NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-29-2021

I decided to take some money off the table on NBA Top Shot. I cashed out on Friday and the money is in my account right now. I would say that ended up being faster than I could have hoped. After such a delay, I will take it. It feels really weird having NCAA Tourney on a Monday with a massive NBA slate. There are plenty of boosts for college and the NBA, so here we go!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
WAS +5
MIN +11.5
NYK +4
NOR +4
MEM -7
DAL -11 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +3.5
SAC +2.5
UTA -16
GSW +1
MIL +2






NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a triple-double and Brooklyn to win +260 (FD)
This should pay +196. This game has a massive total and if it stays close, Harden can easily get there as he does almost nightly. Harden’s rebound prop is set to 9.5 and the over is juiced. Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Harden is +160 on DK to record a triple-double. I am in.


Giannis and Leonard to score 25+ +175 (FD)Both of their props are above this at 27.5 and 26.5 points. This should pay +138. This should be a tight competitive game and I like this. I get both players to score under their prop. I am in.

Giannis to record 3+ dunks and Bucks to win +360 (DK)
He averages around 2.5 dunks a game. The Bucks are small dogs in this spot. Pass. I hate dunk props.


Heat/Mavericks/Raptors to win +240 (DK)
This should pay +188 and all four teams are favored. However, I cannot go against the Knicks at home, or back the Raptors on the road. Pass. I am not sure what Toronto is even trying to do at this point.


Heat/Nets/Grizzlies +175 (Fox)
This should pay +125, so feel free to fire. I already said I do not feel comfortable taking the Heat in New York. I know Randle is questionable, but if he is ruled out and this boost is still posted, then I am coming back. The other two games in this one are more than fine. I am currently out, unless Randle sits, then I am in.


Tatum and Butler 1+ dunks each +200 (Fox)
Nope. Pass.


Zion/Kyrie to score 30+ each +400 (Fox)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay around +325. The down side here is you need Zion to have a fantastic game and Kyrie to score and that game to remain close. While that could happen, you need both guys to go over their number by a few points. If both games were super competitive, I could see it. I am going to pass here.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Houston and Baylor to win +100 (FD)
This should pay -154, so this is a great boost. If you think both favorites are going to win, you should be in. I have to take this one. This is too much of a boost to avoid considering we are getting both favorites. I am in.

Houston and Baylor to win +100 (Fox)
This is a max bet of $10 for me. Combined I can bet $60 on this. I am in.



Baylor to win and 149+ points scored +180 (FD)
The total is 148.5 in this game and Baylor is an eight-point favorite. If you parlay them to win and the over, it should pay +145. I think Baylor wins here, so this is betting the over at +180. These games have been trending under, so be aware of that.
Houston and Baylor to win by 5+ points +175 (DK)
This is a break on the line for both teams. This is about the price it should be. I think you are better off taking the boost on FD where they both just have to win. Pass for me.


25% Profit Boost for every game on Draft Kings.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings




NBA
Dal -11
I am rocking with the model.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
I am already on the Houston/Baylor combo, so why not add it it?
HOU/BAY/GONZ/BRK/DAL/UTA  +146

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-36 50.68%
NCAA Record 15-19 44.11%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-7 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record 12-25 -502
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 44-36 55%
NBA Model 272-286 48.74%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-28-2021

It is not a secret that I had COVID a few weeks ago. I got my vaccine on Friday night. I felt fine, but tired. Woke up Saturday and felt exactly, like I did when I got COVID. I took my son to little league practice, did some drills and such and was pretty tired. I went home and crashed. I felt like I had been standing for days and did a very difficult and heavy lifting workout. I was hurting. I laid down on the couch and fell asleep during Baylor/Nova. I woke up saw Baylor down four, live bet Baylor +1 and bet the Oral Roberts money line boosted to +620. I put my kids to bed and fell asleep with them. In all I slept around 13 hours in an 18 hour stretch. Today, I feel fantastic. I am just saying, be aware when you get your vaccine. I got the one shot J and J, so I realize it might be different from those of you getting two doses. In addition, maybe having COVID so recently played a factor. Nevertheless, it is over now!

