PGA Kevin Streelman 37/1 (FD) Adam Long 125/1 (DK) Streelman top 10 +280 (FD) Long top 10 +800 (DK)
PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Rickie Fowler to beat Jordan Spieth and Nick Taylor in round 1 +220 (FD) Spieth is favored over Fowler in round one and Spieth is favored to win their group in round one. Fowler is +200 on Draft Kings to win this group, which makes this a meh boost. Pass.
Jordan Spieth or Rickie Fowler to make a birdie on hole 7 round 1 +190 (FD) They are both on the more difficult course for round one and from what I have read holes 6-10 are going to be tougher due to the wind and weather during round one. Pass.
Max Homa to finish top 30 +115 (DK) *Updated +130 (DK) You can bet this on Fan Duel at +110. So, yeah this is not much of a boost. Pass. *They updated this and made it slightly better. If you like him, this is a lot better as it is still +110 on Fan Duel.
Picks This Season (Winners in Bold, none yet!) 2/4 Munoz 125/1 Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.
1/28 Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh. Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh. Gooch 90/1 Huh 130/1
1/21 Henley 35/1 Brendan Steele 90/1
1/14 Abraham Ancer 30/1
PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too) 8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff) 8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship 8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust 9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open 10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship
I had stopped paying attention. James Harden was having a fantastic game and I assumed 25 points was a given. He finished with 24 points. That prop with Harden, Dame Lillard, and Joel Embiid failed by a single point. The Embiid boost failed by ten points, as the Sixers won and covered, but the Sixers center did not score enough. The top play in the model came in and the two recommended NBA wagers also covered.
Thank you to all of you that reached out to let me know where I could find dunk stats on Basketball Reference. I had looked over the site several times and could not find it. Now, I have a better idea of if these dunk props are actually worth it.
I will be adding PGA wagers every Wednesday now, with previous results. Oddly, I have bet the second place finisher in each of the last two weeks. That means we are close. Just need to keep plugging away!
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently Over 33.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays TOR -5.5 ATL +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model) IND +2 LAC -10.5 CHA +4 CHI +3 CLE +9.5 OKC +11.5 MIL -4.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Giannis or Booker to record the first basket +225 (FD) Pass. Never betting these.
Trae and Luka to each record 3+ made threes +375 (FD) Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 with the under juiced. Trae’s made three prop is set to 2.5 and the under is also juiced. You could just parlay them to both make over 2.5 threes for +308. This boost is a pass for me. Luka has just been so wildly inconsistent shooting threes. There are plenty of 1-5 or 1-7 games in there. When they played this game a few days ago, they combined for four made threes. Luka has made three of more threes in nine of 24 games this year. Trae has made three of more threes also in nine of 21 games.
33% Profit boost on any 3+ Leg NBA Parlay (DK) No one team can be higher than -500.
Giannis and Booker to each score over 29.5 points +385 (DK) Giannis’s point prop is set to 29.5. Nothing is listed for Booker at the moment because Chris Paul is questionable. For argument sake, Booker’s points prop should be around 25-26 range. Using the higher end of 26.5 as a points prop. A parlay of these two would come in under this number by a decent amount, maybe around +350 or so. If Chris Paul sits, I kind of like this. I will have to revisit later in the evening and see where Booker’s points prop settles.
Trae and Luka to make over 4.5 combined threes +105 (DK) Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 with the under juiced. Trae’s made three prop is set to 2.5 and the under is also juiced. The FD boost is better for the extra one three pointer added in.
Trae and Luka to combine for 60 or more points +150 (Fox Bet) Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced. Luka’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced. You could parlay them to both get over their number for +255 on Fan Duel. You can parlay them to both score 30+ on Fan Duel for +351. Those are both obviously a better deal. Pass on the boost.
Mavs/Nets/Clippers Money Line Parlay +250 (Fox Bet) You can parlay them all on Fan Duel for +268. Pass on the boost.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Tennessee to lead at half time and win the game -265 (DK) All things considered this is a massive boost. Tennessee money line is about -825. While this is a large boost, I cannot recommend playing a -265 money line alone. Pass.
NBA Nothing at this time.
NCAAB Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird Nothing at this time.
PGA Kevin Streelman 37/1 (FD) Adam Long 125/1 (DK) Streelman top 10 +280 (FD) Long top 10 +800 (DK)
PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Max Home to finish top 30 +115 (DK) You can bet this on Fan Duel at +110. So, yeah this is not much of a boost. Pass.
