 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-14 48.14%

Our Plays
Overall 13-7 65%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week 8 Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

Trick or treat is tonight and more about the slate tomorrow!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers

Computer Model Plays
Platinum

Premium

Regular Plays
BUF -8.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 51-51 50%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 12-12 50%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-14 48.14%

Our Plays
Overall 13-7 65%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week 7 Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

Finally, some normalcy in my life. No traveling, no moving to a new house, just the games. As I mentioned yesterday, I am wallowing near even in all my contests, lame.

LVR -2.5 at CHI – I mean Brian Hoyer or AOC is going to give points on the road. However, the Bears are starting your cousin’s friend who played D-2 college football. I lean Chicago because it is +3.5 in contests, but my god this is a weird spot. Josh Jacobs should have 30 touches. Pass for now.

CLE -3 at IND – The best defense in the NFL versus not as good as you think he is Uncle Rico. I lean the Browns as this is a bet on their defense. But, man road favorites without a QB seems like a bad idea.

BUF -8.5 at NE – The Bills own the Pats. The Pats can not score. I want to take the Bills badly, but I refuse to lay over a TD on the road. Pass for now.

WAS -2.5 at NYG – Are there any home favorites? UGH. This game stinks. Lean WAS but pass for now.

ATL +2.5 at TB – Hey, look a home favorite. I want to be on the Bucs here, as they feel like the right side. Baker being slightly banged up makes me hesitate. He missed plenty of throws last week that would have made the difference perhaps. Pass for now.

DET +3 at BAL – The public loves the Lions. They keep coming through, so why would people stop betting them? The Lions are the public dog of the week. Who is interested in the Ravens after London, where they could not get in the endzone. THIS GUY IS. I think you can throw on the Lions and I expect the Ravens to do just that. I am playing a ton of Zay Flowers, as I do almost every week.  BAL -3 as a wager and in contests.

PIT +3 at LAR – If the Steelers offense sucks fully healthy, well then, I am going to continue to blame Matt Canada. Kenny needs to play better. The key here is Matthew Stafford has struggled when pressured and I expect the Steelers to get home often. It sounds like JPJ will be playing more and perhaps shadowing Puka, but I am dubious to any and all Steelers rumors until I see it. I am going to continue to be a homer and take the Steelers as dogs. PIT +3 for a wager and in contests.

ARZ +7.5 at SEA – This line has come down slightly, but I have no interest in this game. The Cardinals are back to who we thought they were, but you can throw on Seattle. I am not sure Arizona has the people to move the ball consistently. I lean Seattle, but pass for now.

GB -1 at DEN – Denver is 100% the correct side here. Jordan Love is laying points on the road, I mean wow. Having said that, I can not do it. Maybe and I stress maybe if I need a 5th game I will end up on the Broncos, but there is so much bad from trading people, to weird usage, to perhaps tanking.

LAC +5.5 at KC – I know the Chargers played a night game and KC has been off since last Thursday. This is a schedule nightmare. However, this is a divisional game and these two always tend to play closer, with Brandon Staley making a horrendous 4th down decision at some point. I want to be on the Chargers, but they are also not very good. Lean LAC but pass for now.

MIA +2.5 at PHI – Everyone loves Miami. They score, they are super fun. What happened when the Dolphins played a real offense in Buffalo a few weeks ago? What happened when Tua had some pressure on him? This is the Eagles break out game on offense. Philly will throw all over the Dolphins and the Eagles defense, provided healthy, will get pressure and force turnovers. The Phillies are going the World Series and the Eagles are winning Sunday night. Philly -2.5 as a wager and in contest.

SF -7 at MIN – You know if healthy this would be an auto bet of a home dog getting 7+ points, but the Vikings are bad and the Niners have so many injury questions. I want to see who practices Friday for San Francisco. Pass for now.

