2023 NFL Season Computer Model Update, Can I go 64% again on NFL?!

What a strange season last year was. Our computer model had it’s worst season by far. If you look below, you will see how the computer did last season and historically. This is your yearly reminder that computer models should be another data point and a guide. Models can assist when handicapping the NFL, but not the final answer. While using this computer model, I had my best season ever. 66-36 64.70% That is beautiful. If you followed along last year, we did well betting games and in picks contests. The goal for this year is to duplicate what happened last year. The likelihood of sustainability at that level is low. If you told me right now, I would be four percent worse, I would take that instantly. We know the key to profitability is being above that 52.4% mark for wagers that are -110. In a few days we will begin our quest to finish above that percent, however, we have larger goals and are aiming much higher. This year I flew to Vegas and entered the Circa Millions contest. Just like other handicapping contests, you pick five games against the spread. These spreads come out during the week and are stagnant and do not change. Just like always, I will post my contest picks at around 1 PM every single Sunday. I also believe in giving you fair and actionable lines. I may mention I bet a game on Monday morning at a price but will breakdown if I believe you should consider it if the price is different. For example: I bet the Steelers +3 months ago and still like them at +2.5. I know me being on Pittsburgh and Kenny Pickett is shocking. Like past years, I will also post some picks on Twitter/X or whatever we call it at Wintheweekend. As you can imagine, I am entered in several picks and survivor contests. While I may not post exactly my contest plays until Sunday at 1 PM, if you read the weekend breakdown, you will have a pretty good idea of my pool of games I am working with for Sunday. I know a lot of people trying to give out betting advice are not transparent. We are completely transparent. Below is the computer model plays for every season since inception. You can scroll back on this blog and find everything, no matter if it went well or poorly. Either way, thank you for coming on this ride. Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile! Computer Model History 2015-2022 Overall 1065- 965 52.31% Premium 231-206 52.86% Platinum 39-44 46.98% Overall 2015 132-132 50% 2016 127-94 57.47% 2017 108-99 52.17% 2018 141-118 54.44% 2019 142-118 54.62% 2020 147-111 56.97% 2021 138-146 48.59% 2022 130-147 46.93% Premium 2015 43-37 53.75% 2016 30-24 55.56% 2017 18-21 46.15% 2018 32-21 60.38% 2019 31-28 52.54% 2020 24-15 61.54% 2021 28-29 49.12% 2022 25-31 44.64% Platinum 2015 2-1 66.67% 2016 4-4 50% 2017 6-4 60% 2018 6-11 35.29% 2019 11-5 68.75% 2020 2-5 28.57 % 2021 5-9 35.71% 2022 3-5 37.5%

2022 NFL Computer Model Overall 130-147 46.93% Playoffs 6-4 60% Platinum 3-5 37.5% Premium 25-31 44.64% Recommended Plays 28-36 (Platinum + Premium) 43.75% 2022 Our Plays NFL Overall 66-36 64.70% Playoffs 6-6 50% NFL Props 0-2 0% NFL Odds Boosts 9-7 +610 NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-6 -270