Picks This Season (Winners in Bold, none yet!) 2/4 Munoz 125/1 Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.
1/28 Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh. Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh. Gooch 90/1 Huh 130/1
1/21 Henley 35/1 Brendan Steele 90/1
1/14 Abraham Ancer 30/1
PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too) 8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff) 8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship 8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust 9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open 10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 19-17 % NCAA Record 7-11 38.88% Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036 Hoops Odds Boosts 11-17 +1015 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model Highest Rated 20-18 % NBA Model 122-130 %
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 9-4 69.23% Overall 147-111 56.97% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
The Giannis/Luka/Curry odds boost ended up coming in! Recommended bets for hoops odds boosts move to 11-15, which is good for +1215. Oddly, Draft Kings voided their college hoops odds boost parlay. I mean, two out of three played and they both won, yet they voided it? I guarantee if one had lost, they would not have voided. If this was a regular money line, or regular parlay, it just drops to a two-gamer normally. I have had this happen before. It happens a little more often in baseball, but due to COVID, it has occurred more often.
I realize I had not been tracking how the highest rated in the model has been doing and should have been doing that. Several people messaged me saying thanks for mentioning it, or they let me know when I forget to! I have added it to the bottom where we keep records.
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently Over 33.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays DET +7 NYK +6 (Highest Rated in Model) HOU +5.5 GSW +1 PHI -5 BOS +5.5 ORL +6
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting 3×2 Boost Two or More three-point field goals made in first two minutes HOU/NOP +100 (FD) No.
3×2 Boost Two or More three-point field goals made in first two minutes UTA/BOS +100 (FD) No.
Embiid to score 35+ and the Sixers to win +450 (FD) Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 points and the under is juiced a slight amount. Embiid to hit the over and the Sixers to win is +160. Embiid to score 35+ points is +235 on Fan Duel. If you parlay Embiid 35+ and Sixers to win it pays +309. This is actually a pretty good boost. Embiid should crush the Kings after a few days’ rest. Embiid has scored 35 or more in 6/19 games this season. I am in.
Tatum and Mitchell each to score 25+ points +135 (DK) Mitchell’s point prop is set at 26.5. I would assume that once Jaylen Brown is ruled out Tatum’s point prop would be in the same area. Mitchell is -166 to score 25+ points in this game. If Tatum’s prop number is in this area, I am projecting a parlay of them both to score 25+ as around +165 on Fan Duel. If that ends up being the case, pass. I may actually bet this as a parlay on Fan Duel. I will Tweet about this later.
Zion over 2.5 Dunks and Pelicans to win +145 (DK) I do not play these dunk props. I have looked for some source that tracks dunks. Does anyone have a reputable one?
Embiid one or more dunks and Sixers to win +100 (Fox Bet) This seems good, but again, I do not know where to find dunk stats. LOL.
Nets/Sixers/Blazers ML Parlay +200 (Fox Bet) This pays +184 on another site, so it is a slight boost. Pass for me though.
Harden/Embiid/Lillard 25 or more points each +300 (Fox Bet) We know this is below Embiid’s number. Harden’s point prop is set to 26.5, with the under juiced. Harden is also -158 to score 25 or more points on Fan Duel. Lillard’s points prop is set to 31.5 points. LIllard is actually -580 to score 25+ points. If you Parlay all three to score 25 plus points on Fan Duel it pays +153. This is a pretty solid wager. This boost is almost double, what it is really worth. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting 50% Profit boost any one College Hoops game. Max bet $50.I would use this on your favorite college game tonight.
WVU/TT to go to OT +1240 (DK) Who bets these?
Mich ST/Texas/Butler to all win +220 (DK) This is the same price on Fan Duel without the “boost.” Two of these are small favorites. Pass.
NBA NYK +6 Top rated play in the model. I am in.
PHI -5 Of course, I like the rested Sixers on first game of west coast swing.
NCAAB I will use that boost on something. Not sure what at the moment. I will post on Twitter.
Let’s Get Weird Nothing at this time.
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 9-4 69.23% Overall 147-111 56.97% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 17-17 50% NCAA Record 7-11 38.88% Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036 Hoops Odds Boosts 11-15 +1215 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model Highest Rated 19-18 51.35% NBA Model 118-127 48.16%
That was a weird Super Bowl to say the least. Who knew that having a horrid offensive line would matter that much. In retrospect, maybe we should have worried more about that. However, I do not think anyone expected the Chiefs to score zero touchdowns. I got a lot of props right and some wrong, overall it was a meh day. I was just under breaking even. Considering the amount wagered on each bet, it was almost a wash. We will have a full year-end break down of our NFL computer model that had the Bucs yesterday and finished the playoffs 9-4. The record for the entire season was 147-111, good 56.97%.