Will update the rest soon.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CHA +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
TOR +1
ATL +4.5
ORL +7





NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to score 30+ and the Nuggets to win +410 (FD)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5. Jokic is +250 to score 30+ points.
These two parlayed should pay +342, but it is six points over his prop. Pass for me.


Trae to make 3+ threes and record 10+ assists +310 (FD)

Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Trae is +106 to make 3+ threes.
Trae’s assist prop is set to 10.5. Trae is -198 to record 10+ assists tonight.
This combo parlayed should pay +186, so this is a massive boost. In his last eleven games, Trae has only made 3+ threes in four of them. The math makes me want to play this, but Trae’s performance making threes makes me want to fade it. If you want to fire, I understand and you can. This being a road game in Denver makes me want to fade. The math is on your side if you want to play it. I am passing.


Jokic and Murray to score 25+ points +500 (DK)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 24.5.
Murray’s point prop is set to 19.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic is -108 to score 25+ points.
Murrya is +255 to score 25+ points.
This is all a long winded way to say if you parlay them to score 25+ on Fan Duel it pays +598. Pass on this boost.

Nuggets and Lakers to both win +150 (DK)
This should pay +112 so it is a decent boost. I can not believe I want to bet on this Laker team, but here we are. I think both these favorites win. I am in.


Gordon and Trent to score 15+ points +200 (Fox)
Gordon’s point prop is set to 13.5 and over is heavily juiced.
Gordon is +106 to score 15+
Trent’s point prop is set to 15.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trent is -150 to score 15+.
If you parlay them to score 15+ it should pay close to +243, nice boost. Pass.


Dame and Trae to score 60+ points +275 (Fox)
Look, I am out on Trae today. Pass for me.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.
FSU money line boosted!


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.




USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.


Michigan to make the Final Four +250 (DK)
You know I am on FSU. You know I bet them to make the final four and win the title. Pass for me.

Gonzaga to win and 160+ points scored +190 (FD)
The total is at 159 and Gonzaga is going to win. I am in on this. This is betting the over at +190. I am in.



Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA
Nothing at this time.



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120 (Use that DK Boost on this Money Line!)


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-36 50.68%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 11-24 -452
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 43-36 54.43%
NBA Model 270-284 48.73%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-27-2021

I wanted to get the NCAA odds boosts for today up before the games start. I will add NBA in the future!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!





NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nova or Syracuse to win +150 (FD)
This one is weird. Nova is a 7.5-point dog and missing a starter did not hurt them in the first two rounds. That will change here. Syracuse is a 6.5-point dog and I like them much more than NOVA. I think I would rather play Syracuse at +225 to win instead of this boost. Let me say, this is a fair price to have either; I just have not been on Nova for a while and will continue to fade. Pass on this for me.


50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.



Any double digit seed to make the final four +230 (DK)
With this bet you get UCLA, Oral Roberts, Oregon State and Syracuse. I suppose there is a world where Oregon State and Syracuse wins and this bet is over tomorrow. I just think you would be better off betting a money line parlay of any of these teams in back-to-back games. I think Syracuse is the most likely, but this is more of a fun Cinderella bet than anything I am into. Pass.


USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.



Ark/SYR/Bay to all win +450 (DK)
This should pay around +389, but you are taking a 6.5-point dog in Syracuse to win out right. I am passing on this, but if you like Syracuse, feel free to fire. The other two are larger favorites and will be in a great position to win.


HOU/BAY to both win by 10+ +560 (DK)
Both of these two teams are giving much shorter spreads than this. Houston is -6.5 and Baylor is -7.5 now. If you parlay them to both win by nine points, it pays +438. This is a fair number considering the situation, but I am not firing this up and asking both teams to win and cover by several points. Pass.


Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120

Let’s Get Weird
Three Money Line Parlays! Shop around and find where you can get the best price as they change often.
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL +163
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL/Loy Chi/Bay/Gonz +407
Loy CHI/Bay/Gonz +102

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-35 51.38%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 42-36 53.84%
NBA Model 264-280 48.52%

NCAA Tourney and NBA Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-26-2021

Would you like some NCAA tourney boost for the Sweet 16? I know I would. Well, here we go. Also, an NBA warning for tonight. Although the trade deadline has passed, these players have to pass physicals, get through protocols and may not be cleared to play yet. Be aware of that when you lock in your wagers.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
BRK -6
BOS +5.5
PHO -4
NOP +2.5
HOU +4
POR -11.5
CHA +.5
IND +4
MEM +9.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ATL -7.5
LAL -3.5





NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score the first basket +480 (FD)
Nope, never for me. This are too random. Pass.


Giannis and Tatum over 59.5 points combined +265 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Giannis’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
They are expected to score a combined 52 points, so they would need to go over by eight points to get there.
Tatum is +270 to score 30+ points and Giannis is +106. While them both betting 30 or more is not necessary, you will need some combo here. If you parlay them to both get 30+ is pays +576 on Fan Duel. Even if you make this 25+ for Tatum and 35+ for Giannis, the parlay would pay +528. No matter how you slice this, you will need both of them to get there and the payout should be much higher. Pass.


Trae to make 3+ threes and Hawks to win +190 (DK)
Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Trae is -106 to make 3+ threes. If you parlay Trae to make 3+ threes and the Hawks to win it should pay +148, so this is a small boost. However, there is no clue who may actually play for the Warriors at this moment. The Hawks do not exactly blow people out, but it is in play here. Shockingly, Trae only made 3+ threes in four of his last 11 games since March first. Pass.


Giannis and Zion 3+ dunks each +150 (Fox)
Zion averages 2.5 dunks a game and Giannis is in the same range. This is almost a fair price and if it was 2+ dunks I would be all in. This is on the verge of being a great wager, but not exactly there. Pass for me.


Luka/Booker/Ingram 25+ each +250 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 29.5
Luka is -325 to score 25+ points.
Ingram’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Ingram is -138 to score 25+ points.
Booker’s points prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Booker is -142 to score 25+ points.
If you parlay them all to score 25+ it should pay +284. Sometimes Fox Bet gives us a nice boost on these plays, but not tonight. You are better off parlaying this on Fan Duel, without a limit on how much you can wager with a larger payout. Pass on this boost.


Bucks/Suns/Nuggets +333 to all win (Fox)
This should pay +288, but includes two games with small spreads. If you like, the Nuggets and Suns go for it. I am passing.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nova or Syracuse to win +150 (FD)
This one is weird. Nova is a 7.5-point dog and missing a starter did not hurt them in the first two rounds. That will change here. Syracuse is a 6.5-point dog and I like them much more than NOVA. I think I would rather play Syracuse at +225 to win instead of this boost. Let me say, this is a fair price to have either; I just have not been on Nova for a while and will continue to fade. Pass on this for me.


50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.


20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.



Any double digit seed to make the final four +230 (DK)
With this bet you get UCLA, Oral Roberts, Oregon State and Syracuse. I suppose there is a world where Oregon State and Syracuse wins and this bet is over tomorrow. I just think you would be better off betting a money line parlay of any of these teams in back-to-back games. I think Syracuse is the most likely, but this is more of a fun Cinderella bet than anything I am into. Pass.


USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.


FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.



Ark/SYR/Bay to all win +450 (DK)
This should pay around +389, but you are taking a 6.5-point dog in Syracuse to win out right. I am passing on this, but if you like Syracuse, feel free to fire. The other two are larger favorites and will be in a great position to win.


HOU/BAY to both win by 10+ +560 (DK)
Both of these two teams are giving much shorter spreads than this. Houston is -6.5 and Baylor is -7.5 now. If you parlay them to both win by nine points, it pays +438. This is a fair number considering the situation, but I am not firing this up and asking both teams to win and cover by several points. Pass.


Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.

Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.




NBA
Nets -6
I bet Harden plays and they win here.



NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120


Let’s Get Weird
Three Money Line Parlays! Shop around and find where you can get the best price as they change often.
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL +163
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL/Loy Chi/Bay/Gonz +407
Loy CHI/Bay/Gonz +102

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-35 51.38%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 42-36 53.84%
NBA Model 264-280 48.52%

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-25-2021

Trade deadline day is always chaotic. Rotations may be off, players will be moved and lines may change. Just be careful.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
POR +3
NYK -3
LAC -6.5 (Highest Rated, but a back-to-back and resting is in play)
SAC -3
PHI -5.5




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
You can take these 3×2 boosts and fire them into the sun.


Simmons to score 25+ and the Sixers to win +640 (DK)
Simmons point prop is set to 17.5.
Simmons to score 25+ pays +410.
If you parlay Simmons to score 25+ and Sixers to win, it pays +521 on FD.
While I realize Embiid is out, Simmons has score 25+ only twice this year. Pass.

Dame to make 4+ threes and Blazers to win +325 (DK)
Dame’s made three prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced.
Dame is -240 to make 4+ threes.
If you parlay the Blazers to win and Dame to make 4+ threes, it pays +173. This is a massive boost and Jimmy Butler is questionable. If Butler is out, the Blazers may become favorites. The Heat may also make a trade and could be shorthanded. I realize the Blazers made a deal, but no one that should affect the game that much. I am in.


Ben Simmons 1+ dunk +100 (Fox)
Simmons has 53 dunks in 36 games. I am in. My max bet is $10. Lame. Go collect your free $10.


Russ and Kawhi 1+ dunk each +150 (Fox)
Russ has 14 dunks in 35 games. Pass.


Wiz/LAC/Sixers to win +375 (Fox)
This should pay +349.
The Wizards are small dogs and will be missing people due to trades. The Clippers may rest people on the back-to-back. I am not into playing the Wizards against the Knicks at all. Pass.


Dame/Randle/Tobias 25+ points each +550 (Fox)
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Dame is -275 to score 25+.
Randle’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Randle is -140 to score 25+.
Tobias’s point prop is set to 22.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tobias is +130 to score 25+.
If you parlay them all it pays +438. This is a pretty goof boost and really a bet on Tobias Harris to get to 25 points. If you take away the pace down spot against the Knicks and that weird game against the Bucks, Harris has been getting the shots to score 25+. As long as the Lakers keep this close, I think he can get there. I am in.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.




NBA
PHI -5.5
I am firing this up before the Lakers make a trade. I still get the Sixers two main guys against the Lakers bench.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 36-35 50.70%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-56 +3520
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 41-36 53.24%
NBA Model 259-280 48.05%

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-24-2021

Be aware of resting and “injuries” as the trade deadline is tomorrow!

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
DET +6
DEN -2.5
BOS +6
ORL +10
MIN +8 (Highest Rated in Model)
CHI -6
CHA -3.5
MEM -5
SAS +5.5
ATL -3
BRK +9.5




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to record a triple-double +230 (FD)
Jokic is +175 to record a triple-double on DK.
Jokic will get there in points.
Jokic rebound prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Jokic assist prop is set to 8.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This is a solid boost and Jokic only needs to go over his number in assists by one. I am hopeful that the Raptors can stay in this game and perhaps not trade anyone, so it remains competitive. I am in.



Brown and Tatum to each score 25+ points +460 (FD)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 22.5.
Brown’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is lightly juiced.
Both Tatum and Brown are plus money to score 25+ and if you parlay them, it should pay +384. This is a solid boost and if the game stays close both can get there. When they played earlier this year, they both got there easily. I am going to think this game stays competitive and the Bucks offense forces the Celtics to keep scoring as well. I am in.


Risk Free single game parlay up to $10 (FD)
I got this emailed to me. I will of course use it and pick like 12 things and try to win 14K.



33% Profit boost on any 3+ leg NBA Parlay (DK)
Need that Jazz money line to drop so it qualifies for this boost.
I will update later on Twitter.

Mitchell to outscore Harden +175 (DK)
Mitchell’s prop is set to 26.5.
There is nothing listed for Harden at this time. I assume he may sit and the Nets just forget this game completely. Even if Harden plays the blowout, risk is real. For now, this is a pass due to lack of information.

