It’s Saturday and it is time to figure out my five picks for contests this week.

Seattle every single week should be favored according to out model. You just never know what you will get in Europe with these games, so I a fading. I think. Seattle is just flat out better and have been, but just like last week, it feels too easy for them to be a dog.

The Dolphins seem to win close games every week and Cleveland may have fixed itself coming off that Bengals win and a bye week. I believe you can throw on Miami and Cleveland will. Browns +3.5 are on my short list for Sunday.

I am not sure the Giants should be favored by more than three over anyone. Yet, here we are. I hate this game, but in one contest, Houston is +6.5, while being +4.5 in real life. Yes, that does not cross any major number the value intrigues me.

Jags catching +8.5 in KC feels odd to me. The Chiefs have struggled to cover big numbers, but there is no way I am backing the Jags after their big comeback last week. Pass.

Denver +2.5 is a play plenty of sharps are on, despite the Titans getting their QB back. Notice the line did not move at this point. You can throw on the Titans; maybe the Broncos fixed their issues. I am passing for not, but have some interest in Denver.

This is a wild spot. In all contests, the Bills are -3.5, but now the Bills are -6.5. I would assume that means Josh Allen is playing. This might be too much value to pass up on the Bills; after all, it is Kirk Cousins on the road against a great team.

The Bears are small 2.5-point favorites at home against the Detroit Lions. The Bears defense is bad, but this is Jared Goff on the road in around freezing weather. I am on Chicago -2.5. I do not care if this is a public spot. I went against Goff in New England outdoors a few weeks ago and I am doing it again Sunday.

I know they have looked awful. I know they cannot score. Just ignore the teams and bet the spot. One team played Monday Night and is now traveling as road favorites. The other team is coming off their bye week and getting back the best player on the team from injury. This is an awful spot for the Saints. I am on the Steelers +2.5. I am even going to go as far and call this the Kenny Pickett break out game.

I have no clue here. No one does. The Raiders should be able to easily beat the Colts, yet I think I am 1-3 in games involving Las Vegas this year. I am running away.

Aaron Rodgers as a home dog feels like a fantastic spot. However, I cannot. The Packers offensive line and lack of weapons will be a massive problem against the Dallas defense. Pass, but I have interest in the Cowboys.

I am going to guess Matt Stafford plays based upon the Rams being favored. Until we get that info in the morning, pass.

The Chargers are bad, but catching over a touchdown seems like a lot for the Niners to cover. I am passing for now.

So here we are. I have two games. I need to find three more by 1 PM tomorrow. I will of course tweet them out.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 10 Kansas City
Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Reminder these are based on contest lines that lock Wednesday at midnight.
Platinum


Premium
SEA +2.5
JAX +9.5
CLE +3.5



Regular
ATL -2.5
BUF -3.5
DET +2.5
DEN +2.5
HOU +4.5
NO -2.5
IND +5
DAL -5
LAR -1.5
LAC +7
PHI -11

NFL Odds Boosts.
No sweat SGP (FD)
$25 MAX

No sweat SGP (DK)
$10

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 66-67 49.62%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 17-17 50%
Recommended Plays 20-21 (Platinum + Premium) 48.78%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 32-11 74.41%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-5 +250
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 34-13 72.34%
Odds Boosts 7-5 +250
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

When are the good Thursday night games? Kidding, we can hope it is as fun as their last matchup. Back tomorrow with a write up on every game in this ugly slate.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 10
Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum


Premium




Regular
ATL -2.5

NFL Odds Boosts.
No sweat SGP (FD)
$25 MAX

No sweat SGP (DK)
$10

Patterson and Foreman to both score a TD +500 (FD)
Patterson is -105 on FD.
Foreman is +130 for anytime TD.
This parlay should pay +351.
I am passing on this due to the low total and perhaps some expected weather. Hubbard is also back for the Panthers. It is a boost though, but TD’s can be very fluky. I am out.

Patterson anytime TD +200 (DK)
Patterson is -105 on FD.
This is a very big boost. Yet, this game has a low total and I like the Panthers side a little. As I said touchdowns can be fluky, but we know, Patterson will get the goal line looks when healthy. This is just a big enough boost I cannot pass it up. I am in.