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile tonight.
NBA Model Plays MEM +2 CHI -3 GSW +1.5 MIN +9.5 (Highest Rated in Model) CLE +7.5 MIL -4 OKC +10.5 HOU -1.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Jokic or Giannis to record a triple double +190 (FD) You could bet this for $100 and win $190 if either get a triple double. You could hop on over to Draft Kings and bet $100 on Jokic triple double +315 and Giannis triple double +475. If one gets a triple double you will make either +115 (wager $200 and win $315), or +275 (Wager $200 and win $475). Plus you have the added bonus that both could get there. Pass on this boost. You are better off betting them each on Draft kings.
Victor Oladipo and John Wall to both score 20+ points +300 (FD) *Wall is now out. This will get voided. Oladipo’s points prop is set to 19.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Wall’s points prop is set to 18.5 and the over is slightly juiced. You can parlay the two for +233. They have accomplished this twice since Wall came back from injury, but Christian Wood is also out for the Rockets. This is a back-to-back for the Hornets and the Rockets are rested. I like this, I am in.
Giannis and Jokic over 54.5 combined points +105 This number is in line with their points prop. However, you can parlay them at +229 on Fan Duel. Pass on this boost.
DDR and FVV to combine for 45 or more Points +125 (Fox Bet) FVV points prop is 20.5. DDR points prop is 21.5 You can parlay them both to hit the over on a their numbers at +271, which is significantly better.
Steph/Giannis/Luka 25 or more points each +200 (Fox Bet) Steph’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced. Luka’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced. Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay their overs it is +526 on Fan Duel. If you parlay them to all get 25+ on Fan Duel it pays +112. I can get behind this. I am in.
Hou/SAS/PHO +350 Money Line Parlay (Fox Bet) Wall is now out. This is not great and includes some tight games with small spreads.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Colorado/North Carolina/Kansas Money Line Parlay +105 (DK) This is pretty solid. Both Colorado and UNC are massive favorites. Kansas is a 5.5-point favorite against an Oklahoma State team that beat them a few weeks ago. This is basically, the Kansas money line for +105. This parlay on Fan Duel is -129. I like this price and situation. I am in.
NBA CHI -3 I love the Bulls tonight. This is a road back-to-back for the Wizards.
NCAAB The Odds boost parlay I mentioned above.
Let’s Get Weird Nothing at this time.
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 9-4 69.23% Overall 147-111 56.97% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 17-16 51.51% NCAA Record 7-11 38.88% Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +1015 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 114-123 48.10%
*The sites added odds boost this weekend and I date and mention them below.
Maybe I expected too much. Maybe I expected more. I rather assumed that the sites would be posting an insane amount of odds boosts. Now, they still have time, but why wait? I thought for sure each site would have one wager that was a lock, so people regardless of the outcome would have money in their account come Monday morning. At this point, that is not the case. Why not try to get the casual players to wager on the Super Bowl and then try and persuade them to keep playing with their winnings on other sports? As I said, maybe I expected too much. I thought this article would be extremely long, but instead, it is not. Before we jump to all of the odds boosts and a list of everything I have wagered on to this point, make sure you check out my discussion with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com. We discussed our Super Bowl pick, sports trading cards, NBA Top Shot and our thoughts on the NBA season to this point. Yes, I mention that I added some futures on an NBA team to win the title. Who is it? Well, you will have to watch or listen to find out.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Boost You Should Consider Draft Kings 55% boost on any one wager Max $50 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it!
10% boost on any one wager Max $25 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it! These two profit boosts should be the first thing you lock in on whatever two wagers you like the best, then go from there.
Big Game Prop Boost 25% There are five options here to pick from and you can pick one. I am already on the Chiefs to score first with a touchdown, so might as well back it up with Chiefs to score first. In games like this you need to pick a narrative of how you feel it may go, then roll with it and tell that story with your wagers.
First Scoring Play of the game to be a KC Touchdown +190 I am in on this as I am for all Chiefs to score first TD props. If it is 7-0 and Kelce scores the first touchdown, I am going to be up for the night no matter what else happens.
Total completions over 55+ +115 DK Mahomes 28.5 and Brady is 24.5 53 is expected baseline. So not bad here to get over.
