NFL Week One TNF Wagers and Computer Model Plays

Finally, we are back to normal. Tonight, is the appetizer and with Sunday being the main course. If you are new or not familiar, how things work is we will give out our computer model plays for every single game. For example, tonight the spread is currently KC -4.5. Our computer model feels the spread should be KC -3.5, so as you can imagine, the computer likes the Lions +4.5 tonight.  Will I actually bet or recommend you play the game just because the computer likes it? Nope. In fact, at times, I will go against the computer if that is what I feel. Remember the computer is just another data point or guide to help us make our wagers.

This game is weird without any Kelce clarity. The line is dropping which would indicate he is out/money is coming in on the Lions. I am passing tonight, but will be back tomorrow with a breakdown of every game and my plays as well as contest leans.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!

Computer Model Plays
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Regular Plays

DET +4.5

Football Odds Boost You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel

Mahomes 1+ TD pass and 250+ passing yards +100
This should pay above -300 depending upon where you look. I am in. Even if the Chiefs struggle without Travis Kelce, he should get there. I am in.

Draft Kings
Early win bonus TNF
If either team takes a 7-point lead and you bet the money line you win immediately. You can play these two ways of course. Betting let’s say $100 on KC only nets you $45, yet they may take the opening kickoff and drive right down and score. This could be over in ten minutes. They still are favored to win the game. I am unsure which way I am leaning here, but the Chiefs feel like the correct side.

DK does have a $10 risk free wager. The proper way to use this is to fire something insane and try to win a bunch of money. Even if it loses, you will get a $10 free bet back tomorrow.

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