I am four games out of first in my large field picks contests with four weeks left to play. We can do this!

In terms of this week, we have a full slate.

I know some professionals are on the Colts and have driven down the line. I have the Colts on my short list, but I cannot get over the Steelers moving the ball easily and running on Indy a few weeks ago. If a bad offense can do that, I wonder what a real offense might do.

The Browns have to be the correct side here right. Right? I hate this game. I lean Cleveland, as Watson just has to play better than he has.

There is no chance I am taking the Dolphins in Buffalo with massive amounts of snow on the horizon. This might be very square of me, but I lean Buffalo.

A rookie QB on the road against a solid Saints defense. Wait, he is making his first
start. Uh oh. Why am I interested in the Falcons in this spot? Nope. I am out.

I was all set to play the Jets this week with Mike White. Now that it is Zach Wilson, I am out.

All right, here is me breaking my own rules. I never like laying more than a touchdown on the road. Yet, I love the Chiefs this week. Houston is ruling even more starters out. I understand what happened last week, but that was their biggest remaining game they cared about. Kansas City was up 20+ in Denver before some turnovers made it become a game. I am shocked I am doing this, but I like KC -13.5.

The Eagles have a huge game that will determine the NFC East and the number one seed in the NFC, next week. This week they are massive road favorites against the Bears in Chicago. I want to play the Bears so badly. The defense being injured and frankly terribly is giving me pause. I lean Chicago +9, but I am waiting.

I said it several months ago, unless Kenny is the QB I am not putting one dollar on the Steelers. I lean Carolina.

I said it above and it applies here. The Cowboys have a look ahead spot with the Eagles game looming next week. Micah Parsons is already talking about Philadelphia. This is a perfect spot for a home dog that is playing very well offensively, to hang around and maybe steal a game. I am on the Jags +4.5.

I am waiting to see who is playing QB in this game, but Arizona and Denver can be fired into the sun. Pass.

I rarely get the Raiders correct and I kind of like them this week, but ugh. The Patriots may miss some of their offensive weapons and they are not exactly very good. Pass on this game as well. I have to pick five somehow, eventually.

Maybe I am projecting a little too much into the Chargers health. However, this team is getting better at the right time. They schemed against the Dolphins and held down Miami. It feels like they should be able to do that against the fading Titans. The Chargers are going to throw all over Tennessee. It could be foolish to lean too far into the Chargers resurgence, but I think they are ascending as a post-hype sleeper. I am on the Chargers -3 this weekend.

I am just staying away from Tampa Bay, even though they suck. The Bengal’s should have no problems, but it feels too easy. This is the public Admiral Akbar game of the week. Pass for me.

The Sunday night game features a public dog in the Giants. I am sorry it is over for them and I am not wasting another dollar on this team. Pass on this game.

If the Packers following a bye week do not beat up on this Rams team, I would be surprised. Our model has this as -3, even with the QB issues. Pass for me.

Here we are and I have three teams I like. Picking the other two are certainly going to be interesting.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Platinum
BAL +3

Premium
ATL +4
LAR +7

Regular
SF -3.5
IND +4
BUF -7.5
PHI -9
NYJ PK
CAR -2.5
DAL -4.5
HOU +14
NE -1
TEN +3
CIN -3.5
NYG +4.5
ARZ +3

NFL Odds Boosts.

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 101-104 49.26%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 19-26 42.22%
Recommended Plays 22-30 (Platinum + Premium) 42.30%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 48-22 68.57%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-7 +050
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 50-24 67.56%
Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

I am four games out of first in my large field picks contests with four weeks left to play. We can do this!

In terms of this week, we have a full slate.

I know some professionals are on the Colts and have driven down the line. I have the Colts on my short list, but I cannot get over the Steelers moving the ball easily and running on Indy a few weeks ago. If a bad offense can do that, I wonder what a real offense might do.

The Browns have to be the correct side here right. Right? I hate this game. I lean Cleveland, as Watson just has to play better than he has.

There is no chance I am taking the Dolphins in Buffalo with massive amounts of snow on the horizon. This might be very square of me, but I lean Buffalo.

A rookie QB on the road against a solid Saints defense. Wait, he is making his first
start. Uh oh. Why am I interested in the Falcons in this spot? Nope. I am out.