LaVine to score 35+ and Bulls to win +460 (DK)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced.
Lavine is +375 to score 35+ tonight.
If you parlay scoring 35+ along with the Bulls to win it should pay +427. This is a boost, but I am not into being on LaVine needed to go this far over his prop. Pass.

Brown and Morant 1+ dunk each +400 (Fox)
Nope. They keep putting Brown in this dunk bets and he does not dunk that often as we know. Pass.




NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.




NBA
MEM -5
OKC is tanking.



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 35-35 50%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 39-54 +3720
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 41-35 53.94%
NBA Model 254-274 48.10%

Golf WGC Dell Match Play Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Our Plays 3-24-2021

Wait, you mean my people do not always make a charge, come back, and win. Weird. I kind of half expected Cameron Tringale to come out Sunday, shoot a 65, and win. Instead, he went from three shots back to even further back. Either way we are back this week with a bracket! This format is different and will be pretty strange compared to what we normally see. Just like with the NCAA bracket, do not bet people in the same region to win it all. Pick people on different sides. I am backing two of the favorites here, I am pretty sure you can guess who one of them is. In my dream scenario, they meet in the finals.

I will break down my wager by location, so you can get the best number possible. I am taking some shots here in each range, as you will see.

I am all about the sites having PGA odds boosts every week! If they do, I will continue to break them down as well. PGA betting is something I started a few years back and really enjoy. All you need is to hit one winner to have a great year, depending upon the price. Last year, obviously, I picked more than a few winners. I am going to list the other bets I continue to make of top 20’s, top 10’s, etc. I had only been listing my outrights, but I will now list everything.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

PGA
Rahm 14/1 Fox
Bryson 14/1 DK




PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bryson to reach the quarterfinals +360 (FD)
To do this Bryson would have to win his group and then defeat the winner of Finau, Frittelli, Kokrak and Zalatoris. Since Byson is +115 to win his group, we can assume he would be favored over everyone in the other group. Even if we make him -125 in the second round, a parlay on him would pay roughly +287. (I used the numbers form below to make it easy.) Either way, this is a boost and I am in. I am a sucker for Byrson as you know.



Bryson and Rahm to both win their group +500 (DK)
Rahm is -125 to win his group.
Bryson is +115 to win his group.
If you parlay them to both win, it should pay +287. This is a pretty solid boost. While I understand they have to beat the other golfers in their group, I am in on this.
 


PGA Odds Boost Record
2-2 +350


Picks This Season (Winners in Bold)
3/18
Brandon Wu 70/1 DK
Doug Ghim 65/1 FD
Cameron Tringale 45/1 FD
Brendan Steele 45/1 DK

3/11
Xander 24/1 FD
Zalatoris 85/1 FD
Zalatoris top 20 +300 DK (Him finishing 21st hurt)
Norlander 240/1 FD
Norlander top 20 +700 FD
JT 20/1
Bryson Live +1500
Bryson Live +900

3/4/21
Bryson 13/1 (FD)
Zalatoris 45/1 (DK)
Kokrak 40/1 (FOX)
Norlander 140/1 (FD)


2/25
Will Zalatoris 70/1 (DK)
Will Zalatoris Top 10 +550 (DK)
Collin Morikawa 45/1 (DK)
Bryson 20/1


2/18
Bryson 18/1 FD
Bryson 20/1 DK Boost
Kokrak 110/1 FD
Kokrak Top 20 +360


2/11
Kevin Streelman 37/1 Finished 13th
Adam Long 125/1
Streelman top 10 +280 Finished 13
Long top 10 +800
Berger (Live Sunday Morning) +550

2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.

