NFL Week One MNF Wagers and Computer Model Plays

The Steelers played their worst games in what feels like forever. Yes, I know there were games last year they got crushed, but this was different. There were expectations. Now the pressure is off.

I went 3-2 in all of my contests. After a 3-1 early slate I was hoping we would get to 4-1 all around. If you wondered why I had different teams in different contests, well we have to be aware of the numbers. In Circa Seattle was -5. In DK they were -6.5. It was an easy pivot on DK, where the Chargers were only -2.5. Despite the fact neither team came through, I was not about to take a bad number, just because I liked a team. Either way a 3-2 start is perfectly fine.

I have made one bet for this week already and took the Bengals -3. Week two is always an overreaction so week one. Baltimore has issues and the Bengals will play better. I feel that way about the Steelers, but I am going to wait and see if more Cleveland money comes, and I can get the best number.

We did end up with some closing line value on Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Tampa Bay. As long as I keep betting games and getting the best number, I am happy. There was no CLV with Atlanta because it stayed in the same spot all week.

Lastly, the computer model went off. One platinum level play won, four premium level plays won and overall, the computer is 12-3 ATS with one game to go. Not to shabby.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Survivor
Week 1 Baltimore (WIN)

Computer Model Plays
Platinum



Premium
BUF -2

Regular Plays

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Draft Kings
Most of the sites have some small profit boosts with a max of $25 or so. I am boosting up the Jets money line and firing on those. I think the Jets defensive line controls the game and gets pressure. Sauce played well against Diggs last year and that should continue. I will take the Jets +165.

NFL

College Football

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL Computer Model
Overall 12-3 80%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 4-0 100%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 5-0 100%

Our Plays
Overall  3-2 60%
NFL Odds Boosts 1-1 000
NFL Teasers and Parlays 0-1 -100