If you are keeping track that is three games I am in on with Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and Philadelphia. I lean Chargers for my fourth pick, but will need to find five soon enough!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium

BUF -8.5
GB -1
SF -7


Regular Plays

JAX +2.5
CHI +3
CLE -2.5
WAS -2
TB +2.5
DET +3
LAR -3
ARZ +8
KC -5.5
MIA +2




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Fan Duel

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NFL
PHI -2
PIT +3
BAL -3


College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 48-41 53.93%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 12-9 57.14%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-11 54.16%

Our Plays
Overall  10-7 58.82%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week 7 TNF Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays


It has been a little while. Some advice. First, do not move during the school year when you have kids. Second, do not schedule a trip before you know when you are moving exactly. I was in Ashville, NC for a few days, then moved the following week. Some would say that makes you slightly busy. As a result, my picks have suffered. I am hovering near even in all my contests. On DK I am 15-15. In Circa I am 15-14-1. That is a whole lot of nothing. Time to turn it on. On the plus I got my game watching set up completed right away. I will post a pic Sunday when the games start!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium




Regular Plays

JAX +2.5



Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

NFL
PHI -2
PIT +3


College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 48-41 53.93%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 12-9 57.14%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-11 54.16%

Our Plays
Overall  10-7 58.82%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week Four Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

We are on to Sunday! Remember there is a London game early! After some struggles last week, I feel much better about this week. As a reminder, this is where I sit in large field contests.

9-6 in DK

7-7-1 in Circa

ATL +3 at JAX (London) – I think you play the Jags, or you sit this one out. Atlanta has a QB problem, while the Jags generate no pressure and seem to have some red zone issues. I am leaning Jax but passing for now.


WAS +8.5 at PHI – The Commanders can not protect their QB. The Eagles generate a ton of pressure. The Eagle’s passing game is not clicking fully, yet, but they are running the ball extremely well. I lean Philly.

MIA +2.5 at BUF – Everyone loves the Dolphins, and the public will especially love them as a dog this week. The Bills defense is better than anticipated. People forget the Miami defense has not been great either. I think this is the Buffalo bounce back spot and the Dolphins come back to Earth. I bet the Bills -2.5 and will be using them in contests.

MIN -4 at CAR – I hate this game. The Panthers are awful, but I am not laying points with Cousins on the road. Pass.

PIT -2.5 at HOU – A small road dog normally is cause for alarm. However, the Texans offensive line is decimated and has even more guys out this week. This is a bet on the Steelers pass rush and defense. I am scared to predict the offense to actually break out because Matt Canada. This is the game Stroud turns it over and the Steelers defense makes the difference. I am backing the defense and laying the 2.5 in contests and for wagers.

CIN -2.5 at TEN – I think the Bengals are not very good, but man are the Titans bad. You can throw on Tennessee, which the Bengals should be able to do. The Titans at home as dog have been a printing press the last few years, but I am not sure I can do it. The Titans defensive line makes a huge difference, when we know the Bengals struggle to protect and less-than-mobile quarterback. Lean Titans.

BAL +2.5 at CLE – All kinds of rumors out there that Deshaun Watson is going to be out. The Ravens have their own injury issues. However, this is a great bounce back spot for the Ravens. While the Cleveland defense is exceptional, they have not exactly played a murders row of quarterbacks. I think Lamar plays very well and all the sudden Watson/DTR are being asked to score. That is a problem for the Browns. I bet Baltimore +2.5 and will use them in contests.

TB +3.5 at NO – Jameis is laying more than a FG. I lean Bucs. TB defense has been above average.

LAR -1 at IND – I hate this game, Pass.

DEN -3 at CHI – This game is even worse. Go look up Denver’s record as a favorite the last two years. Sheesh. Pass.

LVR +5.5 at LAC – We do not know the Raiders QB yet. However, I expect Ekeler to sit. Mike Williams is out. This is slightly larger number than it should be. Our model makes it around a field goal game. I will take the value once we know the starter for Las Vegas. Lean Raiders.

ARZ +14 at SF – Pass. I am using SF in survivor.

NE +6.5 at DAL – Earlier this week I was ready to fire on Dallas, but their offensive line injuries scare me. Professional money dropped this line from seven to six. I may just avoid this spot completely. I want to see who is out for the Cowboys.