I was all set to play the Jets this week with Mike White. Now that it is Zach Wilson, I am out.

All right, here is me breaking my own rules. I never like laying more than a touchdown on the road. Yet, I love the Chiefs this week. Houston is ruling even more starters out. I understand what happened last week, but that was their biggest remaining game they cared about. Kansas City was up 20+ in Denver before some turnovers made it become a game. I am shocked I am doing this, but I like KC -13.5.

The Eagles have a huge game that will determine the NFC East and the number one seed in the NFC, next week. This week they are massive road favorites against the Bears in Chicago. I want to play the Bears so badly. The defense being injured and frankly terribly is giving me pause. I lean Chicago +9, but I am waiting.

I said it several months ago, unless Kenny is the QB I am not putting one dollar on the Steelers. I lean Carolina.

I said it above and it applies here. The Cowboys have a look ahead spot with the Eagles game looming next week. Micah Parsons is already talking about Philadelphia. This is a perfect spot for a home dog that is playing very well offensively, to hang around and maybe steal a game. I am on the Jags +4.5.

I am waiting to see who is playing QB in this game, but Arizona and Denver can be fired into the sun. Pass.

I rarely get the Raiders correct and I kind of like them this week, but ugh. The Patriots may miss some of their offensive weapons and they are not exactly very good. Pass on this game as well. I have to pick five somehow, eventually.

Maybe I am projecting a little too much into the Chargers health. However, this team is getting better at the right time. They schemed against the Dolphins and held down Miami. It feels like they should be able to do that against the fading Titans. The Chargers are going to throw all over Tennessee. It could be foolish to lean too far into the Chargers resurgence, but I think they are ascending as a post-hype sleeper. I am on the Chargers -3 this weekend.

I am just staying away from Tampa Bay, even though they suck. The Bengal’s should have no problems, but it feels too easy. This is the public Admiral Akbar game of the week. Pass for me.

The Sunday night game features a public dog in the Giants. I am sorry it is over for them and I am not wasting another dollar on this team. Pass on this game.

If the Packers following a bye week do not beat up on this Rams team, I would be surprised. Our model has this as -3, even with the QB issues. Pass for me.

Here we are and I have three teams I like. Picking the other two are certainly going to be interesting.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model
Platinum
BAL +3

Premium
ATL +4
LAR +7

Regular
SF -3.5
IND +4
BUF -7.5
PHI -9
NYJ PK
CAR -2.5
DAL -4.5
HOU +14
NE -1
TEN +3
CIN -3.5
NYG +4.5
ARZ +3

NFL Odds Boosts.

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 101-104 49.26%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 19-26 42.22%
Recommended Plays 22-30 (Platinum + Premium) 42.30%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 48-22 68.57%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-7 +050
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 50-24 67.56%
Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model

Premium



Regular
SAC -5
ATL +2
ORL +13.5
TOR +2
IND +8
PHI -8.5
OKC -1.5
NYK +2.5
POR +3.5
DEN -1.5

NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 147-151 49.32%
Premium 7-13 35%
Our Plays 3-4 42.85%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-3 +750
Parlays 0-4 -400

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model

Premium



Regular
MIL +2
MIA -4
NOP -1
PHO +1.5

NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 146-148 49.65%
Premium 7-13 35%
Our Plays 3-4 42.85%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-3 +750
Parlays 0-4 -400

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model

Premium
OKC +2.5


Regular
IND +1.5
ATL -2.5
CHA -3
SAC +5
NYK +4
POR -7
CLE +2
WAS +9.5
MIN +6

NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 140-144 49.29%
Premium 6-13 31.57%
Our Plays 3-4 42.85%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-3 +750
Parlays 0-4 -400

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model

Premium
SAC +5.5


Regular
MIL -4
PHO -6
NOP -1.5
BOS -3.5

NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 137-142 49.10%
Premium 6-12 33.33%
Our Plays 3-4 42.85%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-3 +750
Parlays 0-4 -400

I am 2-2 in my picks contests and feeling as if I made some mistakes. Despite betting Detroit earlier in the week, I took them out. I had Denver on my short list and took them out too. I ended up replacing them with Cleveland +6.5 and Arizona +2.5. Oh, what could have been? I could be 4-1 and sitting right where I was, but now I am battling to stay where I am. We need the Cards tonight. Nothing has changed I still like them.