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 66-67 49.62%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 17-17 50%
Recommended Plays 20-21 (Platinum + Premium) 48.78%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 32-11 74.41%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 34-13 72.34%
Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

Only four games tonight and the model is not a huge fan of any of them. Neither am I. We did hit the DK boost last night though.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Premium


Regular
DAL -3.5
PHI +1
CHA +10.5
NOP -6.5

NBA Odds Boosts

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 77-73 51.33%
Premium 5-7 41.66%
Our Plays 2-3 40%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-1 +950
Parlays 0-3 -300

We had our off day for NBA last night due to the election after hat weird, games every 15-minutes slate. Now, another large slate. The computer has been all over the place for premium wagers, but really likes the Knicks tonight. I kind of agree and I am in as well. The Nets just hired a coach and no it is not who you think. The chaos and uncertainty still remains. There is a boost available that you have to bet on DK, but when it is very solid, the limits are extremely low.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Premium
NYK +3.5

Regular
DAL -7.5
IND +6
CHA +4.5
HOU +10
BOS -12.5
UTA +4
MEM -4.5
PHO -1
OKC +6
NOP -2
CLE -4.5
LAL +3.5

NBA Odds Boosts
Tatum/KD/JA/LeBron to all score 20+ +100 (DK)
This should be around -225. You are doing this. I am in. My max bet is so low, as I assume yours is as well.

No Sweat NBA Bet (DK)
Get $10 back on an NBA wager.

NBA
NYK +3.5

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 70-67 51.09%
Premium 5-6 45.45%
Our Plays 2-2 50%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 7-1 +850
Parlays 0-3 -300

This week we have several teams on bye. The thing I noticed was the amount of home dogs. Here we go again. There are three games I am already in on and of course, we need to find five for our contests and wagers.

Atlanta getting +3.5 at home against a team with no healthy wide receivers? Really? The Chargers struggle to stop the run too. You can attack the Falcons through the air, but the Chargers will apparently be without their top two wide receivers? This lines up nicely. I am on the Falcons +3.5.

The Packers are only laying 3.5 in Detroit. The Lions are beaten up and are terrible. I have the Packers on the short list, despite them being bad and a road favorite. If the Packers offense does not score this week, they will not all year.

It is going to be mid-to-high 30’s in Chicago Sunday and the Dolphins are coming north to play in Chicago. The Dolphins despite their flash and dash have struggled to put games away, let alone cover. I get the Bears coming off a blowout getting five at home! Bear down; I am on the Bears +5.

I have waffled on this game all week. The Raiders coming off a loss seems like the correct side, but the Raiders have been awful on the road. Yes, I know I took them last week, but it happens. Who knew the entire team had the flu at some point. The Jags just never come through. I have a lean on LVR.

Rookie QB on the road who might be terrible against New England? Seems like a slam-dunk right? However, wait, the Patriots have traditionally struggled with mobile passers and maybe that happens here. I am passing for now, but this is an interesting game.

I realize the sharps are on the Jets. I know the line has gone from 12.5 down to 11. I am struggling to be on the Jets due to Zach Wilson. Nevertheless, it is a home divisional dog getting double-digits. Passing at the moment.

This game smells. The Panthers defense has some major players. The Bengals offensive line struggles as we saw Monday. I want to take the Panthers, I really do. I am passing for now.

Kirk Cousins on the road as a favorite, what a great time to fade the Vikings. I am down with Washington getting +3.5 at home this weekend. I do have concerns about the Commanders secondary against the Vikings passing attack, yet, I have watched Minnesota struggle and try to lose every game despite their record. I think this is a three-point game no matter what.

Seattle getting points in Arizona feels too easy. Right? Like, we have to stay away. I am waiting for now on this spot.

I want to bet the Bucs. I have all week. Yet, I have not pulled the trigger. They cannot be trusted, but TB -2.5 is on my short list.

The Chiefs after a bye are one of the most solid wagers yearly, based on trends and Andy Reid. I am not laying double-digits this year, well, at least not this week. Pass for me.

The Saints at home Monday night is a very difficult spot. They are bad though. I do like the Ravens, but the injuries keep coming. Feels like a great stay away.

So here we are, three games I am in on and a few days to think about my other selections.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum
SEA +2
TEN +12.5


Premium
CHI +5



Regular
ATL +3
CAR +7
DET +3.5
IND +5.5
NYJ +12.5
WAS +3.5
JAX +1.5
TB -2.5
BAL -2.5
PHI -13.5

NFL Odds Boosts.

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL
CHI +4.5
ATL +3.5
WAS +3.5

6 Point Tease +260
CHI +10.5
WAS +9.5
ATL +9
SEA +8

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-64 47.10%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 16-17 48.48%
Recommended Plays 17-21 (Platinum + Premium) 44.73%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 28-10 73.68%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 30-12 71.42%
Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

This week we have several teams on bye. The thing I noticed was the amount of home dogs. Here we go again. There are three games I am already in on and of course, we need to find five for our contests and wagers.