Brady and Mahomes over 650.5 passing yards +125 Mahomes is 325.5 and Brady is 295.5. Not that great here with 621 expected as baseline. Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Kelce and Hill numbers way over this. Godwin is 77.5 and Evans is 63.5. This seems great! If you bet everyone over 50 yards on FD parlay is +145. If you bet everyone over 60 yards on FD parlay is +283. I am all over this one!
Over 13.5 points scored in first quarter +125 Brady super bowls have all gone under early and the Chiefs always seem to start slow. Pass on this one. Notice, both sites have this as an option.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021 25% live profit boost on the Super Bowl I am going to live bet the game might as well have a profit boost!
Chris Godwin 1st Quarter TD +1100 I suppose if you like him for first TD, might as well add this, but I mean he is +1200 for first TD. I would much rather do that. Pass.
Gronk and Kelce to score +455 I love Kelce and have some Gronk over bets. I am intrigued.
Tyreke Hill First TD +705 I am on Kelce and have made my choice.
Mahomes 3 TD’s and Chiefs win +130 You can parlay this for better odds on Fan Duel. Pass.
Fan Duel Same Game Parlay If you wager $25 and only one leg losses, you get a refund.
$25 Risk Free Wager I got this offer emailed to me and used it on Kelce first TD +600.
Pat’s Picks Nothing is listed.
Extra Points for Extra Pay Nothing is listed.
First Scoring Play to Be a TB TD +240 I am all over the Chiefs scoring first, so I am passing on this. If you are betting a few Bucs for first touchdown, then play this too.
Mahomes 300+ Yards and 3+ Passing TD’s +190 I think there could be better ways to bet this combo than this boost. Of course if you think the Chiefs win and score a ton this is great. Mahomes prop for passing yardage is well above 300 yards and over 2.5 TD’s is also heavily juices at -136. You know what I am in on this.
Over 13.5 Points scored in first quarter +140 The Chiefs are slow starters at times and go look at the lack of scoring by Tom Brady led Super Bowl teams. Of all the boosts, this is the easiest to pass on.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021 Kelce to score 2+ Touchdowns +400 He is minus money to score one. I may come back here later today. This fits my narrative of the game, but I should probably bet him for MVP if I am going to be on this as well.
*Added Sunday 2/7/2021 TB +3.5 and Under 56.5 +250 This is a great number for both if you like the Bucs.
Fox Bet Fox Bet has been publicizing this super boost of Brady and Mahomes to each throw two or more touchdowns boosted to +100. On the surface, it seems great. Brady is -230 to throw over two touchdown passes. Mahomes is -455 to throw over two touchdown passes. This has a max bet of $25. What they do not tell you is that it is $25 per day. I have been firing on this daily since it posted. A small $25 wager can turn into a $225 wager over the course of nine days with this boost. Now, when I say on the surface it seems great, there is another element to this you should consider. Brady to throw over 2.5 touchdowns pays +130. The Books are basically saying, we expect him to throw two. I think you can also bet Brady over 2.5 touchdown passes for +130 on a different site like Draft Kings and try to maximize your profits here. In a game with a 56.5 point total, each quarterback throwing two touchdown passes seems safe. Mahomes has done it in every game he has finished but two this season. Brady has two or more in all but three games. Overall, load up on this daily and consider firing on Brady over 2.5 TD’s at +130 on another site. Try to set yourself up to at worst break even, or have a great day using just this boost and one similar prop.
Chiefs first offensive play a pass +200 This seems too good to pass up, but it is only a max bet of $10. I wonder if they will let me bet this every day. LOL.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter and update this article for the weekend.
Plays I Will Be On I have made a few wagers and I list the price and site where I made the wager.
KC -3 -110 I bet this the moment the game opened and continue to think it is the correct side.
First Touchdown Kelce +600 (FD Free wager) They love those weird plays to Kelce near end zone. Kelce +650 (DK) Kelce +750 (DK first TD odds boost max bet $25) Mike Evans +1150 (Fox Bet Best odds by far on him and I wanted one TB player)
KC First score of game a TD +190 (DK)
Total Players to attempt a pass +190
Any Field Goal or Extra Point to hit the upright or cross bar +375 (DK)
Brady and Mahomes 2+ Passing TD’s +100 (Fox Bet) I bet the max every day. Brady over 2.5 TD Passes +125 (DK) I think he is getting two for sure.
