We are almost halfway done with the regular season. It always moves so fast. This is a weird slate to me with three massive favorites and tons of tiny spreads. I prefer when we have a nice mix with several touchdown favorites.
London is back with an awful game. I think Denver is the right side here, but I hate this game. I am passing. You are better of sleeping in.
The Steelers are getting double-digits in Philly. Look, in theory the Eagles should crush here. TJ Watt may return, but the Steelers offense has issues. Blame Canada. I am passing, but the model thinks the Eagles should be almost 17-point favorites.
The Bears coming off a massive win, on a short week against a dominant defense. Yeah, this is an awful spot for the Bears. I lean the Cowboys. If Zeke is ruled out, it will only bolster the reasons to take Dallas, as their best back would be playing all the snaps. Dallas on the short list.
A road favorite giving over a field goal after a big Prime time win. I have some interest in Detroit. Yet, it is still Detroit. The Lions are on my short list, but that has more to do with the Dolphins secondary injuries still being a thing.
Patriots are road favorites against the Jets. I am passing on this game. I think the Jets are collectively better, but losing Breece Hall and another offensive lineman is going to take its toll. The Pats let me down last week, I am not mad just disappointed. Pass here.
This feels like a trap. I hate Kliff. I hate Kyler. I hate the Cards. Why do I like them getting +3.5 in Minnesota. Maybe, I do not believe in the Vikings like everyone else. Bah, Cards on my short list.
The Panthers are over-valued after their win last week. The Panthers are not built to take advantage of the Falcons secondary, or to do that much offensively anyway. I lean Atlanta -4.5.
The Raiders -1 feel like the Admiral Akbar spot of the week. The Saints are so bad. This seems too simple and easy, which means it is. Pass for now.
Speaking of traps, the Titans laying under a field goal in Houston. This is the game where someone looks at it that does not follow the NFL that closely and says the Titans will kill them. This is the Ralph Wiggum Chuckles “I’m in danger,” game. Pass for now.
I have no idea on the Giants anymore. The computer loves them this week and feels they should be slightly favored. I am either playing the dog or passing here. After all Atlanta came here and won by using a creative running game, much like the Giants do too.
I was ready to take the Rams. Coming off a bye week and a chance to rebound and get it right. I can not do it. I keep going back to that Niners defense just destroying the Rams porous offensive line. No matter how much time they had off, they did not fix that major issue. I lean Niners.
Why are the Colts favored over anyone? I lean the Commanders +2.5. I know what Washington is. They got behind, had an awful turnover, and then made some adjustments and beat the Packers. It seems like they should be able to do the same against a QB making his first NFL start.
I am not laying 11 against the Packers as long as Aaron Rodgers is the QB. I know they suck, but still. Pass.
The only bet I made early this week was Browns +3.5. This is a must win spot for the Browns. The Bengals beat up on bad defenses two weeks in a row, now they will not have Chase as well. This entire division is also terrible. I am on Cleveland +3.5.
I will update more over the weekend and post my wagers/contest selections.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!
Week 8 Dallas
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Computer Model
Platinum
Premium
WAS +3
NYG 3
Regular
DEN -2.5
ATL -4.5
CHI +9.5
DET +3.5
MIN -3.5
NO +2
NYJ +1.5
PHI -11
TEN -2
LAR +1.5
BUFF -11.5
CIN -3.5
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College Football Odds Boots
CFB
NFL
CLE +3.5
2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 51-56 47.66%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 15-16 48.38%
Recommended Plays 16-20 (Platinum + Premium) 44.44%
2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 24-9 72.72%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 4-4 000
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays
Combined
Overall 26-11 70.27%
Odds Boosts 4-4 000
Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300
Win The Weekends 