Atlanta getting +3.5 at home against a team with no healthy wide receivers? Really? The Chargers struggle to stop the run too. You can attack the Falcons through the air, but the Chargers will apparently be without their top two wide receivers? This lines up nicely. I am on the Falcons +3.5.

The Packers are only laying 3.5 in Detroit. The Lions are beaten up and are terrible. I have the Packers on the short list, despite them being bad and a road favorite. If the Packers offense does not score this week, they will not all year.

It is going to be mid-to-high 30’s in Chicago Sunday and the Dolphins are coming north to play in Chicago. The Dolphins despite their flash and dash have struggled to put games away, let alone cover. I get the Bears coming off a blowout getting five at home! Bear down; I am on the Bears +5.

I have waffled on this game all week. The Raiders coming off a loss seems like the correct side, but the Raiders have been awful on the road. Yes, I know I took them last week, but it happens. Who knew the entire team had the flu at some point. The Jags just never come through. I have a lean on LVR.

Rookie QB on the road who might be terrible against New England? Seems like a slam-dunk right? However, wait, the Patriots have traditionally struggled with mobile passers and maybe that happens here. I am passing for now, but this is an interesting game.

I realize the sharps are on the Jets. I know the line has gone from 12.5 down to 11. I am struggling to be on the Jets due to Zach Wilson. Nevertheless, it is a home divisional dog getting double-digits. Passing at the moment.

This game smells. The Panthers defense has some major players. The Bengals offensive line struggles as we saw Monday. I want to take the Panthers, I really do. I am passing for now.

Kirk Cousins on the road as a favorite, what a great time to fade the Vikings. I am down with Washington getting +3.5 at home this weekend. I do have concerns about the Commanders secondary against the Vikings passing attack, yet, I have watched Minnesota struggle and try to lose every game despite their record. I think this is a three-point game no matter what.

Seattle getting points in Arizona feels too easy. Right? Like, we have to stay away. I am waiting for now on this spot.

I want to bet the Bucs. I have all week. Yet, I have not pulled the trigger. They cannot be trusted, but TB -2.5 is on my short list.

The Chiefs after a bye are one of the most solid wagers yearly, based on trends and Andy Reid. I am not laying double-digits this year, well, at least not this week. Pass for me.

The Saints at home Monday night is a very difficult spot. They are bad though. I do like the Ravens, but the injuries keep coming. Feels like a great stay away.

So here we are, three games I am in on and a few days to think about my other selections.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum
SEA +2
TEN +12.5


Premium
CHI +5



Regular
ATL +3
CAR +7
DET +3.5
IND +5.5
NYJ +12.5
WAS +3.5
JAX +1.5
TB -2.5
BAL -2.5
PHI -13.5

NFL Odds Boosts.

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL
CHI +4.5
ATL +3.5
WAS +3.5

6 Point Tease +260
CHI +10.5
WAS +9.5
ATL +9
SEA +8

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-64 47.10%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 16-17 48.48%
Recommended Plays 17-21 (Platinum + Premium) 44.73%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 28-10 73.68%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 30-12 71.42%
Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

This week we have several teams on bye. The thing I noticed was the amount of home dogs. Here we go again. There are three games I am already in on and of course, we need to find five for our contests and wagers.

Atlanta getting +3.5 at home against a team with no healthy wide receivers? Really? The Chargers struggle to stop the run too. You can attack the Falcons through the air, but the Chargers will apparently be without their top two wide receivers? This lines up nicely. I am on the Falcons +3.5.

The Packers are only laying 3.5 in Detroit. The Lions are beaten up and are terrible. I have the Packers on the short list, despite them being bad and a road favorite. If the Packers offense does not score this week, they will not all year.

It is going to be mid-to-high 30’s in Chicago Sunday and the Dolphins are coming north to play in Chicago. The Dolphins despite their flash and dash have struggled to put games away, let alone cover. I get the Bears coming off a blowout getting five at home! Bear down; I am on the Bears +5.

I have waffled on this game all week. The Raiders coming off a loss seems like the correct side, but the Raiders have been awful on the road. Yes, I know I took them last week, but it happens. Who knew the entire team had the flu at some point. The Jags just never come through. I have a lean on LVR.

Rookie QB on the road who might be terrible against New England? Seems like a slam-dunk right? However, wait, the Patriots have traditionally struggled with mobile passers and maybe that happens here. I am passing for now, but this is an interesting game.

