Week two is always the overreaction week. Teams that looked unusually good or bad, have their numbers in or deflated due to the one game sample size of last week. Of course, this means we can take advantage of some situations. I want to mention that the contests really did a great job of changing numbers prior to posting.
GB +1.5 at ATL – If the Packers have key members of their offense out, I am seriously considering taking Atlanta. This is crazy, but is Atlanta really going to start 2-0? The Falcons are on my short list.
LVR +8 at BUF – This is a pass for me. The Bills feel like the right side, but I need to see it at some point where they lay the smack down. It has been a minute.
BAL +3 at CIN – I am all over the Bengals. The Ravens have a slew of injuries, and this is the comeback week for Joe B and Cincinnati. I have bet the Bengals and they will be in my contest plays even at -3.5.
SEA +4.5 at DET – If Seattle did not have those offensive line injuries, I was ready to jump on them. Instead, they may be missing both starting tackles and that is a pass for me.
LAC -2.5 at TEN – I cannot take the Titans. I do not care how much of a professional darling they are. I am out here. I have no feel for Tennessee.
CHI +3 at TB – What am I missing here? Professionals are all over Chicago. The TB defense did a great job against Minnesota forcing turnover and keeping them out of the endzone, now this same defense is going to give up points to Justin Fields? I am backing the healthy undervalued Bucs defense again against what might be the worst team in the league. TB -2.5 in contests and TB -3 in wagers.
KC -3 at JAX – Oh man the Chiefs will not lose two in a row, right? Right? Pass for me. This is a better DFS game than to bet on. Pass.
IND +1 at HOU – Rookie QB on the road against a defense that did a decent job against Lamar and the Ravens. I am again backing a solid defense at home against a young QB and offense on the road. HOU -1 in contests and in wagers.
SF -7.5 at LAR – We do not lay a touchdown on the road in division. Pass. Also, I am not taking this weaponless Rams team against the Niners.
NYG -4 at ARZ – This line keeps dropping. Is this this the Admiral Akbar game of the week? Pass for me and in survivor.
NYJ +9 at DAL – Huge pass. This is too many points as I do not trust DAK, but Zach Wilson exists. I am out.
WAS +3.5 at DEN – They just keep making Denver more than a FG favorite despite them being terrible. I also hate this game, no action from me.
MIA -3 at NE – A home divisional dog that sharps are on. Yes, I get the argument for the Patriots and backing their defense and a revitalized offense. I am pausing here in the off-chance Miami is very good and just scores a ton of points. Keep in mind the Chargers ran for 200+ yards last week and the Pats will try to do the same. I am passing, but the Patriots are interesting.
Ill discuss the Monday night games on Monday, but you know I am on the Steelers. Coming off a loss, at home, Monday night against the Browns. This is fantastic get right spot. I have four games for now. I need a fifth for contests but will get there eventually. As always, I will post all my contest picks on Twitter/X, but after last weeks 3-2, we need to pick it up!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)
Week 2 Buffalo
Computer Model Plays
Platinum
Premium
WAS +3.5
Regular Plays
GB +1
BUF -8.5
BAL +3.5
SEA +4.5
TEN +3
TB -2.5
KC -3
HOU -1
SF -7.5
NYG -4.5
NYJ +9.5
NE +2.5
NO -3
PIT +2.5
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Fan Duel
Draft Kings
NFL
CIN -3 (Bet and gave out Monday morning)
PITT +2.5
HOU -1
TB -2.5
College Football
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL Computer Model
Overall 12-5 7%0.58
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 4-1 80%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 5-1 83.33%
Our Plays
Overall 3-2 60%
NFL Odds Boosts 3-1 +200
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 