We are on the cusp here. In Circa I went from 2400 to 900th over the last two weeks. In Draft Kings I went from 900 to 500th. It is slow, but we are getting in a better position to cash in these picks contests. I just need to finish strong and not have any losing weeks. I am not sure 3-2 every week will get there, but it makes it closer.
DAL -10.5 at CAR – A home dog getting 10+ points?! I am intrigued. Look, Carolina is terrible, but this is a weird road game for Dallas. Huge blowout win, now on the road against a bad team, with a Thanksgiving game looming Thursday against a divisional opponent. You can see here how Dallas may not get up for this game. I am on the Panthers +10.5 in contests and wagers.
CHI +7.5 at DET – The Bears feel like the correct side here, but I am passing. Detroit at home inside has been very good. I am out.
LVR +13.5 at MIA – The Dolphins are winning games at home against bad teams by 14+ routinely. This is the squarest best of the weekend, but I am going to follow the public here. The Raiders were a nice story, but what an awful spot. Raiders played the Sunday night game, and the Dolphins are healthy and coming off a bye week. Miami in contests and wagers.
PIT +1.5 at CLE – I bet the Steelers at +3 right when the news hit. I am taking the QB, yes, that one that I love but who has been bad, because he has not turned it over much. Steelers in contests and wagers. I know the Steelers have been fortunate and the schedule seems to be breaking that way as well. Injury luck needs to continue to be on their side. Lastly, if the Browns thought this QB situation was fine they would not have Joe Flacco in for a workout.
ARZ +6 at HOU – I am not sure what to do with this game. Arizona feels like the right side, but I am out. This line is an overreaction to the Texans, but not for me. Pass.
TEN +7 at JAX – If the Jags are not terrible this is a good spot. The Jags are at home coming off a blowout loss and get to face a rookie QB. I am sitting this one out, but man it feels like a great spot for Jacksonville.
NYG +8.5 at WAS – In survivor I am using either Washington or Jacksonville. I did use Wash in some contests. This is what getting deep feels like, requiring Sam Howell to get us through. Pass on this game for wagers and contests.
LAC -3 at GB – This game stinks. Pass.
TB +12 at SF – I want to take the Bucs, for some reason I find my way to them a little too much. I am passing though.
NYJ +7 at BUF – One team can not score. One team loves to turn it over. Pass. We have gone against the Bills a few times the last few weeks and it has been profitable. I lean Jets to do it again, but I am not there yet.
SEA -1 at LAR – The Seahawks have a huge game with the Niners on Thanksgiving night. A weird road divisional game is sitting here against a healthy Rams team. I love the Rams. I know Seattle has been solid against the pass, but it has not been against a murdered row of QB’s and WR’s. I am on the Rams in picks contests and wagers.
MIN +2 at DEN – The Josh Dobbs story has been super fun, but the train slows down this week. The Bronco’s defense has been fantastic the last few weeks and forced several turnovers. This is still Josh Dobbs on the road, with no running game and no Justin Jefferson. I love Denver here. Broncos in picks contests and wagers.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle (WIN)
Week 8 LA Chargers (WIN)
Week 9 Cleveland (WIN)
Week 10 Dallas (WIN)
Week 11 Washington
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
MIN -2.5
TEN +7
Regular Plays
BAL -3.5
PIT +1.5
CHI +8
GB +3.5
MIA -13
NYG +8.5
DAL -10.5
HOU -5
SF -11
BUF -6.5
LAR +1
PHI +3
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Draft Kings
NFL
CAR +10.5
MIA -13
PIT +1.5
LAR +1
DEN -2
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 70-73 48.95%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 14-17 45.16%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 15-21 41.66%
Our Plays
Overall 20-8-1 71.42%
College Football 1-0 100%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200
Win The Weekends 