Computer Model
Platinum


Premium



Regular

NE -1.5

NFL Odds Boosts.
Stevenson 80+ rushing+ Rec Yards and Kyler 200+ passing Yards +100 (FD)
This is boosted as Stevenson should crack this number easily. DK has Stevenson at 118.5 for this combined prop and Kyler’s number is 236.5. I am in. I expect the Cardinals to play well and win tonight. Stevenson will excel because they do not have anyone else.

NFL
ARZ +2

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 100-104 49.01%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 19-26 42.22%
Recommended Plays 22-30 (Platinum + Premium) 42.30%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 48-21 69.56%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 50-23 68.49%
Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model

Premium



Regular
IND +3
WAS +6
ATL +8.5
CLE -7.5
OKC +8.5
MIN +4
BOS -3.5

NBA Odds Boosts
At this point, just opt into everything on the DK and FD tabs every single day!

NBA

2022 NBA Computer Model
Overall 136-136 50%
Premium 6-12 33.33%
Our Plays 3-4 42.85%
Props 2-1 +120
Odds Boost 8-3 +750
Parlays 0-4 -400

I am inside the top ten in my larger contests. It is going to be tough, but we still need to take a bye week and have five weeks left in the season! We can do this. However, our survivor season ended with the Raiders last night. Oh well.

This is a week with several teams on the bye so it can be even harder to pick five games against the spread, with fewer options.

My Steelers are home favorites against the Baltimore Ravens. Is there a doubt here? Tyler Huntley, come on down. Steelers -2.5. I am in. I am ready to get hurt, but the Steelers have been good to me this year.


The Bills lost to the Jets, the Jets upgraded their quarterback and the line is still 9.5. The Jets feel like a public dog and I am scared of this game on either side. Pass for now.

I do not know what to make of this game. I though the Bengals may be the correct side, but the line is going the other direction. This feels like a stay away, but my reasons for being on Cleveland remain intact from a few weeks ago. I wonder if the Browns offense will be better, because it cannot be any worse.

I am staying away here. You can throw the Cowboys in ML parlays and such, but this is too large of a spread. Pass.

The Vikings are going to be caught. Everything keeps breaking their way at the exact same time. The Jets had two possessions end inside the Vikings red zone. The Bills fumble in their own end zone. The Patriots rough the punter. How many times will this keep happening for the Bills? You know whom the public will be on. I like Detroit -2.5.

Who will play QB for the Jags? It appears to be Trevor Lawrence, but nothing confirmed. This feels like a typical Titans smash spot with the Jags struggling on the road. Pass for now.

The Giants cannot stop the pass. The Giants may not have Barkley. I am not laying a touchdown on the road. That is where we are with the NFL pass for me.

I can take a home dog getting almost ten points and it is not the Texans? I am in! The Chiefs are good. This is scary. I like the Broncos, but I may chicken out.

I am not playing the Bucs, as they cannot score at all. I lean the Niners and Brock Purdy. Pass for now.

Why do I want to take Sam Darnold on the road? Help. Seattle without any RB’s and this line feels too small. It makes me want to take the Panthers defense and now floundering Seattle defense. Lean Carolina.

The Chargers as home dogs when no one likes them. I do. I am going to assume Mike Williams is back and the Chargers will score. This feels like a close game, but the Chargers are in must win territory. I am on LAC +3.5.

I hate the Cardinals. I have been saying Kliff was awful for years. However, the Patriots struggle with mobile QB’s. The Cardinals offense is going to as healthy as it has been all year besides Zach Ertz. I can take a home dog on MNF and despite my hate for Arizona I like them. Cards +2 on my short list.

That is all for now. I will update this weekend when we get more clarity on injuries and information.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to six people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 14 Las Vegas (Lose)
Week 13 Seattle (WIN)
Week 12 Miami (WIN)
Week 11 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 10 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum


Premium
BAL +2.5
DEN +9.5


Regular
LAR +6
NYJ +9.5
CLE +6
HOU +16.5
MIN +2.5
JAX +3.5
PHI +7
SF -3.5
SEA -3.5
LAC +3
NE -1.5

NFL Odds Boosts.
$10 risk free SGP FD.
Use this and get the $10 free bet if it loses!