1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1 
Huh 130/1

1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1

1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1

PGA Winners I Bet Last Season 
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship

Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 3-23-2021

We have a break in the NCAA tourney until Saturday. This new schedule feels very weird to me. Either way, the NBA never stops. I will say be careful the next few days. The trade deadline is Thursday and teams may rest people they are planning on trading. You cannot trade an injured player as easily. Just be cautious and if you want to wait until the game is about to start or live bet, I understand completely.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
DEN -7.5
LAL +5.5
NYK -2.5
PHO -2 (Highest Rated in Model, but not very high at all comparatively)
PHI -4
BRK +3.5



NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Sixers to win the East +600 (Fox)
Sixers to win the East + 575 (FD)
Sixers to win the East +550 (DK)
The top two are listed as boosts, while the DK one is just the current price.
I have the Sixers to win the NBA title, so if I was going to fire it would be on the Fox one obviously. Pass on Fan Duel. *It appears Fan Duel has now taken this boost down. No idea why, maybe the Brogdon trade rumors?

Fan Duel has two of those 3×2 boosts and I always pass. As I stated before, show me data on how many threes teams take in the first three minutes and then we can discuss. Until that time, pass on these.

Dame to score 10+ points in the 4th quarter +245 (DK)
What if Harden ends up sitting and this game is a blowout? Pass.


Nuggets/Pelicans/Knicks to all win +260 (DK)
Denver is -7.5 (-295).
Pelicans -5.5 (-235).
Knicks -2.5 (-146).
This should pay around +222 and is a pretty good boost. Denver is playing a weakened Magic team; the Pelicans get the remnants of the Lakers. The only real concern is the Knicks against the suddenly not awful Wizards. I am in on this though. I feel safe getting the Knicks to win at +260 since I think the others are solid.


Zion to have 1+ dunks +100 (Fox)
We know he dunks a little more than twice a game. I am in. MY max bet is $10, but whatever, go get your free $10.

Pelicans/Suns/Sixers to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +296, but it has two teams needing to win on the road. While the Sixers seems safe, something about the Suns in Miami feels like a coin toss. I am passing, but I get why you would want to fire.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.




NBA
DEN -7.5
Coming off a loss and the Magic may hold people out to trade them.

NO -5.5
Is this a trap? This feels like a trap. Watch Lonzo sit this game and be traded.  



NCAAB
Nothing at this time.


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 33-35 48.52%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 9-22 -675
Hoops Odds Boosts 38-54 +3620
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 40-35 53.33%
NBA Model 249-273 47.70%

NCAA Tourney Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 3-22-2021

Dogs are 28-15 against the spread in the NCAA tourney. I am sure you can pick them out pretty easily. I think it makes a ton of sense to keep riding dogs.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CLE +4
OKC +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
CHA +5
BOS +2.5
IND +5.5
TOR -8.5
CHI +8.5
ATL +6.5



NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fox/Edwards/DDR to all score 20+ points +230 (Fox)
Fox’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Edwards point prop is set to 22.5.
DDR’s point prop is set to 20.5 and the under is juiced.
Fox is -500 to score 20+ points.
Edwards is -220 to score 20+ points.
DDR is -130 to score 20+ points.
This parlayed together should pay +209 so it is a slight boost. Every player is set to score just at or slightly above this number. Anytime we are asking players to just miss their prop and it is boosted, we have to take advantage. I am in.



Hornets/Jazz/Raptors to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay around +312, but I am not interested in taking a five-point dog in the Hornets in a money line parlay right after they lost LaMelo Ball for the season. Pass.

Mitchell and Brown 1+ dunk each +500 (Fox)
Mitchell has 11 dunks in 39 games.
Brown has 15 dunks in 39 games.
As you know, I hate dunk props and this one falls into the category of avoid. Both of these players dunk almost once every four games. There is no reason to fire on this. Pass.

Trae to make 5+ threes and Hawks to win +3015 (DK)
Wait, what is this? Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the Hawks are 6.5 point dogs.
If you parlay this on Fan Duel, it pays +3059. I mean, just run away from this and pass.


NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Gonzaga and Iowa to win by 10+ points +350 (FD)
Iowa is -5.
Gonzaga is -14.
While this is about fair in terms of the boost, I find it very difficult to take Iowa and double the spread. Pass for me.