Gronk Over 30.5 receiving yards -105 (Fox Bet)
Mahomes over 20.5 Rushing Yards -105 (Fox Bet) Mahomes longest Rush Over 10.5 yards -112 (DK) I love both of these. With a banged up offensive line and a strong pass rush coming at him, Mahomes will have to escape and run at times. I think he hits both of these. These are my two favorite individual props.
Kelce over 8.5 receptions +110 (DK)
Either team to convert a 2-point conversion YES +240 If I think a kick hits a cross bar, than this tracks as well.
Brady MVP Boost +250 (DK) This is kind of a small hedge on my KC stuff, but all can still get there.
Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Every single player’s prop number is much higher than this number. I realize one injury and it dies, but Evans at 63.5 is the lowest of all of them. I think the Chiefs will score a ton.
Who Wins The Game Kansas City
Who Wins Game ATS Kansas City
Computer Model Platinum Plays None
Premium Plays None
Regular Plays TB +3.5
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 16-16 50% NCAA Record 7-10 41.17% Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +1015 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 113-120 48.49%
NFL article is out! This will be short today since the Super Bowl is coming Today!
Before the games start you can watch my NBA Hoops 2020-2021 Box Break video!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile tonight.
NBA Model Plays IND +5 NYK +6 CHA +1.5 BOS +2.5 LAC -8.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Nothing is listed for Fan Duel.
Nothing is listed for Draft Kings.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Nothing is listed for Fan Duel.
Nothing is listed for Draft Kings.
NBA CHA +1.5 I love them as a home dog.
NCAAB Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird Nothing at this time.
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 16-16 50% NCAA Record 7-10 41.17% Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +1015 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 113-120 48.49%
Maybe I expected too much. Maybe I expected more. I rather assumed that the sites would be posting an insane amount of odds boosts. Now, they still have time, but why wait? I thought for sure each site would have one wager that was a lock, so people regardless of the outcome would have money in their account come Monday morning. At this point, that is not the case. Why not try to get the casual players to wager on the Super Bowl and then try and persuade them to keep playing with their winnings on other sports? As I said, maybe I expected too much. I thought this article would be extremely long, but instead, it is not. Before we jump to all of the odds boosts and a list of everything I have wagered on to this point, make sure you check out my discussion with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com. We discussed our Super Bowl pick, sports trading cards, NBA Top Shot and our thoughts on the NBA season to this point. Yes, I mention that I added some futures on an NBA team to win the title. Who is it? Well, you will have to watch or listen to find out.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Boost You Should Consider Draft Kings 55% boost on any one wager Max $50 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it!
10% boost on any one wager Max $25 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it! These two profit boosts should be the first thing you lock in on whatever two wagers you like the best, then go from there.
Big Game Prop Boost 25% There are five options here to pick from and you can pick one. I am already on the Chiefs to score first with a touchdown, so might as well back it up with Chiefs to score first. In games like this you need to pick a narrative of how you feel it may go, then roll with it and tell that story with your wagers.
First Scoring Play of the game to be a KC Touchdown +190 I am in on this as I am for all Chiefs to score first TD props. If it is 7-0 and Kelce scores the first touchdown, I am going to be up for the night no matter what else happens.
Total completions over 55+ +115 DK Mahomes 28.5 and Brady is 24.5 53 is expected baseline. So not bad here to get over.
Brady and Mahomes over 650.5 passing yards +125 Mahomes is 325.5 and Brady is 295.5. Not that great here with 621 expected as baseline. Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Kelce and Hill numbers way over this. Godwin is 77.5 and Evans is 63.5. This seems great! If you bet everyone over 50 yards on FD parlay is +145. If you bet everyone over 60 yards on FD parlay is +283. I am all over this one!
Over 13.5 points scored in first quarter +125 Brady super bowls have all gone under early and the Chiefs always seem to start slow. Pass on this one. Notice, both sites have this as an option.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021 25% live profit boost on the Super Bowl I am going to live bet the game might as well have a profit boost!
Chris Godwin 1st Quarter TD +1100 I suppose if you like him for first TD, might as well add this, but I mean he is +1200 for first TD. I would much rather do that. Pass.
Gronk and Kelce to score +455 I love Kelce and have some Gronk over bets. I am intrigued.
Tyreke Hill First TD +705 I am on Kelce and have made my choice.
Mahomes 3 TD’s and Chiefs win +130 You can parlay this for better odds on Fan Duel. Pass.
Fan Duel Same Game Parlay If you wager $25 and only one leg losses, you get a refund.
$25 Risk Free Wager I got this offer emailed to me and used it on Kelce first TD +600.
Pat’s Picks Nothing is listed.