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 91-101 47.39%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 17-26 %
Recommended Plays 20-30 (Platinum + Premium) 40%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 45-19 70.31%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 47-21 69.11%
Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

I am inside the top ten in my larger contests. It is going to be tough, but we still need to take a bye week and have five weeks left in the season! We can do this. However, our survivor season ended with the Raiders last night. Oh well.

This is a week with several teams on the bye so it can be even harder to pick five games against the spread, with fewer options.

My Steelers are home favorites against the Baltimore Ravens. Is there a doubt here? Tyler Huntley, come on down. Steelers -2.5. I am in. I am ready to get hurt, but the Steelers have been good to me this year.


The Bills lost to the Jets, the Jets upgraded their quarterback and the line is still 9.5. The Jets feel like a public dog and I am scared of this game on either side. Pass for now.

I do not know what to make of this game. I though the Bengals may be the correct side, but the line is going the other direction. This feels like a stay away, but my reasons for being on Cleveland remain intact from a few weeks ago. I wonder if the Browns offense will be better, because it cannot be any worse.

I am staying away here. You can throw the Cowboys in ML parlays and such, but this is too large of a spread. Pass.

The Vikings are going to be caught. Everything keeps breaking their way at the exact same time. The Jets had two possessions end inside the Vikings red zone. The Bills fumble in their own end zone. The Patriots rough the punter. How many times will this keep happening for the Bills? You know whom the public will be on. I like Detroit -2.5.

Who will play QB for the Jags? It appears to be Trevor Lawrence, but nothing confirmed. This feels like a typical Titans smash spot with the Jags struggling on the road. Pass for now.

The Giants cannot stop the pass. The Giants may not have Barkley. I am not laying a touchdown on the road. That is where we are with the NFL pass for me.

I can take a home dog getting almost ten points and it is not the Texans? I am in! The Chiefs are good. This is scary. I like the Broncos, but I may chicken out.

I am not playing the Bucs, as they cannot score at all. I lean the Niners and Brock Purdy. Pass for now.

Why do I want to take Sam Darnold on the road? Help. Seattle without any RB’s and this line feels too small. It makes me want to take the Panthers defense and now floundering Seattle defense. Lean Carolina.

The Chargers as home dogs when no one likes them. I do. I am going to assume Mike Williams is back and the Chargers will score. This feels like a close game, but the Chargers are in must win territory. I am on LAC +3.5.

I hate the Cardinals. I have been saying Kliff was awful for years. However, the Patriots struggle with mobile QB’s. The Cardinals offense is going to as healthy as it has been all year besides Zach Ertz. I can take a home dog on MNF and despite my hate for Arizona I like them. Cards +2 on my short list.

That is all for now. I will update this weekend when we get more clarity on injuries and information.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor Pick
Are most people out of survivor. Sure, but I have one entry alive in a contest that is down to six people. Therefore, I will continue to give this out!

Week 14 Las Vegas (Lose)
Week 13 Seattle (WIN)
Week 12 Miami (WIN)
Week 11 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 10 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 9 Philly (WIN)
Week 8 Dallas (WIN)
Week 7 New England (Lose)
Week 6 LA Rams (WIN)
Week 5 Jacksonville (Lose)
Week 4 Green Bay (WIN)
Week 3 Cincinnati (WIN)
Week 2 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model
Platinum


Premium
BAL +2.5
DEN +9.5


Regular
LAR +6
NYJ +9.5
CLE +6
HOU +16.5
MIN +2.5
JAX +3.5
PHI +7
SF -3.5
SEA -3.5
LAC +3
NE -1.5

NFL Odds Boosts.
$10 risk free SGP FD.
Use this and get the $10 free bet if it loses!

College Football Odds Boots

CFB

NFL

2022 NFL Computer Model
Overall 91-101 47.39%
Platinum 3-4 42.85%
Premium 17-26 %
Recommended Plays 20-30 (Platinum + Premium) 40%

2022 Our Plays
NFL
Overall 45-19 70.31%
NFL Props 0-1 0%
NFL Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
NFL Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470

College Football
Overall 2-2 50%
College Odds Boosts
College Teasers and Parlays

Combined
Overall 47-21 69.11%
Odds Boosts 7-6 +150
Teasers and Parlays 1-6 -470