Ohio to beat Creighton +225 (FD)
Ohio is +180 on Draft Kings.
Ohio is +190 pm Fox Bet.
Ohio is +194 on Fan Duel.
This is a boost and I was already planning to bet Ohio and the points. Might as well add them on the money line too. I am in.


Daily 25% live bet boost on DK
I am 100% using this every day. I will post my plays on twitter!



20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
I was not able to use this, but maybe you can? Perhaps I read the terms wrong. Good luck.


ABC/Gon/Crei all to win +355 (DK)
This should pay +331, mostly because Gonzaga is such a large favorite. This is a small boost, but I am on some dogs today and Ohio is one of them. Pass.

Mich/Ala both to win +130 (DK)
This is a decent boost as it should pay close to +106. Both teams are five-point or larger favorites and expected to win. I am in on this.


USC/Kansas to go to OT +1800 (DK)
Nope, never, pass.


Gonzaga to win +100 (Fox)
This is being moved from -1600 to +100. Max bet $10. Go collect your $10. In addition, if you have been opting into the free live bet from Fox Bet, when the website works you know, you can earn a free $10 live bet too for today. I am in.

Michigan/Alabama/Kansas to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +321. I feel like they are trying to trick people into thinking Kansas is a favorite. Yes, the three-seeded Kansas team is a dog to the six seed USC. Like all of these boosts, if you liked the three teams before go for it, if not pass. Pass for me.

Oregon and Iowa to go to OT +800 (Fox)
Ugh, no. Never betting a game to go to OT. Pass.

Iowa to win and both teams to score 80+ points +1200 (Fox)
The total in this game is only 148. This boost is asking the over to hit by 12+ points and both teams to far exceed their team total. Pass.


NBA
Nothing at this time.



NCAAB
Oregon +5.5
Ohio +5.5
FSU -1.5


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 33-35 48.52%
NCAA Record 13-16 44.85%
NCAA Tourney Record 4-4 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-22 -805
Hoops Odds Boosts 37-52 +3690
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 39-35 52.70%
NBA Model 247-267 48.05%

NCAA Tourney Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 3-21-2021


Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
WAS +9.5
DET +3
CLE +7
PHI +1
PHO -9.5
POR +2 (Highest Rated in Model)




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Sixers/NETS/Lakers to all win +1060 (DK)
The Lakers have no Davis and No Lebron. Pass. It does not matter how solid this boost may be, the Lakers are losing. Pass

Luka to record 50+ points/rebounds/assists +110 (DK)
This is set to 49.5 and the under is juiced. This is a boost for sure, but it is pretty small. You are however getting the over on this prop at +100. I am in. Competitive game with a tight spread and it feels like he can get there.


Bulls/Nets/Sixers to all win +320 (Fox)
This should pay +318, not much of a boost. Pass.

Sexton/Kyrie/Russ all 25+ points +400 (Fox)
Sexton’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
This parlayed together should pay +376. You get a boost and just need Sexton to go over by one point on his prop. I am in.



NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Oral Roberts to win +400 (FD)
Draft Kings has boosted OR to +500. Pass on this boost.

Oral Roberts to win +500 (DK)
If you like them, sure go for it. I am passing.

FLA/NOVA/OKST to win +185 (DK)
This should pay +132. All three are six or more point favorites. I am in.



Gonzaga and Iowa to win by 10+ points +350 (FD)
This is tomorrow, I will break that down then!




Daily 25% live bet boost on DK
I am 100% using this every day. I will post my plays on twitter!



20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
I was not able to use this, but maybe you can? Perhaps I read the terms wrong. Good luck.


Nova to win +100 (Fox)
From -270 to +100. Of course, I am in.


Nova to win and each team over 64.5 points +500 (Fox)
NT team total is 60 and Nova’s is 66. This is risky as NOVA has been wildly inconsistent as of late and could win a low scoring game. I am going to pass.


NBA
Suns -9.5
Lakers going to be crushed.



NCAAB
Rutgers +7.5


Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 32-35 %
NCAA Record 12-15 %
NCAA Tourney Record 3-3 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-22 -805
Hoops Odds Boosts 35-51 +3290
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 39-34 %
NBA Model 243-26 %