Extra Points for Extra Pay Nothing is listed.
First Scoring Play to Be a TB TD +240 I am all over the Chiefs scoring first, so I am passing on this. If you are betting a few Bucs for first touchdown, then play this too.
Mahomes 300+ Yards and 3+ Passing TD’s +190 I think there could be better ways to bet this combo than this boost. Of course if you think the Chiefs win and score a ton this is great. Mahomes prop for passing yardage is well above 300 yards and over 2.5 TD’s is also heavily juices at -136. You know what I am in on this.
Over 13.5 Points scored in first quarter +140 The Chiefs are slow starters at times and go look at the lack of scoring by Tom Brady led Super Bowl teams. Of all the boosts, this is the easiest to pass on.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021 Kelce to score 2+ Touchdowns +400 He is minus money to score one. I may come back here later today. This fits my narrative of the game, but I should probably bet him for MVP if I am going to be on this as well.
Fox Bet Fox Bet has been publicizing this super boost of Brady and Mahomes to each throw two or more touchdowns boosted to +100. On the surface, it seems great. Brady is -230 to throw over two touchdown passes. Mahomes is -455 to throw over two touchdown passes. This has a max bet of $25. What they do not tell you is that it is $25 per day. I have been firing on this daily since it posted. A small $25 wager can turn into a $225 wager over the course of nine days with this boost. Now, when I say on the surface it seems great, there is another element to this you should consider. Brady to throw over 2.5 touchdowns pays +130. The Books are basically saying, we expect him to throw two. I think you can also bet Brady over 2.5 touchdown passes for +130 on a different site like Draft Kings and try to maximize your profits here. In a game with a 56.5 point total, each quarterback throwing two touchdown passes seems safe. Mahomes has done it in every game he has finished but two this season. Brady has two or more in all but three games. Overall, load up on this daily and consider firing on Brady over 2.5 TD’s at +130 on another site. Try to set yourself up to at worst break even, or have a great day using just this boost and one similar prop.
Chiefs first offensive play a pass +200 This seems too good to pass up, but it is only a max bet of $10. I wonder if they will let me bet this every day. LOL.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter and update this article for the weekend.
Plays I Will Be On I have made a few wagers and I list the price and site where I made the wager.
KC -3 -110 I bet this the moment the game opened and continue to think it is the correct side.
First Touchdown Kelce +600 (FD Free wager) They love those weird plays to Kelce near end zone. Kelce +650 (DK) Kelce +750 (DK first TD odds boost max bet $25) Mike Evans +1150 (Fox Bet Best odds by far on him and I wanted one TB player)
KC First score of game a TD +190 (DK)
Total Players to attempt a pass +190
Any Field Goal or Extra Point to hit the upright or cross bar +375 (DK)
Brady and Mahomes 2+ Passing TD’s +100 (Fox Bet) I bet the max every day. Brady over 2.5 TD Passes +125 (DK) I think he is getting two for sure.
Gronk Over 30.5 receiving yards -105 (Fox Bet)
Mahomes over 20.5 Rushing Yards -105 (Fox Bet) Mahomes longest Rush Over 10.5 yards -112 (DK) I love both of these. With a banged up offensive line and a strong pass rush coming at him, Mahomes will have to escape and run at times. I think he hits both of these. These are my two favorite individual props.
Kelce over 8.5 receptions +110 (DK)
Either team to convert a 2-point conversion YES +240 If I think a kick hits a cross bar, than this tracks as well.
Brady MVP Boost +250 (DK) This is kind of a small hedge on my KC stuff, but all can still get there.
Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Every single player’s prop number is much higher than this number. I realize one injury and it dies, but Evans at 63.5 is the lowest of all of them. I think the Chiefs will score a ton.
Who Wins The Game Kansas City
Who Wins Game ATS Kansas City
Computer Model Platinum Plays None
Premium Plays None
Regular Plays TB +3.5
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 15-16 48.38% NCAA Record 7-9 43.75% Hoops Parlay Record 5-11 -141 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +755 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 108-114 48.64%
Day before the Super Bowl and the sites are light on basketball odds boosts. I am curious to see what pops up tomorrow, or perhaps later today!
NFL article is out! This will be short today since the Super Bowl is coming this weekend!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile tonight.
NBA Model Plays POR +1 DEN -3.5 CHI -1 PHI -4.5 TOR -4.5 MIL -10.5 MIN +1 HOU +1 GSW +4 (Highest Rated in Model) MEM +1.5 DET +14
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Fan Duel somehow has zero NBA or College Basketball boosts listed today.
