Finally, some normalcy in my life. No traveling, no moving to a new house, just the games. As I mentioned yesterday, I am wallowing near even in all my contests, lame.
LVR -2.5 at CHI – I mean Brian Hoyer or AOC is going to give points on the road. However, the Bears are starting your cousin’s friend who played D-2 college football. I lean Chicago because it is +3.5 in contests, but my god this is a weird spot. Josh Jacobs should have 30 touches. Pass for now.
CLE -3 at IND – The best defense in the NFL versus not as good as you think he is Uncle Rico. I lean the Browns as this is a bet on their defense. But, man road favorites without a QB seems like a bad idea.
BUF -8.5 at NE – The Bills own the Pats. The Pats can not score. I want to take the Bills badly, but I refuse to lay over a TD on the road. Pass for now.
WAS -2.5 at NYG – Are there any home favorites? UGH. This game stinks. Lean WAS but pass for now.
ATL +2.5 at TB – Hey, look a home favorite. I want to be on the Bucs here, as they feel like the right side. Baker being slightly banged up makes me hesitate. He missed plenty of throws last week that would have made the difference perhaps. Pass for now.
DET +3 at BAL – The public loves the Lions. They keep coming through, so why would people stop betting them? The Lions are the public dog of the week. Who is interested in the Ravens after London, where they could not get in the endzone. THIS GUY IS. I think you can throw on the Lions and I expect the Ravens to do just that. I am playing a ton of Zay Flowers, as I do almost every week. BAL -3 as a wager and in contests.
PIT +3 at LAR – If the Steelers offense sucks fully healthy, well then, I am going to continue to blame Matt Canada. Kenny needs to play better. The key here is Matthew Stafford has struggled when pressured and I expect the Steelers to get home often. It sounds like JPJ will be playing more and perhaps shadowing Puka, but I am dubious to any and all Steelers rumors until I see it. I am going to continue to be a homer and take the Steelers as dogs. PIT +3 for a wager and in contests.
ARZ +7.5 at SEA – This line has come down slightly, but I have no interest in this game. The Cardinals are back to who we thought they were, but you can throw on Seattle. I am not sure Arizona has the people to move the ball consistently. I lean Seattle, but pass for now.
GB -1 at DEN – Denver is 100% the correct side here. Jordan Love is laying points on the road, I mean wow. Having said that, I can not do it. Maybe and I stress maybe if I need a 5th game I will end up on the Broncos, but there is so much bad from trading people, to weird usage, to perhaps tanking.
LAC +5.5 at KC – I know the Chargers played a night game and KC has been off since last Thursday. This is a schedule nightmare. However, this is a divisional game and these two always tend to play closer, with Brandon Staley making a horrendous 4th down decision at some point. I want to be on the Chargers, but they are also not very good. Lean LAC but pass for now.
MIA +2.5 at PHI – Everyone loves Miami. They score, they are super fun. What happened when the Dolphins played a real offense in Buffalo a few weeks ago? What happened when Tua had some pressure on him? This is the Eagles break out game on offense. Philly will throw all over the Dolphins and the Eagles defense, provided healthy, will get pressure and force turnovers. The Phillies are going the World Series and the Eagles are winning Sunday night. Philly -2.5 as a wager and in contest.
SF -7 at MIN – You know if healthy this would be an auto bet of a home dog getting 7+ points, but the Vikings are bad and the Niners have so many injury questions. I want to see who practices Friday for San Francisco. Pass for now.
If you are keeping track that is three games I am in on with Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and Philadelphia. I lean Chargers for my fourth pick, but will need to find five soon enough!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo (WIN)
Week 3 Kansas City (WIN)
Week 4 San Francisco (WIN)
Week 5 Detroit (WIN)
Week 6 Miami (WIN)
Week 7 Seattle
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
BUF -8.5
GB -1
SF -7
Regular Plays
JAX +2.5
CHI +3
CLE -2.5
WAS -2
TB +2.5
DET +3
LAR -3
ARZ +8
KC -5.5
MIA +2
Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel
Draft Kings
NFL
PHI -2
PIT +3
BAL -3
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
NFL Computer Model
Overall 48-41 53.93%
Platinum 1-2 33.33%
Premium 12-9 57.14%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 13-11 54.16%
Our Plays
Overall 10-7 58.82%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-2 +100
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-2 -200
Win The Weekends 