I realize the sharps are on the Jets. I know the line has gone from 12.5 down to 11. I am struggling to be on the Jets due to Zach Wilson. Nevertheless, it is a home divisional dog getting double-digits. Passing at the moment.

This game smells. The Panthers defense has some major players. The Bengals offensive line struggles as we saw Monday. I want to take the Panthers, I really do. I am passing for now.

Kirk Cousins on the road as a favorite, what a great time to fade the Vikings. I am down with Washington getting +3.5 at home this weekend. I do have concerns about the Commanders secondary against the Vikings passing attack, yet, I have watched Minnesota struggle and try to lose every game despite their record. I think this is a three-point game no matter what.

Seattle getting points in Arizona feels too easy. Right? Like, we have to stay away. I am waiting for now on this spot.

I want to bet the Bucs. I have all week. Yet, I have not pulled the trigger. They cannot be trusted, but TB -2.5 is on my short list.

The Chiefs after a bye are one of the most solid wagers yearly, based on trends and Andy Reid. I am not laying double-digits this year, well, at least not this week. Pass for me.

The Saints at home Monday night is a very difficult spot. They are bad though. I do like the Ravens, but the injuries keep coming. Feels like a great stay away.

So here we are, three games I am in on and a few days to think about my other selections.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to nine people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum
SEA +2
TEN +12.5


Premium
CHI +5



Regular
ATL +3
CAR +7
DET +3.5
IND +5.5
NYJ +12.5
WAS +3.5
JAX +1.5
TB -2.5
BAL -2.5
PHI -13.5

NFL Odds Boosts.

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL
CHI +4.5
ATL +3.5
WAS +3.5

6 Point Tease +260
CHI +10.5
WAS +9.5
ATL +9
SEA +8

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-64 47.10%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 16-17 48.48%
Recommended Plays 17-21 (Platinum + Premium) 44.73%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 28-10 73.68%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 30-12 71.42%
Odds Boosts 7-4 +350
Teasers and Parlays 0-4 -400

No Kyrie, No Harden, No Kawhi, welcome to the NBA in November! This is a back-to-back for the Warriors and Steve Kerr said he might alter their rotations.

This is a much more fun slate for DFS than betting to me. I know there are so many games how I could not really, like anything? Seems odd. I think the Suns may be the best play of the night and I felt that way before running the model. The Blazers on the road without Dame and the Suns getting Ayton back. Seems like a typical early seasons Suns home blowout.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Premium
PHO -11

Regular
BRK +3
MIA -3.5
NYK +3.5
CLE -6
CHI +7
MEM -11
SAS +4.5
TOR +3
GSW +4.5
MIN +3.5
UTA +3

NBA Odds Boosts
Nothing listed yet on FD, or DK.

NBA
PHO -11

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 53-57 48.18%
Premium 5-5 50%
Our Plays 2-1 66.66%
Props 2-0 +220
Odds Boost 7-1 +850
Parlays 0-3 -300

Just two games tonight with the NFL and World Series. Can I interest you in a looks way too easy money line parlay?

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Premium


Regular
GSW -8
DEN -6

NBA Odds Boosts
TNT Free SGN (FD)
Refunded in free bets if it loses.

NBA
Eagles/GSW/DEN ML Parlay -101
I am ready to get hurt.

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 52-56 48.14%
Premium 5-5 50%
Our Plays 2-1 66.66%
Props 2-0 +220
Odds Boost 7-1 +850
Parlays 0-2 -200

Will this be the least watched game in Eagles history for the city of Philadelphia?

Two boosts I am in on and both sites have risk free $10 SGP’s. You need to be playing these risk free things for sure.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to eight people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 9 Philly
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum



Premium




Regular
PHI -13.5

NFL Odds Boosts.
$10 No Sweat SGP (DK)
Refunded in free bets.

$10 No Sweat SGP (FD)
Refunded in free bets.

AJB 50+ Rec and Hurts 200+ Passing +100 (DK)
This should be -172. I am in. Go get your $10.

Eagles to score 14+ In first half +100 (FOX)
Their first half team total is set to 14, but is -130. I am in!

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL
Eagles/GSW/DEN ML Parlay -101
I am ready to get hurt.

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 57-64 47.10%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 16-17 48.48%
Recommended Plays 17-21 (Platinum + Premium) 44.73%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 28-10 73.68%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 5-4 +150
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 30-12 71.42%
Odds Boosts 5-4 +150
Teasers and Parlays 0-3 -300