Luka and Curry to each score 27.5+ points +260 (DK) Curry’s prop is set at 28.5 points and the over is juiced. Luka’s prop is set at 28.5 and the under is juiced. You can parlay these two for +243 on Fan Duel. You get a break by half a point on their prop and you get paid more. This is a buy. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting 20% Boost on any 4+ leg Parlay I may throw Drake in with some money lines.
NBA PHILLY -4.5 No KD. No Kyrie. This line is smaller because Embiid is questionable. Even without him, I like the Sixers.
NCAAB Drake -13 Does Drake play? Then I am on them.
Let’s Get Weird Sixers/Bucks/Lakers/Drake Money Line Parlay +105
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 15-16 48.38% NCAA Record 7-9 43.75% Hoops Parlay Record 5-11 -141 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +755 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 108-114 48.64%
You can also watch the Super Bowl/Sports Cards/NBA Top Shots/NBA Discussion with Jeff Collins here!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile tonight.
NBA Model Plays CHI -2.5 IND -1 CLE +10.5 TOR +5.5 CHA +8.5 (Back to back for Utah) MIN -1 WAS +6.5 DET +7.5 BOS +6.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Nets to win and 250+ points +400 (FD) You can parlay this combo for +385. What a massive boost! LOL, pass.
Paul George to score 30+ Points +350 (FD) PG’s prop is set to 24.5 points George has two 30+ point games this season. Pass.
Butler and Beal over 54.5 combined points +215 (DK) Beal’s points prop is set at a ridiculous 32.5 points. Jimmy Butler’s is set to only 21.5 points. You could bet this, or parlay those two props for +249. I would pass on the boost and bet the parlay considering the Wizards have the ability to get blown out.
Suns/Celtics/Jazz all the win +450 Celtics are a larger road underdog and Jaylen Brown is questionable. Pass.
FVV and Kyrie 50+ points combined +100 (Fox Bet) FVV’s points prop is set 21.5. Kyrie’s is set to 25.5. You can parlay them on Fan Duel for +242. Pass on this as usual with a lot of these.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting Nothing is listed worth mentioning.
NBA CHA +8.5 This is a road back-to-back for the Jazz. The Hornets should have one starter back. I think Utah Wins, but it is competitive.
NCAAB Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird Nothing at this time.
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 15-15 50% NCAA Record 7-9 43.75% Hoops Parlay Record 5-11 -141 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +755 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 105-108 49.29%
Maybe I expected too much. Maybe I expected more. I rather assumed that the sites would be posting an insane amount of odds boosts. Now, they still have time, but why wait? I thought for sure each site would have one wager that was a lock, so people regardless of the outcome would have money in their account come Monday morning. At this point, that is not the case. Why not try to get the casual players to wager on the Super Bowl and then try and persuade them to keep playing with their winnings on other sports? As I said, maybe I expected too much. I thought this article would be extremely long, but instead, it is not. Before we jump to all of the odds boosts and a list of everything I have wagered on to this point, make sure you check out my discussion with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com. We discussed our Super Bowl pick, sports trading cards, NBA Top Shot and our thoughts on the NBA season to this point. Yes, I mention that I added some futures on an NBA team to win the title. Who is it? Well, you will have to watch or listen to find out.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Boost You Should Consider Draft Kings 55% boost on any one wager Max $50 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it!
10% boost on any one wager Max $25 Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it! These two profit boosts should be the first thing you lock in on whatever two wagers you like the best, then go from there.
Big Game Prop Boost 25% There are five options here to pick from and you can pick one. I am already on the Chiefs to score first with a touchdown, so might as well back it up with Chiefs to score first. In games like this you need to pick a narrative of how you feel it may go, then roll with it and tell that story with your wagers.
First Scoring Play of the game to be a KC Touchdown +190 I am in on this as I am for all Chiefs to score first TD props. If it is 7-0 and Kelce scores the first touchdown, I am going to be up for the night no matter what else happens.
Total completions over 55+ +115 DK Mahomes 28.5 and Brady is 24.5 53 is expected baseline. So not bad here to get over.
Brady and Mahomes over 650.5 passing yards +125 Mahomes is 325.5 and Brady is 295.5. Not that great here with 621 expected as baseline. Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Kelce and Hill numbers way over this. Godwin is 77.5 and Evans is 63.5. This seems great! If you bet everyone over 50 yards on FD parlay is +145. If you bet everyone over 60 yards on FD parlay is +283. I am all over this one!