KC -9 at NYJ – This number has come down from ten. Why? That is not public money. We have a team that struggles to cover big numbers on the road versus Zach Wilson. I almost swiftly took the Jets, but I hesitated and missed the best number. Pass for me, for now.


Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium

BUF -2.5
BAL +2.5
LAR -1
LVR +5.5
NYJ +9.5


Regular Plays

GB +1.5
JAX -3
CHI +3.5
CIN -2.5
TB +3.5
PHI -8
CAR +4
PIT -2.5
NE +6.5
ARZ +14
SEA +1



Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
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BAL +2.5
PIT -2.5
BUF -2.5



College Football

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NFL Computer Model
Overall 29-18 61.70%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 5-3 62.5%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-3 66.66%

Our Plays
Overall  8-6 57.14%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week Four TNF Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

The first three weeks have been a whole lot of meh for me.

9-6 in DK

7-7-1 in Circa

I did not realize how important that extra day was to my process. Time to adjust and adapt faster. I feel like I have zeroed in on my targets for this week and am not worried about finding a fifth game, but more about which games to eliminate. I lean GB tonight, even if the line is moving against the Packers. I am officially in the “Packers might be good camp.” Part of being a successful handicapper is being able process information and rapidly change your opinion when the data suggests it is necessary. I think we all have done that with the Houston Texans offense.

The Packers appear to finally be healthy and may have all their weapons for the first time. I did take Green Bay using various odds boosts with low limits that you will see below. I am still debating a full wager on the Packers, but for now I am using the odds boost available to me.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium



Regular Plays

GB +1.5



Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings
Up by 7 Early Win Bonus
GB +110

NFL




College Football

Let’s Get Weird

NFL Computer Model
Overall 29-18 61.70%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 5-3 62.5%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-3 66.66%

Our Plays
Overall  8-6 57.14%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200

NFL Week Three Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

Every week is different, but we soldier on trying to go 3-2 or better in contests and of course win our bets. I have made three bets at this point and all three should be in my contest plays as well.

After two weeks here is where I sit in contests.
Circa 6-4
Draft Kings 7-3

Why is the record different? Circa locks early Saturday and DK I can take until 12:59 PM Sunday. I flipped Houston to Atlanta and that is the reason for the difference in records. I am happy to be where I am at the, but we must continue forward!

BUF -6.5 at WAS – Josh Allen seems to have problems with teams that can get pressure. Maybe surprisingly to you, the Commanders are getting pressure. This game may have some weather as well. We have a turnover prone quarterback facing pressure from a good defensive line in rain and wind. The Commanders can run the ball, but I am not so sure the Bills can. I am on the Commanders +6.5.

DEN +6.5 at MIA – Man, this feels like a trap. 0-2 Denver has struggled to say the least. This is your weekly reminder I thought the Broncos would suck last year. I have a little interest in Denver this week if Jaylen waddle is out. I think the prudent thing may be to just stay away from this game. Miami handled themselves on the road the last two weeks, now gets a home game in the heat. Pass for me.

HOU +8.5 at JAX – If Houston was healthy, or even partially healthy, I would be interested in the Texans. However, the Texans offensive line is missing key guys, the secondary keeps adding to the injury list as well. I know the Jags and Trevor Lawrence have had problems covering bigger numbers, but due to injury, I am passing.

ATL +3 at DET – This line has fallen all week long. Detroit suffered a multitude of injuries on the defensive side of the ball last week. Professionals are all over Atlanta and I get the case. The Falcon’s defense has been adequate, and their offense can move the ball. Everyone scores in Detroit, lean Falcons.

LAC +1 at MIN – Great DFS game, but I have no idea here. Pass for me. This is a great teaser game to take the dog up over seven points.

IND +8 at BAL – If Anthony Richardson was here, I would have had interest in the Colts. I am passing here. The Ravens normally crush bad teams, and I am sure they score a ton here. Pass for me.

NE -2.5 at NYJ – I hate taking road favorites; however, the Pats own Zach Wilson and the Jets. I can not believe I am leaning toward taking Mac Jones on the road giving points. Ugh. I lean Patriots for now.