Over 13.5 points scored in first quarter +125 Brady super bowls have all gone under early and the Chiefs always seem to start slow. Pass on this one. Notice, both sites have this as an option.
Fan Duel Same Game Parlay If you wager $25 and only one leg losses, you get a refund.
$25 Risk Free Wager I got this offer emailed to me and used it on Kelce first TD +600.
Pat’s Picks Nothing is listed.
Extra Points for Extra Pay Nothing is listed.
First Scoring Play to Be a TB TD +240 I am all over the Chiefs scoring first, so I am passing on this. If you are betting a few Bucs for first touchdown, then play this too.
Mahomes 300+ Yards and 3+ Passing TD’s +190 I think there could be better ways to bet this combo than this boost. Of course if you think the Chiefs win and score a ton this is great. Mahomes prop for passing yardage is well above 300 yards and over 2.5 TD’s is also heavily juices at -136. You know what I am in on this.
Over 13.5 Points scored in first quarter +140 The Chiefs are slow starters at times and go look at the lack of scoring by Tom Brady led Super Bowl teams. Of all the boosts, this is the easiest to pass on.
Fox Bet Fox Bet has been publicizing this super boost of Brady and Mahomes to each throw two or more touchdowns boosted to +100. On the surface, it seems great. Brady is -230 to throw over two touchdown passes. Mahomes is -455 to throw over two touchdown passes. This has a max bet of $25. What they do not tell you is that it is $25 per day. I have been firing on this daily since it posted. A small $25 wager can turn into a $225 wager over the course of nine days with this boost. Now, when I say on the surface it seems great, there is another element to this you should consider. Brady to throw over 2.5 touchdowns pays +130. The Books are basically saying, we expect him to throw two. I think you can also bet Brady over 2.5 touchdown passes for +130 on a different site like Draft Kings and try to maximize your profits here. In a game with a 56.5 point total, each quarterback throwing two touchdown passes seems safe. Mahomes has done it in every game he has finished but two this season. Brady has two or more in all but three games. Overall, load up on this daily and consider firing on Brady over 2.5 TD’s at +130 on another site. Try to set yourself up to at worst break even, or have a great day using just this boost and one similar prop.
Chiefs first offensive play a pass +200 This seems too good to pass up, but it is only a max bet of $10. I wonder if they will let me bet this every day. LOL.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter and update this article for the weekend.
Plays I Will Be On I have made a few wagers and I list the price and site where I made the wager.
KC -3 -110 I bet this the moment the game opened and continue to think it is the correct side.
First Touchdown Kelce +600 (FD Free wager) They love those weird plays to Kelce near end zone. Kelce +650 (DK) Kelce +750 (DK first TD odds boost max bet $25) Mike Evans +1150 (Fox Bet Best odds by far on him and I wanted one TB player)
KC First score of game a TD +190 (DK)
Total Players to attempt a pass +190
Any Field Goal or Extra Point to hit the upright or cross bar +375 (DK)
Brady and Mahomes 2+ Passing TD’s +100 (Fox Bet) I bet the max every day. Brady over 2.5 TD Passes +125 (DK) I think he is getting two for sure.
Gronk Over 30.5 receiving yards -105 (Fox Bet)
Mahomes over 20.5 Rushing Yards -105 (Fox Bet) Mahomes longest Rush Over 10.5 yards -112 (DK) I love both of these. With a banged up offensive line and a strong pass rush coming at him, Mahomes will have to escape and run at times. I think he hits both of these. These are my two favorite individual props.
Kelce over 8.5 receptions +110 (DK)
Either team to convert a 2-point conversion YES +240 If I think a kick hits a cross bar, than this tracks as well.
Brady MVP Boost +250 (DK) This is kind of a small hedge on my KC stuff, but all can still get there.
Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400 Every single player’s prop number is much higher than this number. I realize one injury and it dies, but Evans at 63.5 is the lowest of all of them. I think the Chiefs will score a ton.
Who Wins The Game Kansas City
Who Wins Game ATS Kansas City
Computer Model Platinum Plays None
Premium Plays None
Regular Plays TB +3.5
NFL 2020 Season Record Playoffs 8-4 66.66% Overall 146-111 56.68% Platinum 2-5 28.57% Premium 24-15 61.54% Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball 2020-2021 Season Record NBA Record 15-15 50% NCAA Record 7-9 43.75% Hoops Parlay Record 5-11 -141 Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +755 Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100 NBA Model 105-108 49.29%
Win The Weekends 