TEN +3.5 at CLE – It feels like everyone was on the Titans the last two weeks as small dogs where they went 2-0 ATS. In general, this looks like an awful Cleveland spot. Short week, no Chubb, against a solid run defense of the Titans. Deshaun Watson has been awful, but if you take Cleveland here you are basically betting on their defense. I am not so sure that the Titans will score more than 10 points. I lean Cleveland, but I hate the spot. Some weeks finding five games is pretty difficult.

NO +1.5 at GB – Last week professionals were on the Bears in Tampa, and I went the complete opposite direction. This week professionals are on the Saints and again, I am going the opposite direction. What am I missing here? The Saints are traveling on short rest with their no.3 and no.4 running backs only available. One of those RB’s will be making their NFL and more important pass protection debut. I am sure that will not affect Derek Carr at all. The Packers are trending toward being healthy and playing their home opener. Jordan Love is good, but this will be his first defensive test. We know the Saints are not grate but play a weak schedule. I am on the Packers. I think they are legit good and will score. I do not see the Saints matching on the road. Packers -1.5.

CAR +5.5 at SEA – I hate this game. I am not lining up to bet against Andy Dalton, but this is a short week for Carolina and they are traveling cross-country without their QB. The Panthers have no weapons, but this feels like a good number. I lean Seattle, but it feels too easy.

DAL -12.5 at ARZ – I am not laying this many points on the road, ever. Pass.

CHI +12.5 at KC – I hate laying big numbers period. I need to see it from KC, but we know Mahomes and the Chiefs rarely cover when they give more than seven points. Pass.

PIT +2.5 at LVR – I know what I want to do. I need to stay away. Pass.

PHI -5 at TB – Look, I have been on the Bucs both of the first two weeks. Guess what, I am ready to do it again. The Bucs defense is good. I keep saying it. The Eagles have some injuries, especially on defense. The ten-day-rest period for the Eagles concerns me, but I think TB and Baker Mayfield score enough to stay competitive in this game. The Eagles offense needs to work some kinks out, which they will eventually. I hope that occurs after Monday night. Bucs +5.

LAR +2.5 at CIN – I tried with the Bengals last week. Nope, I am out. If Joe B is out and we know I think you can fire up the Rams in contests, where this line is stagnant. Pass for now.

So here we are on Friday evening with three games I have bet and am ready to lock in contests.
TB +5
WAS +6.5
GB -1.5

Stay tuned as I work to find two more games! I will update and post on Twitter/X what I end up doing.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium

DEN +6.5
CAR +6

Regular Plays

TEN +3.5
ATL +3
NO +2
LAC +1
NYJ +2.5
BUF -6.5
HOU +8.5
IND +8
CHI +12.5
ARZ +12.5
PIT +2.5
PHI -5
CIN -3



Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

NFL
TB +5
WAS +6.5
GB -1.5



College Football

Let’s Get Weird
7 Team 6 Point Teaser +1000
BAL -2.5/WAS +12.5/LAC +7/ATL +9/SEA +0.5/PIT +8.5/TB +10.5
Yes, I know I am taking Seattle through zero, which loses value. However, this is for fun and using some bonus bets I have over on BET MGM. You should only be using Teasers to cross key number, aka a team getting +2 should be moved to +8. If we get this to Monday with TB left, then we can fire on Philly ML to maybe middle the game and make more money. Remember always use bonus or free bets on items where you are taking larger chances.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 20-12   62.5%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 5-1 83.33%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-1 85.71%

Our Plays
Overall  6-3 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100

NFL Week Three TNF Wagers, Contest Picks and Computer Model Plays

I am happy we are back to awful Thursday night games. Computer makes this spread closer to nine points. This is a pass for me. Please make sure you are using any risk-free bets you get and use them! Full breakdown the weekend coming up tomorrow.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium



Regular Plays

NYG +10.5



Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings

NFL




College Football

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 20-11   64.51%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 5-1 83.33%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 6-1 85.71%

Our Plays
Overall  6-3 66.66%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100